Geology topics

Research about continental United States

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including continental United States.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Decadal trends and occurrence of geogenic constituents and mixtures in groundwater across the continental United States

Worldwide, about 50% of the population is served by groundwater-sourced drinking water. Numerous groundwater quality assessments have found that geogenic constituents are among the most common contaminants in drinking-water aquifers. Documenting changing groundwater quality is a crucial aspect of water availability assessments. We assess trends and occurrence of geogenic constituent concentrations in groundwater across the continental United States using 3 decades of data from the U.S. Geological Survey’s National Water Quality Network. Thousands of groundwater wells were grouped into agricultural, urban, or domestic supply network types. Although most networks and constituents had no statistically significant change in concentration, many had increasing concentration trends, elevated concentrations, or both. Lithium, sodium, radium, sulfate, and uranium had increasing trends in more than 10% of the study networks. Urban and domestic well networks had increasing lithium and sodium trends more often than agricultural networks. Manganese most commonly increased in domestic well networks; uranium more commonly increased in agricultural and urban networks. Elevated concentration mixtures were widespread, and mixture complexities appeared to increase over time. Our results indicate that more than 2.3 million domestic-well users may be affected by elevated concentrations of one or more geogenic constituents.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Summary of first daily ring formation in otoliths of freshwater fishes in the continental United States

Daily ring counts in young-of-the-year fishes are important for estimating important vital rates, such as growth, mortality, and timing of hatch. To accurately estimate some of these rates, the timing of the first daily ring must be estimated accurately. Variation in the timing of the first daily ring can be attributed to many factors, including biology of the species and experience of laboratory personnel. The amount of variation and the degree of differences, however, have not been quantified, hindering the utility of daily ring information to provide accurate estimates of spawning and hatching times. We conducted a review of studies for freshwater fishes in the continental United States to quantify variation in daily ring validation studies as it relates to timing of the first ring. We found 40 studies representing 12 orders, 15 families, and 35 species. Most studies investigated rings in the sagittae, although the lapilli and asterisci were also used for a few species. Variation in the timing of the first ring formation was evident, but not consistent among otolith types or groups of fishes. The first daily ring in sagittae varied from 31 d before hatch to 150 d after hatch. First daily ring formation in lapilli was consistent within families but formed before hatch in some families of fish and after hatch in other families. The first daily ring in asterisci were near universally formed after hatch, with the exception of one species of sturgeon (family Acipenseridae). Only three of the nine species where replicate studies existed were found to exhibit consistent first ring formation timing. Such findings suggest that differences among laboratories and personnel may play a larger role than differences among species or populations when inconsistent first ring formation timing results occur. For most species, error surrounding differences in timing formation is about 1 week, except for Salmoniformes, where error was up to a 150-d difference. Incorporating species biology along with uncertainty in temporal estimates based on otolith chronology would aid interpretation of results in field situations.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Multidecadal change in pesticide concentrations relative to human health benchmarks in the Nation’s groundwater

