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Research about Minnesota

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Minnesota.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Assessing low-dose copper treatment for dreissenid mussels: Effects on nontarget organisms

Zebra mussels ( Dreissena polymorpha ), an invasive dreissenid mussel, have been established and caused considerable effects in many North American aquatic ecosystems. In response, copper-based pesticides have been used to manage zebra mussel populations. We evaluated the effects of a low-dose (60 µg Cu/L for 10 d) copper-based molluscicide for zebra mussel suppression on nontarget species in Lake Minnetonka (Minnesota, USA). Specifically, we assessed changes in four fish species, a native mussel species, adult zebra mussels, chlorophyll-a concentrations (as a proxy for phytoplankton productivity), the zooplankton community, and the benthic invertebrate community before and after treatment. Chlorophyll- a concentration increased in both the treated and reference bays 1 and 4 d posttreatment. Non-target zooplankton community composition changed in both bays over the course of this study; zooplankton abundance and diversity initially decreased in the treated bay but gradually recovered and was back to pretreatment and reference bay levels after one year. We observed no significant differences in non-target benthic invertebrate abundance or diversity between the treated and reference bays, although abundance and diversity estimates were dynamic and uncertain. Among caged non-target organisms, copper bioaccumulation was higher in both mussel species than in fish, and among fish, was highest in fathead minnow ( Pimephales promelas ). These findings contribute to our understanding of the potential effects of copper-based pesticides on aquatic ecosystems and provide insights for zebra mussel management.

Minnesota↗

Assessing a low-dose copper treatment for dreissenid mussels: Effects on zebra mussel (Dreissena polymorpha) population

We conducted and evaluated a low-dose copper treatment (applied as EarthTec QZ) to suppress zebra mussel ( Dreissena polymorpha Pallas 1771) veliger abundance and settlement in a 66.3 ha bay in Lake Minnetonka (Hennepin County, MN) over a 3-y period. We maintained a mean (standard deviation [SD]) concentration of 83.0 (10.3) µg/L as copper over the 10-d treatment period, much lower than the maximum allowable 1 mg/L as copper. Veliger density was reduced from 6.0 veligers/L before treatment to 0.3 veligers/L following the treatment period. Posttreatment zebra mussel settlement was 1900 times lower in the treated bay compared to an untreated bay days after the treatment despite similar pretreatment veliger densities. Veliger density and settlement remained suppressed nearly 2 y following the treatment. Sampling for adult zebra mussels within the treated bay returned variable results but survival of caged adult zebra mussels indicated ~30% treatment-related mortality. Copper in surface waters returned to near pretreatment concentrations 90 d after treatment. Our study demonstrates that low-dose applications of a copper molluscicide can effectively reduce zebra mussel veliger densities and settlement.

Minnesota↗

Predicting Minnesota lake ice phenology with deep learning, explainable methods, and a physically based benchmark, 1980-2018

Globally, lakes are losing ice cover, but our understanding of the rates and variability of change are biased toward few lakes with long-term records. Recent works have used remote sensing and predictive modeling to supplement the observational record, but these approaches produce large errors when estimating ice phenology for individual lakes. Accurate, lake-specific estimates of ice formation and breakup through time are important for estimating variability in ice loss across heterogenous lakes and for understanding broader implications. This work explores machine learning (ML) approaches for hindcasting ice phenology using observations from 1980 to 2018 across 625 Minnesota lakes, covering 4359 lake-years of record. We used daily weather and static lake attributes to develop 60 neural networks for hindcasting lake ice time series. We considered LSTMs and attention-based transformers of varying size and initial parameters. We found that the largest LSTM performed most accurately on withheld data, and on a test set of unseen years and lakes, it outperformed a state-of-the-art physically based model in daily accuracy (97% vs. 95%), year-level metrics (RMSE for ice formation = 6.9 vs. 13.2 days; ice breakup = 7.5 vs. 12.2 days; ice duration = 9.6 vs. 13.7 days), and estimating loss of ice cover from 1980 to 2018 (observed = 8.4 days, LSTM = 7.2 days, GLM = 3.4 days). This demonstrates that ML can estimate historical lake ice formation and breakup dates within a week of observed phenology across heterogeneous lakes and recreate broad scale trends in ice cover phenology with limited long-term ice records.

