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Research about Ohio

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Ohio.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Electrofishing Sandusky River grass carp spawning grounds may disrupt spawning

Invasive grass carp Ctenopharyngodon idella spawning was confirmed in Lake Erie with the collection of fertilized eggs in the Sandusky River, Ohio in 2015. Managers responded with initiation of adult grass carp removal in 2017. Hydrodynamic modeling revealed a potential spawning location in downtown Fremont, Ohio (41.3455; −83.1110), which was supported by the presence of sexually mature adults. Egg detection and adult removals appear to coincide with periods of elevated discharge and suitable water temperatures. Electrofishing is the primary method for removing adults during spawning, however, it is unknown if this has indirect effects such as disruption of grass carp spawning; thereby lowering egg presence in ichthyoplankton samples. We used a binomial generalized linear model to predict the probability of grass carp egg presence (≥ 1 egg) in a paired ichthyoplankton net based on the presence of electrofishing in the spawning grounds and net depth using 2017–2022 data. Further, we carried out a field experiment to isolate the effect of electrofishing by sampling eggs at two sites before and during electrofishing in the spawning grounds in 2022. Analysis of 2017–2022 egg and electrofishing data suggested that grass carp egg presence in a paired ichthyoplankton net was significantly higher without electrofishing and in nets towed at a depth of 1.5 m compared to surfacetowed nets. Data analysis from the field experiment revealed a significant negative relationship between electrofishing in the spawning grounds and grass carp egg collections downstream. Both analyses suggested lower egg capture rates associated with electrofishing in the spawning grounds, although other factors should be further quantified. Consequently, electrofishing may cause a short-term disruption in grass carp spawning in the Sandusky River and could reduce spawning during preferred conditions.

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Drivers and timing of grass carp movement within the Sandusky River, Ohio: Implications to potential spawning barrier response strategy

Understanding the timing and drivers of migration can be beneficial for improving response efforts aimed at reducing invasive species densities. Efforts by management agencies to remove grass carp ( Ctenopharyngodon idella) , an invasive species to the Laurentian Great Lakes, have been ongoing in Lake Erie tributaries since 2018. To bolster efforts, deployment of a non-physical barrier has been proposed downstream of a known grass carp spawning location near Brady’s Island (BI) in the Sandusky River, OH, USA to limit recruitment. However, knowledge of grass carp migratory timing, the environmental variables that cue carp migration, and the potential effects the barrier might impose on native fish [e.g., walleye ( Sander vitreus )] movements would help inform barrier deployment and scheduling. We used detection data from grass carp ( n = 29) and walleye ( n = 84) tagged with acoustic transmitters to address four objectives: (1) quantify interannual variation (years = 2015–2021) of grass carp migration timing to BI; (2) evaluate timing of different grass carp movement modalities (residents and migrants); (3) assess overlap in migration timing with native walleye, and (4) evaluate environmental cues of grass carp migration to BI. Median grass carp arrival at BI occurred within a three-week period (148–165 Julian days), suggesting that deploying a barrier immediately prior to this time frame may be effective for deterring grass carp spawning. Temperature, photoperiod, and discharge influenced grass carp migration timing given that most arrival events occurred at daylengths > 14.5 h, temperatures exceeding 18 °C, and low discharge events (< 3,000 cubic feet second −1 [CFS]). Minimal interannual variability in migration timing existed for grass carp and walleye over a six-year period. However, the median departure time of walleye was more than 45 days before the median arrival time of grass carp, suggesting a spawning barrier may minimally affect walleye spawning. No differences in arrival timing at BI were observed between grass carp migratory contingents, indicating that if a barrier were deployed in the spring, it would likely affect all grass carp spatial contingents. This work highlights management implications of barrier control efforts of aquatic invasive species and provides insight into the environmental cues that grass carp use for upstream migration.

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Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances in groundwater from the Great Miami buried-valley aquifer, southwestern Ohio, 2019–20

