Search USGSSearch

USGS · 70243026

Limits to reproduction and seed size-number trade-offs that shape forest dominance and future recovery

Tong Qiu·Robert Andrus·Marie-Claire Aravena Acuna·Davide Ascoli·Yves Bergeron·Roberta Berretti·Daniel Berveiller·Thomas Biovin·Raul Bonal·Don C. Bragg·Thomas Caignard·Rafael Calama·J. Julio Camarero·Chia-Huo Chang-Yang·Natalie L. Cleavitt·Benoit Courbaud·Francois Courbet·Thomas Curt·Adrian J. Das·Evangelia Daskalakou·Hendrik Davi·Nicolas Delpierre·Sylvain Delzon·Michael Dietze·Sergio Donoso Calderon·Laurent Dormont·Josep Maria Espelta·Timothy J. Fahey·William Farfan-Rios·Catherine A. Gehring·Gregory S. Gilbert·Georg Gratzner·Cathryn H. Greenberg·Qinfeng Guo·Andrew Hacket-Pain·Arndt Hampe·Qingmin Han·Janneke Hille Ris Lambers·Kazuhiko Hoshizaki·Ines Ibanez·Jill F. Johnstone·Valentin Journe·Daisuke Kabeya·Christopher L. Kilner·Thomas Kitzberger·Johannes M. H. Knops·Richard K. Kobe·Georges Kunstler·Hiroko Kurokawa·Jonathan G. A. Lageard·Jalene M. LaMontagne·Mateusz Ledwon·Francois Lefevre·Theodor Leininger·Jean-Marc Limousin·James A. Lutz·Diana Macias·Eliot J. B. McIntire·Christopher M. Moore·Emily V. Moran·Renzo Motta·Jonathan A. Myers·Thomas A. Nagel·Kyotaro Noguchi·Jean-Marc Ourcival·Robert Parmenter·Ian S. Pearse·Ignacio M. Perez-Ramos·Lukasz Piechnik·John Poulsen·Renata Poulton-Kamakura·Miranda D. Redmond·Chantal D. Reid·Kyle C. Rodman·Francisco Rodrigues-Sanchez·Javier Sanguinetti·C. Lane Scher·Wiliam H Schlesinger·Harald Schmidt Van Marle·Barbara Seget·Shubhi Sharma·Miles Silman·Michael A. Steele·Nathan L. Stephenson·Jacob N. Straub·I-Fang Sun·Samantha Sutton·Jennifer J. Swenson·Margaret Swift·Peter A. Thomas·Maria Uriarte·Giorgio Vacchiano·Thomas T. Veblen·Amy V. Whipple·Thomas G. Whitham·Andreas Wion·Boyd Wright·S. Joseph Wright·Kai Zhu·Jess Zimmermann

Abstract

The relationships that control seed production in trees are fundamental to understanding the evolution of forest species and their capacity to recover from increasing losses to drought, fire, and harvest. A synthesis of fecundity data from 714 species worldwide allowed us to examine hypotheses that are central to quantifying reproduction, a foundation for assessing fitness in forest trees. Four major findings emerged. First, seed production is not constrained by a strict trade-off between seed size and numbers. Instead, seed numbers vary over ten orders of magnitude, with species that invest in large seeds producing more seeds than expected from the 1:1 trade-off. Second, gymnosperms have lower seed production than angiosperms, potentially due to their extra investments in protective woody cones. Third, nutrient-demanding species, indicated by high foliar phosphorus concentrations, have low seed production. Finally, sensitivity of individual species to soil fertility varies widely, limiting the response of community seed production to fertility gradients. In combination, these findings can inform models of forest response that need to incorporate reproductive potential.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Tong Qiu, Robert Andrus, Marie-Claire Aravena Acuna, Davide Ascoli, Yves Bergeron, Roberta Berretti, Daniel Berveiller, Thomas Biovin, Raul Bonal, Don C. Bragg, Thomas Caignard, Rafael Calama, J. Julio Camarero, Chia-Huo Chang-Yang, Natalie L. Cleavitt, Benoit Courbaud, Francois Courbet, Thomas Curt, Adrian J. Das, Evangelia Daskalakou, Hendrik Davi, Nicolas Delpierre, Sylvain Delzon, Michael Dietze, Sergio Donoso Calderon, Laurent Dormont, Josep Maria Espelta, Timothy J. Fahey, William Farfan-Rios, Catherine A. Gehring, Gregory S. Gilbert, Georg Gratzner, Cathryn H. Greenberg, Qinfeng Guo, Andrew Hacket-Pain, Arndt Hampe, Qingmin Han, Janneke Hille Ris Lambers, Kazuhiko Hoshizaki, Ines Ibanez, Jill F. Johnstone, Valentin Journe, Daisuke Kabeya, Christopher L. Kilner, Thomas Kitzberger, Johannes M. H. Knops, Richard K. Kobe, Georges Kunstler, Hiroko Kurokawa, Jonathan G. A. Lageard, Jalene M. LaMontagne, Mateusz Ledwon, Francois Lefevre, Theodor Leininger, Jean-Marc Limousin, James A. Lutz, Diana Macias, Eliot J. B. McIntire, Christopher M. Moore, Emily V. Moran, Renzo Motta, Jonathan A. Myers, Thomas A. Nagel, Kyotaro Noguchi, Jean-Marc Ourcival, Robert Parmenter, Ian S. Pearse, Ignacio M. Perez-Ramos, Lukasz Piechnik, John Poulsen, Renata Poulton-Kamakura, Miranda D. Redmond, Chantal D. Reid, Kyle C. Rodman, Francisco Rodrigues-Sanchez, Javier Sanguinetti, C. Lane Scher, Wiliam H Schlesinger, Harald Schmidt Van Marle, Barbara Seget, Shubhi Sharma, Miles Silman, Michael A. Steele, Nathan L. Stephenson, Jacob N. Straub, I-Fang Sun, Samantha Sutton, Jennifer J. Swenson, Margaret Swift, Peter A. Thomas, Maria Uriarte, Giorgio Vacchiano, Thomas T. Veblen, Amy V. Whipple, Thomas G. Whitham, Andreas Wion, Boyd Wright, S. Joseph Wright, Kai Zhu, Jess Zimmermann. 2022-05-02. Limits to reproduction and seed size-number trade-offs that shape forest dominance and future recovery. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30037-9

