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Research about Mexico, United States

Source-linked reports with geographic coverage including Mexico, United States.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Waterline responses to climate forcing along the North American West Coast

Understanding waterline variability at seasonal to interannual timescales is crucial for predicting coastal responses to climate forcing. However, relationships between large-scale climate variability and coastal morphodynamics remain underexplored beyond intensively monitored sites. This study leverages a newly developed 25-year (1997–2022) satellite-derived waterline dataset along the North American West Coast. Our results reveal distinct latitudinal patterns in seasonal waterline change, with excursions exceeding 25 m in the Pacific Northwest, decreasing to less than 10 m in Southern California and farther south. Waterline fluctuations strongly follow wave power in the Pacific Northwest ( R = −0.78), northern California ( R = −0.75), and Baja California ( R = −0.62), while Baja California Sur aligns more with sea-level variations ( R = −0.42). Interannually, waterline change exhibits latitudinal dependence: south of southern California, variability is low, with major erosion confined to strong El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, while northern regions show mixed responses. ENSO-driven storm track shifts modulate winter wave climate, resulting in enhanced (attenuated) erosion from southern California to Baja California Sur during El Niño (La Niña). However, further north, ENSO impacts are less consistent, reflecting a complex interplay of storm track displacement and intensification. These findings highlight the spatial complexity of ENSO-driven morphodynamics and provide a framework for assessing climate-induced coastal vulnerability.

North American West Coast↗

U.S. Geological Survey Colorado River Basin science and technology collaboration meetings on drought (2021)—Synthesis of findings

Ongoing, prolonged, and severe drought and water overuse during the first two decades of the 21st century have reduced water supplies of the Colorado River Basin, with effects cascading to ecosystems and human communities throughout the basin. In June and July 2021, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Colorado River Basin Actionable and Strategic Integrated Science and Technology initiative team held a series of 12 collaboration meetings with USGS scientists and managers to discuss complicated, integrated science challenges and solutions related to drought in the Colorado River Basin. These Science and Technology collaboration meetings were structured to identify challenges experienced by meeting participants when working on complex problems, explore opportunities for coproducing scientific information, and envision future collaborative programs that leverage new technology. The 12 meetings were attended by 79 USGS staff representing 43 unique affiliations (for example, USGS science centers, mission areas, and regional offices). Meeting participants submitted 865 individual responses to six general discussion prompt topics (“Challenges,” “Knowledge Gaps,” “Existing Capabilities,” “Strategies and Actions,” “Example Applications,” and “Next Steps”) using a structured online collaboration tool. However, specific questions or tasks from each general discussion prompt varied by meeting topic. Terms from the USGS Thesaurus ( https://apps.usgs.gov/thesaurus/ ) and USGS Data Lifecycle Model ( https://www.usgs.gov/data-management/data-lifecycle ) were used to identify and summarize participant responses relevant to science integration, stakeholder engagement, and information management technology. From these responses, opportunities for the Colorado River Basin Actionable and Strategic Integrated Science and Technology initiative to facilitate science integration in the Colorado River Basin are highlighted in this report, including (a) pursuing specific interdisciplinary research topics that require integrating knowledge across spatial and temporal scales, (b) connecting scientists across disciplines, (c) reducing barriers to stakeholder engagement, (d) identifying new technologies, and (e) facilitating data access. Multiple strategies for designing future Science and Technology collaboration meetings are also outlined in this circular to better collect and analyze participant responses.

Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico,↗

Oligocene–Miocene development and evolution of the south Dome Rock Mountains basin, lower Colorado River corridor, Arizona, USA

Sedimentary basins in the Colorado River extensional corridor record large-magnitude Basin and Range extension and younger dextral shear deformation in the evolving Pacific−North America plate boundary. The south Dome Rock Mountains basin is located in west-central Arizona (USA), where the history of basin evolution, style of deformation, and timing of the transition between extension and dextral shear are not well constrained. We integrate new geologic mapping of the south Dome Rock Mountains basin with zircon U-Pb geochronology of six marker beds to characterize the timing of basin evolution and the slip history of the south Dome Rock Mountains normal fault. Structural analysis defines structures consistent with regional extension and younger dextral shear deformation. We use sedimentological and petrological analysis to interpret the depositional environments of three basin sequences. A lower basin sequence consists of fluvial strata deposited in an internally drained intermontane basin from ca. 35 Ma to 24.4 Ma. A sequence of volcanic rocks was emplaced in the basin between 24.4 Ma and 23.3 Ma, before the onset of local extensional faulting. An upper basin sequence of coarse conglomerate and sedimentary breccia was deposited on the hanging wall of a half graben structure after 23.3 Ma and through ca. 12.8 Ma, synchronous with 3−7 km of dip slip on the west-dipping, listric south Dome Rock Mountains fault. The basin was subsequently deformed by dextral shear after 12.8 Ma and before 4.8 Ma. These results document how distributed deformation related to the evolving Pacific−North America plate boundary occurred >100 km from the primary plate boundary.

Arizona, California↗

Recovering the American horseshoe crab through a commitment to collaboration

American horseshoe crab Limulus polyphemus populations are recovering because of cooperation among diverse stakeholders and data-driven collective action. Limulus polyphemus is one of four extant species facing common threats, and conservation successes and limitations hold lessons applicable to all the species. We review the advancement in management and monitoring over recent decades, discuss the current population status throughout the species’ range, and describe the potential future status and recovery based on recent assessments. In retrospect, L. polyphemus conservation has followed the frameworks promoted by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature: mobilize networks to increase assessment capacity, engage diverse stakeholders, measure impacts, and amplify successes. Data show significantly increased populations in the Delaware Bay region and improved status in the Northeast. The average abundance of adults in Delaware Bay over the recent decade (2013–2022) is more than twice that in the previous decade (2003–2012). In 2022, the abundances for adult females and males in the Delaware Bay population were estimated to be 16 million and 40 million, respectively. However, reversing persistent poor conditions in some regions and mitigating the widespread threat of habitat loss from coastal development and sea level rise will rely on collaboration among diverse stakeholders to build upon the current conservation successes. Scientists and conservationists working on the horseshoe crab species indigenous to Asia are advancing along a similar track, establishing a monitoring network and mobilizing diverse stakeholders. However, there is a need for capacity building for robust assessment of the species in Asia to measure the impact of conservation, just as that need remains unmet for L. polyphemus in the Gulf of Mexico. The importance of partnerships and collaborations is apparent in their absence. The regions where partnerships and collaborations among researchers, conservationists, and agency scientists do not exist are those where the capacity for monitoring and assessment is notably lacking.

Fisheries↗

Sulfur-to-iron ratio as a proxy for degree of organic sulfurization

The degree of organic sulfurization is broadly relevant yet underreported. We present a statistically significant correlation between whole rock S/Fe and the measured degree of organic sulfurization in the thermally immature Cenomanian–Turonian Eagle Ford Group. This relationship shows a sink switch for sulfur from pyrite to organic matter. Excess iron and excess sulfur relative to pyrite, which are mathematically related to S/Fe, provide better insights into organic sulfurization than previous approaches that calculate excess iron relative to detrital iron based on aluminum concentrations. Organic sulfurization and S/Fe are tightly coupled in the Eagle Ford partially due to limited sulfur- and iron-bearing components. Similar relationships could exist in other thermally immature, organic-rich, anoxia-prone, calcareous mudstones. The degree of organic sulfurization was estimated from S/Fe, which was used to map stratigraphic and regional variations of organic sulfurization across the Eagle Ford and to investigate how organic sulfurization relates to organic enrichment, organic preservation, and depositional redox chemistry. The extent of organic sulfurization is more tightly linked to organic preservation than enrichment. Together, organic sulfurization and Mo provide concordant evidence for depositional euxinia. The relationship between Mo and degree of organic sulfurization could indicate that sulfurized organic matter provides a pathway for Mo enrichment, but future work needs to disentangle direct mechanisms from indirect covariations between Mo, organic content, and degree of organic sulfurization. Whole rock elemental chemistry and programmed pyrolysis provide insights into organic sulfurization variations that can be upscaled and can guide subsequent detailed organic sulfur analyses.

Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas↗

Megafaunal community structure on ferromanganese and phosphorite hardgrounds in the Southern California Borderland

The Southern California Borderland (SCB) is a topographically complex region on the active continental margin that hosts varied hardground habitats, including ferromanganese (FeMn) crusts and phosphorites, marine minerals being considered for resource extraction. The SCB is influenced by seasonal upwelling and terrestrial inputs, and has a well-defined oxygen-minimum zone (OMZ). We analyzed megafaunal community composition, density, and diversity across 41 ROV video transects at 10 SCB hard substrate sites spanning depth (378–2765 m), temperature (1.79–7.96 °C), and oxygen (3.91–105.67 μM) gradients, with varying rock types (FeMn crusts, phosphorites, other rocks). We counted 32,426 individuals representing 146 unique taxa over a total area of 21,935 m 2 . Echinodermata contributed 48 % of the total abundance; Cnidaria 24 %; Porifera 13 %; Annelida 6 %; Arthropoda 6 %; Chordata 2 %; Mollusca, Foraminifera, and Hemichordata <1 %. Megafauna communities showed clear heterogeneity, with density, diversity, and community composition varying among transects within sites and across sites. Rock type recorded no influence on megafaunal density, but habitats that included FeMn crusts had higher diversity and distinct taxonomic composition. Location, depth, and oxygen were the most important variables explaining variance among megafaunal communities, with distinct communities formed at deeper depths and within the OMZ. This study provides baseline information about the megafauna inhabiting SCB hardgrounds, particularly those associated with minerals considered for their resource potential. It extends existing documentation of such communities to greater depths, reveals increased representation of sponges and corals below 1000 m, and highlights the variability within and among deep-sea megafaunal communities, offering context for informed policy decisions.

Southern California borderland↗

Desert ecosystems shape diversification in glossy snakes (genus Arizona) requiring a re-alignment of evolutionary and conservation units

Subspecies are often targets for conservation, yet many lack the genetic data necessary to validate their status as distinctive evolutionary lineages. In 2016, conservationists faced this issue when designating the California glossy snake, Arizona elegans occidentalis , as a Species of Special Concern in California, a decision prompted by population declines and habitat loss but absent of genetic information about its evolutionary integrity. To address this knowledge gap, we collected genomic and mitochondrial data from a rangewide sample of the Arizona elegans complex ( n = 257) and characterized genetic structure at varying spatial scales. We confirmed an east–west phyletic division within the A. elegans complex that correlates with an ecotone between the Sonoran and Chihuahuan Deserts and pinpoint the separation to a ∼20 km area in southeastern Arizona, USA. Individuals recognized as A. e. occidentalis do not form a genetically cohesive unit within a more inclusive western clade that is sister to the endemic Arizona pacata in Baja California, México. We synonymize four subspecies circumscribed by the western clade and recognize a new species Arizona occidentalis to re-align the taxonomy with the phylogeographic structure. Most of the diversity within A. occidentalis occurs in California, with three major lineages corresponding separate desert biomes. We revise the conservation units within A. occidentalis to mirror these lineages and address concerns regarding habitat loss in transitional environments along the western edge of its range. This work underscores the importance of aligning taxonomy, evolutionary identity, and management units to design the most effective conservation strategies.

Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution↗

Potential for spatial coexistence of a transboundary migratory species and wind energy development

Global expansion in wind energy development is a notable achievement of the international community’s effort to reduce carbon emissions during energy production. However, the increasing number of wind turbines have unintended consequences for migratory birds and bats. Wind turbine curtailment and other mitigation strategies can reduce fatalities, but improved spatial and temporal data are needed to identify the most effective way for wind energy development and volant migratory species to coexist. Mexican free-tailed bats ( Tadarida brasiliensis mexicana ) account for a large proportion of known bat fatalities at wind facilities in the southwestern US. We examined the geographic concordance between existing wind energy generation facilities, areas of high wind potential amenable for future deployment of wind facilities, and seasonally suitable habitat for these bats. We used ecological niche modeling to determine species distribution during each of 4 seasons. We used a multi-criteria GIS-based approach to produce a wind turbine siting suitability map. We identified seasonal locations with highest and lowest potential for the species’ probability of occurrence, providing a potential explanation for the higher observed fatalities during fall migration. Thirty percent of 33,606 wind turbines within the southwestern US occurred in highly suitable areas for Mexican free-tailed bats, primarily in west Texas. There is also broad spatial overlap between areas of high wind potential and areas of suitable habitat for Mexican free-tailed bats. Because of this high degree of overlap, our results indicate that post-construction strategies, such as curtailing the timing of operations and deterrents, would be more effective for bat conservation than strategic siting of new wind energy installations.

Scientific Reports↗

Human-induced range expansions result in a recent hybrid zone between sister species of ducks

Landscapes are consistently under pressure from human-induced ecological change, often resulting in shifting species distributions. For some species, changing the geographical breadth of their niche space results in matching range shifts to regions other than those in which they are formally found. In this study, we employ a population genomics approach to assess potential conservation issues arising from purported range expansions into the south Texas Brush Country of two sister species of ducks: mottled ( Anas fulvigula ) and Mexican ( Anas diazi ) ducks. Specifically, despite being non-migratory, both species are increasingly being recorded outside their formal ranges, with the northeastward and westward expansions of Mexican and mottled ducks, respectively, perhaps resulting in secondary contact today. We assessed genetic ancestry using thousands of autosomal loci across the ranges of both species, as well as sampled Mexican- and mottled-like ducks from across overlapping regions of south Texas. First, we confirm that both species are indeed expanding their ranges, with genetically pure Western Gulf Coast mottled ducks confirmed as far west as La Salle county, Texas, while Mexican ducks recorded across Texas counties near the USA–Mexico border. Importantly, the first confirmed Mexican × mottled duck hybrids were found in between these regions, which likely represents a recently established contact zone that is, on average, ~100 km wide. We posit that climate- and land use-associated changes, including coastal habitat degradation coupled with increases in artificial habitats in the interior regions of Texas, are facilitating these range expansions. Consequently, continued monitoring of this recent contact event can serve to understand species’ responses in the Anthropocene, but it can also be used to revise operational survey areas for mottled ducks.

Genes↗

Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)

The decline of the iconic monarch butterfly ( Danaus plexippus ) in North America has motivated research on the impacts of land use and land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on monarch habitat and population dynamics. We investigated spring and fall trends in LULC, milkweed and nectar resources over a 20-year period, and ~ 30 years of climate variables in Mexico and Texas, U.S. This region supports spring breeding, and spring and fall migration during the annual life cycle of the monarch. We estimated a − 2.9% decline in milkweed in Texas, but little to no change in Mexico. Fall and spring nectar resources declined < 1% in both study extents. Vegetation greenness increased in the fall and spring in Mexico while the other climate variables did not change in both Mexico and Texas. Monarch habitat in Mexico and Texas appears relatively more intact than in the midwestern, agricultural landscapes of the U.S. Given the relatively modest observed changes in nectar and milkweed, the relatively stable climate conditions, and increased vegetation greenness in Mexico, it seems unlikely that habitat loss (quantity or quality) in Mexico and Texas has caused large declines in population size or survival during migration.

