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Search indexed USGS publications on groundwater, aquifers, geologic maps, mineral resources and earthquakes. Explore source records by subject and place.

At least 865 records · Page 48Linked to original sources

USGS2026

Decadal shifts in groundwater age detected by environmental tracers across California, USA

Groundwater age offers important insight into recharge, storage, and contamination risk. Although models predict age changes can be driven by pumping and climate variability, direct observational evidence remains limited. Here, we analyzed paired environmental tracer suites (tritium, carbon-14, and tritiogenic helium-3) collected a decade apart from 268 wells across California to assess the prevalence of groundwater age transience. Travel-time distribution models and statistical tests indicated age transience at 29% of sites, occurring most often in agricultural regions, such as the San Joaquin Valley and Southern Coast Ranges, where large carbon-14 changes coincided with substantial nitrate and chloride shifts. Sites with tritiogenic helium-3 data showed more frequent age transience, underscoring the value of multi-tracer data sets. These results provide the first regional evidence of widespread groundwater age change and a method for detecting changing water balances with implications for groundwater sustainability and water quality.

California↗

USGS2026

Rapid seismic and infrasound assessment of large landslides: A case study from Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska)

Large, rapid landslides are a global hazard that can occur in remote, mountainous areas. Eyewitness reports of landslides and satellite imagery can often be limited or delayed, particularly during inclement weather. However, landslide-generated seismic and infrasound (low-frequency atmospheric sound) waves can be remotely detected in near real-time. This information can significantly expedite characterization and possible landslide response activities. Here, we highlight these capabilities using a > 4 million m³ ice–rock avalanche in Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska). This event was detected via a landslide-specific seismic location and volume estimation algorithm deployed in Alaska, and — notably — by standard earthquake monitoring systems. Following rapid detection of this event, we combined its seismic and infrasound dataset with optical, synthetic aperture radar, and oblique aerial imagery, multitemporal digital elevation models, and a numerical flow model to reconstruct its failure timeline and dynamics. We apply array processing to infrasound signals traveling > 250 km and find that two precursory events occurred minutes prior to the main failure. We use long-period seismic signals to infer the force exerted by the landslide on the Earth and constrain the rheological parameters of our numerical flow simulation with this result and deposit morphology. The main failure produced a steeply-dipping impulsive initial downward force and reached speeds exceeding 60 m/s. This impulsive force generated relatively strong seismic body waves, which contributed to the earthquake system detection. This large, remote Alaska landslide underscores the key value of seismic and infrasound analysis for rapid landslide assessment and motivates efforts to further operationalize these approaches.

Alaska↗

USGS2026

Development of a SWAT+ model to improve conservation practice efficacy for protecting stream health in karst pasturelands

Placing appropriate conservation practices in critical source areas of pollutants can benefit stream health in karst environments susceptible to agricultural pollution. Watershed models, such as the Soil and Water Assessment Tool+ (SWAT+), can optimize both practice selection and placement across the landscape, but to our knowledge no studies have tested this model in karst pasturelands. Our goal was to understand pollutant dynamics in pasturelands with karst topography in southwest Virginia, United States. We built a SWAT+ model to predict streamflow and pollutant loads for four watersheds. SWAT+ predicted that streamflow estimates were most affected by setting the available water capacity to zero and increasing the hydraulic conductivity of the soil, revealing that water, and associated pollutants, move primarily through subsurface pathways. Predicted sediment yield was negatively associated with agricultural land cover and was strongly influenced by channel erodibility—indicating that the predominant sediment source may be streambanks. Therefore, practices that stabilize stream banks (e.g., fencing cattle out of streams) may be most effective at reducing sediment loads. The model unsatisfactorily predicted total nitrogen and total phosphorus loads. The utility of SWAT+ for cattle grazing operations in karst regions could be improved by more accurately representing the effects of cattle grazing on streambank erosion and the dynamic subsurface movement of pollutants.