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Restoring elk in Minnesota: Landowner support for restoring an elk population

Public support is critical to successfully restore wildlife populations and avoid future human–wildlife conflict. We used a structural equation model (SEM) to analyze 2550 survey responses from landowners in northeast Minnesota to examine the influence of four psychological constructs on support for restoring a wild, free-ranging elk ( Cervus canadensis ) population in the region. Our model included perceived risk from elk, social trust in the state wildlife agency, perceived personal control over impacts from elk, and attitudes toward elk. Perceived risk, perceived personal control, and social trust each had a direct, significant impact on attitudes toward elk. Attitudes had a significant, direct effect on support for restoring elk, and perceived risk had a significant, indirect effect on support. Our model explained 66% of variability in support for restoring an elk population and 50% of variability in attitudes toward elk. We found abundant support among landowners to restore an elk population in northeast Minnesota, but continued effort will be necessary to maintain support when elk restoration occurs. Our findings in northeast Minnesota suggest messaging should focus on helping landowners cope with potential threats through improving their trust in the state wildlife agency (i.e., social trust) and ability to avoid negative outcomes from an elk population (i.e., personal control).

northeast Minnesota↗

3D Elevation Program—Minnesota

Using 3D Elevation Program data, a modern illustration of each State's landscape showcases its elevation differences in vivid detail. Each State has been consistently adjusted and colorized according to its highest and lowest elevations, accentuating differences even in States with low relief. To further emphasize landforms, shaded relief has been added on top of the elevation colors.

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Restoration of Gavia immer (common loon) in Minnesota—2025 annual report

In cooperation with the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, the U.S. Geological Survey monitored 98 Gavia immer (common loon) focal territories and 43 nonfocal territories in north-central Minnesota in 2025. Focal territories are those sampling units from which study inferences can be made. Nonfocal territories were adjacent to focal territories and were observed to monitor common loon dynamics across an entire waterbody. In collaboration with lake associations and private citizens, we deployed 44 artificial nesting platforms to 44 focal territories, called treatment territories. Territorial surveys to monitor occupancy, nesting, and chick survival were completed between April 27 and August 14, 2025. We attempted to visit each focal and nonfocal territory once per week. At least 1 nest attempt was observed in 40 of 54 control territories and 37 of 44 treatment territories. In treatment territories, 14 nests were on an artificial nesting platform, and the remaining nests were on natural substrates. Chicks or other evidence of hatching were observed in 20 of 54 control territories (37 percent) and 28 of 44 treatment territories (64 percent). Twelve of those successful nests in treatment territories were on artificial nesting platforms.

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Treatability study to evaluate bioremediation of trichloroethene at Site K, former Twin Cities Army Ammunition Plant, Arden Hills, Minnesota, 2020–22

