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2017 Status of the Lake Ontario Lower Trophic Levels

Significant Findings for Year 2017: 1) Offshore spring total phosphorus (TP) in 2017 was 4.4 µg/L; values remained stable since 2001. Offshore soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) remained low (1.1 µg/L) in 2017; Apr/May – Oct mean values have been stable in nearshore and offshore habitats since 1998 (range, 0.4 – 3.3 µg/L). Apr/May – Oct mean TP concentrations were low at both nearshore and offshore locations (range, 3.7 – 9.0 µg/L). TP and SRP concentrations were significantly higher in nearshore compared to offshore habitats (7.9 µg/L vs 5.3 µg/L, TP; 1.7 µg/L vs 1.0 µg/L, SRP). 2) Chlorophyll-a and Secchi depth values are indicative of oligotrophic conditions in nearshore and offshore habitats. Offshore summer chlorophyll-a was stable 2000 – 2017. Nearshore chlorophyll-a increased 1995 - 2004 but then declined 2005 – 2015; values were above the long-term mean for 2016 and 2017. In 2017, epilimnetic chlorophyll-a averaged between 1.2 and 2.6 μg/L across sites, and offshore and nearshore Apr/May – Oct concentrations were not significantly different. Summer Secchi depth increased significantly in the offshore 2005 – 2017 and in the nearshore 1995 – 2004. There was no trend in either habitat 1995 – 2017. Apr/May – Oct Secchi depth ranged from 4.4 m to 12.5 m at individual sites and was not significantly different between offshore (8.9 m) and nearshore (5.7 m) locations. 3) In 2017, nearshore summer zooplankton biomass was at an all-time low (10.3 mg/m3). Apr/May – Oct epilimnetic zooplankton density was not different between the offshore and the nearshore, but zooplankton size and biomass were significantly higher in the offshore. (0.7 mm vs 0.52 mm and 14.2 mg/m3 vs 7.7 mg/m3). Daphnid, calanoid copepod, and cyclopoid biomass were all higher in the offshore. 4) Peak (July) epilimnetic biomass of Cercopagis was 2.5 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 1.6 mg/m3 in the offshore. Peak (September/October) epilimnetic biomass of Bythotrephes was 0.9 mg/m3 in the nearshore and 0.5 mg/m3 in the offshore. Bythotrephes biomass has increased significantly in the nearshore, 1995 – 2017. 5) Summer nearshore zooplankton density and biomass declined significantly 1995 – 2004 and then remained stable 2005 – 2017. The decline was due mainly to reductions cyclopoids. 6) Summer epilimnetic offshore zooplankton density and biomass increased significantly 2005 – 2017, due mainly to increases in cyclopoids and daphnids. In 2017, offshore summer epilimnetic zooplankton biomass was 14 mg/m3—well below the mean from 2005 – 2016 (21 mg/m3). 7) Most offshore zooplankton biomass was found in the metalimnion in July and September, and in the hypolimnion in October. Limnocalanus and cyclopoids dominated the metalimnion in July while daphnids and cyclopoids comprised most of the biomass in September. Daphnids dominated the October hypolimnion. Whole water column samples show a declining zooplankton biomass 2015 – 2017. Bythotrephes biomass in whole water column tows is the highest it has been, 2010 – 2017.

Lake Ontario

Bottom trawl assessment of Lake Ontario prey fishes, 2019

Multi-agency, collaborative Lake Ontario bottom trawl surveys provide information for decision making related to Fish Community Objectives including predator-prey balance and understanding prey fish community diversity. In 2019, bottom trawl surveys in April (n = 252 tows) and October (n = 160 tows) sampled main lake and embayments at depths from 5–226 m. Combined, the surveys captured 283,383 fish from 39 species. Alewife were 67% of the total catch by number while round goby, deepwater sculpin, and rainbow smelt comprised 13, 10, and 4% of the catch, respectively. In 2019, the lake-wide adult alewife biomass index declined from 2018 and age-1 biomass, a measure of reproductive success the previous year, was low. Year-class catch curve models identified years where estimates from surveys conducted only in U.S. waters were biased, potentially due to a greater portion of the alewife population inhabiting unsampled Canadian waters. Accounting for spatial survey bias, these model estimates indicated the 2019 adult alewife biomass was the lowest value in the 42-year time series. Models also identified the extent to which age-1 alewife biomass was historically underestimated, however lake-wide results from 2016-2019 appear less biased. If below-average year-class estimates from 2017 and 2018 are accurate, adult alewife biomass will continue to decline in 2020. Abundance indices for other pelagic prey fishes such as rainbow smelt, threespine stickleback, emerald shiner, and cisco were low and similar to 2018 values. Pelagic prey fish diversity is low because a single species, alewife, dominates the community. Deepwater sculpin and round goby were the most abundant demersal (bottom-oriented) prey fishes in 2019. Despite declines in slimy sculpin and other nearshore prey fishes, demersal prey fish community diversity has increased as deepwater sculpin and round goby comprise more even portions of the community. New experimental trawl sites in embayment habitats generally captured more species, a higher proportion of native species, and higher densities relative to main lake habitats. In 2019, a western tubenose goby (Proterorhinus semilunaris) was captured for the first time in the trawl surveys.

