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Postfire sediment mobilization and its downstream implications across California, 1984 – 2021

Fire facilitates erosion through changes in vegetation and soil, with major postfire erosion commonly occurring even with moderate rainfall. As climate warms, the western United States (U.S.) is experiencing an intensifying fire regime and increasing frequency of extreme rain. We evaluated whether these hydroclimatic changes are evident in patterns of postfire erosion by modeling hillslope erosion following all wildfires larger than 100 km 2 in California from 1984 to 2021. Our results show that annual statewide postfire hillslope erosion has increased significantly over time. To supplement the hillslope erosion modeling, we compiled modeled and measured postfire debris-flow volumes. We find that, in northern California, more than 50% of fires triggering the top 20 values of sediment mass and sediment yield occurred in the most recent decade (between 2011 and 2021). In southern California, the postfire sediment budget was dominated by debris flows, which showed no temporal trend. Our analysis reveals that 57% of postfire sediment erosion statewide occurred upstream of reservoirs, indicating potential impacts to reservoir storage capacity and thus increased risk to water-resource security with ongoing climate change.

California

RegionGrow3D: A deterministic analysis for characterizing discrete three-dimensional landslide source areas on a regional scale

Regional-scale characterization of shallow landslide hazards is important for reducing their destructive impact on society. These hazards are commonly characterized by (a) their location and likelihood using susceptibility maps, (b) landslide size and frequency using geomorphic scaling laws, and (c) the magnitude of disturbance required to cause landslides using initiation thresholds. Typically, this is accomplished through the use of inventories documenting the locations and triggering conditions of previous landslides. In the absence of comprehensive landslide inventories, physics-based slope stability models can be used to estimate landslide initiation potential and provide plausible distributions of landslide characteristics for a range of environmental and forcing conditions. However, these models are sometimes limited in their ability to capture key mechanisms tied to discrete three-dimensional (3D) landslide mechanics while possessing the computational efficiency required for broad-scale application. In this study, the RegionGrow3D (RG3D) model is developed to broadly simulate the area, volume, and location of landslides on a regional scale (≥1,000 km 2 ) using 3D, limit-equilibrium (LE)-based slope stability modeling. Furthermore, RG3D is incorporated into a susceptibility framework that quantifies landsliding uncertainty using a distribution of soil shear strengths and their associated probabilities, back-calculated from inventoried landslides using 3D LE-based landslide forensics. This framework is used to evaluate the influence of uncertainty tied to shear strength, rainfall scenarios, and antecedent soil moisture on potential landsliding and rainfall thresholds over a large region of the Oregon Coast Range, USA.

Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface

Uncertainty reduction for subaerial landslide-tsunami hazards

Subaerial rock slopes may generate a tsunami by rapidly moving into the water. Large uncertainty in landslide characteristics propagates into large uncertainty in tsunami hazard, making hazard assessment more difficult for land and emergency managers. Once a potentially tsunamigenic landslide is identified, it may not be clear which landslide characteristics contribute most significantly to uncertainty in the tsunami hazard. Our aim is to document the relative worth of different landslide characteristics (e.g., size, material properties) for reducing uncertainty in landslide-tsunami hazard assessments. Isolating the relative importance of specific landslide characteristics may inform prioritization of data collection and improve efficiency in understanding hazard. To accomplish this, we generated a set of 288 landslide-tsunami simulations in which we systematically varied the size and material properties of possible failure extents at the Barry Arm landslide complex in northwestern Prince William Sound, Alaska, USA. We find that for landslides smaller than the receiving waterbody, the landslide volume has the strongest effect on resulting wave characteristics and thus the highest leverage on reducing uncertainty in tsunami hazard. In contrast, for landslides substantially larger than the waterbody, the duration of rapid movement of the landslide has the highest leverage. Based on our results, we propose a classification scheme for subaerial landslides based on the relative size of the landslide and waterbody. Additionally, our results support the generation of a tsunami height transfer function between existing tide gages and a nearby coastal city. These results have direct implications for the practice of operational early warning.