Virginia↗

USGS2026

The collective application of shorebird tracking data to conservation

Addressing urgent conservation issues, such as the drastic declines of North American migratory birds, requires creative, evidence-based, efficient, and collaborative approaches. The abundance of over 50% of monitored North American shorebird populations has declined by over 50% since 1980. To address these declines, we developed a partnership of scientists and practitioners called the Shorebird Science and Conservation Collective (hereafter the collective ). The collective was founded to translate the combined findings of shorebird tracking data into on-the-ground conservation action. With advice from an advisory group, the collective acts as an intermediary whereby dedicated staff collate and analyze data contributions from scientists to support knowledge requests from conservation practitioners. In its first three years, data contributions from 75 organizations include over 7.1 million shorebird observations forming movement paths of 3420 individuals representing 36 species tracked across the Americas and have informed 18 conservation projects spanning education, land and species management, land conservation, and policy requests. Others engaged in translational science from big data could consider similar knowledge-sharing models that prioritize usable data products, foster collaborative engagement between science experts and practitioners, build focused communities around topics or taxonomic groups, and employ a proof-of-concept phase to develop scalable solutions while making progress toward long-term funding to sustain impact. As the volume of scientific data continues to grow, intermediaries, such as the collective, can be vital liaisons to rapidly integrate and interpret research to support conservation action. Dedicated to the memory of Shiloh Schulte and his conservation achievements for shorebirds.

Conservation Biology↗

USGS2026

Quantitative microbial risk assessment with microbial source tracking for enteric pathogens in southwest Wisconsin private wells

Private wells supply drinking water for many households, and their contamination by fecal microbes presents a risk of acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI). Risk is thought to vary by contaminating fecal source, but specific associations with fecal source are unknown for most private wells in the United States. This study characterizes AGI risk in Grant, Iowa, and Lafayette counties in southwestern Wisconsin. AGI risk was assessed for 10 viral, bacterial, and protozoan pathogens detected in private wells using quantitative microbial risk assessment. Exposure assessment was based on sampling 138 private wells in the study area, and risk was associated with fecal source by microbial source tracking (MST). Median Monte Carlo estimates indicated 4450 AGI cases/year in the study area associated with drinking water from contaminated private wells (95% confidence interval: 90–37,990). Most annual cases were associated with detection of human MST markers, including median estimates of 2550 associated with only human markers and 880 with human and livestock MST markers detected together. Note that 50 AGI cases/year were associated with detection of only livestock markers, and nearly 1000 cases were estimated to occur in the absence of detectable MST markers. This study characterizes AGI risk for households served by private wells in southwestern Wisconsin. It illustrates that human fecal sources can predominate risk associated with drinking water from private wells, even in a rural region characterized by substantial agricultural activity. MST can characterize the relationship between risk and fecal source; contributions of fecal sources to risk cannot be assumed from land use.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2026

Sources and streambed storage of soft sediment and sediment-bound phosphorus in an agricultural Great Lakes tributary

The East River, an agricultural tributary to the Lower Fox River and Lake Michigan in Wisconsin, USA, has excessive phosphorus (P) and suspended-sediment loads that contribute to downstream eutrophication and habitat-related impairments. Spatial variations and connectivity in the sources and streambed storage of soft, fine-grained (silt and clay) sediment and related sediment-bound P (sed-P) were examined, from first-order ephemeral channels to a downstream water-monitoring station. Analysis included field inventories, a channel corridor sediment and sed-P budget applied to an extended channel network, and geochemical fingerprinting. Corridor inventories included mass wasting along valley sides, eroding streambanks, gullying along perennial and ephemeral channels, and streambed storage volumes in perennial reaches; each converted to masses. Erosion results estimate 7400 Mg/yr of fine-grained sediment, similar to the mean annual suspended sediment load of 5400 Mg/yr. Corridor erosion contributed 7200 kg/yr of sed-P, less than the mean annual particulate-P load of 10,000 kg/yr P. Soft sediment storage was 1400 Mg, with 1500 kg sed-P. Apportionment of soft sediment as streambank sourced was spatially variable, contributing ≥95 % in high order reaches with high storage and as little as 20 % in upstream reaches, where gully, crop, and forest provided the remainder. Two nearby tributaries showed similarity in the predominance of streambank-sourced material in stored soft sediment but differences in geomorphic setting affected its spatial distribution. The results of this study show the importance of including corridor erosion as a source of sediment and sed-P in agricultural basins, which can be helpful in decision-making regarding conservation practices.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2026

Insights into Mountain Pass carbonatite formation from in-situ sulfur isotopes and geochemistry of sulfate and sulfide minerals