Lake Ontario

Status and trends of prey fish populations in Lake Michigan, 2018

The U.S. Geological Survey Great Lakes Science Center has conducted lake-wide surveys of the fish community in Lake Michigan each fall since 1973 using standard 12 m bottom trawls towed along contour at depths of 9 to 110 m at each of seven index transects. The survey provides relative abundance and biomass estimates between the 5 m and 114 m depth contours of the lake for prey fish populations, as well as for burbot and yellow perch. The resulting data are used to estimate various population parameters that are in turn used by state and tribal agencies in managing Lake Michigan fish stocks. All seven established index transects of the survey were completed in 2018, although depths 64 m and greater offshore of Frankfort could not be completed due to excessive dreissenid mussel biomass on our multiple tow attempts. Mean biomass of alewives in 2018 was estimated at 0.54 kg/ha, which was the highest value since 2013, but still only 6.7% of the long-term average (7.96 kg/ha). Age distribution of alewives remained truncated with no alewife age exceeding 5 years. Bloater biomass was 2.60 kg/ha in 2018, relatively unchanged from 2017, but still only 14% of the long-term average. Round goby biomass was 1.25 kg/ha in 2018, the 3rd largest estimate in the time series and 62% higher than the average since they were first sampled in 2003. Rainbow smelt biomass was 0.45 kg/ha, which was the highest since 2006 but only 21% of the long-term average. Likewise, deepwater sculpin biomass was 1.30 kg/ha in 2018, which was the highest since 2007 but only 20% of the long-term average. Slimy sculpin biomass was only 0.07 kg/ha in 2018, and similar to the very low levels estimated since 2012 and only 17% of the long-term average. Ninespine stickleback remained very rare in 2018 (0.004 kg/ha), and only 1% of the long-term average. Overall, the total prey fish biomass (sum of alewife, bloater, rainbow smelt, deepwater sculpin, slimy sculpin, round goby, and ninespine stickleback) in 2018 was 6.22 kg/ha, roughly 65% greater than in 2017 but still only 17% of the long-term average. With respect to other species of interest, burbot biomass was only 0.04 kg/ha in 2018 (18% of the long-term average) and no age-0 yellow perch were caught in 2018, indicating a weak year-class.

Lake Michigan

Angler-caught salmonid diets illustrate Lake Ontario Alewife population and predator-prey dynamics

Lake Ontario fisheries decision makers use information about the status and trajectory of prey fish populations, such as alewife, for salmonid sport fish management. In 2020, the April bottom trawl survey, typically used to assess alewife, was canceled the day after it began due to Coronavirus health concerns. This prompted NYSDEC and USGS science teams to initiate a diet study using angler-collected samples to provide information on the alewife population in 2020. Over 800 salmonid diets were collected from across Lake Ontario southern shore from May through September. Past diet studies illustrated alewife size distribution in piscivore diets overlapped April trawl survey-based distributions (proportion overlap = 0.51- 0.81, n = 5). In 2020 few age-1 sized alewife (40 - 140 mm) were observed in salmonid diets, suggesting that 2019 alewife reproduction was below average. Given that alewife reproductive success from 2017 and 2018 were also below average, the 2021 Lake Ontario adult alewife population will likely be at a record low for the 43-year time series. For all years and piscivore species, adult-sized Alewife ( total length > 140 mm) were the predominate size consumed by piscivores greater than 400 mm (~ 16 inches). Sizes of alewife in the diet were positively related to piscivore size. Diet composition, by dry weight, indicated alewife remain the dominant prey supporting salmonids and diets were generally similar to trawl-based estimates of prey fish community composition. The most notable deviation from this pattern included round goby, which comprised substantial portions of brown trout and lake trout diets in 2013 and 2020. These results inform decision making related to Lake Ontario salmonid stocking and predator prey dynamics and highlight the utility of angler-caught piscivore diets for indicating alewife population status.