Alaska

Hyperspectral imaging predicts differences in carbon and nitrogen status among representative biocrust functional groups of the Colorado Plateau

Biological soil crusts (biocrusts) are widespread soil photosynthetic communities covering about 12% of Earth's land surface and play crucial roles in terrestrial carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) cycles, yet scalable quantifications of biocrusts and their biogeochemical contributions are notably lacking. While remote sensing has enormous potential to assess, scale, and contextualize biocrusts and their functions, the applicability of hyperspectral data in predicting C- and N-related biocrust traits remains largely unexplored. We address this issue by evaluating the potential of in situ hyperspectral data to predict C and N across a range of biocrust species and different environmental conditions. We found that in situ hyperspectral reflectance measurements can be used to predict biocrust tissue C/N ratios and N concentrations with relatively high accuracy but to a lesser extent for potential biocrust N2 fixation rates. Critical wavelength domains included the visible region of the spectrum from roughly 490–600 nm, which most effectively captured variations in biocrust tissue C, and the shortwave infrared region from 1,150 to 1,350 nm and 1,550–1,650 nm, which most effectively captured biocrust tissue N and N2 fixation potential. Finally, we provide evidence that multi- and hyperspectral missions with targeted band placement, such as the proposed 26-band Landsat Next, could be effective in predicting biocrust traits. This work provides a critical step in understanding how to apply data from new and upcoming satellite missions to the monitoring of biocrusts.

Utah

Climate, hydrology, and nutrients control the seasonality of Si concentrations in rivers

The seasonal behavior of fluvial dissolved silica (DSi) concentrations, termed DSi regime , mediates the timing of DSi delivery to downstream waters and thus governs river biogeochemical function and aquatic community condition. Previous work identified five distinct DSi regimes across rivers spanning the Northern Hemisphere, with many rivers exhibiting multiple DSi regimes over time. Several potential drivers of DSi regime behavior have been identified at small scales, including climate, land cover, and lithology, and yet the large-scale spatiotemporal controls on DSi regimes have not been identified. We evaluate the role of environmental variables on the behavior of DSi regimes in nearly 200 rivers across the Northern Hemisphere using random forest models. Our models aim to elucidate the controls that give rise to (a) average DSi regime behavior, (b) interannual variability in DSi regime behavior (i.e., Annual DSi regime), and (c) controls on DSi regime shape (i.e., minimum and maximum DSi concentrations). Average DSi regime behavior across the period of record was classified accurately 59% of the time, whereas Annual DSi regime behavior was classified accurately 80% of the time. Climate and primary productivity variables were important in predicting Average DSi regime behavior, whereas climate and hydrologic variables were important in predicting Annual DSi regime behavior. Median nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations were important drivers of minimum and maximum DSi concentrations, indicating that these macronutrients may be important for seasonal DSi drawdown and rebound. Our findings demonstrate that fluctuations in climate, hydrology, and nutrient availability of rivers shape the temporal availability of fluvial DSi.

Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences

Longitudinal and seasonal changes of organic matter sources through a semi-arid river-reservoir system

