Geology topics

Research about Hawaii

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Hawaii.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

USGS2026

Evaluation of benthic habitat change within the national historic sites of Hawaiʻi’s Kona Coast

Executive Summary Coral bleaching events have become increasingly common across the Hawaiian Archipelago since 1996 because of more frequent and intense marine heatwaves. The most significant bleaching event to date occurred from 2014 to 2015, which resulted in catastrophic state-wide coral loss. Bleaching events with less severe effects also occurred in 1996 and 2019. To understand the long-term effects of repeated bleaching events, along with other anthropogenic factors such as water quality, storms, sewage runoff, and coastal development, on coral reefs on the Kona Coast of the Island of Hawaiʻi, the U.S. Geological Survey, in collaboration with the National Park Service, collected underwater imagery in the early 2000s (baseline survey) and again in 2022 (resurvey). These images were captured within and adjacent to the National Historic Parks (NHP) and National Historic Sites (NHS) of Kaloko-Honokōhau NHP (KAHO), Puʻuhonua o Hōnaunau NHP (PUHO), and Puʻukohola Heiau NHS (PUHE). Imagery was classified for live coral cover and dominant type (four coral types, rubble, macroalgae, and two bottom substrate types). Change of percent live coral cover was determined for all sites. Change of coral and non-coral dominant types were calculated by aggregating classifications for each park into coral and non-coral. Net coral cover decreased between the baseline and resurvey period across all three parks, though PUHE exhibited the greatest loss of live coral cover. Across all three parks, the occurrence of lower coral cover classes (0–20 percent) increased and higher coral cover classes (greater than 50 percent) decreased. Furthermore, the total occurrence of non-coral dominant type classifications (rubble, macroalgae, sand, and volcanic pavement) increased by approximately 25 percent across all three parks, with PUHE experiencing a nearly 90-percent increase in the occurrence of non-coral types. There was little to no effect of water depth on change of live coral cover, indicating that marine heatwave driven bleaching events and additional anthropogenic influences affected the entire reef across all water depths from the lower fore reef to the reef flat. Because coral loss was more severe at PUHE and PUHO than KAHO, creating a monitoring framework that utilizes periodic underwater camera surveys and fixed diver transects by the National Park Service would contextualize the periodic spatial surveys to the fixed transects that have greater temporal resolution. Similarly, increased frequency of spatial surveys would allow for the National Park Service to continue monitoring changes to critical nearshore habitats and marine resources relevant to National Park jurisdiction.

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USGS2026

Between quiescence and crisis: Hawaiian Volcano Observatory communication and response strategies on the Island of Hawaiʻi

Over the past two centuries, eruptions of Mauna Loa volcano have damaged infrastructure and destroyed several communities on the Island of Hawaiʻi. Future eruptions will impact existing population centers and critical infrastructure, which continue to grow each year. The U.S. Geological Survey Hawaiian Volcano Observatory has developed and practiced methods to promote eruption preparedness in communities on the Island of Hawaiʻi, particularly over the past three decades during which Mauna Loa was quiescent while Kīlauea volcano erupted frequently. Here, we summarize the observatory’s efforts to increase awareness of hazards associated with Hawaiian volcanoes and describe how lessons learned during responses to past volcanic crises on Kīlauea were applied prior to and during the 2022 Mauna Loa eruption, highlighting new response communication challenges encountered during the event. Additionally, we identify potential avenues for future communication/outreach on the Island of Hawaiʻi, such as expanding efforts in communities located in high-hazard areas and striving to be more culturally and linguistically inclusive in our communication techniques.

