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Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including United States.

At least 1,549 records · Page 86Linked to original sources
USGS2025

Comparative toxicity of aircraft deicers, runway deicers, and road salt in winter airport runoff

Aircraft deicer and anti-icer formulations and airfield pavement deicer formulations are commonly used at airports that experience freezing precipitation. In addition, road salt is often applied in urban areas surrounding airports. This mixture of deicers in receiving streams can be toxic to aquatic organisms. A 17-year study of deicers and toxicity in runoff samples from sites in and near Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport included bioassay testing of Ceriodaphnia dubia , Pimephales promelas , Raphidocelis subcapitata , and Aliivibrio fischeri concurrently with quantification of freezing-point depressants that represent presence of the various deicers. Propylene glycol was monitored to represent aircraft deicers and anti-icers, acetate and formate were monitored to represent airfield pavement deicers, and chloride was monitored to represent road salt. Toxicity endpoints (e.g., lethal concentrations and inhibitive concentrations) were compiled for 19 airport deicer products and sodium chloride. Comparison of freezing-point depressant concentrations with toxicity endpoints indicated that propylene glycol, acetate, and chloride exceeded endpoint concentrations in multiple samples: more than 70% of 492 runoff samples exceeded at least one endpoint concentration with exceedances of propylene glycol and acetate-based deicer endpoints as well as road salt endpoints. Validation of these results were observed with measured toxic effects on C. dubia , P. promelas , and R. subcapitata in bioassays conducted on undiluted samples: samples with multiple deicers exceeding endpoint thresholds had greater toxicity than samples with individual deicer endpoint exceedances, and samples with no endpoint exceedances typically exhibited less toxicity than samples with only one endpoint exceedance. A comparison of additivity of toxicity quotients with bioassay results fit a log-logistic regression curve, indicating that the condition of tested organisms degraded with increasing deicer presence. These findings suggest that concurrent reduction of runoff from aircraft, airfield pavement, and road salt deicers will be needed to eliminate aquatic toxicity in adjacent watersheds.

Wisconsin↗
USGS2025

Rapid risk assessment framework to estimate potential for spillback at human-wildlife interfaces

More than 60% of emerging infectious diseases of humans have a wildlife origin, and when these diseases spread through human populations to new geographical areas, there is a considerable risk of spillback from humans to wildlife species. Spillback events can have severe consequences for wildlife populations, where the disease may cause morbidity and mortality, and human populations, where the establishment in wildlife may lead to prolonged transmission or new exposures in humans. Mitigating these consequences requires identifying the key risk factors that lead to human–wildlife transmission events and implementing risk-reducing actions, a challenge given that cross-species transmission events are rare and often data deficient. To identify potential species and locations that are most likely to lead to these rare events, we developed a spatially explicit, rapid risk assessment framework that incorporates three components of the spillback process: wildlife susceptibility, wildlife exposure, and pathogen introduction pressure. To demonstrate the broad applicability of our framework, we conducted a rapid risk assessment on two recent emerging zoonotic pathogens in humans, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and mpox, to determine the relative spillback risk to wild mammalian species in the continental United States. The rapid risk assessment identified both species and locations with higher than expected spillback risk, providing managers and researchers with valuable information to prioritize surveillance and risk-mitigation actions. Our framework represents a rapid and flexible approach to assess the risks of spillback to wildlife populations during rapidly evolving zoonotic disease outbreaks.

Transboundary and Emerging Diseases↗
USGS2025

Black abalone surveys at Naval Base Ventura County, San Nicolas Island, California—2022 annual report

