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USGS—An Unparalleled Scientific Asset
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) delivers information critical to powering our economy, managing our natural resources, and keeping Americans safe and healthy. 1 Mapping the Nation $21B Geologic maps save users an estimated 15% in annual costs: a value of between $14B and $21B. $25.6B in annual value to users of imagery from Landsat satellites, which were codeveloped by NASA and the USGS and operated through their lifespans by the USGS. $13.5B in annual benefits is generated by the USGS's 3D Elevation Program. Securing America’s Energy Independence 44% USGS-identified undiscovered geothermal energy is equal to 44% of current U.S. electricity generation. 29.4B barrels of oil and 391.6 trillion cubic feet of gas in recoverable resources are available on U.S. public lands based on USGS assessments. Protecting Americans’ Health and Safety $424B in recent wildland fire damages highlight the need for USGS fire science, which supports efforts to protect communities and reduce risk. USGS earthquake, volcano, landslide, and coastal hazard monitoring and information save lives and minimize costs; for example, $2.8M can be saved because of USGS enhanced information about a Mauna Loa eruption. $4.5B is the estimated cost of annual flooding. Through a network of over 11,885 streamgages, the USGS supports public safety and enables forecasts, early warning systems, and management actions that protect lives and property. Supporting National Security $3.1B The USGS identified a $3.1B risk to the American economy if China restricts gallium imports. This is one example underscoring the importance of the USGS mapping critical minerals, investigating supply chains, and producing the Nation’s critical minerals list. Enhancing Our Lands and Waters $21B in estimated annual costs results from invasive species. The USGS’s invasive species research informs approaches used to reduce their effects on agriculture, water infrastructure, disease transmission, fisheries, and outdoor recreation. USGS innovations support early warnings for harmful algal blooms—over $2M in yearly benefits are provided to Kansas alone. $45B USGS science informs the management of big game (such as deer and elk). The big-game hunting industry contributes $45B to the U.S. economy. Fostering American Prosperity $4.1T Mineral commodities are necessary for the $4.1T in value added to the GDP by major industries that consume processed mineral materials and employ 1 million workers. Because of this, USGS data on mineral supply, demand, and trade are highly valued. 45,000 metric tons Rare earths power the growing technology economy, including cell phones, electric vehicles, and medical devices. For over 70 years, USGS work has supported the discovery of rare earth resources in California’s Mountain Pass area, which produced 45,000 metric tons of rare earth concentrates in 2024—over 11% of the global supply. Guarding American Food Security $70.2B USGS science informs early warning systems and management strategies to mitigate disease outbreaks in agriculture—critical research on highly pathogenic avian influenza, for example, helps safeguard the $70B value in poultry and egg production. $11.8B USGS groundwater tools are vital for agriculture; for example, in the Mississippi Alluvial Plain, 65% of farming relies on groundwater to support its $11.8B annual industry. 1 Values throughout are given in billions (B), millions (M), and trillions (T) of U.S. dollars. GDP is “Gross Domestic Product.” Percentages are shown as %.
Rapid structured decision making for Hypomesus transpacificus (delta smelt) summer–fall freshwater outflow management
Managers of the Central Valley Project (CVP) and State Water Projects (SWP) in California are confronted with difficult tradeoffs between water uses and associated values affected by water management decisions. These decisions involve altering the timing and magnitude of water releases from dams and reservoirs, which can affect habitats for economically important and Federally and State-listed endangered fish species, water deliveries for agriculture or municipalities, and water quality. In this report, we describe the results of a rapid structured decision-making process used to assist management agencies in evaluating tradeoffs while gathering input from cooperating agencies, rightsholders, or interested parties (hereafter participants) through facilitated workshops in spring 2025. Consideration of alternative water management actions was initiated by the continued decline of Hypomesus transpacificus (delta smelt) populations and the issuance of a new biological opinion for the CVP and SWP long-term operations on the effects on delta smelt and other Endangered Species Act-listed species in November 2024. An Executive Order was also issued in January 2025, directing the Bureau of Reclamation to maximize water deliveries. Participants, led by the U.S. Geological Survey and cooperating agencies, identified 8 fundamental values (hereafter objectives) and 11 alternative water management scenarios (or “alternative management actions” based on the PrOACT model). Using multicriteria decision analysis, we evaluated performance (or “consequences” based on a consequence table analysis) and analyzed tradeoffs of alternative water management actions to the fundamental objectives. We ranked the alternative water management actions based on four participants’ objective weights and composite utility scores calculated using a linear value function. The three highest ranking alternative water management actions had the poorest performance for delta smelt but performed best for CVP and SWP water exports and objectives related to coldwater pool operations for salmonids. An optimum strategy that could prevent the extinction of delta smelt was not determined for this study. However, insights gained from our rapid decision analysis suggested nonflow scenarios could benefit the delta smelt population, including in drier years, and could be considered to avoid curtailment of water exports.
