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Search indexed USGS publications on groundwater, aquifers, geologic maps, mineral resources and earthquakes. Explore source records by subject and place.

At least 1,081 records · Page 60Linked to original sources
USGS2026

Constructed value of information with iterative scoring and parametric uncertainty to identify management-relevant research priorities for a declining raptor species

Constructed value of information (CVoI) is an expert elicitation decision-analytic tool used to prioritize sources of uncertainty based on their potential to improve decision outcomes if resolved. Despite increased application of CVoI, the robustness of CVoI prioritization of sources of uncertainty relative to differences in expert elicitation and scoring methods has not been evaluated. We engaged a group of species experts in a decision-analytic process to elicit uncertainties, framed as alternative hypotheses, about current population declines of the American kestrel ( Falco sparverius ) in the United States. Participants scored 13 hypotheses across 3 CVoI criteria, which are defined as constructed scales. Rather than experts selecting a single score per criterion, we used a likelihood point method to incorporate parametric uncertainty in the scoring process, in which experts were given 100 points to distribute across possible score categories within the criterion-specific constructed scale. Experts provided scores over 2 scoring rounds, with an opportunity to review and discuss initial scores between rounds. We used a Shannon entropy calculation to quantify how evenly participants allotted their points. We used simulation to evaluate the robustness of our prioritization results relative to a scoring method in which participants selected a single score category for each criterion. Participants often spread their points across 2 adjacent scores, reflecting parametric uncertainty. For one third of the hypothesis-scoring round combinations, the prioritization results differed in approximately 50% of simulations. The highest scoring hypotheses related to how the use of artificial versus natural nest cavities affects fecundity or survival, whether winter roosting sites are a limiting factor for population growth, and whether gamebird habitat management may benefit kestrel populations. Our CVoI prioritization framework can be used to develop collaborative research that is directly relevant to a management decision and is an advance in eliciting more representative expert beliefs.

Conservation Biology↗
USGS2026

Groundwater quality near an oil field in a stream-dominated recharge setting, California, USA

Alluvial valley aquifers are important sources of water supply in many areas but effects of co-located oil and gas development on these resources have not been widely reported, especially in settings where recharge is dominated by stream infiltration. Interpreting the presence of geochemical indicators in the context of hydrology, geology, and other factors provides a more complete understanding of the relations between groundwater and sources of oil-field fluids and aids in identifying risks associated with oil and gas development. Groundwater and Salinas River water samples were collected in an alluvial valley near the San Ardo Oil Field in Monterey County, California and analyzed for a wide range of dissolved chemical, gas, and isotopic constituents to determine if oil-field fluids (water and gas from oil-producing and non-producing zones) have mixed with fresh groundwater used for supply. Hydraulic gradients, age-dating tracers, and other geochemical indicators show that recharge from the Salinas River has the potential to dilute oil-field fluids that might migrate or seep into the aquifer. Groundwater and Salinas River water collected downgradient of the San Ardo Oil Field showed little or no evidence of mixing with oil-field fluids. Some samples within the oil field contained trace amounts of hydrocarbons or elevated temperatures, indicating that any potential effects from oil-field activities are minor or have been diluted by recharge from the Salinas River. The two samples with the most geochemical evidence of potential mixing with oil-field fluids (SP-18 and GW-17) were collected west of or along the Los Lobos fault, where naturally occurring hydrocarbons are near the land surface. Those samples are also near active or inactive oil-field wells, and so anthropogenic activities and pathways cannot be ruled out as a cause of trace detections of hydrocarbons and elevated temperatures in the aquifer.

California↗
USGS2026

Multiple-well monitoring site adjacent to the Midway- Sunset and Buena Vista Oil Fields, Kern County, California