The quality and quantity of organic matter (OM) in a river system directly affects ecosystem health; thus, managers benefit from an in-depth understanding of the drivers and sources of OM. In the Snake River, a highly altered river-reservoir system in the semi-arid western United States, OM production and loading are key drivers of reservoir anoxia, which leads to several deleterious processes such as mercury methylation. However, sources and quantities of OM to the Snake River, and the effects of impoundment on OM moving through the river-reservoir system, are not well understood. Particulate organic carbon (POC), dissolved organic carbon (DOC), particulate nitrogen (PN), chlorophyll a (chl- a ), and δ 15 N–PN and δ 13 C–POC isotopic ratios were measured bi-weekly for over 2 years at four locations through the Snake River Hells Canyon Reservoir Complex to determine spatial and temporal patterns of OM quantities and sources. POC concentrations increased through the riverine zone upstream of the reservoirs, likely due to in situ primary production and/or inputs from tributaries and agricultural drains; then decreased through the most upstream reservoir likely due to particle settling. Isotopic ratios and other OM source indicators (δ 15 N–PN, δ 13 C–POC, POC:PN, chl- a :POC) show that the dominant source of particulate OM was phytoplankton with seasonal terrestrial/macrophytic inputs. Results highlight the effects of major tributary and agricultural drain inputs, primary production, and impoundment on OM composition and concentration through a large river-reservoir system and may inform water quality management efforts in this and similar systems.

Idaho, Oregon

Rupture continuity through intermittent pauses in Cascadia slow slip events

Cascadia slow slip events (SSEs) are often envisioned as smooth, continuous ruptures, progressively activating tremor asperities as they propagate. Macroscopically, geodetic inversions and spatiotemporal maps of tremor epicenters show steady, uniform migration. In detail tremor is more chaotic and discontinuous. Larger long-term SSEs observed in daily geodetic solutions are inferred to exhibit intermittent pauses that reflect temporary re-locking of the fault, but this temporal resolution limits tests for similar re-locking on shorter timescales. We use temporal measurements of the areal growth and radiated energy of tremor clusters to investigate SSE intermittence. We find that ruptures mirror tremor pauses. Areal growth rate, however, does not reset, and removing the pauses results in smoother and more similar growth measurements among all SSEs. The rupture similarity occurs regardless of size or location and hints at an underlying uniformity and lack of predeterminism in eventual SSE size. Epicentral uncertainty precludes quantifying early rupture stages, but for larger events areal growth follows a power-law and slows with increasing size. Temporal correlations in tremor energy with inferred SSE propagation velocities and tremor rates suggest its use as a proxy for slip velocity. We find that tremor energy is tidally modulated at daily and sub-daily frequencies, and this modulation is continuous through pauses, suggesting a memory of slip state is sustained through them. We argue these pauses reflect unsteady propagation of the slip front, marked by rapid re- and un-locking, and excluding them removes rupture complexity to reveal a diffusive-like slip process and underlying universality in growth.

California, Oregon, Washington

Constraining the permeability and outer-rise hydration at the Central America margin

Subduction zones are important drivers of Earth's geochemical evolution; the presence of water within the subduction system has substantial implications for geohazards, including the style of seismicity and the volume of magma generated at arc volcanoes. We utilize estimates of pore fluid distributions in the outer-rise region of the Central American margin imaged using controlled-source electro-magnetic surveys and novel two-dimensional forward models simulating poro-elastic deformation of slab bending to constrain the background permeability structure of the Cocos Plate and within outer-rise fault damage zones. The model results suggest that a relatively low background permeability structure is required to match the observed porosity at depths greater than 3 km (less than ~10 −21 m 2 . Similarly, increasing the permeability within the damage zones of outer-rise faults by more than a factor of 10 also over-predicts observed porosity distributions at depths greater than 3 km. However, the simulations consistently underpredict pore fluid distributions between depths of 1–3 km, which may reflect nonlinear elastic or anelastic deformation processes not included in the simulations or inherent uncertainty in the conversion of resistivity measurements to porosity distributions. The best-fitting depth-permeability relationship is relatively low, which has important implications for the timing of pore fluid release down-dip of the trench, as it restricts shallow fluid release, likely leading to higher pore fluid pressures, more widespread hydraulic fracturing, and deeper release of pore fluid along the plate interface.