Lake Ontario

Bottom trawl assessment of Lake Ontario's benthic preyfish community, 2021

Since 1978, the Lake Ontario preyfish community survey has provided information on the status and trends of the benthic preyfish community related to Fish Community Objectives that includes understanding preyfish population dynamics and community diversity. Beginning in 2015, the benthic preyfish survey expanded from US-only to incorporate lake-wide sampling sites which increased the survey’s spatial coverage, and resumed sampling in eastern embayments (Black River, Chaumont, Guffin, and Henderson Bays) that were historically sampled during a September bottom trawl survey to index yellow perch from 1978 to 2007. In 2021, the collaborative benthic preyfish survey completed 195 bottom trawl tows across main lake and embayments at depths from 5 to 226 m. New embayment sites at Bay of Quinte, Sodus, and Little Sodus Bay were added to the survey in 2021 to compare fish communities across nearshore sites. In total, the 2021 survey sampled 109,178 fish from 35 species. Round goby ( Neogobius melanostomus ) was the most numerically abundant species comprising 44% of the total catch, followed by deepwater sculpin ( Myoxocephalus thompsonii ), and alewife ( Alosa pseudoharengus ) at 17% and 11%, respectively. Deepwater sculpin accounted for most (406 kg) of the fish biomass sampled during the 2021 survey (total=1,995 kg), followed by round goby (257 kg), and common carp (252 kg). Slimy sculpin ( Cottus cognatus ) biomass was higher in 2021 than in 2020, when spatial coverage was reduced. Deepwater sculpin biomass remained high in 2021 and similar to observations since 2019. White perch biomass ( Morone americana ) in Black River Bay has increased compared to observations from historical surveys. Yellow perch ( Perca flavescens ) accounted for most of the benthic preyfish biomass across the embayments surveyed in 2021 except for the Bay of Quinte and Black River Bay, where white perch accounted for a greater proportion of the fish community biomass.

Lake Ontario

Supplemental vegetation monitoring plots at Wind Cave National Park to accelerate learning of the Annual Brome Adaptive Management (ABAM) model

The Annual Brome Adaptive Management (ABAM) project is a consortium of seven parks in the Northern Great Plains (NGP) working together to better understand how to control invasive annual grasses (including Bromus species) through an adaptive management approach. This approach is supported by a quantitative model that uses current data from standardized vegetation monitoring plots in all seven parks to annually update the model’s parameters and predictions regarding the effects of different management actions on invasive annual grasses and other components of the mixed-grass prairie plant community. This updating of the model is called “learning.” The ABAM model includes treatments in which the herbicides indaziflam and imazapic are applied alone or in combination with or without a prescribed fire preceding or following their application. However, the original ABAM model did not have field data for the effects of those treatments on target invasive annual grasses and other components of the vegetation in conditions like those that frequently occur in ABAM parks (i.e., ungrazed). The purpose of this study is to increase the amount of information about these treatments and therefore accelerate the rate of learning accomplished in the adaptive management cycle.

South Dakota

Supplemental vegetation monitoring plots at Little Bighorn Battlefield National Monument to accelerate learning of the Annual Brome Adaptive Management (ABAM) model

The Annual Brome Adaptive Management (ABAM) project is a consortium of seven parks in the Northern Great Plains (NGP) working together to better understand how to control invasive annual grasses (including Bromus species) through an adaptive management approach. This approach is supported by a quantitative model that uses current data from standardized vegetation monitoring plots in all seven parks to annually update the model’s parameters and predictions regarding the effects of different management actions on invasive annual grasses and other components of the mixed-grass prairie plant community. This updating of the model is called “learning.” The original ABAM model has little information about the effects of the herbicide indaziflam on target invasive annual grasses and other components of the vegetation in conditions like those that frequently occur in ABAM parks (i.e., ungrazed). The purpose of this study is to provide some of that information and therefore accelerate the rate of learning accomplished in the adaptive management cycle.

Montana

Characterizing the movement patterns of host fish, Hiodon spp., for Spectaclecase (Cumberlandia monodonta) in the St. Croix National Scenic Riverway (SACN)

The goal of this project is to assist recovery of Spectaclecase through increased understanding of the movement of their host fish (Hiodon spp.) within the SACN and adjacent Mississippi River. Our specific objectives are to: (1) evaluate the most suitable methods for tracking movement of Hiodon spp. and (2) characterize the temporal and spatial movements of Hiodon spp. within the SACN and downstream into the Mississippi River.

