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Well predictive performance of play-wide and Subarea Random Forest models for Bakken productivity

In recent years, geologists and petroleum engineers have struggled to clearly identify the mechanisms that drive productivity in horizontal, hydraulically-fractured oil wells producing from the middle member of the Bakken formation. This paper fills a gap in the literature by showing how this play’s heterogeneity affects factors that drive well productivity. It is important because understanding the relative strength of productivity drivers and how predictors vary spatially facilitates best-practices for well site selection and well completion design. The paper describes an application of the Random Forest (RF) machine learning technique to identify these mechanisms and to evaluate their importance across 9 subareas of the North Dakota portion of the Bakken play. The study examined productivity of 7311 wells initiating production from 2010 through 2017. Well productivity varied considerably across the 9 subareas within the play, so it was not surprising that the dominant predictors, the initial 180-day water cut and the 30-day initial gas production, vary spatially to mirror local conditions that strongly affect well productivity. The relative importance of well completion predictor variables, that is, the numbers of fractures stages per well, volume of injected proppant per stage, volume of injected fluids per stage, and lateral length, varied considerably across the subareas. Statistical permutation tests are presented that generally confirm the importance rankings. Subarea Random Forest models explained from 50 percent to 82 percent of the variation in productivity test samples while the play-wide model explained 73 percent of the test sample well productivity. Weakness in the predictive ability of the Random Forest models are traced to the limited variability in the training data. Implications of the empirical findings regarding the Bakken play for operators and for research and government institutions are discussed in the concluding section.

Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota

A fuzzy logic approach for estimating recovery factors of miscible CO2-EOR projects in the United States

"Recovery factor (RF) is one of the most fundamental parameters that define engineering and economical success of any operational phase in oil and gas production. The effectiveness of the operation, e.g. CO2-EOR (enhanced oil recovery with carbon dioxide injection), is usually defined by multiplying the resultant recovery factor by the original oil in place. Moreover, investment decisions for such engineering projects are also performed based on predicted recovery factors. Despite its importance, though, it is not easy to predict recovery factors as they are affected by many factors including the type of the recovery process, reservoir type, fluid properties, reservoir heterogeneity, depth, thickness, to name a few. The usual method of estimating recovery factors is laboratory experiments or numerical modeling, each of which has their own limitations due to data requirements, boundary conditions and scale effects. In this work, a fuzzy inference system approach has been adopted to predict miscible CO2-EOR recovery factors of the major field applications in the United States with the premise that it can be used as a guidance tool for making decisions based on different inputs. The fuzzy system was build using a Mamdani-type fuzzy logic inference engine, and by using reservoir data compiled from different sources as inputs and recovery factors gathered from a literature survey. Due to the limited number of field cases that could be used for this purpose, 24 sets of applications were included in the study. Selected input variables were water saturation after waterflood (Sorw), well spacing, porosity, permeability, depth, net pay thickness, initial pressure, API gravity of oil, hydrocarbon pore volume CO2 injected, and reservoir lithology. The type of membership functions were decided based on the system’s predictive performance. The model showed reasonable predictive capability for the field observations of recovery factor despite the complexity of this parameter. In addition, since the fuzzy solution was multi-dimensional due to multiple inputs, system behavior was used to demonstrate response of miscible CO2-EOR recovery factor to different inputs. "

Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

Vadose zone attenuation of organic compounds at a crude oil spill site - Interactions between biogeochemical reactions and multicomponent gas transport