Groundwater quality in and around oil fields in the Southern San Joaquin Valley is of interest to many California residents that rely heavily on groundwater for domestic, commercial, and agricultural use. To help assess the effects of historical oil-field activities and natural geologic sources on groundwater near the southwest margins of the Kern County Groundwater Subbasin, a multiple-well monitoring site was installed near the administrative boundary between the Midway-Sunset and Buena Vista Oil Fields in Kern County, California. The installation of the Midway-Sunset Buena Vista multiple-well monitoring site (MSBV) supports regional analysis of the relations of oil and gas sources to groundwater quality by providing information about the geology, hydrology, geophysical properties, and water quality of the alluvial and upper Tulare aquifers in areas where groundwater data were limited. Data collected from the site included drill cuttings, whole core samples, sidewall core samples, mud-gas analysis, borehole geophysical logs, depth to water measurements, and water quality samples. Whole cores were scanned using dual energy computed tomography. Subsamples of selected cores were analyzed for density, porosity, specific retention, and bulk minerology. Thin sections of the subsamples were prepared, photographed, and examined. Two samples were analyzed using scanning electron microscope technology to examine the microporosity of diatomite laden sediment. Instrumentation installed in the wells collect hourly depth to water measurements. Analysis of the data show there is 355 feet of alluvium overlying the Tulare Formation at the well site. The contact between the two formations is an aquitard resulting in a perched aquifer in the alluvium and unconfined aquifer in the Tulare Formation. The alluvium is more heterogenous and finer grained than the Tulare Formation resulting in markedly higher porosity in the alluvium compared to the Tulare Formation. Higher specific retention observed in the alluvium is attributed to the finer grained sediment and greater abundance of reworked diatomite (as represented by opal-CT [cristobalite-tridymite]) compared to the Tulare Formation. Total dissolved solids (TDS) approached or exceeded 10,000 milligrams per liter (mg/L) in the alluvium from approximately 176 to 242 feet below land surface and at the top of the Amnicola clay at approximately 670 feet below land surface within the Tulare Formation. Elevated TDS, chloride, and boron concentrations in the alluvium and on top of the Amnicola clay likely reflect groundwater that is mixed with oil-field water. Water chemistry and modern-aged groundwater in the alluvial monitoring well (MSBV #3) are consistent with the oil-field water in the alluvium being derived from documented historical surface disposal of oil-field water upslope (northwest) of the site. Water chemistry and pre-modern groundwater age in the deeper Tulare monitoring well (MSBV #1) on top of the Amnicola clay are consistent with oil-field fluids derived from upslope natural geologic sources or old oil wells that leak in the subsurface. Shallow groundwater in the Tulare (MSBV #2) is not affected by mixing with oil-field sources.

EarthArXiv↗
USGS2026

Suspended-sediment and phosphorus response in a fire-affected central Montana headwater catchment

Purpose Eutrophication and nuisance filamentous algal blooms (i.e. Cladophora ) are increasingly common occurrences throughout much of the western United States. Wildfire may be contributing to the frequency and magnitude of algal blooms through excess sediment and nutrient loading to streams and rivers. Our objective was to evaluate the effects the 2021 Woods Creek Fire had on sediment yields and phosphorus (total and bioavailable) partitioning in Camas Creek, a major tributary to the Smith River in Montana where Cladophora are now consistently reaching nuisance levels. Methods We collected water quality samples during snowmelt pulsing events as well as fixed interval sampling using an established U.S. Geological Survey stream gage instrumented with a continuous water quality sonde and an automatic peristaltic pump sampler. Water samples were processed for total phosphorus (TP), sediment-bound bioavailable phosphorus (S-BioP), soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP), and suspended sediment concentrations and were evaluated using linear regression and other nonparametric statistical tests. Continuous turbidity and streamflow were evaluated using hysteresis analysis to determine sediment sourcing and connectivity. Results We found that the Woods Creek Fire did not significantly influence TP and S-BioP in Camas Creek. However, there was a significant increase in SRP and turbidity in both postfire years (2022 and 2023). Hysteresis analysis of 91 delineated events indicated positive (clockwise) hysteresis was the dominant event pattern during the snowmelt period. This may indicate a lower hillslope to channel connectivity, with the major sediment supply originating from the channel and/or riparian areas. Conclusion Results from this study demonstrate the benefits of combining discrete water quality samples with high-frequency turbidity sensors to characterize postfire sediment and phosphorus dynamics. While a lack of postfire response in TP and S-BioP is contrary to many other studies, our findings highlight the role climate and catchment morphology play in attenuating a disturbance effect.

Montana↗
USGS2026

An Antarctic ecosystem value index to quantify ecological value across trophic levels and over time

The Southern Ocean around Antarctica is one of the fastest changing regions on the planet and an emerging resource frontier for fisheries. Here, we present the Antarctic Ecosystem Value Index created by merging ecosystem information across food web trophic levels, from phytoplankton to fish and penguins, to quantify the ecological value of marine areas around the Antarctic continent. We find that coastal polynyas - areas of reduced sea-ice - have Index values 31–72% higher than surrounding areas, suggesting that these areas are biologically valuable hot spots for a number of ice-dependent Antarctic Species. Using output from an Earth system model to generate future projections of the Index, we find that high-value locations, often within polynyas, are likely to continue to be valuable throughout the 21st century despite environmental changes. The Antarctic Ecosystem Value Index indicates that penguins lose importance as their habitat becomes increasingly unsuitable, so protecting high-value habitat areas may be critical for these species. This study also shows that while many high-value Index areas are within existing or proposed Marine Protected Areas, there are several opportunities for adopting additional protection, particularly in East Antarctica and the Amundsen Sea.