Scientific Reports↗

An integrated perspective of paleoenvironmental change in the Western Interior Seaway before and during OAE-2 reveals how organic-rich mudstones form in dynamic environments

Organic and inorganic geochemistry was integrated with sedimentology from the Eagle Ford Group in the U.S. Geological Survey Gulf Coast-3 drill core to investigate why organic matter enrichment and anoxia predate the Cenomanian–Turonian oceanic anoxic event (OAE-2) at the southern Western Interior Seaway (WIS). The relationship between the degree of organic matter sulfurization and preservation in the southern WIS is comparable to OAE-2 sites outside of the WIS, but enhanced organic matter sulfurization and preservation predated OAE-2, distinguishing the southern WIS from other OAE-2 localities. Persistent euxinia and organic matter sulfurization before and during the mid-Cenomanian event (MCE) facilitated maximum organic matter enrichment and preservation to coincide with extensive lateral sediment transport. The new perspective detailed here reconciles geochemical evidence of depositional euxinia with sedimentological evidence of sediment transport, which informs how organic-rich mudstones form in dynamic environments. After the MCE but before OAE-2, reducing conditions weakened as relative sea-level continued to rise, resulting in an oxygen-depleted environment that was prone to transient euxinia. The extent of organic matter sulfurization, preservation, and enrichment declined as euxinia became intermittent. As maximum sea-level was established during OAE-2, boreal water masses flowed into the southern WIS and unrestricted, oxygenated marine conditions developed, which resulted in degradation of marine organic matter and less organic enrichment. The highest relative contribution of marine bacterial organic matter occurred during the persistently euxinic interval before and during the MCE. The relative input of algal organic matter increased as the depositional conditions became less reducing after the MCE but before OAE-2. Prasinophyte green algae contributed to the consistent dominance of C 28 steranes preceding OAE-2, which is becoming a widely observed feature across the southern and central WIS. A sharp drop in the C 28 sterane relative abundance reflects a decline in the abundance of prasinophytes as oxic depositional conditions developed during OAE-2. Relative abundances of 2-methylhopanes increased during OAE-2, which is a common signature of OAEs, suggesting a modified nitrogen cycle in the offshore southern WIS despite oxic depositional conditions during OAE-2.

Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas↗

Climate change and collapsing thermal niches of desert reptiles and amphibians: Assisted migration and acclimation rescue from extirpation

Recent climate change should result in expansion of species to northern or high elevation range margins, and contraction at southern and low elevation margins in the northern hemisphere, because of local extirpations or range shifts or both. We combined museum occurrence records from both the continental U.S. and Mexico with a new eco-physiological model of extinction developed for lizard families of the world to predict the distributions of 30 desert-endemic reptile and amphibian species under climate change scenarios. The model predicts that 38 % of local populations will go extinct in the next 50 years, across all 30 species. However, extinctions may be attenuated in forested sites and by the presence of montane environments in contemporary ranges. Of the 30 species, three were at very high risk of extinction as a result of their thermal limits being exceeded, which illustrates the predictive value of ecophysiological modeling approaches for conservation studies. In tandem with global strategies of limiting CO2 emissions, we propose urgent regional management strategies for existing and new reserves that are targeted at three species: Barred Tiger Salamander (Ambystomatidae: Ambystoma mavortium stebbinsi), Desert Short-horned Lizard (Phrynosomatidae: Phrynosoma ornatissimum), and Morafka's Desert Tortoise (Testudinidae: Gopherus morafkai), which face a high risk of extinction by 2070. These strategies focus on assisted migration and preservation within climatic refugia, such as high-elevation and forested habitats. We forecast where new reserves should be established by merging our model of extinction risk with gap analysis. We also highlight that acclimation (i.e., phenotypic plasticity) could ameliorate risk of extinction but is rarely included in ecophysiological models. We use Ambystoma salamanders to show how acclimation can be incorporated into such models of extinction risk.

Science of the Total Environment↗

More than a decade of conservation biology and research in Sonora and Arizona: The endangered Sonoran Tiger Salamander and threatened Chiricahua Leopard Frog

Only two species of amphibians from Arizona are listed under the federal Endangered Species Act. The Sonoran Tiger Salamander was listed as an endangered species without critical habitat in 1997. The Chiricahua Leopard Frog was listed as a threatened species in 2002; critical habitat was designated in 2012. In this review, we summarize conservation and research conducted on these two species with a focus on work in the southeastern Arizona/northeastern Sonora borderlands, but we also touch upon seminal work on the Chiricahua Leopard Frog at Buenos Aires National Wildlife Refuge (BANWR).