Contaminant attenuation processes in the vadose zone of a crude oil spill site near Bemidji, MN have been simulated with a reactive transport model that includes multicomponent gas transport, solute transport, and the most relevant biogeochemical reactions. Dissolution and volatilization of oil components, their aerobic and anaerobic degradation coupled with sequential electron acceptor consumption, ingress of atmospheric O 2 , and the release of CH 4 and CO 2 from the smear zone generated by the floating oil were considered. The focus of the simulations was to assess the dynamics between biodegradation and gas transport processes in the vadose zone, to evaluate the rates and contributions of different electron accepting processes towards vadose zone natural attenuation, and to provide an estimate of the historical mass loss. Concentration distributions of reactive (O 2 , CH 4 , and CO 2 ) and non-reactive (Ar and N 2 ) gases served as key constraints for the model calibration. Simulation results confirm that as of 2007, the main degradation pathway can be attributed to methanogenic degradation of organic compounds in the smear zone and the vadose zone resulting in a contaminant plume dominated by high CH 4 concentrations. In accordance with field observations, zones of volatilization and CH 4 generation are correlated to slightly elevated total gas pressures and low partial pressures of N 2 and Ar, while zones of aerobic CH 4 oxidation are characterized by slightly reduced gas pressures and elevated concentrations of N 2 and Ar. Diffusion is the most significant transport mechanism for gases in the vadose zone; however, the simulations also indicate that, despite very small pressure gradients, advection contributes up to 15% towards the net flux of CH 4 , and to a more limited extent to O 2 ingress. Model calibration strongly suggests that transfer of biogenically generated gases from the smear zone provides a major control on vadose zone gas distributions and vadose zone carbon balance. Overall, the model was successful in capturing the complex interactions between biogeochemical reactions and multicomponent gas transport processes. However, despite employing a process-based modeling approach, honoring observed parameter ranges, and generally obtaining good agreement between field observations and model simulations, accurate quantification of natural attenuation rates remains difficult. The modeling results are affected by uncertainties regarding gas phase saturations, tortuosities, and the magnitude of CH 4 and CO 2 flux from the smear zone. These findings highlight the need to better delineate gas fluxes at the model boundaries, which will help constrain contaminant degradation rates, and ultimately source zone longevity.

Minnesota

A joint Gaussian process model of geochemistry, geophysics, and temperature for groundwater TDS in the San Ardo Oil Field, California, USA

Decline in availability of fresh groundwater has expanded interest in brackish groundwater resources; however, the distribution of brackish groundwater is poorly understood. Water resources in sedimentary basins across the United States often overlie oil and gas development. Mapping of groundwater total dissolved solids (TDS) using data from oil well geophysical logs has become an important technique for identifying fresh and brackish groundwater. Existing geophysical log analysis methods use porosity and temperature to relate formation resistivity to TDS. Typically, natural geothermal gradients are used to estimate temperature at the location of collected resistivity. However, in thermally enhanced oil fields, steam is injected into the subsurface to mobilize high viscosity oil, creating variable temperature distributions. Furthermore, TDS derived from resistivity also depends on the fractions of dominant ions. Typically, chloride and bicarbonate fractions must be determined. It is also necessary to model TDS across many geologic units with heterogenous porosity distributions. Collectively, each quantity used to estimate TDS (resistivity, porosity, temperature, bicarbonate fraction) varies in space and time, and available data points are rarely collocated. Here, we present a new method of mapping groundwater TDS that continuously models each quantity together with a joint Gaussian process. This method enables mapping fresh and brackish water with practically available data. We apply this method to the San Ardo Oil Field in Monterey County, California, where steam injection occurs. In some areas of the aquifer system overlying the oil zone, the temperature is ∼75 °C, roughly twice the natural background value. Groundwater TDS is typically <1,500 mg/L in the aquifer and increases with depth to ∼9,000 mg/L in the oil-producing zone. A low-permeability clay layer delineates the fresh and brackish water, likely by inhibiting surface recharge from penetrating the deeper zones, allowing higher-TDS connate water to remain in place. Weaker lateral TDS trends may be controlled by recharge patterns associated with the Salinas River. Our model reveals with high certainty that groundwater has freshened in one localized part of the oil-producing zone and suggests with less certainty that more widespread freshening has also occurred. The lowering of TDS was possibly from decades of low-TDS steam injection and the associated fluid production and disposal operations.

California

Integration of stable carbon isotope, microbial community, dissolved hydrogen gas, and 2 H H 2 O tracer data to assess bioaugmentation for chlorinated ethene degradation in fractured rocks

