Search USGSSearch

USGS · 70233411

Beyond glacier-wide mass balances: Parsing seasonal elevation change into spatially resolved patterns of accumulation and ablation at Wolverine Glacier, Alaska

Abstract

We present spatially distributed seasonal and annual surface mass balances of Wolverine Glacier, Alaska, from 2016 to 2020. Our approach accounts for the effects of ice emergence and firn compaction on surface elevation changes to resolve the spatial patterns in mass balance at 10 m scale. We present and compare three methods for estimating emergence velocities. Firn compaction was constrained by optimizing a firn model to fit three firn cores. Distributed mass balances showed good agreement with mass-balance stakes (RMSE = 0.67 m w.e., r = 0.99, n = 41) and ground-penetrating radar surveys (RMSE = 0.36 m w.e., r = 0.85, n = 9024). Fundamental differences in the distributions of seasonal balances highlight the importance of disparate physical processes, with anomalously high ablation rates observed in icefalls. Winter balances were found to be positively skewed when controlling for elevation, while summer and annual balances were negatively skewed. We show that only a small percent of the glacier surface represents ideal locations for mass-balance stake placement. Importantly, no suitable areas are found near the terminus or in elevation bands dominated by icefalls. These findings offer explanations for the often-needed geodetic calibrations of glaciological time series.

Explore related subjects

90° N90° S · 180° W ← longitude → 180° E
Source-reported bounding extent: 59.108308258604964° to 62.67414334669093° latitude; -151.34765625° to -143.7451171875° longitude. This indicates report coverage, not an exact sampling location. View area on OpenStreetMap.

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Lucas Zeller, Daniel McGrath, Louis C. Sass, Shad O'Neel, Christopher J. McNeil, Emily Baker. 2022-06-24. Beyond glacier-wide mass balances: Parsing seasonal elevation change into spatially resolved patterns of accumulation and ablation at Wolverine Glacier, Alaska. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.46

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related USGS reports

The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska

Glacier energy-balance models offer mechanistic insights into glacier mass balance under a changing climate, yet their considerable data requirements hinder large-scale applications. Here we present the open-source Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI), which includes physically based albedo evolution using the Snow, Ice and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) model. PEBSI is calibrated and validated using robust in situ data from Gulkana Glacier, Alaska from 2000 to 2024. Simulations forced with original and bias-corrected climate reanalysis data show that statistically downscaling reanalysis data with in situ observations is necessary to reproduce summer mass balance (mean absolute error [MAE] = 0.75 m w.e. vs 0.22 m w.e., respectively). A grid search across two parameters, a precipitation factor and a densification parameter, reveals tradeoffs in performance compared to seasonal mass balance and end-of-winter snow density and depth. No single combination of parameters minimizes all errors, underscoring the inherent overparameterization of energy-balance models and challenges with translating coarse climate data to the glacier scale. The calibrated model successfully simulates the 2024 melt season, agreeing with surface-height change (MAE = 0.48 m) and albedo (MAE = 0.066) observations. Moving forward, PEBSI provides unique opportunities to quantify albedo feedbacks and their impact on present and future glacier mass loss.

Alaska

Equilibrium line altitudes, accumulation areas, and the vulnerability of glaciers in Alaska

The accumulation area ratio (AAR) of a glacier reflects its current state of equilibrium, or disequilibrium, with climate and its vulnerability to future climate change. Here, we present an inventory of glacier-specific annual accumulation areas and equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs) for over 3000 glaciers in Alaska and northwest Canada (88% of the regional glacier area) from 2018 to 2022 derived from Sentinel-2 imagery. We find that the 5 year average AAR of the entire study area is 0.41, with an inter-annual range of 0.25–0.49. More than 1000 glaciers, representing 8% of the investigated glacier area, were found to have effectively no accumulation area. Summer temperature and winter precipitation from ERA5-Land explained nearly 50% of the inter-annual ELA variability across the entire study region ( R 2 = 0.47 ). An analysis of future climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5) projects that ELAs will rise by ∼170 m on average by the end of the 21st century. Such changes would result in a loss of 25% of the modern accumulation area, leaving a total of 1900 glaciers (22% of the investigated area) with no accumulation area. These results highlight the current state of glacier disequilibrium with modern climate, as well as glacier vulnerability to projected future warming.

Alaska

GNSS reflectometry from low-cost sensors for continuous in situ contemporaneous glacier mass balance and flux divergence

Recent advances in remote sensing have produced global glacier surface elevation change data. Parsing these elevation change signals into contributions from the climate (i.e. climatic mass balance) and glacier dynamics (i.e. flux divergence) is critical to enhance our process-based understanding of glacier change. In this study, we evaluate three approaches for direct, continuous measurements of the climatic mass balance, flux divergence, and elevation change at a site on Gulkana Glacier in Alaska using low-cost GNSS sensors, GNSS interferometric reflectometry (GNSS-IR), banded ablation stakes with time-lapse cameras, and combinations thereof. Cumulative climatic mass balance over the season was 4.85 m and the three approaches were within 0.08 m through early July before the snowpack melted, and within 0.28 m through mid-August. The flux divergence increased from 0.52 ± 0.03 cm d -1 before June 3 to roughly 0.73 cm d -1 after June 27. We demonstrate a single GNSS system fixed atop an ablation stake can measure contemporaneous climatic mass balance, flux divergence, and elevation change based on the antenna’s position and GNSS-IR techniques. The ability of these systems to measure glacier mass balance and flux divergence offers unique opportunities for year-round observations on mountain glaciers in the future.

Alaska