Executive Summary Chlorinated solvents, including trichloroethene (TCE) and other chlorinated volatile organic compounds (cVOCs), are widespread contaminants that can be treated by bioremediation approaches that enhance anaerobic reductive dechlorination. Reductive dechlorination can be enhanced either through the addition of an electron donor (biostimulation) or the addition of a known dechlorinating culture (bioaugmentation) along with an electron donor. Although bioremediation has been applied at many TCE-contaminated groundwater sites, application in source zones at sites where residual dense nonaqueous phase liquid (DNAPL) is present is more limited. In this study, laboratory and field treatability tests were completed to evaluate the potential application of anaerobic bioremediation for a shallow groundwater plume containing TCE in a perched alluvial aquifer at Site K, former Twin Cities Army Ammunition Plant, Arden Hills, Minnesota, which was on the National Priorities List as the New Brighton/Arden Hills Superfund site until 2019. In addition to the presence of residual DNAPL at the site, temporal variability in groundwater flow directions and input of oxygenated recharge were possible complicating factors for the application of enhanced anaerobic biodegradation in the shallow plume. The Site K plume extends beneath the footprint of Building 103, which was demolished in 2006, and soil excavations to a maximum depth of 6 feet (ft) below ground surface in 2014 were known to leave some deeper contaminated soil in place in the TCE source area. Groundwater treatment at the site, formalized as part of the 1997 Record of Decision, has been in operation since 1986 and consists of an extraction trench at the downgradient edge of the plume to collect groundwater, which is then pumped to an on-site air stripper. Groundwater concentrations in the plume have been relatively stable since treatment began, indicating a continued source of TCE in the aquifer. The desire for a destructive remedy that would enhance the removal of cVOCs in the aquifer at Site K and shorten the remediation timeframe led the U.S. Army to request that the U.S. Geological Survey conduct a groundwater treatability study to assess bioremediation. This report describes the U.S. Geological Survey bioremediation treatability study conducted during 2020–22, including pre-design site characterization to assist in formulating the bioremediation approach, laboratory experiments to support the design of the field pilot test, and implementation and 1-year performance monitoring results for the pilot test. Pre-design site characterization included the collection of soil cores for cVOC analysis and lithologic descriptions and the re-installment of three wells to obtain hydrologic measurements and initial groundwater chemistry. Relatively flat head gradients were measured at the site, and substantial decreases in water-level elevations occurred from spring to summer (May–July 2021). Continuous water-level monitoring indicated a rapid response to precipitation. Groundwater flow velocities were consistently less than 0.5 foot per day, and the pilot bioremediation test was therefore designed with short lateral distances (about 5 ft) between injection and individual monitoring points. Soil analyses confirmed that high volatile organic compound contamination was left in place in the source area. The highest concentrations were near or in clay at the base of the perched aquifer. Concentrations of cVOCs measured in the replaced wells were consistent with historical data and had a maximum TCE concentration of 57,700 micrograms per liter (μg/L), indicative of nearby residual DNAPL based on the general rule of observed concentrations exceeding 1 percent of solubility. The primary TCE daughter product detected was 1,2-cis-dichloroethene (cisDCE), which indicated limited reductive dechlorination in the plume. Groundwater in both the source and downgradient areas was relatively reducing during the pre-design characterization, particularly in the source area where methane concentrations greater than 400 μg/L were measured. Initial laboratory tests conducted using native aquifer microorganisms from the three replacement wells showed that anaerobic TCE biodegradation rates were low when biostimulated with the addition of sodium lactate as an electron donor, also known as a carbon donor, and resulted in the production of only cisDCE. Addition of a known dechlorinating culture, WBC-2, however, resulted in rapid biodegradation and production of ethene, verifying complete reductive dechlorination of TCE. Microcosms constructed with aquifer soil collected from the site were used to evaluate other electron donors besides lactate to support reductive dechlorination by WBC-2, including corn syrup as an alternative fast-release compound and whey, soy-based vegetable oil, and 3-D Microemulsion (Regenesis, San Clemente, California) as slow-release compounds. First-order rate constants for total organic chlorine removal in these WBC-2 amended microcosms were greatest with either lactate or vegetable oil as the donor, ranging between 0.061 and 0.047 per day or corresponding half-lives of 11–15 days. Testing of commercial