The Mountain Pass carbonatite stock hosts a world-class rare earth element deposit and may be classified as a carbonate-sulfate igneous rock, as it contains on average > 50 volume percent carbonate minerals and 20 to 30 volume percent sulfate minerals. The sulfates range in composition from barite to celestine and locally occur with sparse sulfide minerals. We investigate the origin of sulfur enrichment and the occurrence of sulfur-bearing minerals in the Mountain Pass carbonatite with in-situ sulfur isotope and mineral chemistry. Barite cores with δ 34 S of 1 to 3‰ do not coexist with sulfides, whereas celestine rims with δ 34 S of > 3‰ are associated with sulfides with δ 34 S < -10‰. We propose a model in which sulfur-bearing sediments were subducted during episodes of plate convergence in the Mojave Province that preceded Mountain Pass magmatism. Metasomatism of the overlying mantle by melts derived from the subducted sediments generated an unusually carbon- and sulfur-rich source to yield carbonatite magmas. Sulfur from primary carbonatite magmas and ~ 1 to 7% sulfur from subducted sediment melts yielded a slightly enriched δ 34 S composition (relative to depleted mantle δ 34 S of -1‰) for early crystallizing barite. Celestine rims on magmatic barite cores formed at low, hydrothermal temperatures (< 350 °C) based on S isotope thermometry for equilibrium celestine-galena and celestine-pyrite pairs. The sparse sulfides in the carbonatite stock are not in equilibrium with the primary barite cores and therefore do not permit S isotope thermometry estimates of magmatic temperatures. The S/Se ratios of sulfide minerals (> 3,400) typically exceed primitive mantle values (S/Se of 3,340), also consistent with their derivation from hydrothermal fluids. Trace occurrences of sulfide and sulfate minerals in alkaline silicate stocks related to the carbonatite stock have similar δ 34 S compositions and yield similarly low formation temperatures, suggesting regionally extensive and chemically similar sulfur-bearing hydrothermal fluids that imparted lithologically diverse rocks with a consistent sulfur isotope fingerprint.

California, Nevada↗

USGS2026

Net CO2 emissions from dry inland waters persist in the presence of vegetation

Many inland waters are shrinking due to shifts in climate and water diversion for human uses. As they dry out, their exposed sediments emit large amounts of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) to the atmosphere. However, current global estimates of CO 2 emissions from dry inland waters are derived exclusively from bare sediment dark-chamber measurements that do not account for the colonization of desiccated areas by vegetation. To understand the impact of vegetation on CO 2 emissions from dry sediments, we analyzed 164 dry inland water bodies across five climatic regions and five inland water body types (lakes, ponds, reservoirs, streams and wetlands). On average, within vegetated zones, vegetation occupied 47 ± 35% in measured biomass quadrants. Light-induced decreases in instantaneous CO 2 emissions in vegetated dry sediments were lower (mean ± SD = −3.7 ± 12.9 mmol CO 2 m −2 hr −1 ) than increases during dark conditions (14.7 ± 20.1 mmol CO 2 m −2 hr −1 ). Diel (24-hr) CO 2 emissions from dry, vegetated sediments (mean ± SD = 100 ± 261 mmol CO 2 m −2 d −1 ) were 25% lower than in bare sediments (133 ± 245 mmol CO 2 m −2 d −1 ). These results indicate that vegetation can partially off-set sediment respiration, although the magnitude of this effect is insufficient to switch dry beds from net sources to net sinks of carbon.

Global Biogeochemical Cycles↗

USGS2026

Adaptive capacity of freshwater organisms in North America: Current understanding and future applications

Freshwater species are increasingly threatened by climate change, yet our ability to assess their vulnerability remains incomplete. Typically, climate change vulnerability assessments (CCVAs) evaluate three components: exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Adaptive capacity, defined as the ability of a species to adjust to changing conditions, provides critical insight into how species may persist under future scenarios and can strengthen conservation planning by highlighting opportunities for resilience and targeted management strategies. Trait-based approaches offer a promising path for managers to operationalize adaptive capacity by identifying measurable biological and ecological traits that influence climate change response strategies. However, these insights are rarely integrated into broader vulnerability frameworks that support conservation decision making. We build on previous research to synthesize current understanding of adaptive capacity for three freshwater taxa in North America: fishes, mussels, and crayfishes. Our objectives were to: (1) assess the relevance of adaptive capacity factors for fishes, mussels, and crayfishes; (2) identify key opportunities and gaps in linking trait-based information into adaptive capacity assessments; and (3) illustrate how incorporating adaptive capacity can enhance management decisions for freshwater species under climate change. We used an expert workshop, literature review, and case studies to identify relevant adaptive capacity factors, assess available information, and evaluate inclusion in management contexts. We found that all three taxa had sufficient information to inform adaptive capacity assessments. In addition to existing adaptive capacity factors, we identified Morphology as an important yet underutilized cross-cutting diagnostic category when information was limited. By explicitly linking trait-based approaches with adaptive capacity frameworks, we offer practical guidance for improving climate adaptation strategies and prioritizing management actions for freshwater biodiversity under accelerating global change.

