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Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including United States.

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The 3D Elevation Program—Supporting the economy of Massachusetts

Introduction Massachusetts extends from the mountains of the Appalachian system in the west of the State to the sandy beaches and rocky shorelines of the Atlantic coast in the east. Inland topographic data support a wide range of important activities, including geologic mapping, transportation planning, forest and wildlife management, quantifying ecological services, water supply protection, commonwealth-wide infrastructure planning, local site planning, and flood-plain management. Nearshore bathymetry can be used to support coastal portions of the Commonwealth by addressing the combined threats of ocean warming, strong storm surge, and rising sea levels. The maintenance and (or) expansion of Massachusetts ports (for instance, Boston, New Bedford) and Cape Cod sediment management depends upon the accurate mapping of bathymetry and the frequent influx of sediment and redeposition. Critical applications that address the broad range of requirements depend on light detection and ranging (lidar) data that provide a highly detailed three-dimensional (3D) model of the Earth’s surface and aboveground features. The 3D Elevation Program (3DEP) is managed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in partnership with Federal, State, Tribal, U.S. territorial, and local agencies to acquire consistent lidar coverage at quality level 2 or better to meet the many needs of the Nation and Massachusetts. The status of available and in-progress 3DEP baseline lidar data in Massachusetts is shown in figure 1. 3DEP baseline lidar data include quality level 2 or better, 1-meter or better digital elevation models, and lidar point clouds, and must meet the Lidar Base Specification version 1.2 ( https://www.usgs.gov/3dep/lidarspec ) or newer requirements. The National Enhanced Elevation Assessment identified user requirements and conservatively estimated that availability of lidar data would result in at least $1.23 million in new benefits annually to Massachusetts. The top 10 Massachusetts business uses for 3D elevation data, which are based on the estimated annual conservative benefits of 3DEP, are shown in table 2.

Massachusetts

Using monitoring and partnerships to provide management-relevant information about Chesapeake Bay rivers

The lands and waters of the Chesapeake Bay watershed provide more than $100 billion in economic benefits—an amount that is expected to increase by achieving the region’s clean-water goals. Achieving those goals requires accurate and timely information about the health of the watershed’s rivers and streams. The Chesapeake Bay nontidal monitoring network (NTN), a partnership of local, state, and federal agencies, as well as other partners, was established in 2004 to provide this information. The U.S. Geological Survey analyzes data collected from NTN stations to provide monitoring-based information about the amount of nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment entering the Chesapeake Bay through its nontidal rivers. Thus, data collected from the NTN inform watershed management by providing decision makers with information on which to base their restoration and conservation actions.

Chesapeake Bay watershed

Reconnaissance of potential alternate water supply sources for the City of Gary, West Virginia