products in other WBC-2-bioaugmented microcosms led to selection for the field pilot test of an emulsified vegetable oil product that also contained some sodium lactate as a fast-release donor. Delaying the addition of WBC-2 relative to the donor in the microcosms resulted in the most rapid overall biodegradation rates. The selected design for the pilot test utilized three separate test plots, each about 30-ft wide and 60-ft long: plots GS1 and GS2 in the source area of the plume and plot GS3 in the downgradient area of the plume near the excavation trench. Each test plot had one injection well, one monitoring well upgradient from the injection point, and 12 surrounding monitoring wells in a grid to capture variable groundwater flow directions. Donor injections, which included a bromide tracer, were completed in October 2021, immediately following baseline sampling, and the WBC-2 culture was injected about 40 days later, between November 30 and December 2, 2021. Performance monitoring conducted until December 2022 included hydrologic measurements and analyses of cVOCs, redox-sensitive constituents, dissolved organic carbon, bromide, volatile fatty acids, compound-specific carbon isotopes, and microbial communities. The biogeochemical data collected during the pilot tests in the three treatment plots showed that enhanced, complete reductive dechlorination of cVOCs in the groundwater was achieved in the GS1 and GS3 plots. In contrast, evidence of distribution of the injected amendments and subsequent biodegradation was limited in GS2, which was in an area of more heterogeneous soil lithology and low water table elevations. The molar composition of volatile organic compounds in the GS1 and GS3 plots was dominated by ethene in wells that were reached by the injected amendments by the end of the monitoring period. In the GS1 and GS3 plots, similar patterns were observed of cVOC concentrations decreasing to near detection levels, or below, at some wells sampled in July and October 2022, whereas ethene became dominant and indicated sustained complete reductive dechlorination. Baseline cVOC concentrations were more than a factor of 10 higher in the groundwater in the GS1 plot than in GS3, but no apparent inhibition of complete dechlorination occurred. As expected from the initial pre-design site data and the laboratory experiments, enhanced dissolution of residual DNAPL coupled to biodegradation was evident in the GS1 plot, where a marked increase in dichloroethene (DCE) above the initial baseline and upgradient TCE and DCE concentrations occurred. DCE concentrations subsequently declined where DNAPL dissolution was evident, concurrent with production of vinyl chloride and then predominantly ethene. Thus, overall biodegradation rates outpaced the DNAPL dissolution and desorption and DCE production in the source area. This success in complete degradation to predominantly ethene was achieved even in areas where the DCE concentrations reached a maximum of about 30,000 μg/L. Compound specific isotope analysis of carbon in TCE, cisDCE, trans-1,2-dichloroethene, and vinyl chloride was conducted to provide another line of evidence of the occurrence and extent of anaerobic biodegradation. Along a flow path in each plot that was affected by the injected amendments, carbon isotopes in the TCE and daughter cVOCs in the groundwater became isotopically heavier, indicating biodegradation. Enhanced biodegradation rates calculated from the field tests in GS1 and GS3 showed half-lives of 36.9–75.3 days for DCE degradation and 9.48–38.5 days for ethene production. Notably, these ethene production rates calculated from the field tests are consistent with the results of WBC-2-bioaugmented microcosms amended with either lactate or vegetable oil, which had half-lives for total organic chlorine removal that ranged from 11 to 15 days. These rates indicated rapid enhanced biodegradation, which is promising for application of a full-scale bioremediation remedy. Ultimately, however, the mass of residual or sorbed TCE in the aquifer that remains accessible for dissolution and biodegradation would likely control the time required for a full-scale bioremediation effort to achieve performance goals for TCE and cisDCE specified in the Record of Decision for Site K. The field pilot tests showed that the relatively low hydraulic head gradients and temporal changes in groundwater flow directions in the shallow aquifer would add complexity to a full-scale bioremediation effort. The radius of influence (ROI) at GS1 and GS3 (16.3 ft and 12.7 ft, respectively) were close to the design ROI of 15 ft. The estimated ROI at GS2 was about four times the design ROI, but may be less reliable at this location owing to groundwater flow direction. In addition, the low temperatures following WBC-2 injection in late November to early December 2021, in combination with the low hydraulic head gradients, were probably major factors in the delay observed before the onset of enhanced biodegradation following injection of the culture. Additional test injections could be beneficial to optimize the timing of donor and culture injections with the variable temperatures and hydraulic head in the shallow aquifer.