The U.S. Geological Survey monitors a suite of intertidal black abalone ( Haliotis cracherodii ) sites at San Nicolas Island, California, in cooperation with the U.S. Navy, which owns the island. The nine rocky intertidal sites were established in 1980 to study the potential effect of translocated southern sea otters ( Enhydra lutris nereis ) on the intertidal black abalone population at San Nicolas Island. The sites were monitored, typically annually or biennially, from 1981 to 1997. Monitoring resumed in 2001 and has been completed annually thereafter. Since 2018, the monitoring has been carried out by the U.S. Geological Survey Western Ecological Research Center. The study sites became particularly important from a management perspective after a virulent disease decimated black abalone populations throughout southern California beginning in the mid-1980s. The disease, withering syndrome, was first observed on San Nicolas Island in 1992, and during the next few years, withering syndrome reduced the black abalone population on San Nicolas Island by more than 99 percent. The black abalone was subsequently listed as endangered under the Endangered Species Act in 2009. The subject of this report is the 2022 survey of the sites and the status of the measured population of black abalone in comparison to long-term patterns (based on data collected since 1981) at San Nicolas Island. Between the years 2000 and 2022, the total monitored black abalone population on the island has grown from roughly 200 to more than 2,000, approximately a ten-fold increase following the disease-related decline. Since it was first consistently measured in 2005, the distance between adjacent black abalone has decreased substantially from approximately 50 centimeters to less than 15 centimeters, indicating that black abalone are sufficiently close together at several of the sites to reproduce successfully. The total black abalone count in 2022 was 2,156, which was 7.9 percent lower than the total count in 2020 but 6.6 percent higher than in 2021. There were increases and decreases among the sites and transects within each site in 2022, but six of the nine sites had higher counts than in the previous year. The 2022 count is one of the highest since 1993, second only to the 2020 count. In 2022, the annual recruitment rate, defined as the percentage of measured black abalone with a shell length of 3 centimeters or less, was the second highest recorded, only slightly less than in 2017.

California↗
USGS2025

Black abalone (Haliotis cracherodii) population density, recruitment, size structure, and population growth at Naval Base Ventura County, San Nicolas Island, California, 2013–22

The range of the endangered black abalone ( Haliotis cracherodii ) is divided into the North Central California region, the Central California region, the Southern California Mainland region, the Channel Islands region, and the Baja California region by the National Marine Fisheries Service for management purposes. San Nicolas Island is one of eight subregions of the Channel Islands region. The black abalone recovery plan establishes five demographic criteria for the possible delisting or downlisting of the species. The U.S. Geological Survey monitors nine long-term intertidal black abalone sites at San Nicolas Island, California, in cooperation with the U.S. Navy, which owns the island. This report uses data collected between 2013 and 2022 and the delisting criteria to analyze and describe the density, recruitment, size structure, and population trends at the nine U.S. Geological Survey monitoring sites at San Nicolas Island.

California↗
USGS2025

Evaluating the influence of constructed subtidal reefs on marsh shoreline erosion, sediment deposition, and wave energy

Salt marshes play a critical role in providing economic and ecological benefits but are susceptible to shoreline erosion. Natural and nature-based features (NNBF), such as breakwater reefs, are often used to reduce shoreline exposure to wave action and provide biogenic benefits. However, waves and water level are also responsible for the sediment supply necessary for marsh accretion, a critical component of marsh resilience to sea level rise. The goal of this study was to evaluate the effects of two subtidal breakwater reefs on wave energy, marsh shoreline erosion, and sediment deposition onto the marsh platform. As a restoration intervention, oyster shell and limestone gravel reefs were constructed within the nearshore zone of a high-energy shoreline where active shoreline erosion is causing marsh habitat loss. Although both sediment deposition and shoreline erosion were reduced after reef installation at all sites, the reefs demonstrated a statistically significant reduction in sediment deposition, whereas its effect on decreasing shoreline erosion was less pronounced. This variability in erosion reduction may be partly influenced by the physical dimensions of the reefs, affecting wave attenuation and leeward circulation. Wave measurements indicate that the reef reduced wave energy, particularly during south and southeast winds that could lead to the largest onshore waves. Given that these strong onshore winds are seasonal, extending the duration of data collection could provide deeper insights into the reef's influence on marsh shoreline erosion. This study is novel in that there are limited experimental or observational studies quantifying the wave reduction capacity and effects of subtidal reefs on marsh shoreline erosion and sediment dynamics. Studies such as these are critical to evaluate the capacity of subtidal reefs to protect marsh shorelines from erosion, but also to measure their impact on accretion processes necessary for the marsh to maintain elevation under future sea level rise.