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USGS2026

Dynamics and evolution of the Kı̄lauea lower East Rift Zone 2018 fissure 8 lava flow and implications for multiphase magma properties

The 2018 Kı̄lauea lower East Rift Zone (KLERZ) eruption was one of the most voluminous eruptions on the Island of Hawai’i in the past 200 years, leading to major disruption and destroying over 700 homes and structures. The majority of the erupted magma was emitted as a lava flow from Ahu’ailā’au (fissure 8), which was active from late May to early August. To better understand the evolution of long-lived channelized lava flows, we examined the evolution of velocity, texture, and inferred rheology of the fissure 8 lava in space and time. We quantified lava flow surface velocities using particle image velocimetry in more than 200 aerial videos that span the lava flow duration and length. Velocity measurements were analyzed together with vesicularity and crystallinity measurements from 9 co-located post-eruptive field samples to understand the textural evolution of this flow and its impact on lava rheology and flow velocity. The fissure 8 flow was highly vesicular, with 79%–88% vesicularity at the vent, decreasing to 16%–26% vesicularity 12.5 km from the vent. The volume fraction occupied by crystals 50 in size increased from 6% at the vent to about 18% at 12.5 km downstream. We find that the effective flow viscosity increased at a quadratic rate with distance. Using experimentally determined liquid viscosity and applying established models to account for the effect of crystals and bubbles, we attribute this increase primarily to textural evolution driven initially by the near-vent loss of deformable bubbles and later by cooling and crystal growth. We demonstrate the importance of accounting for the evolution of vesicularity and the role of vesicles by showing that utilizing this capability in the open-source thermo-rheological lava flow propagation model PyFLOWGO allows for more accurate predictions of the observed flow velocities. Our modeling results suggest that small bubbles behaving rigidly are required to simulate the observed flow length, speed, and viscosities. Flow velocities of the fissure 8 lava also varied with time, driven by near-daily collapse events of the summit caldera. Temporal velocity changes were characterized by a period of steep acceleration, with the volumetric flux peaking around 4 h after a caldera collapse, followed by a period of gradual deceleration lasting up to 40 h or until the next collapse event. We use this temporal behavior to estimate the compressibility of the magma inside the plumbing system between the summit reservoir and the lower East Rift Zone. Overall, quantifying the spatial and temporal evolution of the KLERZ eruption provides information about magma and lava properties that can inform predictive modeling and hazard assessment during an eruption.

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USGS2026

Advancing compound coastal flood modeling on aouthern O’ahu, Hawai’i: A hybrid stochastic approach

Sea-level rise and changing patterns of storminess associated with climate change are expected to increase the frequency and severity of compound coastal flooding events, posing significant challenges to coastal communities in enhancing preparedness and adaptation strategies. This work presents a hybrid stochastic approach for the probabilistic assessment of compound coastal flooding. The stochastic climate emulator TESLA is employed to generate synthetic time series of oceanographic and hydrologic conditions, incorporating meteorologic-oceanographic drivers such as sea-level anomalies, tropical cyclones, storm surge, tides, wind-waves, and precipitation. These time series are downscaled using a hybrid statistical-numerical framework that integrates surrogate models of high-fidelity hydrodynamic simulators (e.g., Delft3D, SWAN, SWASH, SFINCS). The framework is applied to southern O’ahu, Hawai’i, to simulate flood exposure under present climate as well as various sea-level rise scenarios and climate projections. The framework is designed to support decision-making processes by facilitating the participatory development of dynamic adaptation pathways. By allowing for rapid evaluation of flood risks, the approach provides valuable insights for building resilient adaptation strategies for vulnerable coastal communities.

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USGS2026

Spatial and temporal geochemical variations of lava flows and tephra deposits from the December 2020 to September 2024 eruptions of Kīlauea volcano