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Surface variable‐based machine learning for scalable arsenic prediction in undersampled areas

In the United States, private wells are not federally regulated, and many households do not test for Arsenic (As). Chronic exposure is linked with multiple health outcomes, and risk can change sharply over short distances and with well depth. Coarse maps or sparse sampling often miss exceedances. Most existing models operate at ∼1 km resolution and use groundwater chemistry or detailed geologic logs, which limits their use in undersampled areas where improved guidance is most needed. We overcome these limitations by developing a machine learning model for Minnesota, USA, that predicts As exposure risk using only surficial variables from remote sensing and global data sets. Variables related to surface water hydrology and geomorphology are selected based on mechanistic links that control redox conditions and As mobilization. Local training was essential, and surficial geology variables that are more sensitive to local conditions were needed to maximize model accuracy. The resulting complete model was sufficiently sensitive to generate accurate and detailed risk maps and depth profiles of As concentrations above the 10 μg/L maximum contaminant level. Accuracy depended on local training data density. We identified a training data density of 0.07 wells/km 2 as a practical target for stable county-level performance. Maps of exceedance probabilities highlight priority areas for testing that are particularly important in rural communities that have received less sampling. These results support public health action by guiding where to install wells and where to test them, how much new sampling is needed, and where treatment outreach is most urgent.

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Geophysical architecture and geochronology of the Neoarchean Mentor anorthosite intrusive complex, northwestern Minnesota: Largest anorthosite complex of the Superior Province?

The Neoarchean Mentor anorthosite intrusive complex (MAIC) lies within the Wawa subprovince in northwestern Minnesota, in a region where the Wawa, Quetico, and Wabigoon subprovinces are juxtaposed in close proximity. Archean rocks are entirely concealed, and interpretations are developed from aeromagnetic, gravity, and borehole samples. The MAIC includes both anorthosite (dense, weakly magnetized) and oxide-rich gabbro (strongly magnetized) lithologies. Anorthosite is coarse-grained to megacrystic, intensely altered, and locally brecciated. Pervasive epidote alteration enhanced the density of the anorthosite via introduction of higher-density mineral assemblages, explaining why the MAIC produces a significant gravity high. Oxide-rich gabbro forms a border phase of the MAIC and has potential for vanadium, chromium, and titanium mineralization, and produces a strong aeromagnetic high. The MAIC is interpreted to extend over an area of 640 km 2 , making it the largest known anorthosite complex of the Superior Province, as measured by preserved areal extent. Modeling indicates the MAIC extends more than 6 km into the subsurface. A new Pb–Pb zircon age of 2737.2 ± 4.5 Ma is interpretated as the crystallization age of anorthosite within the MAIC, showing that the MAIC formed well before the ca. 2690 Ma Shebandowanian orogeny, and raising new questions about correlations with other parts of the Wawa subprovince. A low-density batholith, here informally called the Fertile batholith, is interpreted to intrude the southern part of the MAIC. A new Pb–Pb zircon age of 2701.1 ± 6 Ma is interpreted as the magmatic age of the Fertile batholith.

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Natural source zone depletion of crude oil in the subsurface: Processes controlling mass losses of individual compounds

At many petroleum hydrocarbon spill sites, residual spilled product forms a long-term source of groundwater contamination. The phrase source zone natural depletion is used to refer to the mass loss rates. Overall mass lost under environmental conditions was analyzed using conservative biomarker concentrations for a 1979 oil spill in northern Minnesota, USA. After 40–41 years, an average of 50% of the mass was lost with values ranging from 22% to 57% depending on location. It is also important to understand the composition changes in the source. To understand controls on the losses of individual compounds, concentrations of volatile hydrocarbons in oil samples were compared with aqueous solubilities, and pore-space oil saturations. The results of the comparison show that losses of the oil compounds were controlled by pore-space oil saturations, solubility, and susceptibility to degradation under methanogenic conditions. Compounds that degrade under methanogenic conditions, including toluene, o -xylene, and n -alkanes are more depleted compared to benzene, ethylbenzene, and m - and p -xylene for which losses are dominated by dissolution. These rates and compound-specific behaviors form a foundation for improved modeling approaches and risk analyses.