Seven potential sources of water, consisting of free-flowing discharge from abandoned coal mines at six locations and one abandoned flooded underground coal mine air shaft, were sampled for chemical analysis to assess the quality of the groundwater emanating from the seven mine sources. The six free-flowing mine discharge sources were also assessed for discharge by current-meter measurements on two separate occasions. The U.S. Geological Survey assessed these seven sources to provide information to the City of Gary, West Virginia (W. Va.), and the City of Gary’s consulting engineer with groundwater-quality and flow data to allow them to assess the seven sites as potential alternate sources of water for the City of Gary to augment its existing supply. For the six sites where discharge could be measured, discharge ranged from a minimum of 0.082 cubic feet per second (ft 3 /s) to a maximum of 3.685 ft 3 /s. Of the six sites measured, only two, Harmon Branch at Thorpe, W. Va. (USGS site 372201081303501) and the abandoned public-supply water wells near Havaco, W. Va. (USGS site 372358081344601), had discharge in excess of 1.00 ft 3 /s. Discharge from the abandoned public supply wells was 3.685 ft 3 /s on September 20, 2023, and 2.888 ft 3 /s on October 16, 2023, and discharge from Harmon Branch at Thorpe, W. Va., was 1.049 ft 3 /s on September 22, 2023, and 1.038 ft 3 /s on October 17, 2023. Discharge in the abandoned underground mine air shaft (USGS site 372224081340901) could not be assessed, but the air shaft drains an abandoned mine that likely contains water stored in approximately 1.7 square miles (mi 2 ) of abandoned underground coal mines in the Pocahontas No. 3 coal seam, and possibly an additional 0.9 mi 2 of leakage from the overlying Pocahontas No. 4 coal seam. Discharge for the six sites measured for the study was measured during a period between September 20 and October 18, 2023, and corresponded to the 12th to the 15th percentile of flow-duration statistics for the Tug Fork downstream of Elkhorn Creek at Welch, W. Va. streamgage (USGS site 03212750). Water-quality data for the seven sites sampled overall were acceptable with respect to drinking water standards. Of the 203 constituents analyzed, only a few failed to meet applicable U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) drinking water standards. Iron exceeded the 300 micrograms per liter (μg/L) secondary maximum contaminant level (SMCL) at only 1 of the 7 sites (14.3 percent) sampled. Iron concentrations ranged from a minimum of less than (<) 5.00 μg/L to a maximum of 724 μg/L with a median concentration of 7.62 μg/L. Manganese exceeded the 50.0 μg/L SMCL at 2 of the 7 sites (28.6 percent) sampled. Manganese concentrations ranged from a minimum of 1.93 μg/L to a maximum of 271 μg/L with a median concentration of 4.03 μg/L. No sites sampled exceeded the arsenic maximum contaminant level (MCL) of 10 μg/L. Arsenic concentrations ranged from a minimum of <0.100 μg/L to a maximum of 2.35 μg/L with a median arsenic concentration of 0.200 μg/L. None of the seven sites sampled for selenium for this study exceeded the EPA MCL of 50.0 μg/L. Selenium concentrations ranged from a minimum of <0.050 μg/L to a maximum of 5.26 μg/L with a median concentration of 3.21 μg/L. All seven sites were sampled for volatile organic compounds (VOCs), semivolatile organic compounds (SVOCs), and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), but most had concentrations below the detection limit. Of the 10 PCB compounds analyzed for the seven sites sampled, none contained detectable concentrations of PCBs or Aroclor compounds. Of the 44 SVOCs analyzed at each of the seven sites sampled, only 1 SVOC, acenaphthene, was detected, at a concentration of 0.02 μg/L. Of the 96 VOCs analyzed, from each of the seven sites sampled, only two were found at detectable concentrations. Trichloromethane was detected only at 1 of the 7 (14.3 percent) sites sampled at a concentration of 0.027 μg/L, and benzene was detected at the same site and 3 additional sites (4 of the 7 sites or 57.1 percent of the sites sampled) at concentrations of 0.028, 0.029, 0.021, and 0.035 μg/L, but none exceeded the EPA MCL for benzene of 5.00 μg/L. Total coliform bacteria are ubiquitous in the environment, and their presence only suggests the potential for contamination by near-surface processes. Escherichia coli ( E. coli ) bacteria are derived from either human or animal fecal material and can be an indicator of potential contamination by pathogenic bacteria or viruses. Total coliform bacteria were detected at all 7 sites sampled at concentrations ranging from 17.5 to greater than (>) 2,420 most probable number per 100 mL (MPN/100 mL) of sample, with a median total coliform concentration of 1,553 MPN/100 mL. Escherichia coli bacteria were detected at 4 of the 7 sites sampled at concentrations ranging from <1 to 11.9 MPN/100 mL, with a median E. coli concentration of 5.1 MPN/100 mL.

West Virginia

Sensitive environmental DNA methods for low-risk surveillance of at-risk bumble bees