Rice cultivation supports growth and survival of a threatened semi-aquatic reptile
Integration of agroecosystems and other working landscapes with protected lands and waters is critical to the conservation of Earth's biodiversity. Rice agroecosystems support many species by providing aquatic habitat where natural wetlands have been altered or drained. In regions with long dry seasons, rice fields and associated irrigation canals provide essential habitat for wetland-dependent species. We quantified the spatial scale and magnitude of the effect of rice growing on the growth and survival of the giant gartersnake ( Thamnophis gigas ), a threatened species that persists primarily in areas of rice agriculture in the Central Valley of California, USA. We used structural causal models to identify drought condition as a key confounder to adjust for when estimating the total effect of rice growing on demographic rates. We analyzed capture-mark-recapture data from 19 populations of giant gartersnakes with an integrated growth–survival model and used distance-weighted covariates to account for the decline in influence of rice with increasing distance from our study sites. We found strong support for a positive effect of rice grown within 1.9 km of a canal on giant gartersnake growth. There was also support for a positive effect of rice on giant gartersnake survival, although the spatial scale extended out to 5 km or more. Our results demonstrate how active rice growing benefits giant gartersnakes inhabiting irrigation canals and demonstrate an approach for studying landscape effects on wildlife in agroecosystems.
Persistent deep long-period seismicity near the Lassen Volcanic Center
Deep long-period (DLP) earthquakes have been observed at many volcanic settings around the world and linked to the magmatic processes that drive volcanic unrest. At the Lassen Volcanic Center (LVC) of the Cascade arc, limited detection of DLP activity hinders classification of anomalous seismic behavior and its relationship to the LVC magmatic system. This study uses a template matching approach with seismic data from temporary nodal and permanent stations to detect and locate DLP earthquakes near the LVC between 2017 and 2024. Within the DLP catalog of 611 events, a transition occurs from scattered (2017–2020) to oscillatory (2021–2024) occurrence rates. During the oscillatory period, regional earthquakes with large amplitude velocity waveforms observed near the LVC are associated with abrupt changes in DLP occurrence rates. Continued monitoring of DLP activity has the potential to better define the processes that drive volcanic unrest at the LVC in the future.
Predicting niche spaces of expanding Evening Bat (Nycticeius humeralis) populations following white-nose syndrome establishment
Observations of the Evening Bat ( Nycticeius humeralis ), a species historically distributed abundantly throughout the southeastern United States, are speculated to have increased in the Midwest. One hypothesis for this expansion in geographic distribution is that local extirpations of other bat species resulted in the expanded realized niche spaces for evening bats. In Indiana, such niche spaces may have been created by declines in populations of the Northern Long-eared Bat ( Myotis septentrionalis ), Indiana Bat ( M. sodalis ), Little Brown Bat ( M. lucifugus ), Big Brown Bat ( Eptesicus fuscus ), and the Tri-colored Bat ( Perimyotis subflavus ) due to white-nose syndrome (WNS). Our goal was to estimate the occupancy of Evening Bat in Indiana post-WNS establishment relative to the occupancy of other bat species before significant population declines caused by WNS. We expected that indices of occupancy of nearly extirpated species pre-WNS establishment would best predict current Evening Bat observations, and this would elucidate the niche space evening bats are now filling. We hypothesized that Evening Bat populations may be expanding their geographic range due to compensatory community dynamics, and that their realized niche space may be expanding in part due to losses of other bat species from WNS. We constructed multi-season Bayesian occupancy models using informative priors and integrative prior knowledge to test our predictions. We found that evening bats are occupying the niche space they were already occupying pre-WNS establishment. Furthermore, our results indicate that evening bats may be filling the niche space left behind by Myotis spp. ( M. sodalis and M. lucifigus ). These results can help us understand the dynamics of bat communities in a post-WNS establishment landscape and may also help to inform conservation of imperiled Myotis species.