An in situ bioaugmentation (BA) experiment was conducted to understand processes controlling microbial dechlorination of trichloroethene (TCE) in groundwater at the Naval Air Warfare Center (NAWC), West Trenton, NJ. In the BA experiment, an electron donor (emulsified vegetable oil and sodium lactate) and a chloro-respiring microbial consortium were injected into a well in fractured mudstone of Triassic age. Water enriched in 2 H was also injected as a tracer of the BA solution, to monitor advective transport processes. The changes in concentration and the δ 13 C of TCE, cis-dichloroethene (cis-DCE), and vinyl chloride (VC); the δ 2 H of water; changes in the abundance of the microbial communities; and the concentration of dissolved H2 gas compared to pre- test conditions, provided multiple lines of evidence that enhanced biodegradation occurred in the injection well and in two downgradient wells. For those wells where the biodegradation was stimulated intensively, the sum of the molar chlorinated ethene (CE) concentrations in post-BA water was higher than that of the sum of the pre-BA background molar CE concentrations. The concentration ratios of TCE/(cis-DCE + VC) indicated that the increase in molar CE concentration may result from additional TCE mobilized from the rock matrix in response to the oil injection or due to desorption/diffusion. The stable carbon isotope mass-balance calculations show that the weighted average 13 C isotope of the CEs was enriched for around a year compared to the background value in a two year monitoring period, an effective indication that dechlorination of VC was occurring. Insights gained from this study can be applied to efforts to use BA in other fractured rock systems. The study demonstrates that a BA approach can substantially enhance in situ bioremediation not only in fractures connected to the injection well, but also in the rock matrix around the well due to processes such as diffusion and desorption. Because the effect of the BA was intensive only in wells where an amendment was distributed during injection, it is necessary to adequately distribute the amendments throughout the fractured rock to achieve substantial bioremediation. The slowdown in BA effect after a year is due to some extend to the decrease abundant of appropriate microbes, but more likely the decreased concentration of electron donor.

New Jersey

A review of environmental impacts of salts from produced waters on aquatic resources

Salts are frequently a major constituent of waste waters produced during oil and gas production. These produced waters or brines must be treated and/or disposed and provide a daily challenge for operators and resource managers. Some elements of salts are regulated with water quality criteria established for the protection of aquatic wildlife, e.g. chloride (Cl − ), which has an acute standard of 860 mg/L and a chronic standard of 230 mg/L. However, data for establishing such standards has only recently been studied for other components of produced water, such as bicarbonate (HCO 3 − ), which has acute median lethal concentrations (LC50s) ranging from 699 to > 8000 mg/L and effects on chronic toxicity from 430 to 657 mg/L. While Cl− is an ion of considerable importance in multiple geographical regions, knowledge about the effects of hardness (calcium and magnesium) on its toxicity and about mechanisms of toxicity is not well understood. A multiple-approach design that combines studies of both individuals and populations, conducted both in the laboratory and the field, was used to study toxic effects of bicarbonate (as NaHCO 3 ). This approach allowed interpretations about mechanisms related to growth effects at the individual level that could affect populations in the wild. However, additional mechanistic data for HCO 3 − , related to the interactions of calcium (Ca 2 + ) precipitation at the microenvironment of the gill would dramatically increase the scientific knowledge base about how NaHCO 3 might affect aquatic life. Studies of the effects of mixtures of multiple salts present in produced waters and more chronic effect studies would give a better picture of the overall potential toxicity of these ions. Organic constituents in hydraulic fracturing fluids, flowback waters, etc. are a concern because of their carcinogenic properties and this paper is not meant to minimize the importance of maintaining vigilance with respect to potential organic contamination.

International Journal of Coal Geology

Determining CO 2 storage potential during miscible CO 2 enhanced oil recovery: Noble gas and stable isotope tracers

Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentrations are fueling anthropogenic climate change. Geologic sequestration of anthropogenic CO 2 in depleted oil reservoirs is one option for reducing CO 2 emissions to the atmosphere while enhancing oil recovery. In order to evaluate the feasibility of using enhanced oil recovery (EOR) sites in the United States for permanent CO 2 storage, an active multi-stage miscible CO 2 flooding project in the Permian Basin (North Ward Estes Field, near Wickett, Texas) was investigated. In addition, two major natural CO 2 reservoirs in the southeastern Paradox Basin (McElmo Dome and Doe Canyon) were also investigated as they provide CO 2 for EOR operations in the Permian Basin. Produced gas and water were collected from three different CO 2 flooding phases (with different start dates) within the North Ward Estes Field to evaluate possible CO 2 storage mechanisms and amounts of total CO 2 retention. McElmo Dome and Doe Canyon were sampled for produced gas to determine the noble gas and stable isotope signature of the original injected EOR gas and to confirm the source of this naturally-occurring CO 2 . As expected, the natural CO 2 produced from McElmo Dome and Doe Canyon is a mix of mantle and crustal sources. When comparing CO 2 injection and production rates for the CO 2 floods in the North Ward Estes Field, it appears that CO 2 retention in the reservoir decreased over the course of the three injections, retaining 39%, 49% and 61% of the injected CO 2 for the 2008, 2010, and 2013 projects, respectively, characteristic of maturing CO 2 miscible flood projects. Noble gas isotopic composition of the injected and produced gas for the flood projects suggest no active fractionation, while &delta; 13 C CO 2 values suggest no active CO 2 dissolution into formation water, or mineralization. CO 2 volumes capable of dissolving in residual formation fluids were also estimated along with the potential to store pure-phase supercritical CO 2 . Using a combination of dissolution trapping and residual trapping, both volumes of CO 2 currently retained in the 2008 and 2013 projects could be justified, suggesting no major leakage is occurring. These subsurface reservoirs, jointly considered, have the capacity to store up to 9 years of CO 2 emissions from an average US powerplant.