Terrestrial environmental DNA (eDNA) techniques have been proposed as a means of sensitive, non-lethal pollinator monitoring. To date, however, no studies have provided evidence that eDNA methods can achieve detection sensitivity on par with traditional pollinator surveys. Using a large-scale dataset of eDNA and corresponding net surveys, we show that eDNA methods enable sensitive, species-level characterisation of whole bumble bee communities, including rare and critically endangered species such as the rusty patched bumble bee (RPBB; Bombus affinis ). All species present in netting surveys were detected within eDNA surveys, apart from two rare species in the socially parasitic subgenus Psithyrus (cuckoo bumble bees). Further, for rare non-parasitic species, eDNA methods exhibited similar sensitivity relative to traditional netting. Compared with flower eDNA samples, sequenced leaf surface eDNA samples resulted in significantly lower rates of Bombus detection, and these detections were likely attributable to high rates of background eDNA on environmental surfaces, perhaps due to airborne eDNA or eDNA movement during rainfall events. Lastly, we found that eDNA-based frequency of detection across replicate surveys was strongly associated with net-based measures of abundance across site visits. We conclude that the COI-based metabarcoding method we present is cost-effective and highly scalable for quantitative characterisation of at-risk bumble bee communities, providing a new approach for improving our understanding of species habitat associations.

Central Appalachian Mountains

Morphometric and geological characterization with statistical correlations for 33 tributary drainage basins of the San Juan River watershed in the Four Corners region, USA

Basin morphometry, climate and geology control how a hydrological network evolves over time, controlling the efficiency of weathering of elements from geological materials, and ultimately the input of sediment and dissolved constituents to river systems. Exceedances to the Navajo Nation surface water quality standards for trace metals have been reported in the San Juan River watershed. Because metals are transported adsorbed to fine-grain sediment, the identification of areas with elevated sources of trace metals and/or areas with increased erosion and sediment transport potential is an important first step in protecting water quality. Physical factors such as elevation, slope, relief and stream order were used to quantify morphometric parameters that effect the contribution of trace metals into the stream network. By correlating these parameters with water quality data that were collected from tributaries along the San Juan River, we identified statistically significant regressions between morphometric parameters and total Al, Pb, U, Fe and Mn in surface water. Positive correlations with trace metals include tributary drainage basin perimeter, pour point elevation and total number of streams, while negative correlations include stream length ratio, ruggedness number and longest basin axis. Stream reach measurements within geological units that contain known trace metal constituents reveal that Gallegos Canyon and Desert Creek are the most susceptible to sediment mobilization and transport, while other tributary drainage basins, such as Desert, Recapture and Salt creeks, are associated with naturally elevated concentrations of Al, As, Pb and U.

Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah

A hidden heelsplitter: Distribution of an undescribed endemic freshwater mussel in the Barrens Plateau

Malacologists generally acknowledge that the Alasminota holstonia (Tennessee Heelsplitter) populations in the Caney Fork, Elk, and Duck river drainages in the Barrens Plateau region of middle Tennessee likely represent a closely related, but distinct, species, collectively referred to as Alasminota sp. (Barrens Heelsplitter). Recent surveys indicate that the species persists in at least 5 streams: Collins River, Pocahontas Branch, Witty Creek, and Pepper Hollow Branch in the Caney Fork River drainage and Little Duck River in the Duck River drainage, with evidence of recruitment in 2 of these streams. These findings suggest a restricted distribution and highlight the need for taxonomic assessment through genetic analysis. If elevated to species status, the Barrens Heelsplitter would represent a narrow endemic that may require conservation attention, underscoring the ecological significance of Tennessee's Barrens Plateau Region.

Tennessee

Satellite tracking supports hypotheses of breeding allochrony and allopatry in the Endangered Pterodroma hasitata (Black-capped Petrel, Diablotin)

Pterodroma hasitata , the Black-capped Petrel (locally known as Diablotin), is the only extant Pterodroma petrel nesting in the Caribbean. The species is listed as globally Endangered by the IUCN and was recently listed as endangered under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. Pterodroma hasitata show a phenotypic gradient, ranging from a darker, smaller form to a paler, heavier form, that is reflected in a strong genetic structure. This phylogenetic divergence suggests the existence of at least two distinct breeding populations. We report on pre-breeding movements of two male Pterodroma hasitata , one of each form, tracked by satellite from non-breeding areas in Gulf Stream waters of the western North Atlantic Ocean to breeding locations in Hispaniola in late 2019. Based on a combination of tracking locations, location error classes, battery voltage, and satellite communication schedules, we infer that the light-form petrel visited a nest in central Dominican Republic during 2 to 8 October and 9 to 15 October, and the dark form visited a nest in southeastern Haiti during 9 to 22 November and 29 November to 3 December. This information supports earlier suggestions that Pterodroma hasitata forms breed in allochrony and in allopatry, both of which may be a driver of speciation.