Harmonization of a water withdrawal dataset for the conterminous United States
The U.S. Geological Survey is developing nationally consistent water-use modeling approaches to replace previous methods relying on locally specific reported and estimated data. These national assessments require datasets that incorporate water withdrawal variability across the United States and over long periods. However, source data often have unclear definitions, missing or varied units, differing temporal resolutions, varied data quality, and inconsistent formats, which hinder automation and require individualized processing. The public-supply datasets described in this paper were used in machine learning models to estimate annual and monthly public-supply water use for 2000–2020 for the conterminous United States (CONUS) and in a model to estimate public-supply deliveries. Public-supply withdrawal data were acquired for the CONUS and the District of Columbia; however, 11 states had annual data for only 1 year, and 10 states had no monthly data. Annual withdrawal data were acquired for 81% of public-supply water service areas, and monthly withdrawal data were acquired for 47% for at least 1 year from 2000 to 2020. These datasets and methods provide the most comprehensive collection of reported public-supply withdrawals to date and can be used by water-use managers, the scientific community, and the broader public. The extensive data processing described herein can be applicable to datasets representing other categories of water use.
Flooded wetland availability for breeding waterfowl in a Mediterranean climate: Mapping 38 years of historical data in Suisun Marsh, California
Most managed wetlands in California are ephemeral and are purposefully flooded during the fall and winter for over-wintering waterfowl and are dry during the spring and summer waterfowl breeding season. Only semi-permanent and permanent wetlands remain flooded through the critical summer brood-rearing period for ducklings. We examined flooded wetland availability for breeding waterfowl in the brackish Suisun Marsh (California, USA) annually during the spring (April 27–May 17, during peak nesting) and summer (June 17–July 7, during peak duckling brood rearing), for a 38-year period using Landsat satellite imagery and spectral mixture analysis. Flooded wetland area increased 43% in spring and 48% in summer from 1984 to 2021 but varied among years (spring: 37.6–88.6 km 2 ; summer: 17.7–57.5 km 2 ). This increase in flooded wetland area over the past four decades was due to just a few sites, with only 24% (spring) and 15% (summer) of the 198 land-owner parcels increasing in flooded area. Flooded wetland area in the spring was unrelated to annual precipitation between October and April (range: 25–104 cm) or spring precipitation between January and April (range: 8-65 cm), whereas flooded wetland area in the summer was weakly correlated to both annual and spring precipitation. Flooded wetland area in spring and summer was also weakly correlated with the median daily outflow from the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta between March 15 and June 15, which corresponds to a critical period of wetland water management for breeding waterfowl. Our results indicate that spring and summer flooded wetland habitat for breeding waterfowl has slightly increased over the past four decades, varies annually, and is mostly dependent on local wetland management practices rather than on precipitation or Delta outflows. Managing habitats as semi-permanent wetlands would increase flooded wetland habitat in the spring and summer and provide habitat for nesting hens and ducklings.