Mississippi↗
USGS2025

Hydraulic connectivity and hydrochemistry influence microbial community structure in agriculturally-affected alluvial aquifers in the Midwestern United States

Alluvial aquifers can provide ecosystem services and drinking water, but much remains unknown about human effects on aquifer microbiomes. Therefore, we used amplicon sequencing and hydrochemical characterization to pair microbial communities with environmental conditions across 37 alluvial aquifer wells. The study region spanned eastern Iowa and southern Minnesota (USA) and contained a combination of drinking water and monitoring wells. In terms of microbial ecology, dominant phyla across the wells included Proteobacteria, Bacteroidota, Patescibacteria, Planctomycetota, and Nitrospirota. Tritium, an indicator of infiltration and surface water influence, was the highest correlated variable with the Shannon index (α-diversity) by the Spearman rank sum (ρ = 0.60) and one of only four significant environmental variables in the constrained correspondence analysis. We built random forest regression models to predict tritium concentrations from microbial family relative abundance (held-out testing coefficient of determination ( R 2 ) = 0.77 and mean absolute percentage error = 7%) and interpreted the models with Shapley additive explanation values. The most important families for predicting tritium concentrations were Nitrosopumilaceae and Methylomirabilaceae . Upwelling methane could contribute to the unusual coupling of ammonia oxidation by Nitrosopumilaceae with simultaneous nitrite-dependent methane oxidation by Methylomirabilaceae . Taken together, we illuminate the relationship among hydrochemistry, hydraulic connectivity, and alluvial aquifer microbiomes.

Iowa, Minnesota↗
USGS2025

Risk implications of Poisson assumptions and declustering inferred from a fully time-dependent earthquake forecast

We use the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence model, which is fully time-dependent in terms of including spatiotemporal clustering, to evaluate the effects of the Poisson assumption and declustering algorithms on statewide loss exceedance curves. The model is simulation based, meaning it produces synthetic catalogs that exhibit realistic behavior with respect to aftershocks and multi-fault earthquakes. A Poisson version of the model was constructed by randomizing event times, and the influence of two declustering algorithms was examined as well. We demonstrate that the probability of one-or-more loss exceedances (occurrence exceedance probability) is greater for the Poisson model because it has fewer seismically quiet time windows. The discrepancy between dollar loss estimates with a given exceedance probability is up to a factor of 32% but varies depending on the loss threshold (the x-axis value) and the forecast duration (we examined a range between 24 h and 50 years, with the discrepancy for the latter being negligible). We discuss how the one-or-more loss exceedance metric is questionable because it ignores all but the maximum loss experienced in each timeframe. An alternative metric based on total aggregate loss in each time window (aggregate exceedance probability) was therefore also examined, for which the Poisson model again implies higher risk at intermediate losses but lower risk at higher losses (because large, triggered events now contribute to total aggregate losses for the fully time-dependent model). We also argue that declustering is not a scientifically justifiable way to deal with full time dependence, in agreement with a chorus from other recent studies. It is difficult to draw generally applicable conclusions from our study, in part because application specific details will likely be important, but our results highlight how full time dependence can be reckoned with once authoritative forecast models are made available.

California↗
USGS2025

Cascading consequences and interventions for hazards after wildfire in Okanogan County, Washington

This report details the application of the chains of consequences method within the postfire hazard context after the 2021 Cedar Creek and Muckamuck Fires around Okanogan County, Washington. The U.S. Geological Survey Social and Economic Analysis branch convened 20 stakeholders with content- and context-specific knowledge related to these fires and their postfire hazards in an April 2023 Postfire Hazards Chains of Consequences Workshop. Guided by U.S. Geological Survey facilitators, workshop participants identified the cascading consequences of a specific postfire hazard scenario before brainstorming interventions to reduce the likelihood and severity of those consequences. The participants worked across disciplinary boundaries to identify gaps in understanding around cascading postfire hazard consequences and to brainstorm multidisciplinary interventions.