Journal of Geophysical Research, Solid Earth

Role of volcano-tectonic interactions during early-phase magma-assisted continental rifting

We study volcanic-tectonic interactions during the early phase of rifting in the Natron Rift, a magmatic segment of the East African Rift System. We use the open-source crustal deformation modeling code, PyLith, to model deflation during the 2007–2008 explosive eruptions and inflation during 2016–2023. We compare predictions of surface displacements resulting from magma reservoir inflation from 3D models with and without topography and homogeneous and heterogeneous material properties against Global Navigation Satellite System displacements from 2016 to 2023. We prefer the model with heterogeneous material properties and topography for fitting the observed displacements. Including topography improves the fit to GNSS data and modulates stress changes from shallow magma sources. Our numerical modeling of Coulomb stress changes suggests that deflation of a magma reservoir under the active Ol Doinyo Lengai volcano could trigger oblique normal slip on the Natron Fault with Coulomb stress increases exceeding ∼0.1 MPa on the volcano-adjacent fault segment. Fault slip on the Natron Fault is less likely during inflation of the magma reservoir because normal compressive stress increases on the fault. We also demonstrate that Coulomb stress changes are sensitive to the inclusion of topography in our model, particularly because the depth of the magma reservoir is similar to the amplitude of the topographic relief.

Ol Doinyo Lenga

Rapid seismic and infrasound assessment of large landslides: A case study from Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska)

Large, rapid landslides are a global hazard that can occur in remote, mountainous areas. Eyewitness reports of landslides and satellite imagery can often be limited or delayed, particularly during inclement weather. However, landslide-generated seismic and infrasound (low-frequency atmospheric sound) waves can be remotely detected in near real-time. This information can significantly expedite characterization and possible landslide response activities. Here, we highlight these capabilities using a > 4 million m³ ice–rock avalanche in Denali National Park and Preserve (Alaska). This event was detected via a landslide-specific seismic location and volume estimation algorithm deployed in Alaska, and — notably — by standard earthquake monitoring systems. Following rapid detection of this event, we combined its seismic and infrasound dataset with optical, synthetic aperture radar, and oblique aerial imagery, multitemporal digital elevation models, and a numerical flow model to reconstruct its failure timeline and dynamics. We apply array processing to infrasound signals traveling > 250 km and find that two precursory events occurred minutes prior to the main failure. We use long-period seismic signals to infer the force exerted by the landslide on the Earth and constrain the rheological parameters of our numerical flow simulation with this result and deposit morphology. The main failure produced a steeply-dipping impulsive initial downward force and reached speeds exceeding 60 m/s. This impulsive force generated relatively strong seismic body waves, which contributed to the earthquake system detection. This large, remote Alaska landslide underscores the key value of seismic and infrasound analysis for rapid landslide assessment and motivates efforts to further operationalize these approaches.

Alaska

The collision zone between the North d'Entrecasteaux Ridge and the New Hebrides island arc. 2. Structure from multichannel seismic data

The d'Entrecasteaux zone (DEZ) collides with the central New Hebrides island arc and consists of two subparallel ridges that strike east-west, stand 1–2 km above the surrounding oceanic plate, and subduct obliquely (15°) northward beneath the arc. Rocks dredged from the north ridge as well as reflections evident in multichannel seismic reflection data indicate that this ridge has a volcanic origin. Crystalline volcanic rocks are common along the lower flank of the ridge, but sedimentary, probably volcaniclastic, rock caps the ridge. Seismic reflection data collected over the lower arc slope reveal that mass wasting deposits locally make up most of the accretionary wedge. These deposits appear to form discrete bodies, suggesting that mass wasting occurred episodically. Large anticlines and thrust faults having large vertical separation are not readily evident where the colliding ridge intersects the arc slope; apparently, slope rocks have low strength so that mass wasting deposits formed instead of large-relief structures. Mass wasting is thought to occur as the accretionary wedge is uplifted in response to the northward oblique subduction of the north ridge. The toe of the north ridge flank marks an abrupt transition in the lithologies that make up the footwall of the interplate decollement. Footwall lithologies change from ocean basin to volcaniclastic ridge material, and this transition probably marks a discontinuity in friction along the decollement or in rock mechanical properties because north of the transition, thrust faults deform the accretionary wedge whereas south of the transition, steep reverse faults crosscut the wedge and pierce the north flank of the ridge. This piercement means that the decollement at least locally lies within the ridge and that ridge material exotic to the New Hebrides arc may be incorporated into the accretionary wedge.