Global Change Biology Communications↗

USGS2026

Deaf, deafblind, and hard of hearing university student experiences with earthquake early warning in the United States: Evaluating language planning and technology access

The growing literature on deaf and hard of hearing (DHH+) populations and disasters demonstrates that emergency communication (including alerts) is not reaching global DHH + individuals with dangerous impacts for morbidity and mortality. This is the first research study in the U.S. to qualitatively explore the experiences of DHH + persons with earthquake early warning (EEW) through group-based dialogue sessions. The study investigates eight DHH + university students'past earthquake experiences, access to EEW alerts, and perceptions of ShakeAlert Ⓡ , an EEW system for detecting earthquakes and alerting residents of California, Oregon, and Washington. Findings highlight key gaps in disaster alert usability within four thematic areas: lack of messaging in participants' language(s), unclear alert messaging, deficient message delivery mechanisms for deafblind persons, and insufficient access to earthquake information and training that leads to dependence on informal information networks. Weaknesses identified in these four themes reduce DHH + trust in EEW systems and compromise the capacity of alert recipients to take swift protective action or to mentally prepare before shaking starts. The study also underscores structural factors such as insufficient linguistic representation in disaster language planning and technology design, which ignores the linguistic and sensory access needs of DHH + individuals. Building on disaster language planning frameworks, we recommend involving DHH + populations to co-develop EEW alerts. By centering DHH + perspectives, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to ensure that EEW systems reach everyone.

California↗

USGS2026

Lost in translation: Reconciling different streamflow permanence data products

The objective of this study is to provide a framework to reconcile streamflow permanence products that provide information on whether a stream is perennial or nonperennial. Accurate classification of streams as perennial or nonperennial is important for a variety of land and water resource management decisions. However, resource managers are challenged with how to reconcile different streamflow permanence information to determine if it is sufficient to avoid field verification, which can be prohibitively costly and time consuming. The study evaluates two datasets for the Pacific Northwest Region, U.S., the National Hydrography Dataset Plus High Resolution (NHDPlus HR) hydrographic classification and the PRObability of Streamflow PERmanence (PROSPER) model output, which differ in structure, output type, and temporal and spatial resolution. The framework includes a two-level evaluation that involves assessing agreement between the two datasets and evaluating the reliability of the two datasets. Summarized at a regional scale, the two datasets agree for 68% of flowlines with higher agreement for nonperennial streams. PROSPER nonperennial stream classifications may be considered generally reliable in arid regions relative to other ecoregions within the Pacific Northwest study area but less reliable for high elevation mountain regions and larger streams and rivers. More than 75% of NHDPlusHR classifications may be considered reliable when evaluating reliability based on approximate climate conditions associated with the year that the NHDPlus HR classification was assigned. The decision procedure is reproducible, flexible to varying criteria of end user applications, and is intended to help provide cost saving opportunities for land managers by providing information for more strategic field verification of streamflow class determination based on available yet imperfect data sources.

California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Utah, Washingt↗

USGS2026

Local water use and climate variability drive water stress and alter ecological flows over the conterminous United States

Consistent, large-scale estimates of water availability are needed to identify and avoid potential conflicts among human and ecosystem uses of water. We present an assessment of water limitation, defined as the monthly balance (difference) between water supply ( ws ) and human consumptive water use ( wc ), for the conterminous United States (CONUS) during water years 2010–2020. We estimate that 26.7 million Americans, 8% of CONUS population, live in areas with chronic high or severe water limitation. Although ws greatly exceeds wc at the CONUS scale, water is limited locally or regionally due to spatial and temporal patterns in climate and wc . Our water limitation metric, the monthly supply and use index (SUI), peaked in 2012 during a widespread drought when 38% of the CONUS land area experienced elevated water stress. The central and Southwestern U.S. experienced the highest SUI due to the combination of low ws and high wc , especially for irrigation. Spatial overlays of SUI and fish habitat ranges, including those of conservation concern, revealed that several species had notable proportions of their habitat exposed to high or severe water limitation during spawning season over the modeled time period, especially the Arkansas River shiner. ws was calculated from two CONUS, physically-based, hydrologic models while wc was calculated from three CONUS models of water use for crop irrigation, thermoelectric power generation, and public supply. The ws and wc values were routed through a stream network and compared to calculate water limitation and SUI for human populations and fish species at the scale of 12-digit hydrologic unit codes. Evaluation of water availability at higher spatial and temporal resolution promotes more comprehensive analyses of the drivers of water availability and can be combined with complementary studies of water quality and water limiting thresholds to better understand the limitations on water availability.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2026