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

The saline groundwater legacy of a large buried coastal paleo-estuary

Elevated groundwater salinity in coastal regions threatens the beneficial use of fresh groundwater. Coastal groundwater management typically focuses on preventing intrusion from modern sources of seawater; however, past geological processes can also leave a legacy of saline groundwater now hidden in the subsurface. Here, multiple extensive airborne electromagnetic surveys provide detailed evidence of residual salinity from a paleo-estuary filling a late Pleistocene incised valley impacting more than 10,000 km 2 that is now hidden beneath coastal Louisiana’s deltaic plain. Our results show that the three-dimensional pattern of saline groundwater beneath Louisiana mimics that of near-surface aquifers surrounding the modern Delaware Bay estuary, fingerprinting the signature of the past drowning of a large, incised valley of the Mississippi River following post-glacial sea-level rise. These findings demonstrate a new framework for understanding legacy sources of saltwater critical for managing stressed water resources along global coastlines.

Louisiana

Previous prescribed burns saved thousands of ancient sequoias during historically unprecedented wildfires

Wildfires in California’s Sierra Nevada during 2020–2021 killed giant sequoias ( Sequoiadendron giganteum ) at rates unseen for millennia, underscoring the vulnerability of highly fire-adapted trees to ongoing environmental change. Following a century of fire exclusion and fuel accumulation, the effectiveness of prescribed burns in reducing giant sequoia mortality from wildfire remained poorly quantified. Here we estimate mortality outcomes for 26,403 giant sequoias across 19 groves in Sequoia and Kings Canyon national parks following the Castle (2020) and KNP Complex (2021) wildfires using a Bayesian framework. We map tree mortality using a deep learning classifier integrating 3 m PlanetScope imagery, airborne lidar, and field observations. From an estimated 7,974 sequoia deaths (95% Bayesian credible interval (CI): 7,555–8,430), corresponding to 30.2% mortality (CI: 28.6–31.9%), we find previous prescribed burns (≤10 years prior) reduced mortality odds by 77% (CI: 69–83%), making treated trees nearly four times more likely to survive. Counterfactual simulations suggest that prescribed burns prevented at least 1,888 (CI: 1,487–2,302) deaths, and universal treatment would have saved an additional 3,888 (CI: 3,236–4,580) giant sequoias. These results show that prescribed burns substantially improve survival during extreme wildfires, offering guidance for conserving long-lived, fire-adapted forests under intensifying fire regimes.

California

Tectonically driven integration of the 4.8 Ma Colorado River USA tracked with detrital sanidine and fish genetics

The development of the continental-scale Colorado River system, western USA, from 8 to 4.8 Ma, is revealed using 60-40 Ma detrital sanidine tracer grains and fish phylogeny. Here we show that precursor paleoriver segments became integrated north to south as traced by 60-40 Ma sand grains that were derived from the north and sequentially appeared in the 25-8 Ma Browns Park Formation of Utah, 7-6 Ma upper Bidahochi Formation of Arizona, and 4.8 Ma Bouse Formation of the lower Colorado River and proto Gulf of California. This timing is mimicked by molecular clock estimates of divergence times among fish lineages. River integration was a response to headwater uplifts in the Yellowstone hotspot track and Rocky Mountains. 40 Ar/ 39 Ar ages refine the timing for mantle-drips that caused subsidence, then uplift, of depositional basins that influenced the integration pathway and tempo. The ~ 3-million-year timescale suggests that multiscale mantle-driven uplift, rather than lake spillover, was the primary driver for integration of the proto-Colorado River through Grand Canyon.

Colorado River