Nature Communications↗
USGS2026

Growth form and lifespan of herbaceous species mediate the role of traits in short-term drought response

Increased climate variability is expected to intensify short-term drought events. Plants have evolved stress tolerance strategies involving trade-offs in resource conservation, mycorrhizal collaboration and plant size, yet how these strategies promote drought resistance across different herbaceous plant groups remains unknown. Leveraging 63 globally distributed grassland and shrubland sites from the International Drought Experiment, we identified plant traits linked to drought resistance in 661 populations of 421 species after 1 year of extreme drought. We assessed how traits, site precipitation and drought severity affected cover change across growth forms and lifespans, and how trait–environment interactions influenced drought resistance. Across all species, leaf N (an acquisitive trait) was associated with drought resistance, whereas in forbs, drought resistance was also associated with a conservative root trait and plant size. In addition, interactions among traits mediated drought resistance; root traits predicted performance only in concert with other traits. Environmental variables influenced trait effects on drought resistance, notably for annuals in wetter sites, suggesting that drought-escape strategies in annuals may be advantageous only under mild stress. Our study highlights variability in traits that predict drought resistance across herbaceous plant groups, emphasizing the importance of species context, environmental stress and the selection of traits in research and management.

Nature Ecology and Evolution↗
USGS2026

Using eye lens stable isotopes to identify the rearing origin of fall age-0 walleye ( Sander vitreus )

Isotope values in fish eye lenses may be useful in differentiating rearing origins. We compared eye lens isotopic values of fall fingerling age-0 walleye ( Sander vitreus ) reared in a hatchery pond, a recirculating aquaculture system (RAS), and a natural lake. Using 10 fish per rearing source, we delaminated layers from one eye lens per fish to assess temporal changes in carbon (δ 13 C) and nitrogen (δ 15 N) and pulverized the whole second eye lens for δ 13 C, δ 15 N, and sulfur (δ 34 S). RAS-reared walleye values exhibited high precision among individuals and were δ 34 S enriched. Pond-reared walleye had lower δ 13 C and δ 15 N core values compared to other rearing sources. For δ 13 C and δ 15 N, values remained consistent among layers for RAS-reared walleye, δ 15 N slightly increased for pond-reared and lake-reared walleye, and δ 13 C increased substantially among subsequent layers in pond-reared walleye. Bayesian 95% ellipses did not overlap among rearing sources. These results demonstrate that eye lens stable isotope analysis may be a useful tool for differentiating hatchery-reared and wild large fingerling walleye, specifically from RAS- and pond-reared sources.

South Dakota↗
USGS2026

Assessment of undiscovered conventional oil and gas resources in the Santos Basin, Campos Basin, and Espírito Santo Basin provinces of Brazil, 2024

Using a geology-based assessment methodology, the U.S. Geological Survey estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable mean conventional resources of 10.4 billion barrels of oil and 53.3 trillion cubic feet of gas in the Santos Basin, Campos Basin, and Espírito Santo Basin provinces of Brazil.

Campos Basin, Espírito Santo Basin, Santos Basin↗
USGS2026

Gambel’s quail (Callipepla gambelii) nest site selection and habitat use in Oracle Junction, Arizona

Gambel’s quail ( Callipepla gambelii ) is the most widespread, abundant, and heavily harvested species of game quail in Arizona. Gambel’s quail population dynamics in Arizona are strongly influenced by seasonal weather conditions. This is particularly relevant for Gambel’s quail management as drought conditions are expected to increase in Arizona, and this may exacerbate inter-annual variation in Gambel’s quail abundance and recruitment. The goal of this study is to provide information on Gambel’s quail population demographics, habitat use, and movement to inform land management decisions for Gambel’s quail in southeast Arizona in a way that mitigates the effect of drought. We used multiple trapping methods to capture Gambel’s quail from February–July 2024 and February–15 May 2025. We found noose mats (n = 57) to be more effective than drop traps (n=14) in capturing Gambel’s quail, with multiple types of walkin traps proving ineffective. We deployed 33 GPS backpack transmitters on female Gambel’s quail to monitor their movements and locate nests. We documented eight mortalities of tracked quail from apparent predation. Quail home range sizes ranged from 3 ha-100 ha (mean = 25 ha) in 2024 and from 7–57 ha (mean = 29 ha) in 2025. We identified four nest sites with 6-15 eggs and all nests were predated. We collected vegetation measurements at nest and brood sites and corresponding random points to examine nest and brood site selection although our small sample sizes limited our ability to make inferences about Gambel’s quail habitat selection.