Arizona, Sonora↗

U.S.-Mexico Borderland & vegetation community map

People on both sides of the United States-Mexico border need a high-resolution, binational vegetation community map that spans the entire United States-Mexico borderlands. Traditionally, mapping efforts in this region were impeded by complex logistics related to the international border, differing national needs and plans, and resource allocations and priorities. To address this need, scientists from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Southwest Biological Science Center partnered with the Sonoran Joint Venture, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) Migratory Bird Program, data engineers from the Department of Biosystems Engineering at the University of Arizona, and collaborators from the Wildlands Network, the Borderlands Program to produce the first prototype land cover map within the overlapping Mojave Desert, Sonoran Desert, and the North American Bird Conservation Initiative’s Bird Conservation Region 33 (BCR33) using Landsat satellite data . BCR33 is an area of high biodiversity, providing habitat for bird species of concern and other wildlife. The land cover map supports FWS recovery plan efforts related to conservation planning activities for many species, including Yellow-billed Cuckoo ( Coccyzus americanus ), Cactus Ferruginous Pygmy-Owl ( Glaucidium brasilianum cactorum ), Southwestern Willow Flycatcher ( Empidonax traillii extimus ), Yuma Ridgway’s Rail ( Rallus obsoletus yumanensis ), Bendire’s thrasher ( Toxostoma bendirei ), LeConte’s thrasher ( Toxostoma lecontei ), Masked Bobwhite ( Colinus virginianus ridgwayi ), jaguar ( Panthera onca ), and endangered plants such as Bartram’s stonecrop ( Graptopetalum bartramii ) and the Pima pineapple cactus ( Coryphantha robustispina ssp. robustispina ). In 2024, a Phase-II map for the full BCR33 region was completed, increasing the understanding of the binational nature of natural communities. The published map and associated paper can be found here .

Borderland↗

Colorado Delta riparian plant health improvement

The riparian corridor along Mexico’s arid Colorado River Delta is being affected by reduction in river flow and increases in heat, drought, human infrastructure, and disturbances. These disturbances can change riparian land cover by limiting water availability for riparian plant species, increasing fire intensity and frequency, and increasing soil and water salinities. In response to these forms of degradation, restoration efforts have begun to restore riparian habitats and native plant health, but vegetation greenness and corresponding plant water use continue to decline in unrestored reaches. Researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Southwest Biological Science Center are monitoring riparian plant health along the Colorado River Delta to support better ecohydrological decision-making. The researchers are helping a binational team to protect, restore, and maintain native vegetation within the 150-km long riparian corridor. Researchers are using Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data spanning 2014–2022 to measure greenness, a proxy for plant health, and actual evapotranspiration (ETa). Using an empirical model for ETa, evapotranspiration is estimated over each 16-day Landsat 8 OLI overpass period by considering the 8 days before and after the overpass date. In their paper, researchers noted an increase in vegetation greenness within the restoration sites over nine years, with an average increase of 41.3%, which may be partially due to targeted water deliveries at the restoration sites. Conversely, greenness in adjacent, unrestored control areas declined by 27.3%. The study showed a 22.1% increase in ETa in restored areas, compared to a 30.8% reduction in unrestored regions. Restored sites in one restored area experienced ETa increases up to 12.2%, whereas their unrestored counterparts showed a decline of 21.4%. These estimates of riparian greenness and water use may assist natural resource managers who are tasked with allocating water and managing habitats within similar riparian corridors.