Journal of Geophysical Research

A review of the regional geophysics of the Arizona Transition Zone

A review of existing geophysical information and new data presented in this special section indicate that major changes in crustal properties between the Basin and Range and Colorado Plateau occur in, or directly adjacent to, the region defined as the Arizona Transition Zone. Although this region was designated on a physiographic basis, studies indicate that it is also the geophysical transition between adjoining provinces. The Transition Zone displays anomalous crustal and upper mantle seismic properties, shallow Curie isotherms, high heat flow, and steep down-to-the-plateau Bouguer gravity gradients. Seismic and gravity studies suggest that the change in crustal thickness, from thin crust in the Basin and Range to thick crust in the Colorado Plateau, may occur as a series of steps rather than a planar surface. Anomalous P wave velocities, high heat flow, shallow Curie isotherms, and results of gravity modeling suggest that the upper mantle is heterogeneous in this region. A relatively shallow asthenosphere beneath the Basin and Range and Transition Zone contrasted with a thick lithosphere beneath the Colorado Plateau would be one explanation that would satisfy these geophysical observations.

Journal of Geophysical Research

Paleomagnetic constraints on the geometry and timing of deformation at Yucca Mountain, Nevada

Paleomagnetic data from Miocene ash flow sheets indicate that southern Yucca Mountain has undergone about 30° of clockwise vertical-axis rotation since emplacement of the Tiva Canyon Member of the Paintbrush Tuff at about 13 Ma. Declinations of remanent magnetization from 32 sites in the reversely magnetized Tiva Canyon Member display a systematic southward increase over the 25 km north–south extent of Yucca Mountain. Probable errors in estimating structural attitudes are a major source of uncertainty in determining the amount of rotation between any two sites. Analysis of tilt-corrected directions of remanent magnetization from the Tiva Canyon sites indicates that structural attitudes determined from outcrop patterns on geologic maps are generally more accurate than field measurements of attitudes of compaction foliation or contacts. Attitudes determined from map patterns apparently minimize effects of (1) initial dips, (2) poorly defined compaction foliation, and (3) tilting that occurred after compaction but before blocking of remanence; however, such attitudes cannot accurately represent tilting related to unmapped local structures. Rotations implied by data from three older ash flow sheets, the Topopah Spring Member of the Paintbrush Tuff (seven sites), and the Prow Pass (four sites) and Bullfrog (three sites) Members of the Crater Flat Tuff are generally consistent with the amount and sense of rotation documented by data from the Tiva Canyon Member. Uncertainties in the declinations of tilt-corrected site mean directions from these older units preclude evaluating whether older units have undergone more rotation than the Tiva Canyon Member.

Journal of Geophysical Research

Magnetic fabric, flow directions, and source area of the Lower Miocene Peach Springs Tuff in Arizona, California, and Nevada

