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At least 1,585 records · Page 88Linked to original sources
USGS2012

Fracture characterization by means of attenuation and generation of tube waves in fractured crystalline rock at Mirror Lake, New Hampshire

Results are presented from experiments carried out in conjunction with the U. S. Geological Survey at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest near Mirror Lake, New Hampshire. The study focuses on our ability to obtain orientation and transmissivity estimates of naturally occurring fractures. The collected data set includes a four-offset hydrophone vertical seismic profile, full waveform acoustic logs at 5, 15, and 34 kHz, borehole televiewer, temperature, resistivity, and self-potential logs, and borehole-to-borehole pump test data. Borehole televiewer and other geophysical logs indicate that permeable fractures intersect the Mirror Lake boreholes at numerous depths, but less than half of these fractures appear to have significant permeability beyond the annulus of drilling disturbance on the basis of acoustic waveform log analysis. The vertical seismic profiling (VSP) data indicate a single major permeable fracture near a depth of 44 m, corresponding to one of the most permeable fractures identified in the acoustic waveform log analysis. VSP data also indicate a somewhat less permeable fracture at 220 m and possible fractures at depths of 103 and 135 m; all correspond to major permeable fractures in the acoustic waveform data set. Pump test data confirm the presence of a hydraulic connection between the Mirror Lake boreholes through a shallow dipping zone of permeability at 44 m in depth. Effective fracture apertures calculated from modeled transmissivities correspond to those estimated for the largest fractures indicated on acoustic waveform logs but are over an order of magnitude larger than effective apertures calculated from tube waves in the VSP data set. This discrepancy is attributed to the effect of fracture stiffness. A new model is presented to account for the mechanical strength of asperities in resisting fracture closure during the passage of seismic waves during the generation of VSPs.

New Hampshire↗
USGS2012

The Steens Mountain (Oregon) geomagnetic polarity transition: 3. Its regional significance

Study of the variations of direction and intensity of the geomagnetic field as recorded by the Miocene lava flows on Steens Mountain, southeastern Oregon, has resulted in a detailed description of total field behavior during a reversal in polarity. In addition to information about the polarity reversal itself, the detailed paleomagnetic record includes several thousand years of geomagnetic history preceding and following the polarity transition at 15.5 Ma. In order to test the feasibility of using this record as a means of correlation in this part of the western United States, comparisons are made of reconnaissance and previously published paleomagnetic records obtained from what has been thought to be the Steens Basalt or rocks of equivalent age. Despite the fact that many of these earlier studies were not done in detail and were not intended for correlation purposes, convincing similarities among some of the records are evident. The Steens Basalt paleomagnetic record does, indeed, have potential as a correlation tool during this time of widespread basaltic volcanism. Additionally, paleomagnetic data from flows that were sampled in detail yield a middle Miocene paleomagnetic pole at 88.3°N, 209.0° (α 95 = 6.3°) for the High Lava Plains of Oregon. This pole position is statistically indistinguishable from the earth's rotational axis and implies that no tectonic rotation of this region has occurred since these lava flows were erupted. Data from selected sites within the coeval part of the Columbia River Basalt Group yield a paleomagnetic pole at 88.7°N, 171.6°E (α 95 = 4.0°). The Columbia River Basalt Group pole is statistically indistinguishable from either the rotational axis or from the High Lava Plains pole. These findings indicate no post‐20 Ma differential rotation between south‐eastern Washington and south‐central Oregon, in contrast to previous interpretations.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Analysis of time series of glacier speed: Columbia Glacier, Alaska

During the summers of 1984 and 1985, laser measurements were made of the distance from a reference location to markers on the surface of the lower reach of Columbia Glacier, Alaska. The data have numerous gaps, mostly because of inclement weather. The laser measurements were corrected for variations in atmospheric temperature and pressure and for the trajectory of the marker. The marker speed was calculated by using a combination of cubic splines and digital filters to arrive at a data set with 1-hour time intervals. The speed varies from 7 to 15 m/d and has three noteworthy components: (1) a low-frequency perturbation in speed with a time scale of days related to increased precipitation, (2) semidiurnal and diurnal variations related to sea tides, and (3) diurnal variations related to glacier surface melt. The low frequency and tidal period variations are separated by low-pass filtering and subtracting the filtered data from the original data. The variations from melt runoff and tides have the same frequency range and are examined using harmonic analysis and multiple regression with the various forcing functions. The high-frequency portion of the ice speed signal is dominated by tidal influences and to a lesser extent by meltwater influences. The low-frequency portion of the signal is dominated by the effects of precipitation.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Analysis of two-color geodimeter measurements of deformation within the Long Valley caldera: June 1983 to October 1985