Conference Paper↗

Ibex Hollow Tuff from ca. 12 Ma supereruption, southern Idaho, identified across North America, eastern Pacific Ocean, and Gulf of Mexico

The Ibex Hollow Tuff, 12.08 ± 0.03 Ma ( 40 Ar/ 39 Ar), is a widespread tephra layer erupted from the Bruneau-Jarbidge volcanic field of southern Idaho. Tephra from this eruption was deposited across much of western and central North America and adjacent ocean areas. We identified the Ibex Hollow Tuff at Trapper Creek, Idaho, near its eruption site, and at 15 distal sites, from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico, by the chemical composition of its glass shards, using electron-microprobe analysis, instrumental neutron activation analysis, and laser-ablation–inductively coupled plasma–mass spectrometry. By these methods, we distinguished the Ibex Hollow Tuff from overlying and underlying tephra layers near its source and at distal sites. Fluvially reworked Ibex Hollow Tuff ash was transported by the ancestral Mississippi River drainage from the interior of the North American continent to the Gulf of Mexico, where it is present within an ~50-m-thick deposit in marine sediments in the subsurface. The minimum fallout area covered by the ash is ~2.7 million km 2 , with a minimum volume of ~800 km 3 , and potential dispersal farther to the north and northeast. The areal distribution for the Ibex Hollow Tuff is similar to that of the Lava Creek B (0.63 Ma) supereruption. The Ibex Hollow Tuff represents a unique chronostratigraphic marker allowing a synoptic view of paleoenvironments at a virtual moment in time across a large terrestrial and marine region. The Ibex Hollow Tuff is also an important marker bed for North American Land Mammal Ages, and it coincides with climatic cooling in the middle to late Miocene documented in marine cores.

Gulf of Mexico, Pacific Ocean↗

The Colorado River water crisis: Its origin and the future

During much of the 21st century, natural runoff in the Colorado River basin has declined, while consumption has remained relatively constant, leading to historically low reservoir storage. Between January 2000 and April 2023, the amount of water stored in Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the two largest reservoirs in the United States, declined by 33.5 million acre feet (41.3 billion cubic meters). As of April 2023, total basin-wide storage was sufficient to support the 21st century average rate of basin-wide consumption for only 15 months. Runoff in spring 2023 is predicted to be large, providing a short-term reprieve. However, it will take four to five additional unusually wet years in succession to refill Lake Powell and Lake Mead if basin-wide water use remains unchanged. Increasing evapotranspiration and dry soils associated with global climate change makes such a scenario unlikely. To stabilize reservoir storage, basin-wide use needs to equal modern runoff. To recover reservoir storage, basin-wide use needs to decline even more. Based on 21st century average runoff, a 13%–20% decline in basin-wide use would allow for stabilization and some reservoir storage recovery. Future policy debate about reservoir operations will inevitably concern whether most, or all, reservoir storage should be in Lake Mead or in Lake Powell. The choice of one or the other will result in significantly different environmental and recreational outcomes for Glen Canyon and the Grand Canyon.

Arizona, Baja California, California, Colorado, Ne↗

Random forest classification of multitemporal Landsat 8 spectral data and phenology metrics for land cover mapping in the Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Geospatial data and tools evolve as new technologies are developed and landscape change occurs over time. As a result, these data may become outdated and inadequate for supporting critical habitat-related work across the international boundary in the Sonoran and Mojave Deserts Bird Conservation Region (BCR 33) due to the area’s complex vegetation communities and the discontinuity in data availability across the United States (US) and Mexico (MX) border. This research aimed to produce the first 30 m continuous land cover map of BCR 33 by prototyping new methods for desert vegetation classification using the Random Forest (RF) machine learning (ML) method. The developed RF classification model utilized multitemporal Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager spectral and vegetation index data from the period of 2013–2020, and phenology metrics tailored to capture the unique growing seasons of desert vegetation. Our RF model achieved an overall classification F-score of 0.80 and an overall accuracy of 91.68%. Our results portrayed the vegetation cover at a much finer resolution than existing land cover maps from the US and MX portions of the study area, allowing for the separation and identification of smaller habitat pockets, including riparian communities, which are critically important for desert wildlife and are often misclassified or nonexistent in current maps. This early prototyping effort serves as a proof of concept for the ML and data fusion methods that will be used to generate the final high-resolution land cover map of the entire BCR 33 region.

Remote Sensing↗