Groundwater samples were collected during 2019 and 2020 from 23 wells in the Great Miami buried-valley aquifer (GM-BVA) in southwestern Ohio by the U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Miami Conservancy District, Dayton, Ohio, to determine concentrations of selected per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). The GM-BVA is a glacial outwash and alluvial fill aquifer that is the sole source of water supply for much of the region. Wells had total depths that ranged from 21 to 101 feet below land surface, and groundwater levels that ranged from 1.39 to 52.15 feet below land surface before sampling in 2019. Groundwater and related quality-control samples were sequentially collected from 22 of the 23 wells and analyzed for 24 different PFAS by 2 methods that used proprietary isotope-dilution based adaptations of U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) method 537.1, termed methods 1 and 2. Method 2 had smaller reporting limits (RL) for 22 of 24 PFAS analyzed and smaller detection limits (DLs) for all 24 PFAS analyzed compared with method 1, which made method 2 more sensitive to detect PFAS. Concentrations of perfluorooctanesulfonate (PFOS) in a groundwater (GW)-method 2 sample from well CL–275 of 1.9 nanograms per liter (ng/L) and perfluorooctanoate (PFOA) in a GW-method 2 sample from well BU–1106 of 2.1 ng/L were greater than their EPA interim health advisory guidances for drinking water (as of June 2022) by about 9,500 and 52,500 percent, respectively. The EPA interim health advisory guidances for PFOS (0.02 ng/L) and PFOA (0.004 ng/L) were also 65 and 215 times less, respectively, than the smallest method 2 DLs for PFOS (1.3 ng/L) and PFOA (0.86 ng/L). Other PFAS were either not detected in GM-BVA groundwater samples or were detected in concentrations less than Ohio action levels or Federal health-risk-based guidance. The most detected PFAS in groundwater was perfluorobutanesulfonate (PFBS), which had concentrations in samples from eight wells that ranged from 1.0 to 8.0 ng/L or from 0.05 to 0.4 percent of its EPA health advisory of 2,000 ng/L for drinking water. The similarity of PFBS (7.8 ng/L), perfluoropentanesulfonate (PFPeS; 8.1 ng/L), and perfluorohexanesulfonate (PFHxS; 14 ng/L) concentrations yielded from the GW-method 1 sample from well CL–275 on July 9, 2019, to those of PFBS (8.0 ng/L), PFPeS (7.8 ng/L), and PFHxS (16 ng/L) from the paired GW-method 2 sample demonstrated the capability of both methods to reproduce PFAS concentrations that were greater than their respective DLs. Non-detection of these PFAS in follow-up GW-method 1 and sequential replicate (Rep–GW-method 1) samples from CL–275 on April 21, 2020, indicated that the 2019 results represented a transient detection in groundwater. Eleven of twenty-three wells sampled in 2019 had from 1 to 4 PFAS detected in one or more groundwater samples or in a paired replicate sample: PFBS in 8 wells and 9 samples; PFHxS in 4 wells and 5 samples; and PFPeS, PFOS, perfluorobutanoate, perfluoropentanoate, PFOA, and perfluorooctanesulfonamide in 1 well and 1 sample each. More PFAS were detected in GW-method 2 samples than GW-method 1 samples because method 2 had smaller RLs and DLs. Results indicate benefits from the analysis of paired samples, sequential replicate samples, and other quality-control samples using analytical methods with sensitive RLs and DLs to verify PFAS concentrations in groundwater. Groundwater-age estimates indicate that water produced from all sampled wells had infiltrated to the water table within the 1947–present (2022) period of PFAS use or environmental presence. Eight wells with detectable PFBS in groundwater from 2019 samples also had groundwater-recharge dates that ranged from 1991 to 2016. Those ages coincided with the possible environmental presence of PFBS as a PFAS byproduct or use as an alternative to PFOS after about 2002. Two wells that had detections of PFHxS in 2019 groundwater samples also had post-2000 groundwater-recharge dates that coincided with the period of use of PFHxS as an alternative to PFOS. Six of nine wells with more than 66-percent of urban land use that was within 0.3 miles of each well, as of 2012, also had 1 to 4 PFAS detected in one of their groundwater samples. Seven of nine wells that produced groundwater in 2019 with an oxic redox category also had one or more PFAS detected in a sample.

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Modeling flow and water quality in reservoir and river reaches of the Mahoning River Basin, Ohio