Line length changes from several baselines in a trilateration network within the Long Valley caldera clearly define a decrease in strain rate from June 1983 through October 1985. The data consist of more than 1600 length measurements on 23 baselines using a two-color geodimeter, which has a precision of 0.2 ppm of the line length. Initial measurements made during the summer of 1983 show extension rates were as high as 6 ppm/yr on some baselines. The rates subsequently decreased steadily, to less than 1 ppm/yr during the summer of 1985. Ih contrast, the strain rates on a few other baselines were less than 0.2 ppm/yr averaged over the 2.3-year interval. A model is constructed using these observations as well as yearly observations of a trilateration network within and near the caldera. The model contains two points of inflation located at 5 and 10 km beneath the resurgent dome of the caldera plus dextral slip on a fault plane within the south moat within an elastic half-space. To mimic the observed time dependence in the two-color geodimeter data, we conclude that the rates of both slip and inflation have steadily decreased over the survey interval. Because the two-color geodimeter network is closer to all three sources than the single-color geodimeter network, these data are important for defining the factor of 2–3 rate decrease of slip and inflation. Comparing our estimates of slip and inflation with similar estimates for the year prior to July 1983, we conclude that the rate decrease is probably a result of postseismic and postinflation relaxation following the earthquake swarm in the south moat in January 1983.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Geology of the Mount St. Helens area: Record of discontinuous volcanic and plutonic activity in the Cascade Arc of southern Washington

The Quaternary edifice of Mount St. Helens volcano was built upon a deeply eroded terrane of gently folded and altered volcanic and plutonic rocks that represent the core of the Tertiary Cascade magmatic arc. These rocks constitute an east dipping homoclinal sequence, several kilometers thick, of subaerially erupted mafic to silicic flows and volcaniclastic strata; K‐Ar ages from this section range from about 28 to 23 Ma (late Oligocene and earliest Miocene), which corresponds to an apparent lull in Cascade volcanism to the north of Mount Rainier. Volcanism was essentially continuous during this period of time, and neither a well‐defined base nor top of the section is exposed within the mapped area. Basalt and basaltic andesite dominate the lower part of the mid‐Tertiary section, whereas andesitic and dacitic rocks comprise most of the upper part. This section was intruded by numerous mafic to silicic dikes, sills, and irregular plutonic bodies, most no more than a few million years younger than their host rocks, and subjected to pervasive burial metamorphism and widespread hydrothermal alteration. Large areas of hornfelsed rock surrounding even relatively small intrusions indicate that the proportion of plutonic rock becomes significantly greater at shallow depth beneath the existing erosion surface. A large granitic pluton intruded the mid‐Tertiary section north of Spirit Lake at about 21 Ma. The Earl porphyry copper deposit occurs within the pluton but appears too young (17 Ma) to be genetically related to it. In contrast to the rather continuous and voluminous Oligocene to early Miocene activity, volcanism since then in the Mount St. Helens area has been localized and Volumetrically minor. Products of three younger eruptive periods have been recognized: a sequence of 15 m.y. old pyroxene andesite flows resting unconformably on mid‐Tertiary strata south of Mount St. Helens, widespread shallow dikes and sills of pyroxene andesite between 10 and 8 m.y. old, and compositionally diverse rocks erupted during the past 3 m.y. The Quaternary lavas are more potassic than the Tertiary lavas and typically contain phenocrysts of hornblende and biotite, which are absent from the older rocks. A number of Tertiary structures define a broad NNE trending zone that may reflect a deep‐seated lithospheric flaw that has controlled the locus of Cascade magmatism in southern Washington for the past 25 m.y. Mount St. Helens lies within this zone at the intersection of the NNW striking St. Helens seismic zone (SHZ) and an ENE trending alignment of Pleistocene silicic plug‐domes. No surface breakage has been detected along the SHZ, which is apparently very young. The linear zone of silicic vents is probably controlled by a fault that has been interpreted from seismic records to occur directly beneath the volcano. This zone parallels the directions of regional maximum horizontal compressive stress and North America/Juan de Fuca plate convergence. Mount St. Helens is an example of a low‐volume tectonically controlled magmatic system in an early stage of development.