Effects of flow on pesticides in water and zooplankton in the northern Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta
Zooplankton are a key food source for juvenile fishes in estuaries worldwide, including California’s Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (hereafter Delta); both zooplankton quality and quantity are critical to ecosystem health. Zooplankton may be affected by pesticides in water and the food web, and the Delta is known to contain complex pesticide mixtures. In this study, we evaluated pesticide concentrations in water and zooplankton in the northern Delta during (1) the summer–fall of 2017, 2018, and 2019, which included periods of augmented pulse flows from agriculture tailwater, and (2) across a full seasonal cycle from May 2019 to March 2020. We quantified changes in pesticide concentration in response to environmental factors. We found that zooplankton showed more frequent detections of hydrophobic pesticides compared to more frequent detections of hydrophilic compounds in water. Pesticide concentrations were influenced by flow, pesticide application, and season, but the effects of these environmental factors differed by habitat (Sacramento River or Yolo Bypass Toe Drain). Pesticides in water responded similarly to environmental factors in the Sacramento River and Yolo Bypass, whereas pesticides in zooplankton responded differently. In water, we found more detections and higher concentrations at higher flows in the Yolo Bypass and Sacramento River, but responses to pesticide application varied by habitat. Alternatively, pesticide concentrations in zooplankton increased in the Yolo Bypass with increasing flow (correlated with flow pulses) and changed seasonally; whereas, pesticide concentrations in zooplankton in the Sacramento River decreased at higher flows, and decreased with or did not respond to higher pesticide application in the watershed. Our study suggests that augmented flows—particularly those using agricultural tailwater—may have unintended negative ecological effects that could partially offset benefits to the food web and fishes in the northern Delta, underscoring the complex interplay among factors that drive increased pesticide exposure.
Predicting sediment bulk density for San Francisco Estuary
Sediment bulk density (ρ-dry) and particle size are two important parameters for predicting sediment bed erosion. ρ-dry, however, is difficult to measure accurately. The units of ρdry have not been consistently reported in the literature, leading to confusion, particularly in the calculation of sediment budgets that typically require integrating mass-based and volumetric components. Relationships between ρdry and sediment composition have been developed for multiple regions and differ between systems. Developing a system-specific predictive model for ρdry can help fill data gaps and improve sediment budgets, model accuracy, and estimates of quantities of sediment needed for restoration. In this study, we investigate whether ρdry in San Francisco Estuary can be predicted from organic carbon content or percent of fines, which are more easily or frequently measured than ρdry. We compiled sediment properties from samples collected over the past decade throughout the intertidal and subtidal regions of San Francisco Bay and the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta to examine this relationship. Sample composition ranged from 2.18 to 99.97% fines (particles < 0.0625 mm), ρ-dry ranged from 0.22 to 1.60 g cm-3, and organic carbon ranged from 0.06 to 7.98%. Regression analysis indicates that the percent of fines explains 93% of the variation of ρ-dry ( p -value < 0.05, N = 81). The coefficient of determination decreased by ~1% when organic carbon was incorporated in the regression analysis. Comparison of this predictive ρ-dry model to four published models based on samples from other regions supports previous findings that the relationship between ρdry and grain size may vary by system. We also examined additional factors that may affect sediment erodibility, such as hydrographic and oceanographic conditions. Classification of sample sites as intertidal vs. subtidal or wavy vs. non-wavy each significantly explained the residuals from the ρdry model, and both intertidal and wavy conditions were associated with higher ρ-dry values.
Estimating occupancy of focal bee species
Current bee monitoring efforts have a limited capacity for understanding factors affecting wild bee population changes, including the effects of management. To improve the effectiveness of wild bee monitoring, we first discuss principles of biological monitoring and provide a framework to design monitoring projects to estimate species occupancy, where occupancy is defined as the probability that a Sampling Unit or site is occupied by the focal species. Monitoring practitioners should first define the desired goal or question of monitoring and secondly select the appropriate state variable for monitoring ( e.g ., species richness, occupancy, abundance). These represent two critical, yet often overlooked, steps in the development of wild bee monitoring projects. As with all forms of demographic monitoring, practitioners who are interested in estimating species occupancy will need to develop a sampling scheme tailored to meet their monitoring objectives. Defining key sampling terms will provide the architecture of their scheme, including the Area of Interest, Sampling Unit, Season, and Replicate Survey. We also highlight data standards, including core data fields that must be collected during Surveys for bee occupancy data and additional, recommended data fields . We illustrate how these monitoring concepts are being applied to the design of a real-world monitoring project for the federally endangered rusty patched bumble bee ( Bombus affinis Cresson). This framework was developed in association with the U.S. National Native Bee Monitoring Network.