Executive Summary The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) is considering changes to the management of water surface elevation in four lakes in the Mahoning River Basin. These changes would affect the timing and amounts of water released to the Mahoning River and could affect the water quality of those releases. To provide information on possible water-quality effects from these operational changes, flow and water-quality models were constructed for Berlin Lake, Lake Milton, Michael J Kirwan Reservoir, Mosquito Creek Lake, Mosquito Creek, and the Mahoning River from the dams downstream to Lowellville, Ohio. The models were calibrated for two calendar years each, with model years selected depending on the availability of water-quality data. Models were developed with CE-QUAL-W2 version 4.2 (Wells, S.A., 2020, CE-QUAL-W2—A two-dimensional, laterally averaged, hydrodynamic and water quality model [version 4.2]: Portland State University, variously paged), a two-dimensional, laterally averaged hydrodynamic and water-quality model. Modeled constituents included flow, velocity, ice cover, water temperature, total dissolved solids (TDS), sulfate, chloride, inorganic suspended sediment, nitrate, ammonia, total Kjeldahl nitrogen, orthophosphate, total phosphorus, dissolved and particulate organic matter, algae, and dissolved oxygen. Iron was included for the lake models, but not the river. A whole-basin model, with the four lake models and river model, was used to run model scenarios to examine the effects of altered lake water surface elevations on flow and water quality in the lakes, the lake outflows, and the Mahoning River. The initial whole-basin model, with calendar year 2013 hydrology and measured or typical water quality, was designated as scenario 0. Mahoning River flows for calendar year 2013 were close to a 20-year median flow. Four additional scenarios were constructed based on reservoir operations model (RES-SIM) model water surface elevations for the four lakes as provided by USACE. Scenario 1 was the RES-SIM base case, scenario 2 kept Berlin Lake water surface elevations higher in summer, scenario 3 allowed 25 percent of summer flood storage to extend the guide curve, and scenario 4 allowed more flexibility in lake management by removing any downstream Mahoning River minimum flow requirements. The Mahoning River model was not changed in any scenarios but received altered flows from the lakes. Significant findings from this study include the following: In two of the four lakes (Berlin and Mosquito Creek Lakes), development of lake model grids using recent bathymetric surveys suggests that sedimentation in these lakes has occurred since they were constructed, altering volume-elevation curves. Tests of model parameter sensitivity showed that modeled water temperature, TDS, and dissolved oxygen were relatively insensitive to model parameter values. Modeled chlorophyll a , a measure of algal concentration, was most sensitive to parameter values; nitrate and total phosphorus concentrations were affected by a few of the parameters tested. As a group, the lake model results were more sensitive to model parameter values compared to the Mahoning River model. Data gaps were identified for inflows, both for water quantity and water quality, that could be filled through future sampling programs. Ample data were available from within the waterbodies for model calibration. The model simulated the general spatial and temporal patterns of water temperature, TDS, chloride, sulfate, nutrients, suspended sediment, organic matter, chlorophyll a , and dissolved oxygen in the lakes and Mahoning River. From late spring to autumn in the years modeled (2006, 2013, 2017–19 depending on the lake), all lakes developed thermal stratification and periods of anoxia in bottom waters. Stratification was most stable in Michael J Kirwan Reservoir and least stable in Mosquito Creek Lake. The stratification and anoxia in Berlin Lake, Lake Milton, and Mosquito Creek Lake could be interrupted by high-flow inputs moving through those lakes. The model predicted the release of ammonia and iron during anoxic periods in the lake hypolimnions. Concentrations of TDS, nitrate, orthophosphate, and total phosphorus increased in the Mahoning River down to Lowellville, the end of the river model, in the years modeled. These concentrations were greater than those in upstream lake releases. Chloride and sulfate concentrations were underpredicted in the Mahoning River, suggesting the presence of unreported chloride and sulfate inputs to the river, at least in the years modeled. Model scenario 4 kept water surface elevations the highest in all lakes in the April to mid-December period, compared to scenarios 1–3. Model scenario 2 kept water surface elevations in Berlin Lake higher in summer and late autumn, compared to scenarios 1 and 3, but to satisfy downstream minimum flow requirements, water surface elevations in the other lakes had periods of lower water surface elevation. As a group, scenarios 1–3 had largely similar effects on flow and water surface elevation in the Mahoning River because the lake releases in those scenarios still met downstream Mahoning River flow targets. Modeling the removal of downstream flow targets, scenario 4 had periods of lower flow in the Mahoning River from April to mid-September as water was held in the lakes, and periods of higher Mahoning River flow from mid-September through November as the lakes were drawn down to prepare for winter flood-risk management. In the four scenarios, all the lakes and lake outflows had generally similar seasonal cycles of water quality, though some differences were predicted. For instance, higher concentrations of iron and ammonia in the Lake Milton hypolimnion were modeled during a period of both low inflows from Berlin Lake and low outflows at Lake Milton dam. It is possible that those changes could be minimized by maintaining more flow or pulses of higher flow through the lake. Compared to the scenario 1 base case, changes to Mahoning River water quality were relatively minor for scenarios 2 and 3, which maintained downstream flows but shifted the flow source among the upstream lakes. The largest changes in Mahoning River water quality were predicted between Leavittsburg and Lowellville for scenario 4. The periods of lower lake outflows between April and mid-September led to correspondingly higher concentrations of TDS, orthophosphate, total phosphorus, and nitrate in the river, compared to the base case scenario 1. Conversely, the overall greater lake outflows from mid-September through November in scenario 4 led to periods of lower concentrations of TDS and nutrients in that portion of the river, at that time of year.