Washington↗
USGS2025

Water quality-based risk assessment for zebra mussel establishment: A case study of single- and multiple-factor methods in northern temperate lakes

Most previous research has used an individual water quality parameter, such as calcium, to predict likelihood of zebra mussel establishment in lakes; we employed two multiple-factor methods, our own susceptibility index for zebra mussels in lakes (SIZL) and aragonite saturation state, to evaluate the risk of mussel establishment. Thirty sites in Voyageurs National Park (VNP) were sampled in 2023 for water quality conditions, including those that play a key role in mussel survivability. These results were combined with existing data sets to determine which lakes, and which locations within the larger lakes, are at greatest risk for zebra mussel establishment. Results for VNP indicate that physical lake characteristics and water quality conditions (both single- and multiple-factor methods) put the large, interconnected lakes in VNP at greater risk of zebra mussel establishment than the smaller interior lakes. All sampled interior lakes had alkalinity and calcium concentrations below thresholds conducive to zebra mussel establishment, although Mukooda and O’Leary lakes were identified as the most at-risk interior lakes. The area in the large lakes most at risk was Sullivan Bay in Kabetogama Lake, where water quality conditions were found to be conducive to zebra mussel establishment. Results from this study could be used by resource managers to focus additional inspections, decontaminations, and regulations to protect the most at-risk lakes. These multiple-factor methods may be useful in determining the risk of zebra mussel infestation in other water bodies.

Minnesota↗
USGS2025

Bioaccumulation and trophic transfer of selenium in a large oligotrophic river

In flowing waters with elevated selenium concentrations, fish are often considered to be at risk from selenium toxicity owing to dietary exposure and accumulation in ovary tissues and subsequent deformities in developing larvae. We studied selenium throughout components of the aquatic food webs at geomorphically distinct locations along the oligotrophic Kootenai River (Montana and Idaho, USA), a river with moderately elevated dissolved selenium concentrations (~ 1 µg/L). Components included water, sediment, freshly accrued biofilms, in-situ periphyton, sestonic detritus, aquatic invertebrates, and fish, with spring and fall sampling. Selenium concentrations were similar among the sediment, biofilm, periphyton, and detritus samples with most concentrations ranging between 0.5 to 2.0 (mg/kg dry weight (dw)). Among the aquatic invertebrates, the highest selenium concentrations were observed in Paraleptophlebia sp. mayflies (>15 mg/kg dw) and oligochaetes (>30 mg/kg dw). Selenium in chironomids was higher in the spring than fall, but otherwise, no consistent concentration patterns with season or feeding traits were observed. Fish tissue selenium concentrations were highly variable among species and tissue type. Selenium in fish tissues tended to be highest in livers of rainbow trout and mountain whitefish relative to egg/ovary, muscle, and carcass tissue. With northern pikeminnow, redside shiner, and slimy sculpin, selenium concentrations tended to be highest in ovary tissues. For example, selenium in rainbow trout livers ranged from an average (range) of 37 (4.5 to 151) compared to 8.7 (2.7 to 12.3) in northern pikeminnow livers. Egg/ovary concentrations ranged from a high of 26 (10.7 to 64) in redside shiner in contrast to 12.2 (6.9 to 17) mg/kg dw in slimy sculpin. A drawback of the fish-tissue approach to monitoring and managing selenium risks in freshwaters is the need to kill multiple fish per site and event. Potential alternative monitoring approaches are illustrated using aquatic invertebrates or using the food web monitoring results to derive monitoring targets for selenium in water or invertebrate tissue that could avoid the need to kill fish to assess whether fish protection guidelines are met.

Idaho, Montana↗
USGS2025

Population growth of threatened Gulf Sturgeon may be limited by the frequency of adult episodic mortality events

Objective We identified spatial and temporal variation in population trends for Gulf Sturgeon Acipenser desotoi (previously known as Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi ) across the species’ range to inform recovery strategies. We also assessed whether adult survival or recruitment more strongly influences population change. Methods We analyzed adult Gulf Sturgeon capture–recapture data from 1990 to 2022 across seven Gulf of Mexico river systems. Using temporal symmetry models and fixed estimates of adult survival from a companion study, we estimated seniority probability (γ i + 1 ), capture probability ( p ), recruitment ( f ), and population growth rate (λ) for adult fish. Models were compared using Akaike information criterion adjusted for small sample sizes, and parameter estimates were derived at both river-specific and rangewide scales. Results Adult survival (φ) was the primary driver of λ across the species’ range, with γ consistently >0.5 in most rivers and time periods. While rangewide λ suggested stable or slightly increasing adult populations, river-level trends varied. Recent declines in λ and f were observed in the Escambia, Apalachicola, and Suwannee rivers—systems affected by red tide, hurricanes, or oil exposure following the Deepwater Horizon spill. Capture probabilities remained low across rivers and time periods. Conclusions Long-term recovery of Gulf Sturgeon is likely more sensitive to adult survival than recruitment to the adult population. Population trajectories differ across rivers and may reflect both demographic changes and inconsistencies in monitoring. Restoring consistent, standardized adult monitoring in select rivers will improve the ability to detect meaningful trends and guide conservation efforts focused on minimizing adult mortality.

Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi↗
USGS2025

Estimating disease prevalence from preferentially sampled, pooled data

After the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, scientific interest in coronaviruses endemic in animal populations has increased dramatically. However, investigating the prevalence of disease in animal populations across the landscape, which requires finding and capturing animals can be difficult. Spatial random sampling over a grid could be extremely inefficient because animals can be hard to locate, and the total number of samples may be small. Alternatively, preferential sampling, using existing knowledge to inform sample location, can guarantee larger numbers of samples, but estimates derived from this sampling scheme may exhibit bias if there is a relationship between higher probability sampling locations and the disease prevalence. Sample specimens are commonly grouped and tested in pools which can also be an added challenge when combined with preferential sampling. Here we present a Bayesian method for estimating disease prevalence with preferential sampling in pooled presence-absence data motivated by estimating factors related to coronavirus infection among Mexican free-tailed bats ( Tadarida brasiliensis ) in California. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach in a simulation study, where a naive model, not accounting for preferential sampling, returns biased estimates of parameter values; however, our model returns unbiased results regardless of the degree of preferential sampling. Our model framework is then applied to data from California to estimate factors related to coronavirus prevalence. After accounting for preferential sampling impacts, our model suggests small prevalence differences between male and female bats.

California↗
USGS2025

Expanding barriers: Impassable gaps interior to distribution of an isolated mountain-dwelling species

Global change is expected to expand and shrink species' distributions in complex ways beyond just retraction at warm edges and expansion at cool ones. Detecting these changes is complicated by the need for robust baseline data for comparison. For instance, gaps in species' distributions may reflect long-standing patterns, recent shifts, or merely insufficient sampling effort. We investigated an apparent gap in the distribution of the American pika, Ochotona princeps , along the North American Sierra Nevada. Historical records from this region are sparse, with ~100 km separating previously documented pika-occupied sites. Surveys during 2014–2023 confirmed that the gap is currently unoccupied by pikas, and evidence of past occurrence indicates that the gap has expanded over time, likely due to contemporary global change. Sites lacking evidence of past pika occurrence were climatically and geographically more distant from sites with signs of recent (former) occurrence and currently occupied sites. Formerly and currently occupied sites were partially climatically distinct, suggesting either metapopulation-like dynamics or an extinction debt that may eventually result in further population losses at the edge of suitable climate space. The Feather River gap aligns with one of several “low points” in the otherwise continuous boreal-like conditions spanning the Cascade Range and Sierra Nevada and is coincident with discontinuities in ranges of other mammals. These results highlight the potential for climate-driven fragmentation and range retraction in regions considered climatically and geographically interior to a species' overall distribution.

California↗
USGS2025

Application of mercury stable isotopes to examine sources and hydrologic factors impacting mercury bioaccumulation and cycling in invertebrates of a model saline lake