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Near-channel erosion as a driver of watershed-scale sediment and phosphorus loading in a forested sub-watershed of Lake of the Woods

The Little Fork River, a forested watershed in northern Minnesota, United States, is a disproportionate contributor of sediment and phosphorus to Rainy River and Lake of the Woods. Sources of sediment and sediment-bound phosphorus to the Little Fork were investigated using complementary lines of evidence in the form of geochemical sediment fingerprinting and a stream-corridor sediment budget that included harvested forest and ravines, in addition to upland forest and agriculture, roads, and streambanks. Near-channel ravine and streambank sources comprised 95–100 % of streambed sediment and 79–100 % of suspended sediment at the river mouth, while tributaries had up to 50% of suspended sediment from upland sources including harvested forest, agriculture, and roads. Repeat suspended-sediment sampling at eight sites showed more source variability among sites than across events. Ravine erosion was the watershed’s largest contributor to downstream sediment and sediment-bound phosphorus loading, while streambed sediment had a larger streambank source. Near-channel erosion also contributed phosphorus, though with less labile and redox-sensitive forms than forest and agricultural soils. In contrast to observations from agricultural settings, suspended-sediment phosphorus concentrations were elevated above some, but not all sources. The effects of watershed size, glacial history, land cover, and variable temperature and precipitation on runoff generation and peak streamflow are important considerations for mitigating near-channel loss of sediment and phosphorus in the Little Fork. These results suggest that management of sediment and phosphorus export from the Little Fork could incorporate context for location in the watershed, geomorphic setting, and runoff characteristics.

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Diel and spatial variability in cyanobacterial composition, gene abundance, and toxin concentration: A pilot study

We designed a pilot field study to assess relations between sunlight, cyanobacteria, and cyanotoxins. In 2021, we collected day (07:00 h, 10:00 h, 13:00 h, 16:00 h) and night samples (19:00 h, 22:00 h, 01:00 h, 04:00 h) at two locations in Kabetogama Lake, MN, USA. One sample set was collected from the lakeward end of a boat dock and the other on the nearby shoreline. Cyanobacterial phylogenetic eDNA differences over 24 h (pseudo F = 2.0938, p = 0.127) were not significant. Copies of anatoxin ( anaC ) and microcystin ( mcyE ) synthetase genes varied significantly over the sampling times at the dock (Friedman Χ 2 = 15.01, df = 7, p = 0.036; Friedman Χ 2 = 19.22, df = 7, p = 0.008) and the shoreline (Friedman Χ 2 = 19.33, df = 7, p = 0.007; Friedman Χ 2 = 20.56, df = 7, p = 0.005), with the highest anaC counts occurring during the night for both sites. Additionally, the highest total and dissolved microcystin concentrations occurred at night. Despite the proximity of the sampling locations, cyanobacterial phylogenetic eDNA results indicate that the variability between sites (pseudo-F = 27.547, p = 0.001) were greater than temporal differences over 24 h (pseudo F = 2.0938, p = 0.127). Understanding the effect of diel and spatial variability may help researchers and resource managers make informed decisions about sampling and potential exposure.