North Carolina

Variation in soil organic carbon across a latitudinal chronosequence of mangrove poleward expansion

The critical carbon sink provided by coastal wetlands, known as blue carbon, can be affected by multiple aspects of climate change. One important example is warming-induced mangrove poleward expansion, which is shifting dominant plant cover across tropical–temperate transitional zones and altering ecosystem structure and function. We examined how mangrove expansion affects soil organic carbon (SOC) quantity and source, using measurements of SOC density and isotopic signatures (δ 13 C and δ 15 N) at 15 sites across Florida’s west coast (USA). The sampled sites represent examples of three expansion stages: a latitudinal chronosequence of mangrove expansion, spanning mature mangroves in the south, former ecotones at mid latitudes, and current ecotones in the north. Our analyses of soil core data indicate that mangrove expansion stage is a significant predictor of SOC density, δ 13 C, and δ 15 N, but not C:N ratio. Current ecotones exhibited significantly lower SOC density but higher δ 13 C, suggesting a greater contribution of preexisting C 4 salt marshes, while no difference was found between former ecotones and mature mangroves. SOC density, δ 13 C, and δ 15 N were found to vary with mangrove aboveground biomass, stage, and sedimentary setting along the latitudinal gradient. For all three mangrove expansion stages, SOC density decreased with depth, but δ 13 C showed no vertical trend, suggesting that mangroves contributed organic carbon to the entire 20-cm soil profile. The observed regional trend of SOC across mangrove expansion stages highlights the ecological impacts of warming-driven vegetation shifts in coastal wetlands, though further evidence is needed to determine the primary drivers and mechanisms, while also considering local and regional environmental factors.

Florida

Near-fault amplification and ground motion variability during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California sequence

We estimate ground-motion variability near the 2019 M 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence. Accurate seismic hazard estimation requires understanding ground-motion spatial correlations, yet many studies lack the dense station coverage needed to resolve small-scale variability. The 2019 M 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence presents a unique opportunity to examine ground motions and their spatial correlations at a range of interstation distances. The permanent seismic network was augmented with hundreds of temporary stations including several fault-crossing nodal arrays. We compute the event ( δE i ) and within-event ( δW ij ) residuals from the observed peak ground velocity and peak ground acceleration data to isolate potential sources of ground-motion variability. We then compare δW ij between station pairs that record an event to understand the semivariance of the ground motion versus interstation distance. By fitting an exponential model to the semivariances, we determine a correlation range of 25 km for the Ridgecrest region. Although the exponential model fits the broad-scale increase of semivariance with interstation distance, we also observe smaller-scale trends. We find that ground motions are less correlated for station pairs that are near or across faults that ruptured during the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence. We also find large, positive median δW ij with relative values 2–3 times larger than nearby stations for individual stations’ near-fault traces. Near-fault amplification and greater ground-motion variability can delineate fault zones and may locally increase the seismic hazard.

California

Double agents: Invasive Burmese pythons (Python bivittatus) and Argentine black and white tegus (Salvator merianae) as potential seed dispersers in south Florida

Invasive species can reshape ecological processes, including seed dispersal, through both direct and indirect pathways. In this study, we explore how invasive reptiles influence seed dispersal dynamics in the Greater Everglades ecosystem using two case studies: the Burmese python ( Python bivittatus ) and the Argentine black and white tegu ( Salvator merianae ). Guided by a conceptual framework, we investigate three primary mechanisms through which invasive species may alter seed outcomes: direct seed consumption, predation on seed dispersers before seed ingestion, and secondary seed dispersal via predation on animals that have already consumed seeds. Burmese pythons, as apex predators, may contribute to seed dispersal through diploendozoochory while simultaneously driving trophic cascades that restructure the seed disperser community. Tegus, as omnivorous frugivores, directly consume and disperse a wide diversity of plant seeds. We documented 25 seed morphotypes in python diets and 73 in tegu diets, spanning a broad 38 families and including native, endangered, and invasive plant species. Using a binary interaction network, we found that these reptiles exhibit high generalization, nestedness, and connectance—suggesting they are becoming functionally integrated into Everglades seed dispersal networks. These findings reveal that invasive reptiles not only disrupt native plant–animal interactions but may also reshape them, with implications for ecosystem stability, restoration, and management.