Groundwater-quality trend assessments identify aquifers that are responding to changes in pesticide use and the compounds that may pose a threat to water availability. The U.S. Geological Survey has been monitoring pesticide concentrations in groundwater for 25 principal aquifers across the conterminous United States since 1993. The groundwater well locations represent a range of soils, climate, and landforms. The wells are used to monitor groundwater underlying selected agricultural and urban settings and groundwater used for domestic supply. This study examined changes in relative concentrations, defined here as the percentage of wells with pesticide concentrations exceeding a human health benchmark (HHB). HHBs used in this report are legally enforceable drinking-water standards and nonenforceable drinking water levels. Relative pesticide concentration increases may lead to decreased water availability, as restrictions may be put in place for groundwater used as a drinking-water source. This study focused on concentration changes in 22 pesticides that were included in laboratory analysis from 1993 to 2023. The analysis and interpretation of these pesticide concentrations in groundwater have been separated into approximate decadal intervals (decade 1 (1993–2001), decade 2 (2002–12), and decade 3 (2013–22). For one pesticide, 1,2-dibromo-3-chloropropane (DBCP), concentration data were also collected in decade 4 (2023–onward). Atrazine, deethylatrazine, alachlor, prometon, and simazine were 5 pesticides detected at moderate concentrations (greater than 10 percent of the HHB but less than or equal to the HHB). The percentage of wells that had groundwater pesticide concentrations in the moderate concentration category decreased from 7 percent in decade 1 to 2 percent in decade 3. The agricultural networks had the highest percentages of wells with moderate concentrations, and these percentages decreased from 13 percent in decade 1 to 4 percent in decade 3. Moderate concentrations in the urban networks decreased between decades 1 and 2 from 4 percent to 0 percent. No moderate concentrations occurred in the urban networks in decade 3. The percentage of wells with moderate concentrations in the domestic supply networks (1 percent) was the lowest of all the network types and did not change across the three decades. Moderate atrazine or deethylatrazine concentrations occurred across all three decades in aggregated ecoregions representing similar soils, climate, and landforms in the Semiarid West, Midcontinent, and Northeastern United States. Moderate concentrations of prometon, alachlor, and simazine also occurred in the Midcontinent, Arid West, Northeast, South Atlantic Gulf, and Semiarid West regions, but the moderate concentrations did not persist across all three decades. DBCP was the only pesticide that exceeded its respective HHB, and the exceedances occurred across all four decades. In this report, the DBCP analysis was limited to one well network in the Central Valley, California. Agricultural use of DBCP was suspended in 1977. Forty-five years after being banned, DBCP concentrations were greater than the maximum contaminant level of 2 micrograms per liter (μg/L), but the number of exceedances decreased from 50 percent to 15 percent of the samples between 1993 and 2023. This assessment of decadal groundwater pesticide concentrations provides a characterization of changes in water availability because of pesticide contamination in areas where groundwater is used as a drinking-water source. The results highlight the importance of continued long-term monitoring and assessment of groundwater pesticides to identify locations and specific compounds that may pose a potential risk to human health.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Diverging fish biodiversity trends in cold and warm rivers and streams

Worldwide, freshwater systems contain more than 18,000 fish species 1,2,3 , which are critical to the functioning of these ecosystems 4 and are vital cultural and economic resources to humans 5,6,7 ; despite this value, fish biodiversity is at risk globally 8,9 . In the USA, leading threats to fish communities in rivers and streams include climate change and invasive fish introductions and game fish stocking by humans 10,11,12,13,14 . Here we harmonized US federal biomonitoring datasets with 389 species spanning 27 years (1993–2019) and 2,992 sites to analyse trends in fish biodiversity. In cold streams (past summer stream temperatures below 15.4 °C), fish abundance and richness declined by 53.4% and 32% over 27 years, respectively, and uniqueness increased. Periodic (large-bodied, late-maturing) fishes increased, and opportunists (small-bodied, short generation time, ‘r-selected’) decreased, possibly due to proliferation of native or introduced game fishes. In warm streams (stream temperatures greater than 23.8 °C), fish abundance and richness increased by 70.5% and 15.6% over 27 years, respectively, and communities homogenized. Small opportunistic fishes replaced large periodic fishes. Intermediate streams (stream temperatures 15.4–23.8 °C), representing the average stream, had minimal changes in fish biodiversity through time. Interactions between warming and introduced fish were associated with increased rates of degradation to local fish biodiversity. Given the magnitude of these changes in a relatively short time span, there is an urgent need to curb degradation of fish biodiversity caused by fish introductions and warming water temperatures.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Urban heterogeneity drives dissolved organic matter sources, transport, and transformation from local to macro scales

Urbanization reshapes dissolved organic matter (DOM) sources, transport, and transformations through changes in vegetation, hydrology, and management of waste and water. Yet the impacts of urbanization on DOM are variable within and among cities. Predicting heterogeneous responses to urbanization is challenged by diverse human activities and underlying biophysical variation along stream networks. Using data from the 486 largest urban areas in the continental United States and seven focal cities, we identified macro and local scale urban gradients in social, built, and biophysical factors that are expected to shape DOM. We used these gradients and the literature to develop hypotheses about heterogeneity in DOM quantity and quality within and among cities. Interactions among landscape and infrastructure attributes across spatial and temporal scales result in heterogeneous responses in DOM. Characterizing and quantifying these inconsistent responses to urbanization in contrasting settings may help to better understand heterogeneity and identify generalities among urban watersheds.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Critical minerals in orogenic (gold) and Coeur d’Alene-type mineral systems of the United States