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A restructured Bayesian approach to estimate the abundance of a rare and invasive fish

Quantifying invasive species abundance informs management and control strategies. However, estimating abundance can be challenging, particularly when dealing with rare species early in the invasion process. Data generated from control strategies, such as removing invasive species, are usually not suited to conventional statistical modelling approaches. Hence, we developed a Bayesian model using data generated by a grass carp ( Ctenopharyngodon idella ) control program in the Sandusky River, Ohio (USA) for estimating the abundance of rare, invasive species. The model is a restructured N-mixture model modified to incorporate the data generating process (i.e., setting a trammel net to isolate a sampling area followed by boat-mounted electrofishing). Allowing the estimation of grass carp abundance from the species removal data, which had very few detections relative to the sampling effort. Our results indicated that the average number of grass carp present in the river at any one time did not change substantially from 2018 to 2020. The highest abundance estimates were in the lower and upper-middle segments of the river, suggesting possible recolonization from Lake Erie, and possibly other tributaries. Ultimately, the ability to use species-control data to estimate abundance provides important information for management, particularly for invasive ‘sleeper’ species in freshwater ecosystems.

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Multi-omics responses in tree swallow (Tachycineta bicolor) nestlings from the Maumee Area of Concern, Maumee River, Ohio

A multi-omics approach was utilized to identify altered biological responses and functions, and to prioritize contaminants to assess the risks of chemical mixtures in the Maumee Area of Concern (AOC), Maumee River, OH, USA. The Maumee AOC is designated by the United States Environmental Protection Agency as having significant beneficial use impairments, including degradation of fish and wildlife populations, bird or animal deformities or reproduction problems, and loss of fish and wildlife habitat. Tree swallow ( Tachycineta bicolor ) nestlings were collected at five sites along the Maumee River, which included wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) and industrial land-use sites. Polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), polychlorinated dibenzo p dioxins and furans (PCDD/Fs), and chlorinated pesticide concentrations were elevated in Maumee tree swallows, relative to a remote reference site, Star Lake, WI, USA. Liver tissue was utilized for non-targeted transcriptome and targeted metabolome evaluation. A significantly differentially expressed gene cluster related to a downregulation in cell growth and cell cycle regulation was identified when comparing all Maumee River sites with the reference site. There was an upregulation of lipogenesis genes, such as PPAR signaling ( HMGCS2 , SLC22A5 ), biosynthesis of unsaturated fatty acids (FASN, SCD, ELOVL2, and FADS2), and higher lipogenesis related metabolites, such as docosapentaenoic acid (DPA), docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA), and arachidonic acid (AA) at two industrial land-use sites, Ironhead and Maumee, relative to WWTP sites (Perrysburg and SideCut), and the reference site. Toledo Water, in the vicinity of the other two industrial sites and also adjacent to a WWTP, showed a mix of signals between industrial land-use and WWTP land-use. PAHs, oxychlordane, and PBDEs were determined to be the most likely causes of the differentiation in biological responses, including de novo lipogenesis and biosynthesis of unsaturated fatty acids.

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Turbidity and estimated phosphorus retention in a reconnected Lake Erie coastal wetland

Nearly all of the wetlands in the coastal zone of Lake Erie have been degraded or destroyed since the 1860s, and most of those that remain are separated from their watersheds by earthen dikes. Hydrologic isolation of these wetlands disrupts ecosystem benefits typical to Great Lakes coastal wetlands, particularly the ability to trap sediments and retain nutrients when inundated by runoff and lake water. High-frequency measurements of turbidity and discharge were taken in 2013 and 2014 to observe turbidity and water flow dynamics to estimate total phosphorus flux of a hydrologically reconnected diked wetland pool in the Crane Creek-Lake Erie wetland complex. Modeled estimates suggest the reconnected pool retained 8% of the total phosphorus loading in 2013 and 10% in 2014, which included short periods of phosphorus export to Lake Erie. Water flowing out of the wetland generally had lower turbidity than inflowing water, but flux in and out of the pool varied seasonally and was linked to changes in lake-levels, seiche dynamics, and weather conditions. More frequent storms, higher winds, and stronger seiches in the spring and fall created turbidity patterns that suggest more phosphorus retention than in summer or winter. Estimates suggest that phosphorus was released during the summer when higher lake levels and the absence of frequent storms, larger short-term seiche oscillations, and potentially soil oxygen availability were driving flux dynamics. This study demonstrated that reestablishing lake hydrology through reconnection of wetland pools can reduce loading and alter timing of delivery of total phosphorus to Lake Erie.