Kīlauea volcano underwent dramatic morphological changes in 2018. That year recorded the end of the 35-year-long eruption of Puʻuʻōʻō (1983–2018) and 10-year-long (2008–2018) Halemaʻumaʻu lava lake and emplacement of the ~4-month-long lower East Rift Zone lava flows that coincided with ~500 m of summit caldera collapse. Starting on December 20, 2020, eruptions resumed at Kīlauea’s summit. There were five summit eruptions between December 2020 and September 2023, which ranged in duration from more than a year to as short as a week. Following these summit eruptions, seismicity and deformation increased in the upper Southwest Rift Zone in 2024, culminating in a ~8.5-h-long eruption in this region on June 3, 2024. Increased seismicity and deformation then shifted to the upper and middle East Rift Zone and after several months culminated in an eruption just west of, and within, Nāpau Crater in the middle East Rift Zone from September 15 to 20, 2024. Despite vast morphological changes at Kīlauea’s summit, the geochemical compositions (i.e., whole rock and glass) that erupted from December 2020 to September 2023 are all remarkably similar to each other. Whole-rock compositions appear distinct from the preceding 2008–2018 Halemaʻumaʻu lava lake and phase 3 (i.e., summit or uprift-derived mafic lavas) of the 2018 lower East Rift Zone lava flows, although glass compositions appear to have more overlap with 2018 lower East Rift Zone glasses. The June 3, 2024, upper Southwest Rift Zone spatter and lava flows exhibit a dramatic enrichment in whole-rock MgO that is not recorded in glass, which reflects accumulation of olivine (e.g., antecrysts or xenocrysts) during dike emplacement, and is consistent with the abundance of olivine in the lava flows (5–10%). June 2024 Southwest Rift Zone whole-rock and glass compositions overlap with those erupted at the summit from December 2020 to September 2023, whereas some whole-rock trace (i.e., Sc, Sr, and Zr) and major elements (i.e., CaO) are suggestive of mixing with a magmatic component that had fractionated plagioclase and pyroxene and/or a new parental magma influencing the summit reservoir system. The September 15–20, 2024, eruption at Nāpau Crater in the middle East Rift Zone involved the most differentiated magma since eruptive activity resumed in December 2020, with its magma fractionating olivine + plagioclase + pyroxene. The September 15–20, 2024, composition resembles Puʻuʻōʻō lava flows that erupted in, or near, Nāpau Crater in 1983 (episode 1), 1997 (episode 54), and 2011 (episode 59), with episode 59 having a compositional cluster that is most similar to that of the September 2024 lava flows. The data presented and provided herein open new research perspectives for long-term analyses of geochemical variations following caldera collapse at Kīlauea volcano and facilitate comparisons with other basaltic caldera systems worldwide.

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USGS2026

Small-volume tephra deposits of the May 1924 explosions from Halemaʻumaʻu, Kīlauea volcano, and their origin

More than 50 explosive eruptions occurred from Halemaʻumaʻu at Kīlauea volcano over 17 days from May 11 to 27, 1924. Ballistics weighing as much as 14,000 kg were ejected and most landed within 2 km of the vent. Fine ash made up a major component of the tephra and was dispersed tens of kilometers downwind. Draining of the Halemaʻumaʻu lava lake occurred in late February 1924, with the crater floor eventually subsiding by a further ∼70 m (to ∼180 m below the crater rim) by the time the first explosions took place during the night of May 10–11. The largest explosions occurred on May 17–18 and smaller explosions continued until May 27, at which point Halemaʻumaʻu had more than doubled in width and depth. The explosions generated plumes reaching up to ∼10 km high with ballistics ejected up to 2 km from the crater. Almost 100 years later, we investigate and characterize the preserved tephra deposits within ∼3 km of the 1924 crater rim. Grain size and shape analyses were performed on 202 samples collected from 34 tephra profiles using dynamic image analysis, with a subset of layers from nine tephra profiles used for componentry (200 grains per layer in the 0.5–1 mm size fraction). Additionally, we characterize the average diameters (using the five largest clasts) at 216 locations and measure the average diameters of 2291 ballistics (largest per ∼100 m 2 area). Physical descriptions from fieldwork and grain size distributions were used to subdivide the tephra layers into five lithofacies: coarse homogeneous, fine homogenous, red ash, accretionary lapilli-bearing, and finely laminated. Grain size versus shape data show a range of values that demonstrate most grains are dense, smooth, and equant, in alignment with lithic clasts dominating the tephra componentry. The fine grained and accretionary lapilli-bearing nature of some of these lithofacies confirms that water influenced the style of the explosions. However, we also note juvenile clasts within many of the tephra layers, indicating that many of the layers were formed during phreatomagmatic explosions (sensu stricto), despite the eruptive mechanism being dominantly phreatic. Juvenile clasts are more abundant higher in the tephra profiles, suggesting that juvenile magma was more involved later in the explosive sequence. Thermal and hydrologic modeling indicate that groundwater inflow into a short-lived, small-diameter volcanic conduit (10-m to 120-m-diameter used for modeling) during the 78–85 days preceding the first explosion provides a physically plausible mechanism for this eruptive sequence.