Arizona↗
USGS2026

Variation in pathogen load and the pathogen load–infectiousness relationship broaden avian malaria’s distribution

Two aspects of host infectiousness shape pathogen transmission and distribution but are underappreciated: the relationship between pathogen load and infectiousness, and variability in pathogen load within species. We quantified the relationship between host pathogen load (parasitemia) for avian malaria ( Plasmodium relictum ) and infectiousness for biting Culex quinquefasciatus mosquitoes with experimental infections in canaries ( Serinus canaria ). Using this relationship, we estimated the infectiousness of 17 bird species in 11 communities in Hawaiʻi and quantified the relative contributions of infection stage (acute versus chronic) to transmission. We show that infectiousness to mosquitoes increased with parasitemia, temperature, and time since feeding. The relationship’s gradual (low) parasitemia slope resulted in a wide range of parasitemias being partly infectious, and high within-host species variability in parasitemia led to extensive overlap in infectiousness among hosts. Disproportionate mosquito host utilization (inferred from relative infection prevalence) elevated the importance of a few host species, yet broad overlap in species infectiousness resulted in similar total infectiousness across most bird communities. This similarity likely contributed to avian malaria’s widespread distribution throughout Hawaiʻi despite diverse host community assemblages. Our findings highlight the importance of both the shape of the pathogen load–infectiousness relationship and within-species variability in determining a pathogen’s host range, transmission intensity, and spatial spread.

Nature Communications↗
USGS2026

Post-wildfire water quality and aquatic ecosystem response in the U.S. Pacific Northwest: science and monitoring gaps

An increase in the occurrence of large, high severity wildfires in the western Pacific Northwest (PNW), USA, has created an urgent need for science to better inform forest management and policy decisions to maintain source water quality in the region. The western PNW faces similar challenges to other regions with shifting wildfire regimes and large population centers reliant on surface water from forested catchments. However, the uniquely wet and highly seasonal climate of the western PNW suggests that findings from other, more frequently burned regions may not be directly applicable. To identify science, monitoring, and management gaps and opportunities in the western PNW, this review was collaboratively undertaken by academics, non-government and industry representatives, and local, state, and federal government entities who have been working together since the 2020 Labor Day fires in Oregon. Focusing on Oregon and Washington, we found that monitoring networks for continuous water quantity and quality cover much of the state with greater representation in western U.S. ecoregions, but few studies have analyzed and published these data to capture and communicate the post-wildfire response. Approximately half of the streamgages in Oregon and Washington record major water quality parameters, and hundreds of sites in the area have discrete sampling for a wide range of water quality constituents. Still, numerous gaps exist in understanding the short- and long-term impacts of wildfire on hydrology, water chemistry, including pH and dissolved oxygen, mobilization of metals, aquatic ecosystems, and downstream drinking water treatment. Collective action to further collect, analyze, interpret, and publish the key data could help improve our understanding of post-wildfire water quality impacts in this and other increasingly wildfire-affected regions.

Oregon, Washington↗
USGS2026

Drivers of disperser immigration into cooperatively breeding carnivore groups

Dispersal is a fundamental process that shapes social groups by affecting genetic diversity, group composition, and social dynamics through immigration and subsequent settlement. In group-living animals, dispersal involves more than just leaving 1 group and arriving at another because dispersers also need to be accepted at an established group for successful dispersal to occur. Understanding how and why new individuals integrate into established social groups remains a key question, particularly when the benefits to existing members are unclear. This question persists in part because the ecological and social conditions that shape disperser settlement remain poorly understood. We leveraged an existing harvest regime and examined 18 years of life-history data from a wild population of cooperatively breeding gray wolves ( Canis lupus ) to understand immigration dynamics of group-living. Specifically, we tested how social and environmental conditions within groups predicted the likelihood that a disperser successfully immigrated into a group, analyzing how breeder turnover, annual harvest, group size, and genetic relatedness influenced that decision. Turnover of breeding males had the strongest effect on the probability of disperser settlement, suggesting that the loss of key social roles may create opportunities for new individuals to join groups. We also found an interaction between group size and harvest. By quantifying conditions that shape immigrant settlement, we highlight a mechanism influencing the stability and structure of cooperatively breeding groups. Unlike studies focused on individual dispersal decisions, our research highlights how variation in ecological and social conditions shape settlement into groups by dispersers.