International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control

Bulk and intramolecular carbon isotopic compositions of hydrocarbon gases from laboratory pyrolysis of oil shale of the Green River Formation: Implications for isotope structures of kerogens

Evaluation of intramolecular isotope distributions within organic compounds can provide important insights into gas formation processes and structural properties of gas-generating precursors, such as kerogen, bitumen, and oil, in natural reservoirs. Until recently, little has been known about the intramolecular isotope distributions within kerogens. In this study, we conducted systematic pyrolysis experiments of gas generation from a lacustrine oil shale of the Eocene Green River Formation under hydrous and anhydrous conditions (equivalent maturity or Easy %R o : 0.76 to 3.27 at 310 to 480 °C for 3 to 50 days), measuring gas yields and compositions, as well as bulk and position-specific (PS) carbon isotope compositions. Gas generation processes were investigated in combination with kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations on a model Type I kerogen based on the chemical structures of oil shale of the Green River Formation. The comparison of our experimental results with kMC modelling indicates a series of β-scission, radical isomerization, and recombination reactions better represent the bulk isotope compositions of propane in the pyrolysis of the oil shale of the Green River Formation, but the ΔC c-t (= δ 13 C cen – δ 13 C ter ) values of propane at Easy %R o > 1.5 can be better simulated by a simple combination of propyl groups with H radicals. Combining our previous works on marine shale of the Woodford Formation and Springfield Coal Member of the Carbondale Formation, PS carbon isotopes of propane indicate that in the lacustrine shales of the Green River Formation and the marine Woodford Shale, propane is sourced from C C bond cleavage, while C O bond cracking generates propane from coal at the initial kerogen cracking stage. At high maturity, the differences of late-stage propane production among the source rocks lead to the different bulk and PS C kinetic isotope effects of propane. Our findings suggest that the δ 13 C at the terminal position of propane precursors is likely up to 3.6‰ higher than at the central position in the Green River kerogen, while they are similar in the marine shale of Woodford Formation. In addition, the δ 13 C at the central position of propyl groups attached to heteroatom compounds is relatively more positive in the Springfield Coal Member of the Carbondale Formation than in Green River kerogen. A comparison of intramolecular C isotopes of propyl groups in the kerogens with their bulk δ 13 C, based on the PS δ 13 C of early-generated propane, contributes to our understanding of heterogeneities of isotopic structures of sedimentary organic matter.

International Journal of Coal Geology

Monitoring of urban subsidence with SAR interferometric point target analysis: A case study in Suzhou, China

Ground subsidence, mainly caused by over exploitation of groundwater and other underground resources, such as oil, gas and coal, occurs in many cities in China. The annual direct loss associated with subsidence across the country is estimated to exceed 100 million US dollar. Interferometric SAR (InSAR) is a powerful tool to map ground deformation at an unprecedented level of spatial detail. It has been widely used to investigate the deformation resulting from earthquakes, volcanoes and subsidence. Repeat-pass InSAR, however, may fail due to impacts of spatial decorrelation, temporal decorrelation and heterogeneous refractivity of atmosphere. In urban areas, a large amount of natural stable radar reflectors exists, such as buildings and engineering structures, at which radar signals can remain coherent during a long time interval. Interferometric point target analysis (IPTA) technique, also known as persistent scatterers (PS) InSAR is based on these reflectors. It overcomes the shortfalls in conventional InSAR. This paper presents a procedure for urban subsidence monitoring with IPTA. Calculation of linear deformation rate and height residual, and the non-linear deformation estimate, respectively, are discussed in detail. Especially, the former is highlighted by a novel and easily implemented 2-dimensional spatial search algorithm. Practically useful solutions that can significantly improve the robustness of IPTA, are recommended. Finally, the proposed procedure is applied to mapping the ground subsidence in Suzhou city, Jiangsu province, China. Thirty-four ERS-1/2 SAR scenes are analyzed, and the deformation information over 38,881 point targets between 1992 and 2000 are generated. The IPTA-derived deformation estimates correspond well with leveling measurements, demonstrating the potential of the proposed subsidence monitoring procedure based on IPTA technique. Two shortcomings of the IPTA-based procedure, e.g., the requirement of large number of SAR images and assumed linear plus non-linear deformation model, are discussed as the topics of further research.