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USGS2026

Detecting volcanic deformation in Hawaii using trustworthy multimodal deep learning techniques

Monitoring volcanoes involves a variety of data sources and methods to maintain complete continuity of coverage. Global navigation satellite system (GNSS) and interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) are commonly used complementary methods to assess the deformation state of a volcano as magma migrates beneath the surface. The amount of data these methods produce, however, is growing rapidly beyond human analysis capabilities and is becoming difficult to manage. Here, we create a novel multimodal deep learning framework to ingest InSAR and GNSS data simultaneously and classify the deformation state of the system. We apply this methodology to Mauna Loa, Hawai‘i given its wealth of InSAR and GNSS data as well as its propensity to deform on multiple timescales. Our model performs with high accuracy and is able to identify both slow and fast deformation from 2015 to 2023. The multimodal nature of our model also allows us to identify the presence of atmospheric noise in InSAR data. Furthermore, we employ explainability algorithms to show that our model is making decisions for the right reasons and to connect complex black-box machine learning mappings to current real-world geodetic interpretations of the Mauna Loa magmatic system.

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USGS2026

Flow ecology of invasive suckermouth catfish in urbanized ridge-to-reef systems on O’ahu, Hawai’i

Introduction: The effects of flow regimes on the ability of invasive species to establish and maintain populations in the ridge to reef (R2R) systems common to oceanic islands is not well understood. The hydrology of the relatively short, high-gradient, and flashy R2R streams of oceanic islands may be extremely different from that of the continental watersheds invasive species originate from and thus may exert a stronger influence on their ecology. Our objective was to evaluate the effects of annual variability in flow conditions on the growth and recruitment of invasive armored Suckermouth Catfish Hypostomus c.f. watwata in Hawaiian streams. Methods: Suckermouth Catfish were captured from three streams of the Ala Wai Watershed on O’ahu. We then measured, weighed, and extracted the lapilli from each fish. We used back-calculated lengths at age to estimate the effects of interannual variability in flow on growth and recruitment. Results: Individuals ranged from 0–16 years old and grew rapidly in their first 3 years after which growth slowed substantially. The growth of Suckermouth Catfish was positively influenced by flow conditions indicative of wetter years and more stable flow and negatively influenced by flow conditions indicative of drier years and more variable flows. However, the specific annual flow metrics most strongly influencing growth varied by stream. Similarly, recruitment was positively influenced by higher winter flows with lower daily variability. Discussion: The observed effects of flow on Suckermouth Catfish growth and recruitment suggests that they are not particularly well suited for the flow conditions characteristic to R2R systems and that anthropogenic alterations to the hydrology and physical in-stream habitats may have enabled the species to be more successful on O’ahu than it would have been otherwise.

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USGS2026

Experimental translocation of a rare Hawaiian tree reveals disparity between remnant and potential habitat