Orogenic and Coeur d’Alene-type mineral systems are produced by metamorphic devolatilization of thick volcanic or siliciclastic sedimentary rock sequences and the focused flow of hydrothermal fluids upwards along crustal-scale faults. Most orogenic systems are found along the Cordilleran orogen, stretching from California northwards into Alaska, whereas most Coeur d’Alene-type systems occur in the Proterozoic Belt Basin in Idaho and Montana. Although the deposit types in these systems are exploited for precious and base metals, potential exists for the production of critical minerals necessary for current (2025) societal needs in the United States. Publicly available geochemical data compiled for these mineral systems, coupled with mineralogical characteristics, indicate that several critical minerals could potentially be recovered from unmined resources and processed mine waste: arsenic, antimony, tellurium, cobalt, and tungsten from orogenic gold deposits and zinc, antimony, arsenic, and manganese from Coeur d’Alene-type systems. These critical minerals reside primarily in arsenopyrite (arsenic), scheelite (tungsten), siderite (manganese), sphalerite (zinc), tetrahedrite (antimony and arsenic), stibnite (antimony), and telluride (tellurium) minerals.

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Dynamic rating method for computing discharge and stage from time-series data

Ratings are used for several reasons in water-resources investigations. The simplest rating relates discharge to the stage of a river (the stage-discharge relation). From a pure hydrodynamics perspective, all rivers and streams have some form of hysteresis in the relation between stage and discharge because flow becomes unsteady as a flood wave passes. The stage-discharge relation is unable to represent hysteresis. However, a dynamic rating method can capture hysteresis, which is driven by the variable energy slope of a flood wave. A dynamic rating method called DYNPOUND, which accommodates compact and compound channel geometry, was developed by simplifying the one-dimensional Saint-Venant equations. The DYNPOUND method was developed in the Python programming language and computes discharge from stage and stage from discharge. Stage and discharge time series computed with this dynamic rating method were compared to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) published stage and discharge time series. The results from the DYNPOUND method were also compared to in-person field measurements of stage and discharge made at 10 USGS streamgages. DYNPOUND was calibrated for 10 USGS streamgages using published discharge time-series data computed with a simple rating method. The calibration objective was to minimize the mean squared logarithmic error (MSLE) of the DYNPOUND-computed discharge with respect to the discharge time series computed by a simple rating method. For each site, the calibration process also included comparing all field measurements within a selected water year to the corresponding DYNPOUND-computed discharge data points. The MSLE of the DYNPOUND-computed discharge time series for the 10 sites ranged from 8.51×10 −4 to 1.36×10 −1 . For each site, an event-based period was selected to compare the discharge time series computed with the dynamic rating method to discharge field measurements made at the streamgages; the range of MSLE for the 10 DYNPOUND-computed discharge sites was from 4.79×10 −4 to 2.30×10 −2 .

continental United States↗

USGS2025

Abrupt changes in algal biomass of thousands of US lakes are related to climate and are more likely in low-disturbance watersheds.

Climate change is predicted to intensify lake algal blooms globally and result in regime shifts. However, observed increases in algal biomass do not consistently correlate with air temperature or precipitation, and evidence is lacking for a causal effect of climate or the nonlinear dynamics needed to demonstrate regime shifts. We modeled the causal effects of climate on annual lake chlorophyll (a measure of algal biomass) over 34 y for 24,452 lakes across broad ecoclimatic zones of the United States and evaluated the potential for regime shifts. We found that algal biomass was causally related to climate in 34% of lakes. In these cases, 71% exhibited abrupt but mostly temporary shifts as opposed to persistent changes, 13% had the potential for regime shifts. Climate was causally related to algal biomass in lakes experiencing all levels of human disturbance, but with different likelihood. Climate causality was most likely to be observed in lakes with minimal human disturbance and cooler summer temperatures that have increased over the 34 y studied. Climate causality was variable in lakes with low to moderate human disturbance, and least likely in lakes with high human disturbance, which may mask climate causality. Our results explain some of the previously observed heterogeneous climate responses of lake algal biomass globally and they can be used to predict future climate effects on lakes.

continental United States↗

USGS2024

The U.S. Geological Survey National Atmospheric Deposition Program, National Trends Network—2022

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has been a National Atmospheric Deposition Program (NADP) partner agency since 1981. NADP is comprised of five atmospheric monitoring networks that verify Clean Air Act effectiveness and provide essential data to protect human health and preserve ecosystems for current and future generations. Stakeholders include land management agencies overseeing sensitive habitats (National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management, U.S. Forest Service, and First Nations), Federal and State regulatory agencies, and the public.