Florida

Fiber-optic sensing for earthquake hazards research, monitoring and early warning

The use of fiber‐optic sensing systems in seismology has exploded in the past decade. Despite an ever‐growing library of ground‐breaking studies, questions remain about the potential of fiber‐optic sensing technologies as tools for advancing if not revolutionizing earthquake‐hazards‐related research, monitoring, and early warning systems. A working group convened to explore these topics; we comprehensively examined the application of fiber optics in various aspects of earthquake hazards, encompassing earthquake source processes, crustal imaging, data archiving, and technological challenges. There is great potential for fiber‐optic systems to advance earthquake monitoring and understanding, but to fully unlock their capabilities requires continued progress in key areas of research and development, including instrument testing and validation, increased dynamic range for applications focused on larger earthquakes, and continued improvement in subsurface and source imaging methods. A key current stumbling block results from the lack of clear data archiving requirements, and we propose an initial strategy that balances data volume requirements with preserving key data for a broad range of future studies. In addition, we demonstrate the potential for fiber‐optic sensing to impact monitoring efforts by documenting the data completeness in a number of long‐term experiments. Finally, we outline the features of a instrument testing facility that would enable progress toward reliable and standardized distributed acoustic sensing data. Overcoming these current obstacles would facilitate progress in fiber‐optic sensing and unlock its potential application to a broad range of earthquake hazard problems.

California, Oregon, Washington

Metaproteomics and metagenomics reveal microbial pathways of organic matter degradation and methanogenesis in a marginally producing natural gas well

The expansion of natural gas production and utilization worldwide has led to the decline of many once-productive wells, eventually resulting in costly well-plugging and unused infrastructure. However, in areas like the Michigan basin, MI, where the majority of natural gas is biogenically produced, microbial communities could potentially be stimulated to generate additional methane, increasing gas supply and reducing the need to drill new wells. In this study, we performed metaproteomic, metagenomic, and geochemical analyses of Antrim Shale formation water from a marginally producing natural gas well to evaluate resident microbial community functions in the context of potential bioenergy production. Functional proteins involved in methanogenesis, degradation/catabolism (including organic matter degradation), biosynthesis, energy utilization, transmembrane transport, and stress response were among the most commonly identified groups. Three metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) were characterized, including Methanomicrobiaceae, Methanothrix , and Smithella . For each, the identified proteins involved in methanogenesis and the degradation of diverse organic compounds, strongly suggest their role in utilizing shale-derived organic matter. These findings provide an increased understanding of the microorganisms and their metabolisms generating natural gas in the Antrim Shale and establish a foundation for future stimulation efforts aimed at enhancing biogenic methane production in marginal gas wells.

Michigan

An empirical test of maximum depositional age through paired LA-ICP-MS and CA-ID-TIMS detrital zircon analysis with implications for the “Nevadan orogeny” in the Sierra Nevada foothills, California, U.S.A.