Translocation is implemented worldwide as a conservation strategy for rare and endangered plant species, yet the factors that influence long-term success remain poorly understood. Remnant wild populations are often used as indicators to model habitat preference and select translocation sites, but such populations may be refugia from past biological or anthropogenic stressors and represent sub-optimal habitat conditions for focal taxa. To test assumptions about habitat preferences of rare species, we conducted a four-year experimental translocation of the Critically Endangered Hawaiian tree, ‘ohe mauka, Polyscias bisattenuata (Araliaceae), planting 3,700 saplings across eleven sites spanning diverse environmental conditions both within and beyond the species’ extant range. We measured seventeen predictor variables at the site and individual plant level in categories of climate, surrounding vegetation, soil chemistry, and genetic provenance. We used linear mixed effects models to assess relative effects of predictors on translocated plant survival, growth, and vigor. The factors which influenced plant performance shifted across ontogeny. The height of surrounding vegetation showed an initial negative relationship with two-year survival, but later showed a positive relationship with four-year growth. Four-year growth demonstrated a strong positive relationship with site annual mean temperature. Successful translocation sites were lower in elevation and warmer in temperature than conditions represented by remnant wild populations. Results demonstrate that basing translocation sites solely on limited extant wild occurrences can lead to suboptimal restoration practices, and experimental outplanting across broad conditions may help identify rare species' contemporary habitat preferences.

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USGS2026

Day-roost use by ‘ōpe‘ape‘a, the Hawaiian hoary bat (Lasiurus semotus)

The ‘ōpe‘ape‘a, also known as the Hawaiian hoary bat ( Lasiurus semotus ; family Vespertilionidae), is a solitary, insectivorous, foliage-roosting endemic species. Over a three-year period, we investigated day-roost lability and fidelity of 35 bats at 52 roosts (for a total of 544 days of observation), and roost emergence and return patterns of 46 bats at 50 roosts (for a total of 277 days of observation). ‘Ōpe‘ape‘a exhibited low roost lability, typically using few roosts and switching roosts infrequently. Juveniles and reproductive females exhibited particularly low lability, whereas non-reproductive adults, especially males, displayed higher lability. Roost fidelity was generally high, with most bats consistently returning to the same roost or set of roosts. We also evaluated long-term use of roosts at 20 trees from 2019 to 2022. Six roost trees were used over a span of at least 180 days, and of these, three were used by multiple individuals that included maternity groups. We documented a maternity ‘cluster’ composed of multiple neighboring roosts used by different mother-pup groups and solitary bats during the same reproductive season. Measures of day-roost emergence times, nocturnal period spent at roosts, and number of nighttime departures showed high variability, were not significantly different among sex or reproductive groups and exhibited no seasonal trends. The study demonstrated that ‘ōpe‘ape‘a generally remain at the same day-roost for extended periods, unlike other tree-dwelling species, particularly lasiurines. The findings also suggest that individuals may prioritize familiar roosts and home range resources over exploring new roosts, potentially due to the permanence of suitable foliage roosts and predator avoidance strategies.

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USGS2026

Rupture into slow-slip fault regime during the 2018 Mw 6.9 Island of Hawaiʻi earthquake is followed by modest postseismic slip

On 4 May 2018, a M w 6.9 earthquake occurred on the south flank of Kīlauea, in the midst of an historic event that included a voluminous eruption from Kīlauea’s lower East Rift zone and caldera collapse at its summit. The earthquake was a consequence of both short‐ and long‐term stress buildup due to magmatic activity associated with the eruption and steady flank motion, respectively, and it revealed features of Kīlauea’s décollement fault that can inform understanding of future earthquake activity. We used geodetic data to determine the distributions of slip during the coseismic and postseismic periods and compared these with areas of known fault slip during past earthquakes and slow‐slip events (SSEs). The 2018 earthquake ruptured into an area of the décollement fault that was active during quasi‐regular SSEs that occurred in the two decades prior to 2018 but that have not been observed since. The coseismic slip model indicates that the amount of motion on the décollement fault was several times greater than what typically occurred during SSEs, suggesting that it may take decades for the fault to rebuild stress to the point at which SSEs will occur again. Postseismic afterslip also occurred in an area of the fault known to experience slow slip; however, unlike at other creeping faults, postseismic afterslip was rapid, being largely over within 2–3 days. The rapid nature and small magnitude of the postseismic afterslip may be due to the lack of a viscoelastic relaxation component, which is possibly a result of the shallow dip of the décollement fault not transferring stress efficiently into the lower crust.