Washington↗
USGS2012

Tectonics and conductivity structures in the Southern Washington Cascades

The tectonic setting of the southern Washington Cascades has been studied with the aid of magnetotelluric (MT) and other geophysical data. The main feature of interest in the geophysical data is a broad high-conductivity anomaly mapped with MT and geomagnetic variation (GMV) data. This anomaly is located roughly within the triangle formed by the volcanoes Mount Rainier, Mount St. Helens, and Mount Adams but exceeds beyond Mount Rainier to the northwest. We interpret the cause of the anomaly to be conductive rocks with resistivities of 1–4 ohm m and thicknesses possibly greater than 15 km. These conductive rocks are found 2–8 km beneath the overlying less conductive volcanic and sedimentary rocks at the surface. Two aeromagnetic lows follow the trend of the conductivity anomaly, and linear belts of strike-slip seismicity are coincident with both these magnetic lows. One of the aeromagnetic lows is coincident with the western margin of the conductivity anomaly. The geophysical data appear to outline a suture zone of probable Eocene age caused by accretion of a large seamount complex (Siletzia) and that may contain large thicknesses of compressed forearc basin and accretionary prism sedimentary rocks of Cretaceous to Eocene age. Part of the shallower conductive rocks may be associated with carbonaceous continental and transitional marine sedimentary rocks of the Puget Group. The contact between the hypothesized compressed basin and the accreted terranes to the west may localize the release of shear stresses in this region of oblique subduction. Several possible explanations for the conductivity anomaly are considered in addition to the compressed basin hypothesis.

Washington↗
USGS2012

An aeromagnetic study of Mount St. Helens

Aeromagnetic data from surveys flown by the U.S. Geological Survey over Mount St. Helens, Washington, before and after the climactic May 18, 1980, eruption were used to determine the bulk magnetic properties of the volcano and to delineate a buried source. We assumed that most of the edifice of preeruption and posteruption Mount St. Helens has a magnetization direction near the present earth's field of 69° inclination and 20° declination and calculated its intensity as 4.1 A/m. After subtraction of magnetic anomalies due to topogaphy magnetized with this direction and intensity, the preeruption and posteruption surveys revealed nearly identical residual magnetic highs and lows, indicative that their sources were not altered or removed by the May 1980 eruption. The residual highs were explained by a 200-m-deep source lying mostly within the edifice of Mount St. Helens. The source could be terrain that predates Mount St. Helens, such as a buried ridge or a cone or a valley filled with lava. We calculated the magnetization of the material removed by the May 1980 eruption and found its intensity to be 4.2 A/m in a direction near the present earth's field, similar to that assumed for the volcano as a whole. This similar result confirmed the validity of the magnetization vector assumed for the entire edifice.

Washington↗
USGS2012

Evidence from gravity data for an intrusive complex beneath Mount St. Helens

On the basis of gravity data, aided by aeromagnetic, magnetotelluric, side-looking radar, and geologic information, we tentatively identify a large, shallow intrusive complex beneath Mount St. Helens. The complex is roughly 5–6 km thick and has apparently intruded a buried and compressed Mesozoic forearc sedimentary sequence. The lateral extent of the intrusive complex is uncertain, and we give three alternative models varying from about 18 by 10 km to as much as 18 by 22 km. The western boundary of the inferred Mount St. Helens intrusion abuts several of a number of Tertiary and younger plutons that crop out in the area. The Mount St. Helens intrusion apparently is adjacent to sedimentary rock or shallow volcanic rock along most of the remainder of its boundary. A ringlike drainage pattern around Mount St. Helens suggests subsidence caused by removing magma from deep beneath Mount St. Helens and adding this mass to the Mount St. Helens edifice and its underlying intrusion. Our analysis indicates that the average bulk density of the volcanic rock comprising Mount St. Helens is about 2.15 g/cm 3 .