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Circulation, mixing, and transport in nearshore Lake Erie in the vicinity of Villa Angela Beach and Euclid Creek, Cleveland, Ohio, June 10–12, 2019, and August 19–21, 2019

Villa Angela Beach, on the Lake Erie lakeshore near Cleveland, Ohio, is just west of the mouth of Euclid Creek, a small, flashy stream that drains approximately 23 square miles and is susceptible to periodic contamination from combined sewer overflows (CSOs; 190 and 189 events in 2018 and 2019, respectively). Concerns about high concentrations of Escherichia coli ( E . coli ) in water samples collected along this beach and subsequent frequent beach closures led to the collection of water-quality and water-velocity data in the nearshore area to gain insights into nearshore mixing processes, circulation, and the potential for transport of bacteria and other CSO-related contaminants from nearby sources to the beach. Synoptic surveys were completed by the U.S. Geological Survey on June 10–12, 2019, and August 19–21, 2019, to observe conditions during early and late periods of the summer season. This study follows several studies in this area. Data-collection methods for this study included deployment of an autonomous underwater vehicle and use of a manned boat equipped with an acoustic Doppler current profiler and a multiparameter sonde. Spatial distributions of water-quality constituents and nearshore currents indicated that the mixing zone near the mouth of Euclid Creek and Villa Angela Beach is dynamic and highly variable in spatial extent. Similar observations around the Easterly Wastewater Treatment Plant 1.5 miles to the southwest of Villa Angela Beach indicated a mixing zone that was likewise dynamic and highly variable in spatial extent. Observed circulation patterns during synoptic surveys in summer 2019 indicated that contaminants from CSOs in Euclid Creek and at CSO discharge points along the Lake Erie lakefront (as traced using specific conductance as a surrogate) tended to be transported differently depending on the magnitude and direction of winds and longshore currents. The southwesterly longshore current that was responsible for driving a recirculation pattern along the beach during a previous study in summer 2012 was not observed during the summer 2019 synoptic surveys. That was not surprising because continuous velocity data collected near Villa Angela Beach indicated that longshore currents with a northeasterly component occurred most (65 percent) of the time from June 12 to August 28, 2019.

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Assessment of runoff volume reduction associated with soil amendments added to portions of highway median-strip catchments in Ohio, 2018–20

The U.S. Geological Survey installed 10 rain gages and 12 calibrated H-flumes to measure rainfall and runoff volumes at 10 locations in Ohio Department of Transportation highway median-strip catchments. Data were collected to facilitate comparisons of rainfall and runoff volumes at study sites before and after stormwater best management practices (BMPs) were installed and between sites with different BMPs. The BMP treatments comprised removing the top layer of the existing soil, rototilling the remaining soil to a 6-inch depth, mixing the soils with one of two soil amendments (compost with sand or shale) at one of two thicknesses (4 inches or 6 inches), topping with a compost blanket, seeding, and installing erosion control matting. The overall treatment used at a given study site is referred to as “BMP.” At two locations where soil amendments were installed, a second “control” site was installed to measure runoff from an adjacent catchment in the same median strip where no soil amendment was installed. This no-treatment option (no soil amendment) was considered its own class of BMP. Rainfall and runoff data were collected during periods when air temperatures were above freezing (including all months except January, February, and parts of December and March) from 2018 to 2020. The data collection period for each study site was divided into “pre-BMP” and “post-BMP” periods. Equipment to measure rainfall and runoff was installed and data were collected from April to December 2018 before installation of soil amendments (the pre-BMP period). The post-BMP period started between April and May of 2019 at the first measured rainfall after soil amendments were installed. Rainfall and runoff monitoring continued through September 2020. For control sites, the post-BMP periods were assigned to start with the first measured rainfall in the 2019 data collection season. A rainfall-runoff “event” was defined as beginning at the time of the first measured rainfall and ending when rainfall and runoff (if any) ceased and remained ceased for at least 3 hours. A value referred to as “event runoff percentage,” defined as the total volume of runoff during an event expressed as a percentage of the total volume of rainfall falling over the catchment, was computed for each event. The distribution of rainfall totals associated with events was similar between the pre-BMP and post-BMP periods; however, there were appreciable between-site differences in the distribution of event runoff percentages during the pre-BMP and post-BMP periods. Empirical distribution function (EDF) tests were performed with and without data from events that resulted in no runoff to determine whether the distribution of event runoff percentages changed from the pre-BMP period to the post-BMP period. The null hypothesis that the EDFs of event runoff percentages were equal in the pre-BMP and post-BMP periods was rejected ( α =0.05) in at least one of the two tests for four sites (one site with a shale amendment and three sites with sand amendments). Mean event runoff percentages at each of those four sites decreased from the pre-BMP period to the post-BMP period. The null hypothesis that the EDFs of event runoff percentages were equal was not rejected for the other six sites’ draining catchments with soil amendments or the two control sites. EDF tests performed on event rainfall totals indicated no statistically significant changes between the pre-BMP and post-BMP period distributions for any of the sites. Double-mass analyses of cumulative runoff were performed for two pairs of closely spaced sites (each pair located in a common median strip): one site in each pair drained a catchment where soil amendments were installed, and the other (a control) drained a catchment without soil amendments. Those double-mass analyses indicated a small reduction in runoff from the pre-BMP to post-BMP period at the site whose catchment received the sand and compost amendment, but no perceptible reduction in runoff at the site whose catchment received the shale and compost amendment. Regression analyses indicated that (a) three rainfall factors (event rainfall totals, total rainfall for the previous 7 days, and a cross product of the factors) and the intercept term were the four most important factors explaining event runoff percentages, (b) the effect of amendment type on event runoff percentage was small in comparison to the rainfall and intercept terms, (c) event runoff percentages tended to be lower for sites with shale amendments than sites with sand amendments; however, event runoff percentages tended to be lower for control sites than for sites with shale or sand amendments, and (d) event runoff percentages increased with increasing amendment thickness. The counterintuitive results that event runoff percentages increased with increasing amendment thickness and that control sites tended to have lower event runoff percentages than sites draining soil-amended catchments likely reflects unmeasured factors that existed at the sites before BMPs were installed rather than the effect of the BMP treatments. Although not definitive, some support for the conclusion that the sand amendment was generally more effective at reducing runoff than the shale amendment was provided by results from the EDF tests, double-mass analyses, and runoff statistics.