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Using bioavailability modeling to refine copper treatments for zebra mussel control and better understanding risks to non-target species

Copper can be toxic to aquatic organisms at high concentrations and has been previously used successfully to control zebra mussels ( Dreissena polymorpha ). Because copper’s toxicity changes with water chemistry, using the same copper concentration in different waterbodies could yield different outcomes. We demonstrate how measuring water chemistry parameters and using the Biotic Ligand Model (BLM) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models can predict a suitable, site-specific copper concentration for management. We exposed zebra mussel adults and non-target organisms to varying concentrations of copper over 10 d in a mobile laboratory. We found that one non-target species, Daphnia magna , had a 50% chance of survival at 9.50 µg Cu/L (i.e., the 50% lethal concentration, LC 50 ), within our BLM-predicted range of 3.38–16.95 µg Cu/L LC 50 values. In the future, managers could make similar predictions and tailor their copper concentrations to their management goals. We also measured zebra mussel larvae mortality at copper concentrations ranging from 0 to 191 µg Cu/L. While those results were inconclusive, we present the results of this work as a foundation for future projects. Our study underscores the importance of developing site-specific copper concentration recommendations and demonstrates the potential utility of the BLM and MLR approaches for informing those recommendations.

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Stakeholders' priorities for management of a restored elk (Cervus canadensis) population in northeast Minnesota

Wildlife reintroduction projects are an important tool for restoring traditional wildlife heritage, increasing species diversity, providing subsistence and sport hunting and other recreational opportunities, and assisting ecosystem adaption to future climate change. In Minnesota, the Fond du Lac Band of Lake Superior Chippewa and some conservationists advocate for the expansion of existing elk range to other parts of the state. For reintroduction projects to be successful, it is helpful if managers understand stakeholders' preferences for management objectives. We used best-worst scaling (BWS) to assess residents' preferences for management objective alternatives. The University of Minnesota, in collaboration with the Fond du Lac Band of Lake Superior Chippewa and the Rocky Mountain Elk Foundation, conducted a mail-back questionnaire of landowners ( n = 4500) and the general public ( n = 4000) in northeastern Minnesota to determine their attitudes toward elk reintroduction. Results suggest that the most preferred objectives were minimizing negative impacts on existing wildlife populations and reintroducing native species. In contrast, the least important objectives were related to providing elk viewing opportunities or maximizing economic opportunities through elk-related tourism. These findings help inform management objectives related to the reintroduction proposal, provide insight to minimize potential conflict and help develop future communication material related to elk reintroduction.

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Water quality-based risk assessment for zebra mussel establishment: A case study of single- and multiple-factor methods in northern temperate lakes

Most previous research has used an individual water quality parameter, such as calcium, to predict likelihood of zebra mussel establishment in lakes; we employed two multiple-factor methods, our own susceptibility index for zebra mussels in lakes (SIZL) and aragonite saturation state, to evaluate the risk of mussel establishment. Thirty sites in Voyageurs National Park (VNP) were sampled in 2023 for water quality conditions, including those that play a key role in mussel survivability. These results were combined with existing data sets to determine which lakes, and which locations within the larger lakes, are at greatest risk for zebra mussel establishment. Results for VNP indicate that physical lake characteristics and water quality conditions (both single- and multiple-factor methods) put the large, interconnected lakes in VNP at greater risk of zebra mussel establishment than the smaller interior lakes. All sampled interior lakes had alkalinity and calcium concentrations below thresholds conducive to zebra mussel establishment, although Mukooda and O’Leary lakes were identified as the most at-risk interior lakes. The area in the large lakes most at risk was Sullivan Bay in Kabetogama Lake, where water quality conditions were found to be conducive to zebra mussel establishment. Results from this study could be used by resource managers to focus additional inspections, decontaminations, and regulations to protect the most at-risk lakes. These multiple-factor methods may be useful in determining the risk of zebra mussel infestation in other water bodies.