Approximate inland extent of saltwater intrusion at the base of the Biscayne aquifer, Miami-Dade County, Florida, 2022
Miami-Dade County is part of a densely populated urban corridor in southeastern Florida. The Biscayne aquifer serves as Miami-Dade County’s primary drinking water source and is characterized by highly permeable karstic limestone and carbonate sand. The aquifer’s coastal location and permeable nature make it susceptible to saltwater intrusion. Monitoring the current inland extent and the rate of movement of the saltwater front in the aquifer can inform management strategies for conserving the long-term sustainability of the county’s water supply. In the 1950s, the U.S. Geological Survey published a map of the inland extent of saltwater intrusion in the Biscayne aquifer and has continued to update this map to monitor changes over time, with the most recent update published in 2018. An updated map has been created showing the approximate inland extent of saltwater intrusion in the Biscayne aquifer in eastern Miami-Dade County in 2022, with the 2018 extent shown for comparison. The inland extent of saltwater intrusion was mapped through the interpretation of borehole electromagnetic induction logs and measurements of chloride and specific conductance in groundwater samples. The location of the saltwater interface at the base of the Biscayne aquifer was represented by the 1,000-milligram-per-liter isochlor. This report describes changes in the location of the saltwater interface from 2018 to 2022. By 2022, the saltwater interface had moved farther inland in both the northern and southern parts of the county, advancing by as much as 0.3 kilometer in the north and up to 0.8 kilometer in the Model Land Area to the south. However, it remained relatively unchanged from its 2018 position in the east-central part of the county.
Conceptual and numerical groundwater flow model of the Iowa River alluvial aquifer near Tama County, Iowa, 1980 through 2022
The Iowa River alluvial aquifer is an important source of water on the Meskwaki Settlement in Tama County, Iowa, which is land owned by the Sac & Fox Tribe of the Mississippi in Iowa (commonly known as the Meskwaki Nation). The U.S. Geological Survey constructed a groundwater flow model, including a conceptual and numerical model, of the Iowa River alluvial aquifer and underlying hydrogeologic units near the Meskwaki Settlement in Tama County, Iowa, for the period of January 1980–August 2022 to estimate the fraction of water pumped from the Iowa River alluvial aquifer by Meskwaki Settlement wells that is derived from streamflow depletion in the Iowa River and its tributaries. Streamflow depletion is a reduction in streamflow caused by groundwater pumping and includes the interception by groundwater production wells of water that otherwise would have been discharged to streams (called “captured groundwater discharge”) and induced infiltration of streamflow to the production wells. Calibrated model runs were performed with no simulated pumping and simulated pumping only at Meskwaki Settlement wells, and the change in simulated flow rates between the groundwater system and streams for the two model runs represents the amount of streamflow depletion in the Iowa River and tributary streams resulting from pumping at the Meskwaki Settlement wells. Streamflow depletion in the Iowa River and its tributaries as a percentage of simulated pumping at the Meskwaki Settlement wells was calculated by dividing this difference by the total simulated pumping rate for the Meskwaki Settlement wells. The model results demonstrate that the mean monthly streamflow depletion, including induced infiltration and captured discharge, in the Iowa River and its tributary streams as a percentage of mean monthly pumping at the Meskwaki Settlement wells was 97.4 percent and ranged from 65.4 to 112 percent. Of the total streamflow depletion, mean monthly induced recharge was 20.9 percent and ranged from 4.9 to 37.2 percent. Mean monthly captured discharge was 76.5 percent and ranged from 57.1 to 97.1 percent. These results indicate that most of the water pumped from the Meskwaki Settlement wells is the result of streamflow depletion, in the form of both induced infiltration and captured discharge.