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USGS2026

Hakalau’s moving castle: How climate change and restoration are shifting an island fortress for forest birds

Hakalau Forest Unit of the Big Island National Wildlife Refuge Complex (hereafter, Hakalau) protects the largest area with the highest endemic forest bird diversity in Hawaiʻi, including four federally listed species. Hakalau’s higher elevation montane forest provides refuge from avian malaria ( Plasmodium relictum ), a primary driver of Hawaiian honeycreeper extinctions. However, recent declines in Hakalau’s birds at lower elevations could indicate that conditions have become suitable for disease vector Culex quinquefasciatus . We evaluated the statuses of Hakalau’s bird populations in the context of recent climatic changes using new survey data from point-transect distance sampling, producing abundance estimates from 1999 to 2024. We stratified our analysis across four elevation ranges (<1500 m, 1500–1700 m, 1700–1900 m, and >1900 m) and assessed trends for each species using state-space models (SSMs). We constrained population trajectories to be biologically realistic by incorporating population dynamic models within the SSMs. We observed highly species-specific abundance trends below 1500 m, predominantly stable to upward trends within 1500–1700 m, stable trends within 1700–1900 m, and upward trends above 1900 m. Declines in Hawaiʻi ʻamakihi ( Chlorodrepanis v. virens ) and endangered ʻakiapōlāʻau ( Hemignathus wilsoni ) abundance coincided with lengthening warm seasonal temperatures indicative of shrinking disease-free habitat below 1700 m. Above 1900 m, however, increases in nearly all species indicate that reforestation has likely restored disease-free habitat since 1999. While most species were stable to increasing overall, surveillance for mosquitoes and disease at lower elevations, documenting changes in habitat, and continuing bird population monitoring can help to gauge their long-term persistence at Hakalau.

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USGS2026

Magmatic source of the opening phase of Kīlauea’s 2018 Lower East Rift Zone eruption

The 2018 eruption of Kīlauea volcano in its Lower East Rift Zone began with the discharge of evolved high-Ti basalt as weak lava fountains and short, slow-moving lava flows. The lavas were quickly geochemically recognized as being derived from magmas stored within the rift zone and remobilized by a new intrusion, a sequence that is common at Kīlauea. This initial phase of the 2018 eruption, referred to as phase 1a, lasted for 6 days and was followed by extrusion of mixed magma after a 3-day pause. Even though remobilization of older rift zone magmas is common within Kīlauea’s rift zones, it is difficult to determine which past intrusion(s) may have initially emplaced those stored magmas. This difficulty stems from the tendency for Kīlauea magmas to follow very similar differentiation paths without significant variations in major, minor, or even trace element chemistry. We investigate possible magma sources for the lavas erupted during phase 1a of the 2018 eruption using whole-rock, mineral, and glass major and trace element compositions from historical East Rift Zone eruptions with adjacent fissures. We consider two primary hypotheses for the phase 1a source: magmas associated with the 1955 Lower East Rift Zone eruption or the nine eruptions in the Middle and Upper East Rift Zone during the 1960s. Our results suggest that magma associated with the earliest phases of Kīlauea’s 1955 eruption was the most likely source of the 2018 phase 1a remobilized magma. We determine volatile saturation pressures from melt inclusion chemistry and find similar storage depths for the 2018 phase 1a and early 1955 magmas. The phase 1a and early 1955 lavas are nearly indistinguishable in all of the compositional criteria considered, implying that the leftover 1955 magma body barely cooled and differentiated in the 63 years between eruptions (cooling rates of ~0.1 °C/year). This study sheds light on the potential for protracted storage of eruptible magmas in rift zones at Kīlauea, and highlights some of the challenges and solutions to identifying genetic relationships between magmas at Kīlauea.