The interpretation of maximum depositional age (MDA) from U-Pb detrital zircon data acquired via laser ablation–inductively coupled plasma–mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) or secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) is now routine; however, to date only a few studies have presented tests of such MDAs by subsequently analyzing a subset of the same detrital zircon grains with the more accurate and precise chemical abrasion–isotope dilution–thermal ionization mass spectrometry (CA-ID-TIMS) method. We first generated LA-ICP-MS dates and MDAs from three turbidite sandstone samples of the Late Jurassic Mariposa Formation (Sierra Nevada foothills, California) containing large proportions of young detrital zircon grains (at the time of sediment deposition). We then removed 4–5 of the apparent youngest grains from the epoxy mount and analyzed them with CA-ID-TIMS. Despite a lack of low Th/U or high U (ppm) characteristics that might indicate U-Pb system disturbance, all LA-ICP-MS dates are younger than corresponding CA-ID-TIMS dates, on the same grain, by up to 11.8 m.y. when considered as point estimates. Only two out of 13 paired analyses overlap within error at 95% confidence. We interpret MDAs from our CA-ID-TIMS dates to be the youngest CA-ID-TIMS dates (YTDs). LA-ICP-MS MDAs based on fewer dates from the young tail of the youngest date distribution perform the worst (i.e., furthest from CA-ID-TIMS MDAs), whereas LA-ICP-MS MDA methods that incorporate more dates from the youngest date distribution perform better; the best performing method in all cases is the maximum likelihood algorithm–minimum. The performance of tested LA-ICP-MS MDA methods is improved by removing statistical outlier dates and by removing visually young “outlier” dates that drift away from the primary distribution of young dates. Our paired LA-ICP-MS/CA-ID-TIMS MDA workflow shows that the accuracy of MDA can be significantly improved by conducting CA-ID-TIMS on as few as four grains from a sample. The combination of our new CA-ID-TIMS MDAs with published CA-ID-TIMS analyses and petrochronology on the nearby Guadalupe igneous complex provides sub-million-year resolution of contemporaneous igneous and sedimentary systems during deformation and clarifies the timing of regional deformation that defines the local “Nevadan orogeny.” Rocks in the upper plate of the Bear Mountains fault zone have a CA-ID-TIMS YTD MDA of 151.71 ± 0.23 Ma, and rocks of the lower plate have a CA-ID-TIMS YTD MDA of 149.92 ± 0.11 Ma. These new MDAs, in conjunction with the observation of fabric-bearing Mariposa Formation xenoliths in the ca. 149.65 ± 0.10 Ma Guadalupe igneous complex, suggest that rocks in the upper plate of the Bear Mountains fault zone represent a slightly older (~2 m.y.) section of Mariposa Formation that was deformed and intruded prior to being juxtaposed against, and further deformed with, a slightly younger lower-plate section of Mariposa Formation in actively deforming, fault-bounded basins. Our observations are not consistent with traditional models that require that sedimentation of the Mariposa Formation ended by ca. 155 Ma. Instead, we interpret our data to be consistent with other evidence for a continuum of deformation in Late Jurassic to Early Cretaceous time and document that the regional “slatey cleavage” observed in the greater Mariposa Formation and used to define the “Nevadan orogeny” in our study area is largely younger than 149.92 ± 0.11 Ma.

California

Development of genomic markers for monitoring and research on plethodontid salamanders

Despite the importance of plethodontid salamanders and their vulnerability to ongoing environmental change, they are inherently difficult to monitor due to their cryptic nature. Recent advances in genomics have created new opportunities for monitoring of populations and their responses to environmental perturbations. In this study, we developed a new target capture-based genomic panel for the purposes of genetic monitoring in plethodontid salamanders. We demonstrate its utility in several distantly related species and present an example application in two representative species with co-occurring distributions but different ecological attributes and expected patterns of population structure: Plethodon jordani and Desmognathus wrighti . Although the number of successfully assembled loci declined with phylogenetic distance from the original reference species ( Desmognathus spp), we obtained high-quality data from thousands of loci from species in all four genera tested ( Desmognathus , Plethodon , Eurycea , and Gyrinophilus ), which span the deepest split in Plethodontidae. Landscape genetic analyses detected weak but statistically significant geographic structure in P. jordani , and much stronger geographic structure in D. wrighti , as expected based on the lower population density and likely lower dispersal ability of D. wrighti . Our target capture panel is broadly applicable across salamanders in Plethodontidae and has the potential to provide data for a wide range of phylogenetic, biogeographic, and population genetics research questions.

North Carolina, Tennessee

Too hot for comfort: Elevated temperatures influence gene expression and exceed thermal tolerance of bigmouth shiners, Ericymba dorsalis

Environmental and associated ecosystem change may affect the persistence of fish species based on their ability to adapt to changing conditions, including decreasing flows and rising water temperatures. Exceeding the thermal tolerances of stream fish will likely result in a loss of ability to maintain metabolic processes. We evaluated the critical thermal maximum (CTmax) of bigmouth shiner ( Ericymba dorsalis ) and analysed the expression of heat shock protein 70 messenger RNA (mRNA) (HSP70) to quantify a thermal stress response over a gradient of temperatures (25°C–31°C). E. dorsalis HSP70 mRNA expression was upregulated in response to temperatures >25°C, indicating a stress response. This study supports the existence of a thermal stress threshold for E. dorsalis . The frequency at which this threshold is exceeded may increase under forecasted future climate scenarios for Nebraska.