Jaingsu Province

Effects of high salinity wastewater discharges on unionid mussels in the Allegheny River, Pennsylvania

We examined the effect of high salinity wastewater (brine) from oil and natural gas drilling on freshwater mussels in the Allegheny River, Pennsylvania, during 2012. Mussel cages (N = 5 per site) were deployed at two sites upstream and four sites downstream of a brine treatment facility on the Allegheny River. Each cage contained 20 juvenile northern riffleshell mussels Epioblasma torulosa rangiana). Continuous specific conductance and temperature data were recorded by water quality probes deployed at each site. To measure the amount of mixing throughout the entire study area, specific conductance surveys were completed two times during low-flow conditions along transects from bank to bank that targeted upstream (reference) reaches, a municipal wastewater treatment plant discharge upstream of the brine-facility discharge, the brine facility, and downstream reaches. Specific conductance data indicated that high specific conductance water from the brine facility (4,000&ndash;12,000 &micro;S/cm; mean 7,846) compared to the reference reach (103&ndash;188 &micro;S/cm; mean 151) is carried along the left descending bank of the river and that dilution of the discharge via mixing does not occur until 0.5 mi (805 m) downstream. Juvenile northern riffleshell mussel survival was severely impaired within the high specific conductance zone (2 and 34% at and downstream of the brine facility, respectively) and at the municipal wastewater treatment plant (21%) compared to background (84%). We surveyed native mussels (family Unionidae) at 10 transects: 3 upstream, 3 within, and 4 downstream of the high specific conductance zone. Unionid mussel abundance and diversity were lower for all transects within and downstream of the high conductivity zone compared to upstream. The results of this study clearly demonstrate in situ toxicity to juvenile northern riffleshell mussels, a federally endangered species, and to the native unionid mussel assemblage located downstream of a brine discharge to the Allegheny River.

Pennsylvania

An ANCOVA model for porosity and its uncertainty for oil reservoirs based on TORIS dataset

Porosity is one of the most important parameters to assess in-place oil or gas in reservoirs, and to evaluate recovery from enhanced production operations. Since it is relatively well-established to determine porosity using different laboratory and field methods, its value is usually determined at many locations across a reservoir as part of the common practice to capture reservoir heterogeneity and the variability in values. This suite of measurements and the distribution of values are most valuable for probabilistic reservoir assessments, and for spatial modeling if the exact data locations are known. Despite the importance of individual measurements to set the range of values for probabilistic studies, it is not always possible to access these data due to confidentiality. In most cases, commercial or publicly available databases that assessments may rely on usually report only mean values of porosity, like any other reservoir data, or they may not report a value at all. This makes both quantifying the mean value and the uncertainty around it difficult for probabilistic assessments. In this study, the TORIS (Tertiary Oil Recovery Information System) dataset of the National Petroleum Council and the U.S. Department of Energy was used to model porosity and the uncertainty around predicted values. TORIS is an integrated dataset of production data, reservoir properties, and project databases of crude oil reservoirs in the United States. The model presented in the paper was based on ANCOVA (Analysis of Co-Variance) of data from 1038 reservoirs from the TORIS dataset for porosity prediction, validation and testing for quantitative and qualitative parameters that may be readily available in most cases, and to estimate uncertainty around the mean values. This model also explored association of porosity values to different parameters, and to different depositional systems and diagenetic overprint conditions. Furthermore, an ANN (Artificial Neural Network) model was created to compare the predicted values of both models. Results showed that the ANN model was able to represent more of the variability, however it lacked the insights that might be gained from the ANCOVA model.

Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering

Regional walrus abundance estimate in the United States Chukchi Sea in autumn

Human activities (e.g., shipping, tourism, oil, gas development) have increased in the Chukchi Sea because of declining sea ice. The declining sea ice itself and these activities may affect Pacific walrus ( Odobenus rosmarus divergens ) abundance; however, previous walrus abundance estimates have been notably imprecise. When sea ice is absent from the eastern Chukchi Sea, walruses in waters of the United States usually rest together onshore at a single Alaska coastal haulout, where they can be surveyed more easily than when they rest on dispersed offshore ice floes. We estimated the number of walruses on land (herd size) at this haulout from 13 unoccupied aircraft system (UAS) surveys flown within a 10-day period in each of 2018 and 2019. We estimated population size of walruses using the haulout over the course of the surveys by combining herd size data with data from satellite-linked transmitters that indicated whether tagged walruses were in or out of water during each survey. Our estimates of the population size of walruses using the haulout during each year's survey period were similar to each other and more precise than historical walrus abundance estimates: posterior means (95% credibility intervals) were 166,000 (133,000–201,000) for 2018 and 189,000 (135,000–251,000) for 2019. Auxiliary observations support using these estimates to represent the size of the population using the eastern Chukchi Sea in autumn during the surveyed years. Our study site was the only substantial Chukchi Sea coastal haulout in the United States during the survey periods and study-specific tracking data (consistent with known distribution and movement patterns) indicated tagged walruses remained in eastern Chukchi waters during the survey periods. In addition, the imagery, telemetry, and analytical methods developed for this study advance the prospect for precise range-wide walrus population size estimates.

Alaska

Application of near-surface geophysics as part of a hydrologic study of a subsurface drip irrigation system along the Powder River floodplain near Arvada, Wyoming

Rapid development of coalbed natural gas (CBNG) production in the Powder River Basin (PRB) of Wyoming has occurred since 1997. National attention related to CBNG development has focused on produced water management, which is the single largest cost for on-shore domestic producers. Low-cost treatment technologies allow operators to reduce their disposal costs, provide treated water for beneficial use, and stimulate oil and gas production by small operators. Subsurface drip irrigation (SDI) systems are one potential treatment option that allows for increased CBNG production by providing a beneficial use for the produced water in farmland irrigation. Water management practices in the development of CBNG in Wyoming have been aided by integrated geophysical, geochemical, and hydrologic studies of both the disposal and utilization of water. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) have utilized multi-frequency airborne, ground, and borehole electromagnetic (EM) and ground resistivity methods to characterize the near-surface hydrogeology in areas of produced water disposal. These surveys provide near-surface EM data that can be compared with results of previous surveys to monitor changes in soils and local hydrology over time as the produced water is discharged through SDI. The focus of this investigation is the Headgate Draw SDI site, situated adjacent to the Powder River near the confluence of a major tributary, Crazy Woman Creek, in Johnson County, Wyoming. The SDI system was installed during the summer of 2008 and began operation in October of 2008. Ground, borehole, and helicopter electromagnetic (HEM) conductivity surveys were conducted at the site prior to the installation of the SDI system. After the installation of the subsurface drip irrigation system, ground EM surveys have been performed quarterly (weather permitting). The geophysical surveys map the heterogeneity of the near-surface geology and hydrology of the study area. The geophysical data are consistent between surveys using different techniques and between surveys carried out at different times from 2007 through 2011. This paper summarizes geophysical results from the 4-year monitoring study of the SDI system.

Wyoming

Permeability measurement and prediction with nuclear magnetic resonance analysis of gas hydrate-bearing sediments recovered from Alaska North Slope 2018 Hydrate-01 Stratigraphic Test Well

Permeability of porous media, such as oil and gas reservoirs, is the crucial material parameter for predicting their hydraulic behavior. A nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) analyzer is widely used as a powerful tool to predict permeability of various media. NMR T 2 (transverse or spin–spin) relaxation time distribution, which is related to pore size distribution, gives the information to allow calculation of effective (initial) permeability. In this study, we investigate effective, intrinsic (absolute), and relative water and gas permeabilities of hydrate-bearing pressure core samples. These samples were recovered from the Alaska North Slope 2018 Hydrate-01 Stratigraphic Test Well by sidewall pressure coring and then analyzed in a laboratory using both fluid flow test and NMR analyzer. The peak of the NMR T 2 distribution was measured at 10–20 ms using a laboratory NMR analyzer, which compares well with in situ measurements obtained via logging while drilling NMR data for two samples with high gas hydrate saturations ( S h = 76% and 74%). Further, comparison of laboratory NMR T 2 distribution after hydrate dissociation revealed that the hydrate existed in large pore spaces. Effective permeabilities predicted by the Timur-Coates (TC) model and the Schlumberger-Doll-Research (SDR) model, with T 2 cutoff 33 ms, were about an order of magnitude less than the laboratory measured values. Alternative TC model-based calculations with the T 2 cutoff reduced to 10 ms and a newly developed hydraulic radius model better matched the laboratory data. For the analysis of the intrinsic permeabilities, the TC model with a T 2 cutoff of 33 ms and SDR model were greater than the laboratory derived values, while the hydraulic radius model more closely matched the laboratory-derived values. In addition, permeability measurements were also made relative to gas and water under constant three-phase flow (water–gas–hydrate) conditions. After hydrate dissociation, a relative permeability curve was developed for each of the analyzed core samples based on the Corey petrophysical model. The results indicate that the gas permeability changed rapidly at high water saturation around 90%. Thus, we infer that the selection of relative reservoir parameters should focus on the higher water saturation conditions.