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USGS2026

Improved abundance trajectories with Bayesian population dynamics model: Case study with a Hawaiian honeycreeper

Many wildlife monitoring programmes collect annual data on population abundance. The resulting abundance estimates fluctuate over time partly because of true population change and partly because of observation error. These two components of variation can be separated by fitting the estimates to a population dynamics model within a Bayesian state-space modelling framework. By constraining the population trajectory to be biologically realistic, more precise estimates can be obtained. Independent biological knowledge can be incorporated through choice of model structure and by specifying informative prior distributions on demographic parameters. We illustrate the approach using a 31-year point transect study of the Hawai’i ’ākepa ( Loxops coccineus ). We fitted five models, each making different assumptions about how population change, recruitment and/or adult survival varied over time. Overall, the ’ākepa geometric mean growth rate was 1.02, indicating an increasing population over the 31-year time series, although there were periods of slow decline potentially associated with low recruitment and more rapid recovery associated with pulses of high recruitment. Abundance estimates derived from the population models were substantially more precise than the ‘raw’ point transect estimates: 95% credible interval (CrI) was on average 51.7% (s.d. = 14.1%) narrower.

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USGS2026

Inventory of bat activity at Pearl Harbor National Memorial to inform historic preservation and compliance

We examined ‘ōpe‘ape‘a, or Hawaiian hoary bat ( Lasiurus semotus ; Chiroptera: Vespertilionidae), acoustic activity and surveyed potential roost trees at the Ford Island Chief Petty Officer’s (CPO) Bungalows Neighborhood of Pearl Harbor National Memorial (PERL) on the island of O‘ahu. We established four acoustic monitoring stations (PERL1–PERL4) that operated nightly to survey for ‘ōpe‘ape‘a echolocation activity from June to December 2024. Tree physiognomy data were collected at 12 potential roost trees and included tree species, tree height, diameter at breast height (DBH), percent canopy cover, distance to nearest tree, elevation, and canopy geometry. We collected 357,802 acoustic files over 672 station-nights across the four acoustic monitoring stations. ‘Ōpe‘ape‘a echolocation activity was detected over a total of 26 (4%) station-nights and during each month of the survey period except June. Echolocation activity peaked in September and October 2024, which is during the post-lactation and fledging period. These results represent a baseline for assessing ‘ōpe‘ape‘a acoustic activity and potential roosting resources in PERL.

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USGS2026

HyFlood: A surrogate-model-based framework for compound coastal flooding

Compound coastal flooding is a major threat to low-lying coastal regions and is expected to intensify under future climate change projections. However, modeling the joint interaction of waves, storm surge, tides, and rainfall remains computationally demanding, limiting the development of fast and reliable forecast tools. Here we present HyFlood, a hybrid statistical-numerical downscaling framework capable of computing and mapping high-resolution compound flood hazards while substantially reducing the computational cost compared with fully process-based hydrodynamic modeling. HyFlood combines statistical sampling and selection algorithms with a cascade of reduced-complexity surrogate models that emulate nearshore wave transformation, surf-zone hydrodynamics, and coastal, fluvial, and pluvial flooding. The surrogate models employ machine-learning and regression algorithms applied to a low-dimensional representation of the flooding outputs, obtained through statistical dimensionality reduction. The framework is demonstrated in southern O'ahu, Hawai'i, a region exposed to elevated sea levels driven by tides, waves, and storm surge along with frequent precipitation-driven flash flooding. Validation of the surrogates against the physics-based model outputs demonstrates that HyFlood accurately reproduces daily maxima of spatially distributed flooding depths. This hybrid approach offers a scalable and efficient tool to better quantify how changes in flooding drivers translate into hazard and impact assessments, and to support compound-flood risk assessments and climate-change adaptation planning.

