TY - RPRT TI - A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities AU - William L. Ellsworth AU - Mark V. Matthews AU - Robert M. Nadeau AU - Stuart P. Nishenko AU - Paul A. Reasenberg AU - Robert W. Simpson PY - 1999 DO - 10.3133/ofr99522 UR - https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/ofr99522 ID - ofr99522 ER -