continental United States↗

USGS2024

Assessment of pollution and other impairments of US reservoirs based on expert opinion

A comprehensive understanding of the prevailing pollution and other impairments to reservoirs is necessary at the national level to analyze patterns and causes as well as allocate national resources effectively. Most of these impairments are associated with sedimentation, nutrient contamination, and other pollution factors. The costs involved in conducting on-site surveys at multiple locations are potential obstacles for obtaining empirical data on large-scale spatial impairments. In such cases, inputs from specialists may be required to offset the absence of empirical data for determining the impairment statuses of thousands of geographically dispersed reservoirs. Thus, our aim was to examine whether expert opinion could offer a comprehensive review of the impairment statuses of numerous reservoirs in the United States. We designed and executed an internet-based survey of reservoir specialists to gather their ratings on visually evident elements of reservoir impairment. To evaluate the ratings, we searched for correlations with factors known to have impacts on reservoir impairment. Canonical correlation analyses indicated that nine metrics used by experts to rate impairment levels on an ordinal scale were correlated with metrics descriptive of the physical qualities of reservoirs, land use in catchments, and prevailing local climate. We thus conclude that expert opinions may facilitate assessments of impairment levels over large geographical areas. Lastly, we define the circumstances under which it is permissible to rely on expert opinions and propose criteria that could improve the quality of the data collected.

continental United States↗

USGS2024

Remote sensing for monitoring mine lands and recovery efforts

Under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law Ecosystem Restoration Program, the U.S. Department of the Interior has invested in assessing and recovering degraded ecosystems to promote healthy human communities and wildlife habitats. One priority established by the program is the need to address degraded ecosystems associated with mine lands, including active, inactive, and abandoned mines. Mine lands occur in every State of the United States and present a range of environmental hazards and safety risks to human communities and wildlife habitats. However, limited information compiled across the United States exists on the whereabouts of mining activities and their potential environmental effects on landscapes. Remote sensing is the process of acquiring information about the landscape from ground platforms, aircraft, or satellites to assess surface characteristics such as topography, vegetation, and soil properties and can therefore provide important cost-effective methods for identifying mining sites and assessing their environmental effects. Based on a literature review of remote sensing applications that assessed land health conditions and monitoring of mine lands, this report highlights important approaches, capabilities, considerations, and case studies using a breadth of techniques. The report identifies considerations for setting appropriate vegetation recovery targets and demonstrates how remote sensing can inform the prioritization, recovery design, and long-term assessments of recovery to help support decision makers and land managers. Applications of remote sensing to mine recovery will be most effective when recovery targets are clearly defined and quantifiable from data collected before mining activity, per the Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act of 1977 and similar laws. Additionally, the collected data would need to be accessible and maintained in databases for baseline references used to establish these recovery targets.

continental United States↗

USGS2024

Methodology for inclusion of produced and stored carbon dioxide in the U.S. Geological Survey Federal lands greenhouse gas inventory

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has developed two new carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and sequestration accounting methods for use in future reports. The first method is a Federal lease-produced CO2 emissions calculation for an update of the report, “Federal Lands Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sequestration in the United States.” The methodology to incorporate Federal lease CO2 production emissions into the updated report relies on CO2 sales royalty data from the Office of Natural Resources Revenue (ONRR). The end usage points for the gas include enhanced oil recovery with CO2 (CO2-EOR), food and beverage, and chemical production. CO2-EOR is the main end point for natural CO2 production in the United States; it accounted for 94% of usage in 2022 [1]. Federal lands emissions from this sector are estimated at 460 metric tons of CO2 in 2022, a very small amount relative to most other Federal lands emissions sector estimates. The second new method, planned for a separate report, is a calculation of the geologic storage of CO2 on Federal lands. The second method estimates the CO2 stored under Federal surface lands and documents Federal climate change mitigation efforts. Currently, there is no storage of CO2 at an industrial level on Federal lands, however multiple proposals and projects are planned. This method was developed on non-Federal lands datasets in an effort to prepare for when these activities on Federal lands will require accounting. National estimates for CO2 geologic storage using this method, but without a Federal lands filtering step, totaled 8.0 million metric tons (Mt) in 2022. The two methods described here are new benchmark methods in a collection of accounting procedures to document the current state of greenhouse gas emissions and their storage on Federal lands. These benchmarks can then be used to measure any subsequent changes in emissions from or carbon storage beneath Federal lands. While the magnitude of the values is currently non-existent to small, emissions mitigation goals established by decision makers indicate that these values will grow, and their documentation will take on greater value and use.