Invertebrates, such as brine shrimp and brine flies, are key prey items for millions of resident and migratory birds that utilize saline lakes such as Great Salt Lake (GSL). Elevated methylmercury (MeHg) in invertebrate and waterfowl species of GSL has been assumed to be linked to elevated MeHg in GSL’s anoxic Deep Brine Layer (DBL) where aqueous concentrations can exceed 30 ng/L. Here, we leverage mercury (Hg) concentration and stable isotope measurements on brine flies ( Ephydra hians and Ephydra cinerea ), brine shrimp ( Artemia franciscana ), and spider (western spotted orbweaver [ Neoscona oaxacensis ]) to examine temporal changes in Hg concentrations and sources during periods of DBL presence and absence. Mercury concentrations in brine flies were inversely correlated with lake level and directly correlated with salinity, possibly resulting from factors such as enhanced Hg bioaccumulation due to osmoregulatory stress and stunted growth and/or elevated salinities impacting composition, abundance, and Hg concentrations of food sources. DBL presence did not correspond to higher invertebrate Hg concentrations, highlighting that the DBL is not the primary source of MeHg to biota. Hg stable isotope signatures (Δ 199 Hg and δ 202 Hg) in brine shrimp varied seasonally and indicated greater cumulative photochemical Hg loss from the water column in late summer and fall months. Co-located brine fly and western spotted orbweaver samples show equivalent Δ 199 Hg and δ 202 Hg signatures, supporting Hg transfer from the aquatic to terrestrial food webs. Furthermore, Hg isotope results (Δ 200 Hg) indicate that the majority of Hg accumulating in GSL invertebrates is of atmospheric origin. This study highlights temporal controls on Hg bioaccumulation within GSL, which will help assess Hg cycling within the system in response to management actions and declining lake levels.

Utah↗
USGS2025

Crustal structure along and surrounding the Hawaiian Islands: Volcanic island construction across scarred oceanic crust

The Hawaiian Ridge is a classic example of an intraplate volcanic island chain emplaced on oceanic lithosphere. We seek to constrain both the deformation from island loading around the Hawaiian Ridge and the influence of the oceanic lithosphere, including the Molokaʻi fracture zone (MFZ), on off-axis volcanic emplacement. To examine these processes, we conducted a marine geophysical experiment in 2018 that included the acquisition of eight multichannel seismic reflection lines and used a 6,600 in 3 tuned air gun array and an ultra-long hydrophone streamer cable towed behind R/V Marcus G. Langseth across and around the southern Hawaiian Ridge. We image both the top of igneous oceanic crust and the Moho, and we observe significant variations in regional crustal structure and thickness variations, Moho characteristics, the locations of the buried MFZ, and the flexure of the Pacific oceanic lithosphere under the Hawaiian Ridge. We observe up to ∼4.5 km of deflection of the igneous oceanic crust in response to the volcanic load with sediment thickness increasing to ∼3–3.4 km near the ridge but not correlating with the deflection. A systematic difference in igneous oceanic crustal thickness is found north (average ∼5.2 km) and south (average ∼5.9 km), of the MFZ that also correspond to changes in Moho characteristics. The MFZ itself is associated with the largest crustal thickness variations (∼3.7–7.6 km). Magma ascent through these different crustal regions may account for some variations of magmatic flux to the surface along the Hawaiian Ridge.

Hawaii↗
USGS2025

First-year survival of Lake Sturgeon reintroduced to the Maumee River

Objective Lake Sturgeon Acipenser fulvescens have experienced large population declines due to overfishing, habitat degradation, and pollution. Due to these factors, Lake Sturgeon were extirpated from the Maumee River watershed (Ohio, United States). In 2018, a 20-year reintroduction program began that aims to establish a self-sustaining population in the Maumee River. To understand the potential success of the reintroduction program, our objectives were to estimate poststocking survival of reintroduced Lake Sturgeon from age 0 to age 1. We also wanted to understand whether survival differed between age-0 Lake Sturgeon reared in a streamside facility and those reared in a traditional hatchery. Methods Lake Sturgeon from the two facilities were surgically implanted with acoustic transmitters; tagged fish ( n = 40 per year) were released into the Maumee River in 2018, 2019, and 2021, and their movements were monitored by the Great Lakes Acoustic Telemetry Observation System. Results Approximately 75% of Lake Sturgeon were detected at 100 d after release and 50% were detected at 200 d after release. We found no differences in tag attrition between the two rearing strategies. Monthly survival estimates for Lake Sturgeon were 0.87 (95% CI = 0.81–0.92) in 2018, 0.97 (95% CI = 0.89–0.99) in 2019, and 0.95 (95% CI = 0.90–0.97) in 2021. No differences in survival between rearing strategies within release years existed. Annual survival estimates ranged from 0.19 to 0.71 among the three release years. Conclusions Our results, along with known survival rates for adult Lake Sturgeon, suggest that achieving the goal of 1,500 naturally reproducing individuals in the Maumee River is possible if reintroduced fish return to the Maumee River to spawn as adults.

Ohio↗