Washington↗
USGS2012

Geochemistry, mineralogy, and petrogenesis of basalt from the Gorda Ridge

Basalt pillow lava with glassy rims was dredged from 17 sites along the Gorda Ridge between latitudes 43°N and 40.8°N. All samples are low-K 2 O mid-ocean ridge tholeiitic basalt having a narrow compositional range with Mg numbers clustered around 60–62; more primitive and evolved compositions are present but rare. None of the more fractionated samples is as evolved as ferrobasalt from the Juan de Fuca Ridge. Incompatible trace element ratios are typical of normal mid-ocean ridge basalt but show considerable scatter. The 87 Sr/ 86 Sr ratios, ranging from 0.70233 to 0.70267, are near the low end of the range for normal mid-ocean ridge basalt. The phenocrysts present are abundant plagioclase, less abundant olivine ± spinel, and traces of sulfide. Clinopyroxene is absent in the glasses. The mineral chemistry is typical of ocean floor basalt. However, unusually anorthitic plagioclase in some highly plagioclasephyric samples, complex zoning in plagioclase and olivine, and other disequilibrium features indicate complex petrogenetic processes involving magma mixing. Glass inclusions in olivine and plagioclase indicate primitive trapped melts. The chemical diversity of Gorda Ridge lava appears to have been primarily caused by variable degrees of partial melting, but crystal fractionation and magma mixing were also important processes. Compositional variations along the strike of the ridge indicate that lava from the segment south of the offset at latitude 41.6°N was generated by the smallest percentage of partial melting of a source less depleted than that of the two northern segments. Lava from the central and northern segments was generated by variable percentages of partial melting of a uniformly depleted source. Lava from the northern segment shows the greatest diversity with a large range in percentage of melting and both relatively primitive and evolved compositions in spatially and temporally closely associated lava. The diversity of lava from the northern segment may result from thermal perturbations caused by proximity to the Blanco Fracture Zone. Gorda Ridge lava is more similar to that from the Mid-Atlantic Ridge at 22°–25°N than to that from other spreading centers in the Pacific Ocean. Magma chambers under the Gorda Ridge appear to be small, discontinuous in time and space and possibly at greater depth than those beneath other Pacific spreading centers.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Effect of crustal layering upon dislocation modeling

Slip distribution at depth on a fault may be inferred from the deformation observed on the surface. In inverting the surface deformation data to obtain the slip distribution, the Earth is generally approximated by an elastic half‐space. Slip distributions inferred from a half‐space model may contain artifacts, including zones of reversed slip, due solely to effects of layering in the real Earth. This effect is demonstrated for a vertical strike‐slip fault in an Earth consisting of an elastic layer overlying an elastic half‐space. Slip on the fault is taken to be independent of the along‐strike coordinate (i.e., antiplane strain is assumed). For a given slip distribution in this model the slip distribution on a similar fault in an elastic half‐space is found that produces the identical surface deformation. Comparison of the two slip distributions reveals structure introduced into the half‐space equivalent slip profile by crustal layering. The comparisons suggest that low‐resolution inversion schemes (e.g., single screw dislocation models) are not drastically affected by Earth structure, but attempts at detailed inversion are likely to produce profiles contaminated by artifacts of Earth structure.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Morphometric variability within the axial zone of the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge: Interpretation from Sea MARC II, Sea MARC I, and deep-sea photography

The morphometric characteristics of the axial regions of oceanic spreading centers are determined by (1) the type of volcanic flows, (2) the relation between primary volcanic relief (on a scale of a few meters to tens of meters) and degree of sediment cover, and (3) the extent of surficial expression and timing of tectonic disruption of the young oceanic crust. Even within a single, continuous, linear spreading-ridge segment with relatively uniform axial valley dimensions over a distance of 50 or more kilometers, such as along the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge, the changes in morphometric characteristics along axis within the youngest crust indicate distinct variation in tectonic and volcanic activity over short distances within short time periods. An integrated analysis of Sea MARC I, Sea MARC II, and photographic data for the southernmost continuous segment of the Juan de Fuca Ridge shows that generalizations about tectonic and volcanic processes at spreading ridges must consider both the temporal scale of processes as well as the physical scales of observations if predictive models are to be successful. Comparison of the morphometric expression within the major hydrothermal vent area and the rest of the southernmost ridge segment suggests that the mapped distribution of hydrothermal vents may reflect the extent of survey effort rather than uniqueness of geologic setting.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Structure of the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge from seismic reflection records