We have used anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility (AMS) to define the flow fabric and possible source area of the Peach Springs Tuff, a widespread rhyolitic ash flow tuff in the Mojave Desert and Great Basin of California, Arizona, and Nevada. The tuff is an important stratigraphic marker from the Colorado Plateau to Barstow, California, a distance of 350 km; however, the location of its source caldera is unknown. Dated at 18.5 Ma by 40 Ar/ 39 Ar, the tuff erupted during the early stages of Miocene extension along the lower Colorado River. The thicker accumulations (>100 m) occur at Kingman, Arizona, and in the Piute Mountains, California, on opposite sides of the Colorado River extensional corridor. Our AMS studies produced well-defined magnetic lineations in 30 of 42 sites distributed throughout the tuff. Typical ratios of the principal AMS axes are 1.01 for the magnetic lineation ( k max / k int ) and 1.02 for the foliation ( k int / k min ); the bulk magnetic susceptibility of the Peach Springs Tuff averages 2.0×10 −3 in the SI unit system. The subhorizontal lineations, which presumably parallel the flow directions, form a pattern radiating outward from the approximate center of the outcrop area. Magnetic foliations define an imbrication that generally dips away from the distal margins and toward the center of the outcrop of the tuff. The lineation and imbrication indicate a source region near the southern tip of Nevada. Defining the best intersection of the AMS lineations required restoration of major extension, strike-slip faulting, and associated tectonic rotation in the disrupted tuff. The optimum intersection of magnetic lineations lies in the southern Black Mountains of Arizona on the eastern side of the Colorado River extensional corridor. No caldera structures are known from that area, but the area contains thick sections of the Peach Springs Tuff above a silicic volcanic center. The caldera may be buried under younger deposits in the Mohave Valley of Arizona. Tertiary granite in the Newberry Mountains may represent a deeper level of the Peach Springs Tuff vent that has been exhumed by detachment faulting.

Journal of Geophysical Research

Evolution of deep structure along the trans-Alaska crustal transect, Chugach Mountains and Copper River Basin, southern Alaska

One of the most important results of the Trans-Alaska Crustal Transect investigations is the discovery that more than one third of the North American plate in southern Alaska (Chugach Mountains and Copper River basin) consists of tectonically underplated oceanic lithosphere. In southern Alaska, exposed accreted tectonostratigraphic terranes, include, from south to north along the transect, the Prince William, Chugach, Peninsular, and Wrangellia terranes. Chief results from seismic refraction data include the following: (1) A sequence of layers of low and high velocity (5.7–7.8 km/s), more than 10 km thick, dips gently northward, with its top at the surface in the southernmost Chugach terrane and at more than 20-km depth beneath the southern Peninsular terrane. A high-velocity layer at the top of this sequence corresponds to metabasalt in the southernmost Chugach terrane. This sequence is interpreted to be tectonically underplated fragments of the Kula plate and its sedimentary overburden. (2) An intermediate-velocity layer (6.35–6.5 km/s) at 9-km depth beneath both the northern Chugach and southern Peninsular terranes appears to extend without offset across the deep projection of the suture between these two terranes, the Border Ranges fault system. (3) A crustal “root” between depths of 19 and 57 km beneath the northern Peninsular and Wrangellia terranes appears to extend without offset across the deep projection of the suture between these two terranes, the West Fork fault system. This crustal root also appears to abut the tectonically underplated sequence to the south. Unfortunately, in results 2 and 3 the apparent crosscutting and abutting relationships can not be unambiguously resolved. Three scenarios, A, B, and C, have been offered to explain the evolution of this structure. Scenarios A and B differ in interpretation of the depth extent of the northern Chugach and southern Peninsular terranes. In scenario A these terranes extend to only 9-km depth, where they rest on an unknown middle crust, interpreted as a deeper part of the Peninsular terrane. In this scenario, the northern Chugach and southern Peninsular terrenes moved landward as a tectonic wedge, during tectonic underplating in the latest Cretaceous or early Tertiary, and uplifted the upper crust of the Peninsular terrane to the north. In scenario B, the northern Chugach and southern Peninsular terranes extend to 20-km depth. In this scenario, they were compressed but not detached and displaced during accretion. Scenarios A, B, and C differ in interpretation of the deep crustal root that appears to abut the tectonically underplated sequence. Since the Peninsular and Wrangellia terranes were at or below sea level prior to the mid-Cretaceous, the root was probably emplaced in mid-Cretaceous or younger times. In scenario A the root is lower crust of North America that moved southward during tectonic underplating of the Kula plate. In scenario B the root is, in part, tectonically underplated rocks similar to the Kula plate sequence to the south. In scenario C the root is, in part, magmatically underplated rocks.