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Restoration of Gavia immer (common loon) in Minnesota—2024 annual report

In cooperation with the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources, the U.S. Geological Survey monitored 98 common loon ( Gavia immer ) focal territories and an additional 37 nonfocal territories in 2024 across 53 study lakes in Minnesota. Focal territories were those territories from which study inferences will be made, whereas nonfocal territories were observed to monitor common loon dynamics in territories adjacent to focal territories. In collaboration with lake associations and private citizens, we deployed 44 artificial nesting platforms within 44 treatment territories, and the remaining 54 focal territories were controls. We completed territorial surveys from April 29 to August 9, 2024, to evaluate occupancy, nest success, and chick survival. We attempted to visit each territory once a week. At least one nest attempt was observed in 41 of 54 control territories. Precisely one nest attempt was observed in 30 control territories, two nest attempts (first attempts failed) were observed in 9 control territories, and three nest attempts (first and second attempts failed) were observed in 2 control territories. At least one nest attempt was observed in 33 of 44 treatment territories. Precisely one nest attempt was observed in 25 treatment territories, two nest attempts (first attempts failed) were observed in 7 treatment territories, and three nest attempts (first and second attempts failed) were observed in 1 treatment territory. In treatment territories, 8 nests were on an artificial nesting platform; the remaining nest locations were natural. Chicks or other evidence of hatching were observed in 26 of 54 (48.1 percent) control territories and 21 of 44 (47.7 percent) treatment territories, with 7 of those successful treatment nests on an artificial nesting platform. This report includes no formal analysis, but we plan to analyze data after collection of all field data in subsequent years.

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Small waterbodies of large conservation concern: Towards an integrated approach to more accurately measuring surface water dynamics

Millions of small waterbodies are dispersed throughout the middle of the North American continent, and billions of dollars have been invested to conserve, restore, and manage these waterbodies in the 20th and 21st centuries. Small waterbody conservation has been supported by different stakeholders aiming at improving water quality, enhancing floodwater storage, and supporting migratory bird breeding habitat. Conservation agencies are using hydrological and biological monitoring, modeling, and mapping to adaptively manage small waterbodies in the face of stressors such as invasive species and climate change. As remote sensing estimates of small waterbody surface water extent have become easier to access, understanding the capabilities and limitations of using remote sensing, especially in areas lacking surface water monitoring, is important for conservation decision making. Here, we used in situ monitoring and process-based hydrological modeling to explore remote sensing accuracy, especially related to waterbody size, emergent aquatic vegetation cover, and climatic conditions. Overall, we found that the accuracy of satellite and aerial imagery surface water mapping approaches vastly decreased for waterbodies smaller than 2 ha. We also found emergent vegetation could be masking surface water in waterbodies larger than 2 ha and that accuracy of some remote sensing estimates may decrease during wetter climatic periods. These results indicate that sensors commonly used for surface water applications alone may not be able to accurately detect small waterbody surface water, which supports the need for combining monitoring and modeling to understand how small waterbodies may respond to future changes in climate and land use.

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Factors influencing landslide occurrence in low-relief formerly glaciated landscapes: Landslide inventory and susceptibility analysis in Minnesota, USA

In landscapes recently impacted by continental glaciation, landslides may occur where topographic relief has been generated by the drainage of glacial lakes and ensuing post-glacial fluvial network development into unconsolidated glacially derived sediments and exhumed bedrock. To investigate linkages among environmental variables, post-glacial landscape development, and landslides, we created a landslide inventory of nearly 10,000 landslides in five regions of the formerly glaciated low-relief state of Minnesota, USA. Multivariate logistic regression indicates the importance of slope angle, lithology, and the development of stream valleys to landslide distribution. Areas underlain by fine-grained glaciolacustrine and nearshore deposits that are incised by streams are particularly prone to shallow (<1-2 m depth) landslides. Landslides also occur in a wide range of glacial and fluvial deposits, and as rockfall in layered Paleozoic sedimentary rocks in central and southern Minnesota and Precambrian igneous and sedimentary rocks in northeastern Minnesota. Although no more than 1-2% of the studied regions are susceptible to landslides, they can pose risk to life and safety, damage infrastructure, and impact water quality. The combination of recently generated low-relief steep slopes, extensive unconsolidated sediments, and layered sedimentary bedrock make this formerly glaciated landscape more susceptible to landslides than current national-scale models indicate.

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