Twenty-four-channel seismic reflection records were obtained from the axial region of the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge. Two profiles are normal to the strike of the spreading center and intersect the ridge at latitude 44°40′N and 45°05′N; a third profile extends south along the ridge axis from latitude 45°20′N and crosses the Blanco Fracture Zone. Processing of the axial portions of the cross-strike lines resolved a weak reflection centered beneath the axis. The reflector is at a depth similar to seismically detected magma chambers on the East Pacific Rise and a Lau Basin spreading center; we suggest that the reflector represents the top of an axial magma chamber. In the migrated sections the top of the probable magma chamber is relatively flat and 1–2 km wide, and the subbottom depth of the chamber is greater where the depth to the ridge axis is greater.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Uniformity and diversity in the composition of mineralizing fluids from hydrothermal vents on the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge

Abundances of Li, Na, K, Rb, Ca, Sr, Ba, Mn, Fe, Zn, and Si have been determined in fluid samples from seven vents located in three areas on the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge. The hydrothermal component estimated from the Mg contents of the samples ranges from 7% to 76%. Concentrations of Fe and Si, among other elements, in acid-stabilized solutions appear to be generally representative of the parental hydrothermal fluids, but some Zn determinations and most Ba values appear to be too low. Thermodynamic calculations indicate that the acidified samples remain supersaturated with respect to silica, barite, and pyrite; unacidified samples are supersaturated, in addition, with respect to ZnS, FeS, and many silicate phases. Within the constraints of limited sampling there appear to be differences in fluid compositions both within and between the three vent areas. Some uniform differences in the elemental abundances predicted for hydrothermal end-member fluids might be due to inmixing of fresh seawater at depth in the hydrothermal system. The Juan de Fuca hydrothermal fluids contain more Fe but otherwise have relative elemental abundances fairly similar to those in 13°N (East Pacific Rise) fluids, albeit at higher levels. In contrast, fluids from 21°N (East Pacific Rise) and Galapagos have lower K/Rb and much lower Sr and Na abundances; these compositional features probably result from interaction of these fluids with a different mineral assemblage, possibly more mature greenstone.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Chemistry of hydrothermal solutions from the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge

Fluids from three vent fields on the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge were sampled in September 1984 using the DSRV Alvin. The fluids are uniquely high in both chloride, which ranges up to twice the seawater value, and in metal content. Simple vapor-liquid phase separation could not have produced both the high chlorinity and gas concentrations observed in these fluids. The cause of the elevated chlorinity can not be uniquely identified but may be the result of either or a combination of two processes: (1) subsurface formation of a degassed brine and subsequent mixing of a small amount of this brine with a hydrothermal seawater which has not undergone a phase separation and (2) dissolution of a chloride-rich phase combined with a possible small loss of gas during sampling procedures. Although measured temperatures were all less than 300°C, quartz geothermometry suggests that the fluids have equilibrated at greater than 340°C. Quartz geobarometry is also in agreement with geophysical estimates of depth to the local magma chamber.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Mineralogical studies of sulfide samples and volatile concentrations of basalt glasses from the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge

Sulfide samples obtained from the U.S. Geological Survey's DSRV Alvin dives on the southern Juan de Fuca Ridge closely resemble those from the same area described by Koski et al. (1984). Major minerals include sphalerite, wurtzite, pyrite, marcasite, isocubanite, anhydrite, and chalcopyrite. Equilibrium, if attained at all, during deposition of most sulfides was a transient event over a few tens of micrometers at most and was perturbed by rapid temperature and compositional changes of the circulating fluid. Two new minerals were found: one, a hydrated Zn, Fe hydroxy-chlorosulfate, and the other, a (Mn, Mg, Fe) hydroxide or hydroxy-hydrate. Both were formed at relatively low temperatures. Lizardite, starkeyite, and anatase were found for the first time in such an environment. Sulfide geothermometry involving the system Cu-Fe-S indicates a vent temperature of <328°C for one sample. Fluid inclusion studies on crystals from the same vicinity of the same sample give pressure-corrected homogenization temperatures of 268° and 285°C. Ice-melting temperatures on inclusions from the same sample are about −2.8°C, indicating that the equivalent salinity of the trapped fluid is about 50% greater than that of seawater. Volatile concentrations from vesicle-free basalt glass from the vent field are about 0.013 wt % CO 2 and 0.16 wt % H 2 O. CO 2 contents in these samples yield an entrapment depth of 2200 m of seawater, which is the depth from which the samples were collected.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Fitting degradation of shoreline scarps by a nonlinear diffusion model