Journal of Geophysical Research

Crustal structure of accreted terranes in southern Alaska, Chugach Mountains and Copper River Basin, from seismic refraction results

Seismic refraction data were collected along a 320-km-long "transect' line in southern Alaska, crossing the Prince William, Chugach, Peninsular, and Wrangellia terranes, and along several shorter lines within individual terranes. Velocity structure in the upper crust (less than 9-km depth) differs among the four terranes. In contrast, layers in the middle crust (9- to 25-km depth) in some case extend across projected terrane boundaries. The top of a gently north dipping sequence of low- and high-velocity layers (5.7-7.8 km/s), more than 10 km thick, extends from near the surface in the southern Chugach terrane to more than 20-km depth beneath the southern Peninsular terrane. This sequence, truncated by the suture between the Prince William and Chugach terranes, is interpreted to be an underplated "terrane' made up of fragments of the Kula plate and its sedimentary overburden that were accreted during subduction in the late Mesozoic and/or early Tertiary, during or between times of accretion of the Prince William and Chugach terranes.

Alaska

Tide gage measurements of uplift along the south coast of Alaska

Annual mean sea levels along the south coast of Alaska are used to measure uplift along the Alaska‐Aleutian subduction zone. Oceanographic effects are removed from the observed annual mean sea levels by subtracting a correction that is proportional to the sea level fluctuations observed in southeast Alaska. That correction is effective in reducing fluctuations in the observed, annual mean sea level as far west as the tip of Alaska peninsula. Additional corrections to remove the eustatic rise in sea level and the apparent fall in sea level due to postglacial isostatic rebound of the land are introduced. This corrected sea level record should provide a measure of tectonic subsidence. In the area affected by the 1964 Alaska earthquake, postseismic uplift occurs where coseismic subsidence was observed, and postseismic subsidence occurs where coseismic uplift was observed. The immediate postseismic response is damped out within the first decade, and the subsequent uplift rates appear to be steady over the 1974–1989 interval. However, some of those rates seem to be too high to be sustained over the ∼1000 year earthquake recurrence interval appropriate to this area if the interseismic deformation is only to recover the coseismic displacement. Thus a long‐term ( ∼100 years) relaxation in uplift rates is postulated. The immediate (time constant ∼5 years) postseismic relaxation is attributed to postseismic slip on the plate interface directly downdip from the coseismic rupture. The long‐term (time constant ∼100 years) relaxation is attributed to flow in the asthenosphere.

Alaska

Transient eddy formation around headlands

Eddies with length scales of 1-10 km are commonly observed in coastal waters and play an important role in the dispersion of water-borne materials. The generation and evolution of these eddies by oscillatory tidal flow around coastal headlands is investigated with analytical and nu merical models. Using shallow water depth-averaged vorticity dynamics, eddies are shown to form when flow separation occurs near the tip of the headland, causing intense vorticity generated along the headland to be injected into the interior. An analytic boundary layer model demonstrates that flow separation occurs when the pressure gradient along the boundary switches from favoring (ac celerating) to adverse (decelerating), and its occurrence depends principally on three parameters: the aspect ratio [b/a], where b and a are characteristic width and length scales of the headland; [H/CDa], where H is the water depth, CD is the depth-averaged drag coefficient; and [Uo/aa], where Uo and a are the magnitude and frequency of the far-field tidal flow. Simulations with a depth-averaged numerical model show a wide range of responses to changes in these parameters, including cases where no separation occurs, cases where only one eddy exists at a given time, and cases where bottom friction is weak enough that eddies produced during successive tidal cycles coexist, interacting strongly with each other. These simulations also demonstrate that in unsteady flow, a strong start-up vortex forms after the flow separates, leading to a much more intense patch of vorticity and stronger recirculation than found in steady flow.

Journal of Geophysical Research