Longitudinal variability of demographics and life history in an anadromous spawning population within a large, unimpeded East Coast, USA, watershed

Objective The goal of this study was to characterize the variability in age, growth, and life history of sea-run fish throughout a large, East Coast, USA, watershed to improve the parameterization of longitudinal variation in demographics and spawning histories in an undammed river. Methods Both live and dead American Shad Alosa sapidissima were collected during spring 2020 and 2021. Sex, length, age, and repeat spawning information were recorded for all individuals ( n = 512). Growth curves were created to test hypotheses about the variables that were related to the growth rates of American Shad for this relatively unsampled portion of the spawning population in the Delaware River. Results We observed variation in size, age, repeat spawning probability and propensity, and sex ratios from downstream to upstream as well as during the spawning season. Individual traits also varied among the fish that died during migration and those that were collected alive. Conclusions This study expands the current knowledge about variability in the life history traits that are commonly used in assessing and managing an anadromous fish that spawns upstream in a large, undammed watershed. Our results have broad implications for the assessment and management of anadromous fish populations globally and contribute to understanding parity along a continuum. Some potential priorities for future work include using telemetry to understand the final disposition of live fish, investigating fine-scale genetic control for correlated life-history traits, and investigating the correlations between natal origin (i.e., genetic stock mixing) and longitudinal variation within spawning populations.

New York, Pennsylvania↗

USGS2026

Distribution and Abundance of Least Bell’s Vireo ( Vireo bellii pusillus ) and Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ) at the Sepulveda Dam Basin, Los Angeles County, California—2025 Data Summary

Executive Summary We surveyed for Least Bell’s Vireos ( Vireo bellii pusillus ; vireo) and Southwestern Willow Flycatchers ( Empidonax traillii extimus ; flycatcher) along Bull Creek, Haskell Creek, and the Los Angeles River (Sepulveda Dam project area) in Los Angeles County, California, in 2025. Four vireo surveys were completed between April 16 and July 2, 2025, and three flycatcher surveys were completed between May 21 and July 2, 2025. We found 11 territorial male vireos, 4 of which were confirmed as paired, and 3 transient vireos. Of the 11 territorial vireos, 6 were detected along the Los Angeles River, 3 along Haskell Creek, and 2 along Bull Creek. Forty-three percent of vireos were detected in habitat characterized as mixed willow riparian, and most vireos were detected in habitat with greater than 50-percent native plant cover. No flycatchers were observed in the Sepulveda Dam project area in 2025.

California↗

USGS2026

Estimation of impounded sediment volume in the Similkameen River upstream of Enloe Dam, Okanogan County, Washington

The Enloe Dam was built in 1920 for hydropower generation and impounds a steep-banked, narrow reach of the Similkameen River in north-central Washington. During the subsequent century, sediment from the Similkameen River watershed, which includes historical mining operations, accumulated within Enloe Dam’s impoundment. Enloe Dam ceased hydropower production in 1958 and is currently under consideration for removal, but there are concerns that the remobilization of sediments may have harmful impacts on downstream water quality. To complement previously published analyses of heavy metal concentrations within sediments and assess the total volume that may be transported following dam removal, this report presents estimates of the volume of sediment trapped behind Enloe Dam which was measured in 2020. The volume of sediment was estimated by comparing a bathymetric survey, collected using an acoustic Doppler continuous profiler, and a survey of the bedrock-sediment interface, collected using a continuous resistivity profiler. The study area spanned a 2.6-kilometer reach of the Similkameen River upstream from Enloe Dam. The volume of impounded sediment was calculated in 2020 by subtracting the elevation of the bedrock-sediment interface measured using the continuous resistivity profiler from a bathymetric surface measured by the acoustic Doppler current profiler. In 2020, the estimated volume of sediment impounded by Enloe Dam was 2.17±0.04 million cubic meters (Mm 3 ) compared to 1.37 Mm 3 measured in 1971. This equates to a deposition rate of approximately 16,300 cubic meters per year from 1971 to 2020. Continuous resistivity profiles revealed that bedrock within Enloe Dam’s impoundment was deepest (about 20 m) in the southern, downstream end of the profiles and shallowest (less than 5 m) in the northern upstream end of the profiles.