Minnesota, Wisconsin

Lake Ontario August gillnet survey and Lake Trout assessment, 2023

Lake Ontario lake trout ( Salvelinus namaycush ) rehabilitation has been annually assessed with fishery independent surveys since 1983, to evaluate program benchmarks and compare observations with management objectives. These surveys provide information on the abundance, strain composition, and condition of the adult lake trout stock, as well as information on levels of natural recruitment, sea lamprey ( Petromyzon marinus ) wounding rates, and abundance indices of other coldwater fish species (burbot Lota lota , cisco C oregonus artedi , and lake whitefish C. clupeaformis ). In 2023, the catch per unit effort (CPUE) of total lake trout in gillnets was notably lower (12.1 fish/net) compared to recent survey years 2018–2022 (average = 17.3 ± 1.0 SD fish/net). CPUE of mature females fell below target levels. Wildproduced mature lake trout remain rare in the adult population (1.0% of adult catch). Strain composition of stocked fish indicated approximately half (51%) of all coded wire tagged lake trout captured in 2023 were from the Superior Klondike strain. Sea lamprey wounding rates decreased in 2023 and were near the target level (2.09 A1 wounds per 100 lake trout). Lake trout condition (predicted weight at length) remains high. Overall, the 2023 survey results suggest that lake trout indicators continue to meet some of the management objectives, however, recruitment of wild-produced offspring to the adult stock continues to be limited, and abundance of stocked fish may be decreasing relative to recent years in response to reduced stocking levels.

Lake Ontario

Component 1: Data and monitoring gap analysis

The goal of Component 1 is to identify available data and data gaps in the Texas coastal region and to establish a plan for obtaining data critical for successful coastal flood analysis in these regions. This component is supporting the expansion and improvement of data observations for inland, coastal, and ocean systems.

Texas

Appendix B: Patterns of bull trout Salvelinus confluentus demography, life history, abundance, and trends in the Lewis River

Declines in the distribution and abundance of bull trout ( Salvelinus confluentus ) across much of the historical range in the Pacific Northwest region of Canada and the United States have been well documented (Post and Johnston 2002; Rieman et al. 1997). Recent estimates of population trends appear to vary considerably across regions with large numbers of migratory and resident populations exhibiting substantial declines in adult abundance (Al-Chokhachy et al. 2016; Kovach et al. 2018), whereas others remain stable or potentially increasing (Erhardt and Scarnecchia 2014; Meyer et al. 2014). For example, 61% of the core populations in Alberta, Canada, are considered declining, and 39% are stable or increasing (Alberta Sustainable Resource Development 2012). The variability in population status and trends highlights the importance of population-specific data. Much of our understanding of bull trout life history has stemmed from a few, well-studied populations, and continuing to improve our knowledge of the variability in life-history expressions (e.g., Starcevich et al. 2012) can support directing local and regional conservation efforts (sensu Schindler et al. 2010). Here, we consider the life history, demographic patterns, and assess potential threats for an adfluvial population of bull trout in the upper Lewis River basin in Washington, USA. We synthesized recent monitoring efforts and field studies to refine our understanding of bull trout life-history expressions (i.e., migration patterns), demographics, and genetic status. We further evaluated the potential threats of brook trout ( S. fontinalis ), a species that is not native to the Lewis River, but which was recently documented in bull trout monitoring efforts (Al-Chokhachy et al. 2024). Our specific objectives included evaluating: (1) trends in size structure of subadults and adult bull trout (2014 – 2024); (2) patterns of adult migration and life-history and climate drivers of migration patterns (2011 – 2024); (3) the within-year temporal patterns of bull trout and coho salmon ( Oncorhynchus kisutch ) spawning and superimposition of bull trout redds by spawning coho salmon (2024); (4) temporal trends in abundance for adult and juvenile bull trout from annual monitoring methods (2008 – 2024); and (5) the current (2024) extent of non-native brook trout in wetland habitat adjacent to Yale Lake.

Washington

Prince William Sound Herring Program, fiscal year 2024

Pacific herring ( Clupea pallasii ) were collected from three sites in Prince William Sound (PWS), Alaska (Table 1) during the spring pre-spawn period from March 29 – April 1, 2024, to test for viral hemorrhagic septicemia virus (VHSV), viral erythrocytic necrosis (VEN), and Ichthyophonus prevalence (Table 1). Ichthyophonus was detected in 33% (59/180) of heart cultures from all sites combined. An inverted pattern of decreasing Ichthyophonus infection prevalence with size started around 2019 and continued through 2024 (Fig. 1). VHSV was isolated from one fish collected in Canoe Pass. The isolation was at a very low titer and was detectable only after blind passage. Neutralizing antibodies to VHSV were detected in 4.4% (14/318) of PWS herring in 2024 (Fig. 2). Erythrocytic inclusions indicative of VEN were not detected in any PWS herring (n =180) from 2024, but bacterial rods were noted in the blood films from three fish.

Alaska