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USGS2026

Comprehensive characterization of Mauna Loa basalt rheology based on the 2022 eruption

Rheological data are crucial for the understanding of storage, transport, eruption, and emplacement of magma and lava. While viscosity estimates for lavas from Mauna Loa, the largest active volcano on Earth, exist, no direct rheological measurements have been done to date. This is especially surprising given the role Mauna Loa lavas and resulting landforms play in the interpretation of volcanic processes across our solar system and beyond. We present the first complete rheological characterization of Mauna Loa lava, based on the 2022 eruption. We constrain the melt viscosity and map the lava's rheology during crystallization at isothermal subliquidus conditions and at cooling at rates between 0.25 and 3.00 °C/minute. These experiments were performed at oxygen fugacities relevant to storage and eruption conditions at Mauna Loa (log fO 2 = -8.7). We integrate textural and thermal characteristics obtained from the experiments with those from water quenched natural samples (i.e. sampled from actively flowing lava and quenched within seconds to preserve the textural state of the lava while flowing) to reconstruct the evolution of lava rheology during emplacement. This integration suggests that the Mauna Loa lavas were emplaced at viscosities between 10 1.5 to 10 4.5 Pa s over the temperature range of 1150 – 1090 °C before entering a region of rapid viscosity increase and effective solidification caused by groundmass crystallization. We provide a detailed comparison of our data to rheological reconstructions of the 1984 eruption. The resulting rheological map can help guide physical property-based magma ascent and lava emplacement models, as well as the interpretation of flow morphologies and the conditions of formation of basaltic landforms on other planets.

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USGS2026

Mineral chemistry perspective on remobilization of stored magma at Kamakai'a Hills, Southwest Rift Zone of Kilauea, Island of Hawai'i, USA

Differentiated magmas stored in the rift zones of Kīlauea have received more attention in recent years following eruption of andesite during the early phase of 2018 lower East Rift Zone activity. Despite this growing interest, some of the most voluminous eruptions of differentiated rift zone magmas remain poorly studied. One such eruption, and the most voluminous exposed differentiated flow field at Kīlauea, is the Kamakaiʻa Hills. This eruption took place in the Southwest Rift Zone of Kīlauea, a region that is hypothesized to contain a long-lived rift zone reservoir. The Kamakaiʻa Hills flow field encompasses >250 × 10 6 m 3 of basaltic andesite and basalt compositions with a mineral assemblage of orthopyroxene + clinopyroxene + plagioclase during its early ʻaʻā phase and clinopyroxene + plagioclase + olivine during its late pāhoehoe phase. To better understand storage conditions and magma accumulation, this study focuses on major, minor, and trace elements from the mineral assemblage present within the early ʻaʻā and late pāhoehoe phases. The diversity of clinopyroxene and plagioclase compositions within the early ʻaʻā and late pāhoehoe phases, as well as diverse compositions of plagioclase and orthopyroxene within the early ʻaʻā phase, suggest multiple magma bodies and limited pre-eruption magma mixing within the broader Kamakaiʻa Hills reservoir. Oscillatory zoning patterns (particularly in clinopyroxene) imply processes such as recharge events, magma mixing or mingling, or convection within a differentially cooling, chemically stratified reservoir over protracted time intervals, whereas only limited resorbed mineral textures indicate incomplete mixing of heat and chemically distinct magmas during the dike intrusion that triggered the eruption. Mineral-mineral and mineral-melt thermobarometry indicate predominantly shallow (≤2.5 km depth) crustal storage conditions of the cooled, differentiated magma (∼1100 °C and cooler for the basaltic andesites) to hotter temperatures for the basalts (all >1100 °C). Despite the known large standard errors estimated for mineral-melt and mineral-mineral barometry (10s to >100 MPa), the calculated pressures and depths broadly correspond with earthquake swarm depths beneath the Kamakaiʻa Hills, and drill core and fluid inclusion barometry storage depths of differentiated magmas within the lower East Rift Zone. The Kamakaiʻa Hills differentiated magmas have H 2 O contents (∼0.5 wt%, using plagioclase-melt hygrometry) equivalent to typical Kīlauea basalts. Our data and interpretations demonstrate a complex, long-lived rift zone storage system that consisted of multiple magma bodies and was mobilized into eruption through intrusion of a hotter and more primitive summit-derived (uprift) magma.

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