continental United States↗

USGS2023

Development of a benchmark eddy flux evapotranspiration dataset for evaluation of satellite-driven evapotranspiration models over the CONUS

A large sample of ground-based evapotranspiration (ET) measurements made in the United States, primarily from eddy covariance systems, were post-processed to produce a benchmark ET dataset. The dataset was produced primarily to support the intercomparison and evaluation of the OpenET satellite-based remote sensing ET (RSET) models and could also be used to evaluate ET data from other models and approaches. OpenET is a web-based service that makes field-delineated and pixel-level ET estimates from well-established RSET models readily available to water managers, agricultural producers, and the public. The benchmark dataset is composed of flux and meteorological data from a variety of providers covering native vegetation and agricultural settings. Flux footprint predictions were developed for each station and included static flux footprints developed based on average wind direction and speed, as well as dynamic hourly footprints that were generated with a physically based model of upwind source area. The two footprint prediction methods were rigorously compared to evaluate their relative spatial coverage. Data from all sources were post-processed in a consistent and reproducible manner including data handling, gap-filling, temporal aggregation, and energy balance closure correction. The resulting dataset included 243,048 daily and 5,284 monthly ET values from 194 stations, with all data falling between 1995 and 2021. We assessed average daily energy imbalance using 172 flux sites with a total of 193,021 days of data, finding that overall turbulent fluxes were understated by about 12% on average relative to available energy. Multiple linear regression analyses indicated that daily average latent energy flux may be typically understated slightly more than sensible heat flux. This dataset was developed to provide a consistent reference to support evaluation of RSET data being developed for a wide range of applications related to water accounting and water resources management at field to watershed scales.

continental United States↗

USGS2023

High-frequency time series comparison of Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 for open and vegetated water across the United States (2017-2021)

Frequent observations of surface water at fine spatial scales will provide critical data to support the management of aquatic habitat, flood risk and water quality. Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellites can provide such observations, but algorithms are still needed that perform well across diverse climate and vegetation conditions. We developed surface inundation algorithms for Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2, respectively, at 12 sites across the conterminous United States (CONUS), covering a total of >536,000 km 2 and representing diverse hydrologic and vegetation landscapes. Each scene in the 5-year (2017–2021) time series was classified into open water, vegetated water, and non-water at 20 m resolution using variables from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2, as well as variables derived from topographic and weather datasets. The Sentinel-1 algorithm was developed distinct from the Sentinel-2 model to explore if and where the two time series could potentially be integrated into a single high-frequency time series. Within each model, open water and vegetated water (vegetated palustrine, lacustrine, and riverine wetlands) classes were mapped. The models were validated using imagery from WorldView and PlanetScope. Classification accuracy for open water was high across the 5-year period, with an omission and commission error of only 3.1% and 0.9% for the Sentinel-1 algorithm and 3.1% and 0.5% for the Sentinel-2 algorithm, respectively. Vegetated water accuracy was lower, as expected given that the class represents mixed pixels. The Sentinel-2 algorithm showed higher accuracy (10.7% omission and 7.9% commission error) relative to the Sentinel-1 algorithm (28.4% omission and 16.0% commission error). Patterns over time in the proportion of area mapped as open or vegetated water by the Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 algorithms were charted and correlated for a subset of all 12 sites. Our results showed that the Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 algorithm open water time series can be integrated at all 12 sites to improve the temporal resolution, but sensor-specific differences, such as sensitivity to vegetation structure versus pixel color, complicate the data integration for mixed-pixel, vegetated water. The methods developed here provide inundation at 5-day (Sentinel-2 algorithm) and 12-day (Sentinel-1 algorithm) time steps to improve our understanding of the short- and long-term response of surface water to climate and land use drivers in different ecoregions.

continental United States↗

USGS2023

Monitoring long-term changes of urban surface temperature using time-series land cover and remote sensing data across 50 major cities in the United States