Nebraska

U.S. Geological Survey geomagnetic variometer data: Capitalizing on seismic infrastructure

The U.S. Geological Survey’s Geomagnetism Program is collaborating with the Earthquake Hazards Program and Global Seismographic Network Program to densify magnetic field observations. This collaboration focuses on the installation of magnetometers, or magnetic variometers, at existing seismic stations. Along with improving the density of space weather observations for hazard monitoring, these data can be used to correct colocated magnetic field induced noise in seismic data. Such corrections are especially useful during time periods of large magnetic storms where the magnetic field‐induced instrument noise can be of similar amplitude to earthquake ground‐motion records.

contiguous United States

Predicting secretive species distribution using Bayesian networks with and without expert elicitation: A case study incorporating double-blind peer review

1. Species that are secretive, imperilled and consequently data deficient often re-quire conservation action despite limited available information. In such scenarios, Bayesian networks (BNs) offer a versatile and intuitive approach for utilizing various information sources, including literature reviews, community science data sets and expert knowledge. Although it has been suggested that peer review be incorporated during expert elicitations in a BN modelling context, little information exists about how to implement this approach or about how models constructed using this approach perform. 2. We documented a double-blind peer review approach for expert elicitation in a BN modelling context. Further, we compared BN models that were generated by experts who engaged in this peer-review process (PRBNs) to those that were generated by a single expert whose knowledge was supplemented only by a literature review (LRBNs). These comparisons were based on the ability to predict the occurrence (via community science and satellite telemetry data) of a secretive and data deficient species, the King Rail ( Rallus elegans ), throughout a large region. 3. We found that the LRBNs tended to predict King Rail occurrence as well as, or better than, the PRBNs. The LRBNs that we evaluated provided more consistent predictions across our study area. However, preliminary data suggest that the PRBNs may better distinguish between locations of focal and non-focal species within smaller regions. 4. Practical implication. Our framework for utilizing double-blind peer review could serve as a useful guide and have practical implications for incorporating expert knowledge in BN models. Further, our model comparison case study suggests that, in some contexts, a single expert who uses a literature review to inform the creation of BN models may be able to accurately predict the occurrence of a secretive and data-deficient focal species. Taken together, this information could help ecologists decide when a double-blind peer review approach to expert elicitation is necessary and how to implement this approach in a BN modelling context.

Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Tennes

The influence of postfire root strength decay on shallow landslide susceptibility in western Oregon

Severe wildfires can increase the potential for postfire landslides, partly due to the loss of vegetation and root reinforcement. This study investigates the multi-year dynamics of root strength following wildfire in coniferous forests of western Oregon and evaluates implications for postfire slope stability. Root tensile strength was measured through laboratory testing of 969 roots collected from 26 test pits over four postfire timeframes: unburned conditions, 4–12 months postfire (Cedar Creek, 2022), 24–35 months postfire (Holiday Farm, 2020), and 59–67 months postfire (Eagle Creek, 2017). Variables analyzed include root diameter, tensile thread strength, stiffness, progressive tensile strength with displacement, time-dependent strength and ductility, root area ratio, and cohesion. Results indicate a 50% reduction in root strength after wildfire, with the lowest values occurring around 4 years postfire. Projections indicate it could take 10–22 years following fire for root strength to recover to 70% and 90% of the prefire original root strength, respectively. This timeline indicates a multi-year window of vulnerability for shallow landslides that reaches a maximum approximately 4 years following fire. Brittle failure behavior was observed in burned root systems compared to unburned root systems, signaling a more abrupt loss of strength at yield. Simple slope stability analyses show that reduced root strength can lead to instability on more gentle slopes and under less saturation in comparison to unburned conditions. These findings highlight the critical role of root reinforcement in postfire slope stability and the long-term implications of wildfire disturbance on landslide susceptibility.

Oregon