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Research about Northeastern United States

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Northeastern United States.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Marine-sourced sediment supply supports salt marsh resilience to sea level rise in the Northeastern US

Salt marshes rely on sediment to maintain elevation and resist sea level rise (SLR). While riverine sediment is well studied, marine-sourced sediment remains understudied, particularly in regions with limited river input. We examined the influence of marine-sourced sediment on salt marsh stability across 103 sites in the Northeastern US, using a new satellite-derived suspended sediment concentration (SSC) product. Marsh vulnerability was assessed using the Unvegetated-to-Vegetated Ratio (UVVR) and relative marsh elevation (Z*). We identified two thresholds: SSC >20 mg/L and RSLR <5.2 mm/year. Marshes meeting either threshold tended to remain intact, while those with both low SSC and high RSLR were more vulnerable to degradation. A north–south gradient was observed, with most unstable marshes in the southern region, where SSC declined by 0.9% per decade on average, compared to 0.072% in the north. These findings highlight the need to include coastal sediment dynamics in restoration and adaptation planning.

Northeastern United States↗

Vulnerability assessment of groundwater influenced ecosystems in the Northeastern United States

Groundwater-influenced ecosystems (GIEs) are increasingly vulnerable due to groundwater extraction, land-use practices, and climate change. These ecosystems receive groundwater inflow as a portion of their baseflow or water budget, which can maintain water levels, water temperature, and chemistry necessary to sustain the biodiversity that they support. In some systems (e.g., springs, seeps, fens), this connection with groundwater is central to the system’s integrity and persistence. Groundwater management decisions for human use often do not consider the ecological effects of those actions on GIEs. This disparity can be attributed, in part, to a lack of information regarding the physical relationships these systems have with the surrounding landscape and climate, which may influence the environmental conditions and associated biodiversity. We estimate the vulnerability of areas predicted to be highly suitable for the presence of GIEs based on watershed (U.S. Geological Survey Hydrologic Unit Code 12 watersheds: 24–100 km 2 ) and pixel (30 m × 30 m pixels) resolution in the Atlantic Highlands and Mixed Wood Plains EPA Level II Ecoregions in the northeastern United States. We represent vulnerability with variables describing adaptive capacity (topographic wetness index, hydric soil, physiographic diversity), exposure (climatic niche), and sensitivity (aquatic barriers, proportion urbanized or agriculture). Vulnerability scores indicate that ~26% of GIEs were within 30 m of areas with moderate vulnerability. Within these GIEs, climate exposure is an important contributor to vulnerability of 40% of the areas, followed by land use (19%, agriculture or urbanized). There are few areas predicted to be suitable for GIEs that are also predicted to be highly vulnerable, and of those, climate exposure is the most important contributor to their vulnerability. Persistence of GIEs in the northeastern United States may be challenged as changes in the amount and timing of precipitation and increasing air temperatures attributed to climate change affect the groundwater that sustains these systems.

Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maine↗

Net carbon sequestration implications of intensified timber harvest in Northeastern U.S. forests

U.S. forests, particularly in the eastern states, provide an important offset to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Some have proposed that forest-based natural climate solutions can be strengthened via a number of strategies, including increases in the production of forest biomass energy. We used output from a forest dynamics model (SORTIE-ND) in combination with a GHG accounting tool (ForGATE) to estimate the carbon consequences of current and intensified timber harvest regimes in the Northeastern United States. We considered a range of carbon pools including forest ecosystem pools, forest product pools, and waste pools, along with different scenarios of feedstock production for biomass energy. The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, which represents current harvest practices derived from the analysis of U.S. Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis data, sequestered more net CO 2 equivalents than any of the intensified harvest and feedstock utilization scenarios over the next decade, the most important time period for combatting climate change. Increasing the intensity of timber harvest increased total emissions and reduced landscape average forest carbon stocks, resulting in reduced net carbon sequestration relative to current harvest regimes. Net carbon sequestration “parity points,” where the regional cumulative net carbon sequestration from alternate intensified harvest scenarios converge with and then exceed the BAU baseline, ranged from 12 to 40 years. A “no harvest” scenario provides an estimate of an upper bound on forest carbon sequestration in the region given the expected successional dynamics of the region's forests but ignores leakage. Regional net carbon sequestration is primarily influenced by (1) the harvest regime and amount of forest biomass removal, (2) the degree to which bioenergy displaces fossil fuel use, and (3) the proportion of biomass diverted to energy feedstocks versus wood products.

Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, ↗

Spatially referenced models of streamflow and nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended-sediment loads in streams of the northeastern United States

SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) models were developed to quantify and improve the understanding of the sources, fate, and transport of nitrogen, phosphorus, and suspended sediment in the northeastern United States. Excessive nutrients and suspended sediment from upland watersheds and tributary streams have contributed to ecological and economic degradation of northeastern surface waters. Recent efforts to reduce the flux of nutrients and suspended sediment in northeastern streams and to downstream estuaries have met with mixed results, and expected ecological improvements have been observed in some areas but not in others. Effective watershed management and restoration to improve surface-water quality are complicated by the multitude of nutrient sources in the Northeast and the multitude of natural and human landscape processes affecting the delivery of nutrients and suspended sediment from upland areas to and within surface waters. Individual models were constructed representing streamflow and the loads of total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and suspended sediment from watersheds draining to the Atlantic Ocean from southern Virginia through Maine. Northeastern streams contribute 303,000 metric tons (t) of nitrogen, 25,300 t of phosphorus, and 14,700,000 t of suspended sediment, annually (on average), to waters along the Atlantic Coast of North America. Although atmospheric deposition and natural mineral erosion contribute to nitrogen and phosphorus loads, respectively, in northeastern streams, most of the contributions are attributable to urban or agricultural sources. Within the Northeast, average yields of nutrients are therefore generally greater from densely populated or intensively cultivated areas of the mid-Atlantic region, the Hudson, Mohawk, and Connecticut River valleys, and the coastal areas of southern New England than in predominantly forested areas such as northern New England. Average upland sediment yields are similarly greater from agricultural areas than from urban or forested areas and are therefore generally greatest in areas yielding the greatest nutrients. Landscape conditions that are significant to nitrogen delivery from uplands to streams likely reflect the importance of groundwater transport in carbonate settings and of denitrification for removing nitrogen from uplands. Nitrogen losses to streams in agricultural areas are apparently mitigated by the use of cover crops but are exacerbated by the use of conservation tillage or no-till practices. The transport of phosphorus and suspended sediment from uplands to streams is greater in areas of more erodible soils but mitigated in agricultural areas with greater use of conservation tillage or no-till practices. Loads of nutrients and suspended sediment are significantly reduced within the stream network in impounded reaches, and nitrogen load is also significantly reduced in small flowing reaches.

Scientific Investigations Report↗

Modern pollen-assemblages data from small lakes paired with local forest-composition data in northeastern United States

For the past century, pollen analysis has served as a primary tool for inferring past changes in vegetation composition and structure (Birks et al. 2016, Edwards et al. 2017). Pollen-based inferences are supported by empirical studies comparing modern pollen assemblages with modern vegetation composition. In one approach, pollen abundances (usually percentages) for individual taxa are compared directly with quantitative estimates of abundance in surrounding vegetation (Jackson 1994, Davis 2000). This approach has been applied most frequently using spatially extensive but coarse-scale forest inventory data (Webb et al. 1981, Bradshaw and Webb 1985, Prentice & Webb 1986, Prentice et al. 1987, Paciorek & McLachlan 2009, Dawson et al. 2016, Kujawa et al. 2016). In these studies, forest composition cannot usually be estimated accurately within a 1- to 10 km radius of the individual sites owing to limited spatial density of forest inventory data. A few studies have compared vegetation composition within 50-100 m of pollen-sampling sites, but in these cases the pollen is from forest-floor assemblages (Bradshaw 1981, Jackson & Wong 1994, Jackson & Kearsley 1998) or from small forest hollows (Calcote 1995, 1998, Parshall & Calcote 2001). Largely lacking are pollen assemblage data from lake sediments paired with local forest composition, measured within 100 to 1000 m of the lake margins (Jackson 1990). This absence represents a substantial gap in ability to understand and model pollen-vegetation relationships, because lakes are the primary source of fossil-pollen sequences worldwide, and because the leptokurtic nature of pollen dispersal ensures that local vegetation has an important effect on pollen composition in sediments (Jackson 1994, Sugita 1994, 2007a, 2007b, Jackson & Lyford 1999). Here, I present a data set pairing modern pollen assemblages from 33 small lakes in the forested northeastern United States (Fig. 1) with forest composition data measured within 20, 50, 100, 500, and 1000 metres of the lake margins. This data set incorporates most of the sites used in Jackson (1990), adding 16 new sites and delivering the vegetation data by species in absolute units (i.e., total basal area), which allows various weightings and transformations to be applied. The data set should be of value to paleoecologists and forest ecologists in understanding, modeling, and validating the pollen-vegetation relationships that are at the heart of paleoecological inference.

Northeastern United States↗

Identifying credible and diverse GCMs for regional climate change studies—case study: Northeastern United States

Climate data obtained from global climate models (GCMs) form the basis of most studies of regional climate change and its impacts. Using the northeastern US as a test case, we develop a framework to systematically sub-select reliable models for use in climate change studies in the region. We retain 14 of 36 CMIP5 GCMs that (a) have satisfactory historical performance, and (b) provide diverse climate scenarios consistent with uncertainties in the multi-model ensemble (MME). The historical performance is evaluated for a wide variety of standard and process metrics including large-scale atmospheric circulation features that drive regional climate variability. Model performance is then used in conjunction with the assessment of diversity and redundancy in model projections to eliminate models without underrepresenting the uncertainty in the MME. Overall, the models show significant variations in their performance across metrics and seasons with none emerging as the best model. This combined with a lack of a strong relationship between model biases and future projections together highlight the importance of maintaining diversity in projections for risk assessment. The summer mean precipitation projections, in particular, are uncertain but also have considerable redundancy in their spatial patterns within the ensemble, which we use effectively to eliminate models. The better performing models in the retained set do suggest a potential to narrow the ranges in temperature and precipitation projections. But any further refinement should be based on a detailed analysis of the physical processes that drive regional climate variability and extremes to avoid providing overconfident projections.

Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, ↗

Application of surface-geophysical methods to investigations of sand and gravel aquifers in the glaciated Northeastern United States

Combined use of seismic-refraction, direct-current resistivity, very-low-frequency terrain-resistivity, and inductive terrain-conductivity methods were demonstrated at sites in Connecticut, New York, and Maine. Although no single method can define both the hydrogeologic boundaries and general grain-size characteristics of sand and gravel aquifers, a combination of these methods can. Comparisons of measured electrical properties of aquifers with logs of test holes and wells indicate that, for a given conductivity of ground water, the bulk electrical resistivity of aquifers in the glaciated Northeast increases with grain size.

Northeastern United States↗