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Water-quality distributions in the East Branch Black River near the Chemical Recovery Systems site in Elyria, Ohio, 2021

Autonomous underwater vehicles are uniquely designed to provide spatially dense water-quality data along with bathymetry and velocimetry. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region 5 requested technical assistance from the U.S. Geological Survey in support of ongoing investigations at the Chemical Recovery Systems site to collect spatially dense water-quality and bathymetry data in the East Branch Black River in Elyria, Ohio. This report was prepared in cooperation with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to present the results of the autonomous underwater vehicle survey near the Chemical Recovery Systems site on March 22, 2021. Plots of distributions of water temperature, specific conductance, pH, and dissolved oxygen are presented that may help guide and focus future U.S. Environmental Protection Agency efforts at the site to determine the degree of groundwater/surface-water interaction.

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Landscape features fail to explain spatial genetic structure in white-tailed deer across Ohio, USA

Landscape features influence wildlife movements across spatial scales and have the potential to influence the spread of disease. Chronic wasting disease (CWD) is a fatal prion disease affecting members of the family Cervidae, particularly white-tailed deer ( Odocoileus virginianus ), and the first positive CWD case in a wild deer in Ohio, USA, was recorded in 2020. Landscape genetics approaches are increasingly used to better understand potential pathways for CWD spread in white-tailed deer, but little is known about genetic structure of white-tailed deer in Ohio. The objectives of our study were to evaluate spatial genetic structure in white-tailed deer across Ohio and compare the support for isolation by distance (IBD) and isolation by landscape resistance (IBR) models in explaining this structure. We collected genetic data from 619 individual deer from 24 counties across Ohio during 2007–2009. We used microsatellite genotypes from 619 individuals genotyped at 11 loci and haplotypes from a 547-base pair fragment of the mitochondrial DNA control region. We used spatial and non-spatial genetic clustering tests to evaluate genetic structure in both types of genetic data and empirically optimized landscape resistance surfaces to compare IBD and IBR using microsatellite data. Non-spatial genetic clustering tests failed to detect spatial genetic structure, whereas spatial genetic clustering tests indicated subtle spatial genetic structure. The IBD model consistently outperformed IBR models that included land cover, traffic volume, and streams. Our results indicated widespread genetic connectivity of white-tailed deer across Ohio and negligible effects of landscape features. These patterns likely reflect some combination of minimal resistive effects of landscape features on white-tail deer movement in Ohio and the effects of regional recolonization or translocation. We encourage continued CWD surveillance in Ohio, particularly in the proximity of confirmed cases.

