Increasing density from population recovery does not explain elevated partial brood loss in a threatened cooperative breeder

Abstract

Partial brood loss in Dryobates borealis (Red-cockaded Woodpecker), a federally threatened cooperative breeder in the USA, was not associated with increases in population density. Across three populations—Sandhills, North Carolina; Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune, North Carolina; and Eglin Air Force Base, Florida—we documented no support for density-dependent effects on either early or late partial brood loss. Using long-term nest monitoring data, we evaluated multiple metrics of group size and group density in relation to brood loss at early (egg-to-nestling up to 6–10 days when banded) and late (banding-to-fledgling up to 38–40 days) stages. Reproductive outcomes did not vary with density within populations, indicating that the recent rise in partial brood loss, particularly late in the nestling period, was not driven by increasing density. While both density and partial brood loss have increased over time, these trends appear to be decoupled, highlighting the need to investigate other potential drivers of partial brood loss. Cooperative breeding can buffer reproductive output from density-related pressures through shared parental care, but as densities increase due to conservation-driven population recovery, cooperative breeders may face new or shifting constraints. Variation in reproductive outcomes may be more closely tied to site-specific factors or density-independent pressures such as weather, predation, or habitat quality. As D. borealis populations continue to grow under ongoing recovery efforts, understanding the mechanisms behind partial brood loss remains critical for refining conservation strategies. Our results add to growing evidence that density-dependent effects on reproduction are not universal; increasing density, though a conservation success, does not necessarily lead to reduced productivity or increased brood loss.