Geochemical and hydrological investigations of historical data collected at the Lee Acres Landfill and Giant Bloomfield Refinery, New Mexico, 1985–2020
The Lee Acres Landfill and Giant Bloomfield Refinery are adjacent properties near the City of Farmington, New Mexico, each having undergone monitoring and remediation related to historical site activities. At the landfill, site cleanup has included the installation of a capillary barrier over former liquid waste lagoons and periodic monitoring of groundwater elevations and groundwater quality. At the refinery, remediation has focused on several petrochemical and crude oil release areas and included soil excavation, groundwater treatment, and regular monitoring of groundwater elevations and quality. Groundwater at both sites has higher concentrations of volatile organic compounds and trace metals than background aquifer concentrations. In 2022, the U.S. Geological Survey compiled the Lee Acres-Giant Bloomfield Refinery Database (LAGBRD), which contains publicly available groundwater-elevation data and organic and inorganic groundwater-quality data from both sites, spanning from 1985 to 2020. Data from the LAGBRD and precipitation data from other sources were used to better understand the cause of relatively high manganese concentrations observed in some groundwater wells at the site through comparison of groundwater chemistry to chemical end members, interpretation of spatial and temporal patterns in the groundwater chemistry, and interpretation of groundwater flow properties. In this study, elevated chloride concentrations in groundwater downgradient from the landfill have been attributed to landfill leachate based on the temporal and spatial variability of chloride concentrations and chloride-to-bromide ratios. Installation of a capillary barrier and surface-water runoff controls at the landfill in 2005 appears to have altered infiltration patterns at that site, resulting in a decrease in chloride at some wells but an increase in chloride and dissolved manganese at others. The timing and relation among groundwater elevation, chloride concentration, and manganese concentration suggest that leachate stored in the vadose zone provides a continued source of contamination to groundwater.
Growth of a passive lava lake during the 2020–2021 eruption of Kīlauea volcano, Hawaii
We investigate the growth of a passive lava lake in Halemaʻumaʻu crater during the December 2020 to May 2021 eruption of Kīlauea volcano, Hawaii. Fed by vents above their surfaces, the formation of passive lava lakes in topographic lows is an important process in the growth of basaltic volcanoes. We captured visible and thermal images during 17 helicopter overflights and applied structure-from-motion photogrammetry to create digital elevation models and orthomosaics of Halemaʻumaʻu. These data products allowed us to track eruptive activity and processes. The bulk time-averaged discharge rate (TADR) in December 2020 initially exceeded 100 m 3 s –1 but decreased to < 10 m 3 s –1 within seven days. By February 2021, TADR was < 2 m 3 s –1 and continued to decrease until the eruption ended in May 2021. A total volume of 40.6 ± 0.5 × 10 6 m 3 of lava filled Halemaʻumaʻu to a depth of 225 m. As TADR decreased, the lake progressively developed an immobile, solidified crust, beginning with surfaces farthest from the vent. This immobile surface rose endogenously, whereas exogenous surface rise occurred near the vent. Eruptive activity at a vent ended when the level of the lake surface exceeded that of the vent, which we attribute to the effects of lava sitting above the vent on ascending magma. Regular helicopter overflights, combined with field observations and the extensive monitoring network at Kīlauea, generated an unprecedented density of observations that provide insights into the emplacement of passive lava lakes and how these eruptions wane and end.
Estimates of global surface water dynamics harnessing near real-time land cover observations and open science geospatial capabilities
Spatio-temporal changes to our world’s surface water resources are escalating. Translating how these changes impact communities and ecosystems requires time-varying data of Global Surface Water Extents (GSWE). Traditionally, GSWE mapping has been limited to static estimates, with recent efforts focusing on annual averages, frequency and occurrence of long-term variations. Building upon these foundational capabilities, we harnessed remotely sensed Sentinel-2 based near real-time Dynamic World (DW) land cover products to produce the first-of-its-kind 10 m resolution GSWE dataset representing 2015–2023. Our dataset estimated 2.5 million km 2 of permanent waters and 8 million km 2 of seasonal waters worldwide. Comparing our Sentinel-2 based data to contemporary Landsat-based GSWE, we observed that our data mapped less water within the >50% probability of occurrence range, suggesting a lower presence of open permanent water especially in high latitudes, deviating from what we previously learnt from Landsat data. Statistical analysis compared to well-established observational products and widely used GSWE datasets across some of the world’s most ecologically significant regions, including Pantanal in South America and Haor in South Asia, supports the overall physical realism of our data in predicting global open surface water dynamics. Our key contribution is a prototype Open Science operational framework that extracts routinely available DW products, runs geospatial analytics, and creates actionable water information for educators, researchers, and stakeholders at any scale of practical interest. We present examples of this operational capability through instant mapping of flood in Spain and drought in Lake Urmia, Central Asia, frequent monitoring of river extent changes at the Ganges–Brahmaputra confluence, and above all, interoperability with other existing GSWE applications.