Alaska

Landsat time series analysis of fractional plant cover changes on abandoned energy development sites

Oil and natural gas development in the western United States has increased substantially in recent decades as technological advances like horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have made extraction more commercially viable. Oil and gas pads are often developed for production, and then capped, reclaimed, and left to recover when no longer productive. Understanding the rates, controls, and degree of recovery of these reclaimed well sites to a state similar to pre-development conditions is critical for energy development and land management decision processes. Here we use a multi-decadal time series of satellite imagery (Landsat 5, 1984–2011) to assess vegetation regrowth on 365 abandoned well pads located across the Colorado Plateau in Utah, Colorado, and New Mexico. We developed high-frequency time series of the Soil-Adjusted Total Vegetation Index (SATVI) for each well pad using the Google Earth Engine cloud computing platform. BFAST time-series models were used to fit temporal trends, identifying when vegetation was cleared from the site and the magnitudes and rates of vegetation change after abandonment. The time series metrics are used to calculate the relative fractional vegetation cover (RFVC) of each pad, a measure of post-abandonment vegetation cover relative to pre-drilling condition. Mean and median RFVC were 36% (s.d. 33%) and 26%, respectively, five years after abandonment, with one third of well pads having RFVC greater than 50%. Statistical analyses suggest that much of the high vegetation cover is associated with weedy invasive annual species such as cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) and Russian thistle (Salsola spp.). Climate conditions and the year of abandonment also play a role, with increased cover in later years associated with a wetter period. Non-linear change at many pads suggests longer recovery times than would be estimated by linear extrapolation. New techniques implemented here address a complex response of cover change to soils, management, and climate over time, and can be extended to the operational monitoring of energy development across large areas.

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation

Methane pore accessibility, densification, and accommodation by organic matter in the Niobrara Formation at wet-gas thermal maturity conditions

Petroleum within unconventional source-rock reservoirs is hosted in organic matter and mineral pore space as well as in voids and microfractures. Recent work has shown that for source-rock reservoirs in the dry gas window, significant portions of methane (CH 4 ), the main component of petroleum at elevated maturities, can be stored within fine (<5 nm) organic matter porosity. However, within reservoirs at lower thermal maturities (e.g., peak oil or wet-gas conditions), the distribution and behavior of CH 4 and the higher alkanes that comprise gas condensates across pore sizes is unclear, especially for pores with diameters <50 nm. Understanding CH 4 distribution within these settings provides insight for petroleum generation, movement, and recoverability, ultimately enabling increased accuracy of estimated ultimate recovery. Here wide Q-range total neutron scattering was used to evaluate perdeuterated methane (CD 4 ) behavior at reservoir pressures (200–750 bar) and temperature (60 °C) in a sample at the late oil/wet gas thermal maturity stage from the Late Cretaceous Niobrara Formation, an active petroleum producing formation within the Denver-Julesburg Basin, U.S. Neutron scattering data show that mesopores within the Niobrara Formation sample exhibit mass fractal scattering, similar to previously measured U.S. marine shale samples. In the presence of CD 4 , scattering intensities between Q = 0.02–0.1 Å −1 (corresponding to nominal pore diameters from 25 to 5 nm, respectively) decrease with increased pressure up to 750 bar where at least 80% of all pores with ~25 nm diameters are CD 4 accessible. In contrast, between Q = 0.1–1 Å −1 (corresponding to nominal pore diameters from 5 to 0.5 nm, respectively), scattering intensity initially increased at the lowest CD 4 pressure tested (200 bar) before decreasing with increasing pressure. These signal fluctuations with CD 4 pressure are interpreted to arise from the creation of pores with diameters <5 nm, likely through deformation of solid bitumen by supercritical CD 4 , and/or the incorporation of CD 4 within sample organic matter. This new porosity represents an increase of at least ~8% in available pore volume within the sample, although the majority of these pores do not persist following removal of CD 4 . Additionally, there is strong evidence for densification of CD 4 within the sample indicated by a shift in the CD 4 intermolecular scattering peak to higher Q-values compared to bulk CD 4 . These results provide insight into fluid properties within source-rock reservoirs at late oil/wet gas thermal maturities, especially as they relate to organic porosity interconnectivity, and are discussed with perspective toward pressure management of gas condensate wells.

Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Wyoming

Planning and operations of the Hydrate 01 Stratigraphic Test Well, Prudhoe Bay Unit, Alaska North Slope

The National Energy Technology Laboratory, the Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation, and the U.S. Geological Survey are leading an effort to conduct an extended gas hydrate production test in northern Alaska. The proposed production test required the drilling of an initial stratigraphic test well (STW) to confirm the geologic conditions of the proposed test site. This well was completed in January 2019 in cooperation with the Prudhoe Bay Unit Working Interest Owners. The Prudhoe Bay Unit Hydrate-01 STW was spudded on 10-December-2018. Downhole data acquisition was completed on 25-December-2018, and the rig was released on 01-January-2019. The Hydrate-01 STW was drilled in two sections, including the surface hole that was drilled to a depth of 2248 ft measured depth (MD) (685 m MD) and cased, and the production hole section that was drilled to a depth of 3558 ft MD (1084 m MD) and also cased. A thermally chilled mineral-oil-based mud was used in the main (production) hole section of the well to maintain wellbore stability and quality of the wellbore acquired data. The primary wellbore data were acquired using logging-while-drilling tools. A sidewall pressure core system was also deployed to gather grain size and other data needed for the design of the future production test wells. In addition to confirming the geologic conditions at the test site, the Hydrate-01 STW was designed to serve as a monitoring well during future field operations. Therefore, two sets of fiber-optic cables, each including a bundled distributed acoustic sensor (DAS) and a distributed temperature sensor (DTS), were clamped to the outside of the production casing and cemented in place. In March 2019, the project team acquired three-dimensional (3D) DAS vertical seismic profiling data in the Hydrate-01 STW. Temperature surveys were also acquired with the DTS as deployed in the Hydrate-01 STW during the completion of the well and nearly continuously since March-2019.

Alaska

Hydrogeochemistry and coal-associated bacterial populations from a methanogenic coal bed

Biogenic coalbed methane (CBM), a microbially-generated source of natural gas trapped within coal beds, is an important energy resource in many countries. Specific bacterial populations and enzymes involved in coal degradation, the potential rate-limiting step of CBM formation, are relatively unknown. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has established a field site, (Birney test site), in an undeveloped area of the Powder River Basin (PRB), with four wells completed in the Flowers-Goodale coal bed, one in the overlying sandstone formation, and four in overlying and underlying coal beds (Knoblach, Nance, and Terret). The nine wells were positioned to characterize the hydraulic conductivity of the Flowers-Goodale coal bed and were selectively cored to investigate the hydrogeochemistry and microbiology associated with CBM production at the Birney test site. Aquifer-test results indicated the Flowers-Goodale coal bed, in a zone from about 112 to 120 m below land surface at the test site, had very low hydraulic conductivity (0.005 m/d) compared to other PRB coal beds examined. Consistent with microbial methanogenesis, groundwater in the coal bed and overlying sandstone contain dissolved methane (46 mg/L average) with low &delta; 13 C values (&minus;67&permil; average), high alkalinity values (22 meq/kg average), relatively positive &delta; 13 C-DIC values (4&permil; average), and no detectable higher chain hydrocarbons, NO 3 &minus; , or SO 4 2&minus; . Bioassay methane production was greatest at the upper interface of the Flowers-Goodale coal bed near the overlying sandstone. Pyrotag analysis identified Aeribacillus as a dominant in situ bacterial community member in the coal near the sandstone and statistical analysis indicated Actinobacteria predominated coal core samples compared to claystone or sandstone cores. These bacteria, which previously have been correlated with hydrocarbon-containing environments such as oil reservoirs, have demonstrated the ability to produce biosurfactants to break down hydrocarbons. Identifying microorganisms involved in coal degradation and the hydrogeochemical conditions that promote their activity is crucial to understanding and improving in situ CBM production.

Montana, Wyoming