Appendix B: Patterns of bull trout Salvelinus confluentus demography, life history, abundance, and trends in the Lewis River

Abstract

Declines in the distribution and abundance of bull trout ( Salvelinus confluentus ) across much of the historical range in the Pacific Northwest region of Canada and the United States have been well documented (Post and Johnston 2002; Rieman et al. 1997). Recent estimates of population trends appear to vary considerably across regions with large numbers of migratory and resident populations exhibiting substantial declines in adult abundance (Al-Chokhachy et al. 2016; Kovach et al. 2018), whereas others remain stable or potentially increasing (Erhardt and Scarnecchia 2014; Meyer et al. 2014). For example, 61% of the core populations in Alberta, Canada, are considered declining, and 39% are stable or increasing (Alberta Sustainable Resource Development 2012). The variability in population status and trends highlights the importance of population-specific data. Much of our understanding of bull trout life history has stemmed from a few, well-studied populations, and continuing to improve our knowledge of the variability in life-history expressions (e.g., Starcevich et al. 2012) can support directing local and regional conservation efforts (sensu Schindler et al. 2010). Here, we consider the life history, demographic patterns, and assess potential threats for an adfluvial population of bull trout in the upper Lewis River basin in Washington, USA. We synthesized recent monitoring efforts and field studies to refine our understanding of bull trout life-history expressions (i.e., migration patterns), demographics, and genetic status. We further evaluated the potential threats of brook trout ( S. fontinalis ), a species that is not native to the Lewis River, but which was recently documented in bull trout monitoring efforts (Al-Chokhachy et al. 2024). Our specific objectives included evaluating: (1) trends in size structure of subadults and adult bull trout (2014 – 2024); (2) patterns of adult migration and life-history and climate drivers of migration patterns (2011 – 2024); (3) the within-year temporal patterns of bull trout and coho salmon ( Oncorhynchus kisutch ) spawning and superimposition of bull trout redds by spawning coho salmon (2024); (4) temporal trends in abundance for adult and juvenile bull trout from annual monitoring methods (2008 – 2024); and (5) the current (2024) extent of non-native brook trout in wetland habitat adjacent to Yale Lake.