The diffusion model of degradation of topographic features is a promising means by which vertical offsets on Holocene faults might be dated. In order to calibrate the method, we have examined present-day profiles of wave-cut shoreline scarps of late Pleistocene lakes Bonneville and Lahontan. It may be assumed that these scarps were initially at least as steep as the angle of repose. Offsets range from 1 to 12 m, and present slope angles range from 9° to 29°. A parameter called apparent diffusion age, defined as half the mean square horizontal extent of the slope function of each profile, is plotted as a function of scarp offset. The points show a clear trend of apparent age increasing nearly linearly with offset. If linear diffusion held and scarps were initially vertical, apparent diffusion age would be the same for all the shoreline profiles. The increasing trend can only partly be explained by nonvertical initial scarp slope, and therefore the rate of transport of material downslope must increase significantly faster than a linear law in the range of slopes spanned by the data. The transport law must become linear at small slope to reduce scatter between profiles with varying ambient slopes. The transport law adopted for the purpose of dating is k 0 (1 + 5 s 2 ), where s is local slope. The transport coefficient k 0 is correlated inversely with fan slope, suggesting that there is a dependence on the particle size distribution. A table is included that allows easy application of the model to scarps with simple initial shape.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Anomalous shear wave attenuation in the shallow crust beneath the Coso volcanic region, California

We use seismograms of local earthquakes to image relative shear wave attenuation structure in the shallow crust beneath the region containing the Coso volcanic-geothermal area of eastern California. SV and P wave amplitudes were measured from vertical component seismograms of earthquakes that occurred in the Cososouthem Sierra Nevada region from July 1983 to August 1985. Seismograms of 16 small earthquakes show SV amplitudes which are greatly diminished at some azimuths and takeoff angles, indicating strong lateral variations in S wave attenuation in the area. Three-dimensional images of the relative S wave attenuation structure are obtained from forward modeling and a back projection inversion of the amplitude data. The results indicate regions within a 20 by 30 by 10 km volume of the shallow crust (one shallower than 5 km) that severely attenuate SV waves passing through them. These anomalies lie beneath the Indian Wells Valley, 30 km south of the Coso volcanic field, and are coincident with the epicentral locations of recent earthquake swarms. No anomalous attenuation is seen beneath the Coso volcanic field above about 5 km depth. Geologic relations and the coincidence of anomalously slow P wave velocities suggest that the attenuation anomalies may be related to magmatism along the eastern Sierra front.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗
USGS2012

Volcanic hazards and public response

Although scientific understanding of volcanoes is advancing, eruptions continue to take a substantial toll of life and property. Some of these losses could be reduced by better advance preparation, more effective flow of information between scientists and public officials, and better understanding of volcanic behavior by all segments of the public. The greatest losses generally occur at volcanoes that erupt infrequently where people are not accustomed to dealing with them. Scientists sometimes tend to feel that the blame for poor decisions in emergency management lies chiefly with officials or journalists because of their failure to understand the threat. However, the underlying problem embraces a set of more complex issues comprising three pervasive factors. The first factor is the volcano: signals given by restless volcanoes are often ambiguous and difficult to interpret, especially at long-quiescent volcanoes. The second factor is people: people confront hazardous volcanoes in widely divergent ways, and many have difficulty in dealing with the uncertainties inherent in volcanic unrest. The third factor is the scientists: volcanologists correctly place their highest priority on monitoring and hazard assessment, but they sometimes fail to explain clearly their conclusions to responsible officials and the public, which may lead to inadequate public response. Of all groups in society, volcanologists have the clearest understanding of the hazards and vagaries of volcanic activity; they thereby assume an ethical obligation to convey effectively their knowledge to benefit all of society. If society resists, their obligation nevertheless remains. They must use the same ingenuity and creativity in dealing with information for the public that they use in solving scientific problems. When this falls short, even excellent scientific results may be nullified.

Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth↗