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Hydrologic and hydraulic analyses of selected streams near the city of Rittman in Wayne and Medina Counties, Ohio

The U.S. Geological Survey, in cooperation with the Muskingum Watershed Conservancy District and the city of Rittman, Ohio, did a study to provide data to update and expand parts of two Federal Emergency Management Agency Flood Insurance Studies. The study consisted of hydrologic and hydraulic analyses for selected reaches of four streams (Chippewa Creek, Little Chippewa Creek, Styx River, and the unnamed tributary to Styx River) near the city of Rittman in Wayne and Medina Counties, Ohio. The study covered 36.2 miles of stream reaches. Instantaneous peak streamflows for floods with 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, and 0.2-percent and 1-percent plus annual exceedance probabilities were estimated using historical streamflow data from three U.S. Geological Survey streamgages and regional flood-frequency regression equations. The flood-frequency estimates were then used in a Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System step-backwater model to determine water-surface profiles; flood-inundation boundaries for the 10-, 4-, 2-, 1-, and 0.2-percent and 1-percent plus annual exceedance probabilities; and a regulatory floodway for the study reaches. Model inputs included cross sections derived from a digital elevation model supplemented with field surveys of open-channel cross sections and hydraulic structures, field estimates of Manning’s roughness values, and flood estimates determined from regional regression equations and historical streamflow data. Flood-inundation boundaries were mapped for each stream reach for the 1- and 0.2-percent annual exceedance probability floods and a regulatory floodway. All data used in the creation of the flood-inundation boundaries are available through a U.S. Geological Survey data release (Ostheimer, 2021) and will be submitted to the Federal Emergency Management Agency for inclusion in updated Flood Insurance Studies for Wayne and Medina Counties.

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Uncertainty in critical source area predictions from watershed-scale hydrologic models

Watershed-scale hydrologic models are frequently used to inform conservation and restoration efforts by identifying critical source areas (CSAs; alternatively 'hotspots'), defined as areas that export relatively greater quantities of nutrients and sediment. The CSAs can then be prioritized or ‘targeted’ for conservation and restoration to ensure efficient use of limited resources. However, CSA simulations from watershed-scale hydrologic models may be uncertain and it is critical that the extent and implications of this uncertainty be conveyed to stakeholders and decision makers. We used an ensemble of four independently developed Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models and a SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) model to simulate CSA locations for flow, phosphorus, nitrogen, and sediment within the ~17,000-km 2 Maumee River watershed at the HUC-12 scale. We then assessed uncertainty in CSA simulations determined as the variation in CSA locations across the models. Our application of an ensemble of models - differing with respect to inputs, structure, and parameterization - facilitated an improved accounting of CSA prediction uncertainty. We found that the models agreed on the location of a subset of CSAs, and that these locations may be targeted with relative confidence. However, models more often disagreed on CSA locations. On average, only 16%–46% of HUC-12 subwatersheds simulated as a CSA by one model were also simulated as a CSA by a different model. Our work shows that simulated CSA locations are highly uncertain and may vary substantially across models. Hence, while models may be useful in informing conservation and restoration planning, their application to identify CSA locations would benefit from comprehensive uncertainty analyses to avoid inefficient use of limited resources.

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Validation of the model-predicted spawning area of grass carp Ctenopharyngodon idella in the Sandusky River

Spawning of grass carp, Ctenopharyngodon idella, in the Great Lakes basin was verified when eight fertilized eggs were collected in the Sandusky River, a tributary to Lake Erie, in 2015. Using a fluvial drift model (FluEgg) and simulation modeling, researchers predicted the fertilization location for those eggs was 3.8 ± 1 km (95% credible interval, CI) downstream of Ballville Dam. In June 2018, simultaneous collection of fertilized eggs and adults within the model-predicted spawning area provided the opportunity to verify the fertilization location. We used estimated developmental time (Dt) of eggs calculated from developmental stages, water temperature, and an equation that predicts Dt from cumulative thermal units experienced by developing eggs, in two analyses. First, we regressed Dt versus location of capture and solved that equation for developmental time of 0 hrs (Dt 0 ) to estimate fertilization location. Second, we used Dt in the Fluvial Drift Simulator (FluEgg) to simulate 23 scenarios representative of drift conditions throughout the spawning event using the model-predicted spawning area and the site of Ballville Dam as potential spawning locations. Regression analysis placed the mean fertilization location 3.36 km (95% CI 2.27, 4.24) downstream of the site of Ballville Dam, within the model-predicted spawning area. Drift models demonstrated the model-predicted spawning area was best supported. Histograms of fertilization times overlapped with capture times by boat electrofishing of diploid adult grass carp in the model-predicted spawning area. This suite of analyses confirms the model-predicted spawning area and validates the methodology used to locate it.