Fitness consequences of parasitism in a changing world: A case study with bird blow flies and sagebrush songbirds
Host–parasite interactions increasingly are influenced by human-induced rapid environmental change (HIREC), and the fitness effects of parasitism may be compounded or exacerbated by host traits and/or exposure to additional extrinsic stressors associated with HIREC. Potential interactions between parasitism and different stressors associated with environmental change, however, remain poorly understood for most systems. We examined how parasitism by bird blow flies ( Trypocalliphora braueri ), ambient weather conditions and habitat disturbance jointly affected offspring traits and juvenile mortality for two declining species of sagebrush songbirds (Brewer's Sparrow, Spizella breweri ; and Sage Thrasher, Oreoscoptes montanus ) in Wyoming, USA. We evaluated two alternative hypotheses: that parasitism could act (i) in an independent and additive manner with temperature and habitat alteration ( Multiple Stressors Hypothesis ) or (ii) synergistically to exacerbate the effects of temperature and habitat alteration ( Parasitism-HIREC Interaction Hypothesis ) on offspring traits and juvenile mortality. We assessed morphometric traits of nestlings and survival of fledglings in relation to parasite loads, temperature and habitat disturbance associated with natural gas development to test these hypotheses. Higher parasite loads and colder temperatures were associated with different effects for nestlings of each host species, reducing tarsus and wing chord length for Brewer's Sparrow and increasing mass for Sage Thrasher. Despite differences in the effect of parasitism on nestling traits, post-fledging mortality risk for both species increased with higher parasite loads. The effects of parasitism and temperature mainly were additive, with limited evidence that weather exacerbated the effects of parasitism. Habitat disturbance had a weak positive effect on nestling tarsus length and post-fledging survival probability for Brewer's Sparrow. Although parasitism rarely results in direct mortality of hosts, parasites can nonetheless exert considerable fitness consequences, especially when combined with extrinsic stressors associated with human-induced environmental changes.
Groundwater salinity: Applying the specific conductance and water type proxy
Groundwater is increasingly needed for water supplies but may have limited utility in some locations because of its salinity. Salinity, often expressed as total dissolved solid (TDS), is frequently estimated using specific conductance (SC) measurements. However, the commonly used proxy (0.65 multiplied by SC to indicate TDS, common in many handheld meters) can result in inaccurate TDS estimates. First, the TDS–SC relationship is not linear over the entire concentration range of groundwater. Furthermore, the TDS (and salinity)–SC relationships vary substantially depending on the major-ion composition. Here we develop a proxy method utilizing SC and major-ion water type to estimate TDS and salinity specifically for groundwaters. Compared to most surface waters, groundwater tends to have a wider range of salinity (fresh to highly saline) and higher concentrations of bedrock-derived solutes such as carbonate ions, silica, and many other ions. The dataset used to develop the proxies includes water chemistry data from 149,059 discrete groundwater samples. The groundwater proxies, which employ nonlinear log–log relations, utilize five water types (HCO 3 , Cl, Ca-Mg-SO 4 , Na-K-SO 4 , and mixed waters), are accurate (median percent difference between TDS and salinity determined using the proxy compared to discrete measurements was <±0.8%) over a wide range of SC (up to 200 mS/cm), rapid, cost-effective, and can be measured on-site.