Idaho↗
USGS2026

Using structured decision making to evaluate the tradeoffs of selective fish passage

Dams have dramatically altered rivers and are a major contributor to native fish population declines. However, many dams serve important ecological, social, and economic functions, such as flood control, invasive species control, and provision of recreational opportunities. Therefore, dam removal is often contentious among stakeholders and involves making tradeoffs among multiple competing objectives. This research uses structured decision making to evaluate the ecological, social, and economic consequences and tradeoffs of enhancing connectivity for migratory fishes in the Boardman River, Michigan. We describe efforts to engage a diverse group of stakeholders to elicit their objectives under various fish passage alternatives. We used multi-attribute tradeoff methods to help stakeholders weigh the costs and benefits of enhancing connectivity for several fish species with varying life history traits and initial distributions. We found that the optimal alternative was passage of native fishes only; however, the optimal alternative varied based on the weight stakeholders might place on each objective. We created four objective weighting scenarios to evaluate the sensitivity of the optimal alternative to changes in objective weights. This research will help inform decision-makers on fish passage alternatives that are preferred by stakeholders and that are likely to achieve their objectives.

Michigan↗
USGS2026

Design and functionality analysis of the high-stress permeameter (HSP), a device developed for measuring mechanical and hydraulic properties of gas hydrate-bearing pressure core

To characterize sediment compressibility and permeability in the presence of gas hydrate, a naturally occurring combination of water and methane that requires elevated pressure and reduced temperature to remain stable, a high-stress permeameter (HSP) device was developed. The HSP was designed to accept gas hydrate-bearing pressure core specimens in their plastic liner at pressures of 10–11 MPa. The HSP was further designed to carry out compressibility and permeability tests over a range of effective stresses while maintaining the requirements for gas hydrate stability. To verify the validity of HSP measurements of sediment consolidation properties, we tested remolded kaolin samples in the HSP and three standard fixed-ring oedometers. Furthermore, we compared the direct fluid-flow permeability measurements from the HSP with estimates based on Terzaghi’s log-time method for calculating permeability from 1-dimensional oedometer-style consolidation tests. We found agreement between all devices for consolidation (e.g., coefficients of compressibility and recompression) and permeability results. These findings indicate the suitability of the HSP for consolidation tests, as well as the log-time method for estimating permeability from oedometer consolidation tests.

Geotechnical Testing Journal↗
USGS2026

Preface to the focus section on intraplate earthquakes

More than a half century after plate tectonics provided an overarching framework to explain earthquakes along active plate boundaries, numerous theories have been proposed to explain where, why, and how often earthquakes occur well away from active plate boundaries, but a paradigm remains elusive. Even the classification of earthquakes away from active plate boundaries as "intraplate" raises issues, with potentially important distinctions between Stable Continental Regions and more actively deforming regions including passive margins and failed rifts. Some of the largest known intraplate earthquakes themselves remain enigmatic, having occurred before the modern instrumental era. Hazard assessments are often data-limited: low fault-slip rates relative to landscape modification rates result in poor discoverability of fault sources, challenging the characterization of source zones and earthquake recurrence; the completeness and homogenization of instrumental earthquake catalogs using uncertain magnitude conversions can lead to uncertainties in earthquake recurrence; and, limited strong-motion observations for large-magnitude events at near-source distances leads to uncertainties in the selection and development of ground-motion models for seismic hazard studies. Data from recent intraplate earthquakes around the world—from the moment magnitude M 7.7 2001 Bhuj, India, earthquake 25 years ago to the 2024 M 4.8 Tewksbury, New Jersey earthquake—have yielded both new insights and new questions. The papers in this special focus discuss many of the long-standing challenges involved with intraplate earthquake investigations and provide a snapshot of the state of the art with current research to advance our understanding.

Seismological Research Letters↗
USGS2026

Background, methods, goals, challenges, opportunities, and information needs

Understanding how climate change and variability will impact grassland ecosystems is crucial for successful grasslands management in the future. In 2020, the North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center began a project to establish a baseline of information to best serve grassland managers (that is, those individuals who develop grassland management plans, implement those plans on the ground, or both) at Federal, State, and Tribal agencies; nongovernmental organizations; and partnerships to help meet regional grassland management goals. This chapter presents the main findings from the review and synthesis of 183 grassland management-related documents relevant to the North Central region. Specifically, this chapter describes the methods by which grassland management-related documents were identified, reviewed, and synthesized; defines five North Central Grassland Ecoregions; provides a synthesis of regional grassland management goals and challenges; identifies information needs relevant to grassland management in a changing climate; and summarizes grassland management issues by ecoregion.

Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota,↗