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Towards improving an Area of Concern: Main-channel habitat rehabilitation priorities for the Maumee River

The Maumee River watershed in the Laurentian Great Lakes Basin has been impacted by decades of pollution and habitat modification due to human settlement and development. As such, the lower 35 km of the Maumee River and several smaller adjacent watersheds comprising over 2000 km 2 were designated the Maumee Area of Concern (AOC) under the revised Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement in 1987. As part of pre-rehabilitation assessments in the Maumee AOC, we assessed fish and invertebrate communities in river km 24–11 of the Maumee River to identify: 1) areas that exhibit the highest biodiversity, 2) habitat characteristics associated with high biodiversity areas, 3) areas in need of protection from further degradation, and 4) areas that could feasibly be rehabilitated to increase biodiversity. Based on benthic trawl data, shallow water habitats surrounding large island complexes had the highest fish diversity and catch per unit effort (CPUE). Electrofishing displayed similar fish diversity and CPUE patterns across habitat types early in the study but yielded no discernable fish diversity or CPUE patterns towards the end of our study. Although highly variable among study sites, macroinvertebrate density was greatest in shallow water habitats <2.5 m and around large island complexes. Our results provide valuable baseline data that could act as a foundation for developing rehabilitation strategies in the lower Maumee River and for assessing the effectiveness of future aquatic habitat rehabilitation projects. In addition to increasing in-channel habitat, watershed-scale improvements of water quality might be necessary to ensure rehabilitation strategies are successful.

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Organic geochemistry and petrology of Devonian shale in eastern Ohio: Implications for petroleum systems assessment

Recent production of light sweet oil has prompted reevaluation of Devonian petroleum systems in the central Appalachian Basin. Upper Devonian Ohio Shale (lower Huron Member) and Middle Devonian Marcellus Shale organic-rich source rocks from eastern Ohio and nearby areas were examined using organic petrography and geochemical analysis of solvent extracts to test ideas related to organic matter sources, oil–source rock correlation, thermal maturity, and distances of petroleum migration. The data from these analyses indicate organic matter in the Ohio and Marcellus Shales primarily was derived from marine algae and its degradation products, including bacterial biomass. Absence of odd-over-even n - alkane distributions (n - C 13 to n - C 21 range) in gas chromatograms and low gammacerane index values in Devonian source rocks are similar to those of Devonian-reservoired oils in eastern Ohio, suggesting an oil–source rock correlation. Lower Paleozoic oils from eastern Ohio, in contrast, are characterized by the presence of odd-over-even n - alkane distributions (n - C 13 to n - C 21 range) and higher gammacerane values, which discriminate them from Devonian shale-derived oils. Thermal maturity estimates from equilibrium(?) biomarker isomerization ratios suggest that some of the Devonian source rock samples are at middle to peak oil window conditions (i.e., approximate vitrinite reflectance values of 0.8%–0.9%). This observation requires local to short-distance (<50 mi) lateral migration for emplacement of Devonian-sourced oils into Devonian reservoirs of eastern Ohio and may impact exploration and assessment of petroleum resources in the Upper Devonian Berea Sandstone.

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Ohio and Landsat

In Ohio, remote-sensing systems such as Landsat play an important role in monitoring natural resources and informing management decisions on everything from dangerous freshwater algal blooms to gypsy moth defoliation and more. Landsat imagery underpins public and private sector decisions in Ohio and across the Nation for effective adaptation to changing landscapes. Those decisions lead to enhanced agricultural productivity, smart urban development, sustainable forest management, and inland lake water-quality monitoring.

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Predicting microcystin concentration action-level exceedances resulting from cyanobacterial blooms in selected lake sites in Ohio

Cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms and the toxins they produce are a global water-quality problem. Monitoring and prediction tools are needed to quickly predict cyanotoxin action-level exceedances in recreational and drinking waters used by the public. To address this need, data were collected at eight locations in Ohio, USA, to identify factors significantly related to observed concentrations of microcystins (a freshwater cyanotoxin) that could be used in two types of site-specific regression models. Real-time models include easily- or continuously-measured factors that do not require that a sample be collected; comprehensive models use a combination of discrete sample-based measurements and real-time factors. The study sites included two recreational sites and six water treatment plant sites. Real-time models commonly included variables such as phycocyanin, pH, specific conductance, and streamflow or gage height. Many real-time factors were averages over time periods antecedent to the time the microcystin sample was collected, including water-quality data compiled from continuous monitors. Comprehensive models were useful at some sites with lagged variables for cyanobacterial toxin genes, dissolved nutrients, and (or) nitrogen to phosphorus ratios. Because models can be used for management decisions, important measures of model performance were sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of estimates above or below the microcystin concentration threshold standard or action level. Sensitivity is how well the predictive tool correctly predicts exceedance of a threshold, an important measure for water-resource managers. Sensitivities >90% at four Lake Erie water treatment plants indicated that models with continuous monitor data were especially promising. The planned next steps are to collect more data to build larger site-specific datasets and validate models before they can be used for management decisions.

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