Washington↗

USGS2026

Landscape composition and proximity to water affect American badger occupancy in shortgrass prairies

Land use change in prairie ecosystems is pervasive. Prairie obligate species may be affected by these changes, though many carnivore-specific examples are unknown. We used 3 years (2018–2020) of camera-trap ( n = 381) data from Kansas, USA, to assess multiscale effects of landscape composition on habitat use by American badgers (badger, Taxidea taxus ). We predicted that site occupancy and colonization would be positively associated with the amount of prairie surrounding sites. We also predicted that site occupancy and colonization would be negatively related to amounts of agriculture and the number of wind towers surrounding sites. Badgers were insensitive to amounts of prairie surrounding sites and likely to occupy and colonize sites surrounded by row-crop agriculture. Badgers were also less likely to occupy sites farther from permanent water. Badgers may be exploiting agricultural areas because of increased prey densities or suitable burrowing substrates. Moreover, our study highlights the importance of water resources to badgers in arid regions.

Kansas↗

USGS2026

Dynamics and evolution of the Kı̄lauea lower East Rift Zone 2018 fissure 8 lava flow and implications for multiphase magma properties

The 2018 Kı̄lauea lower East Rift Zone (KLERZ) eruption was one of the most voluminous eruptions on the Island of Hawai’i in the past 200 years, leading to major disruption and destroying over 700 homes and structures. The majority of the erupted magma was emitted as a lava flow from Ahu’ailā’au (fissure 8), which was active from late May to early August. To better understand the evolution of long-lived channelized lava flows, we examined the evolution of velocity, texture, and inferred rheology of the fissure 8 lava in space and time. We quantified lava flow surface velocities using particle image velocimetry in more than 200 aerial videos that span the lava flow duration and length. Velocity measurements were analyzed together with vesicularity and crystallinity measurements from 9 co-located post-eruptive field samples to understand the textural evolution of this flow and its impact on lava rheology and flow velocity. The fissure 8 flow was highly vesicular, with 79%–88% vesicularity at the vent, decreasing to 16%–26% vesicularity 12.5 km from the vent. The volume fraction occupied by crystals 50 in size increased from 6% at the vent to about 18% at 12.5 km downstream. We find that the effective flow viscosity increased at a quadratic rate with distance. Using experimentally determined liquid viscosity and applying established models to account for the effect of crystals and bubbles, we attribute this increase primarily to textural evolution driven initially by the near-vent loss of deformable bubbles and later by cooling and crystal growth. We demonstrate the importance of accounting for the evolution of vesicularity and the role of vesicles by showing that utilizing this capability in the open-source thermo-rheological lava flow propagation model PyFLOWGO allows for more accurate predictions of the observed flow velocities. Our modeling results suggest that small bubbles behaving rigidly are required to simulate the observed flow length, speed, and viscosities. Flow velocities of the fissure 8 lava also varied with time, driven by near-daily collapse events of the summit caldera. Temporal velocity changes were characterized by a period of steep acceleration, with the volumetric flux peaking around 4 h after a caldera collapse, followed by a period of gradual deceleration lasting up to 40 h or until the next collapse event. We use this temporal behavior to estimate the compressibility of the magma inside the plumbing system between the summit reservoir and the lower East Rift Zone. Overall, quantifying the spatial and temporal evolution of the KLERZ eruption provides information about magma and lava properties that can inform predictive modeling and hazard assessment during an eruption.

Hawaii↗

USGS2026

Multi-objective optimization of a hydro-economic model in an over-allocated agricultural basin

Groundwater depletion for agricultural irrigation poses significant environmental and economic challenges. This study introduces a proof-of-concept that combines hydro-economic modeling, scenario-based modeling, and multi-objective optimization to manage pumping curtailment in an over-allocated basin in the western United States. Three optimization scenarios were evaluated, each offering different degrees of management flexibility. Results reveal that scenarios with finer spatial resolution achieved greater environmental benefits per unit profit loss. Additionally, strategies allowing fractional reductions in curtailed wells–rather than complete shutdowns based on water rights seniority–substantially improved efficiency, highlighting the value of increased decision-making flexibility. Although scenario testing can aid stakeholder engagement and strategy exploration, multi-objective optimization provides a systematic framework to quantify tradeoffs between competing objectives. This combined approach demonstrates promise for building consensus and supporting the design of sustainable water management strategies that balance agricultural livelihoods with ecosystem preservation.

Oregon↗