The increase of developed land changes the Earth’s ecosystems and, in doing so, impacts the natural environment and further affects the services it provides to humans. Urban growth and associated land cover transitions alter the thermal and physical properties of the land surface, resulting in surface temperature change in urban areas. In this study, we integrated both land cover and surface temperature information to characterize surface temperature spatiotemporal variations using the recently available time series of Landsat land surface temperature and annual land change products. We analyzed over thirty-year trends of land surface temperature (LST) in urban and surrounding non-urban lands. We found that the transitions of different land cover types to urban affected urban LST trends differently, and further impacted the temporal trend of urban heat island intensity.

continental United States↗

USGS2022

Quality of groundwater used for public supply in the continental United States: A comprehensive assessment

The presence of contaminants in a source water can constrain its suitability for drinking. The quality of groundwater used for public supply was assessed in 25 principal aquifers (PAs) that account for 84% of groundwater pumped for public supply in the U.S. (89.6 million people on a proportional basis). Each PA was sampled across its lateral extent using an equal-area grid, typically with 60 wells per PA. Samples were analyzed for 502 constituents, of which 374 had either a regulatory or nonregulatory human health benchmark (HHB). Nationally, elevated concentrations (relative to HHBs) of geogenic constituents have a larger effect than anthropogenic constituents, as indicated by three metrics: detection frequency, 35% versus 8.1%; prevalence (based on area), 41% versus 6.4%; and population potentially affected, 31.2 million versus 7.1 million. Prevalence of any constituent at elevated concentrations was high─40 to 75%─in PAs comprising unconsolidated sediment (eight PAs) and sandstone or interbedded sandstones and carbonates (four PAs) in the West and Central Interior. Prevalence was lower─15 to 35%─in PAs comprising sediment and sedimentary rocks along the Gulf and Atlantic Coasts (four PAs), carbonates distributed across the continental U.S. (seven PAs), and hard rock (two PAs).

continental United States↗

USGS2022

Evaluation of select velocity measurement techniques for estimating discharge in small streams across the United States

Multiple instruments and methods exist for collecting discrete streamflow measurements in small streams with low flows, defined here as less than 5.7 m 3 /s (200 ft3/s). Included in the available methods are low-cost approaches that are infrequently used, in part, because their uncertainty is not well known. In this work, we evaluated the accuracy and suitability of three low-cost velocity measurement methods (surface float [SF], velocity head rod [VR], and rising body [RB]) and three conventional current meters (acoustic Doppler velocimeter, and mechanical Price type AA and Price Pygmy meters) relative to discharge calculated from stable artificial hydraulic controls. A total of 231 measurements were made by 20 individuals during 88 site visits to 24 sites in eight states. Accuracies were assessed for all methods and precision was evaluated for the low-cost methods. The median percent error was below 5% for conventional methods, and below 20% for the low-cost methods. The SF was the most accurate (median absolute percent error 14%) and precise (mean percent precision of 11%) low-cost method. The RB and VR, respectively, had 15% and 20% median absolute percent error and 29% and 12% mean percent precision. Results suggest that low-cost methods, when used appropriately, can be used to estimate discharge data under low flow conditions when measurements with conventional methods are not feasible and the associated accuracies meet end-user measurement objectives.

continental United States↗

USGS2022

Climate change alters aging patterns of reservoir aquatic habitats

Two slow-moving developments are threatening reservoir aquatic habitats globally: aging and climate change. These events are projected to transform reservoir aquatic habitats in various and often unpredictable ways. Aging affects in-lake habitats directly, whereas climate change affects both in-lake and off-lake conditions. Climate change is expected to accelerate and, in some instances, possibly decelerate aging. Aging can be indexed as functional age, an index that signals the position of a reservoir along its lifespan relying on in-lake descriptors of aquatic habitat. Using existing habitat datasets and climate projections, we developed semi-quantitative predictions about the effect of climate change on reservoir functional age in the USA. Driven by increased warming, functional age was predicted to increase latitudinally from south to north with no obvious longitudinal gradient. Functional age also changed with precipitation, increasing latitudinally from south to north and longitudinally in the east and west but decreasing in the central USA. Our projections are tentative because of the uncertain nature of reservoir aging and climate change sciences, as well as the inexactness of available data and models. We review general strategies suitable for systematically dealing with the unpredictable and constantly changing conditions expected to occur this century as reservoirs certainly continue to get older, within the scope of uncertain climate change projections.

continental United States↗