Geology topics

Zachary A. Kelly

Publications and source records attributed to Zachary A. Kelly.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2024

Declines in brook trout abundance linked to atmospheric warming in Maryland, USA

Salmonid fishes provide an important indicator of climate change given their reliance on cold water. We evaluated temporal changes in the density of stream-dwelling brook trout ( Salvelinus fontinalis ) from surveys conducted over a 36-year period (1988–2023) by the Maryland Department of Natural Resources in Eastern North America. Nonparametric trend analyses revealed decreasing densities of adult fish (age 1+) in 19 sites (27%) and increases in 5 sites (7%). In contrast, juvenile fish (age 0) densities decreased in 4 sites (6%) and increased in 10 sites (14%). Declining adult brook trout trends were related to atmospheric warming rates during the study period, and this relationship was stronger than the effects of land use change or non-native brown trout. In contrast, juvenile fish trends generally increased with elevation but were not related to air temperature trends or land use change. Our analysis reveals significant changes in several brook trout populations over recent decades and implicates warming atmospheric conditions in population declines. Our findings also suggest the importance of temperature for adult survival rather than recruitment limitation in brook trout population dynamics.

Maryland↗

USGS2024

Utility of an instantaneous salt dilution method for measuring streamflow in headwater streams

Streamflow records are biased toward large streams and rivers, yet small headwater streams are often the focus of ecological research in response to climate change. Conventional flow measurement instruments such as acoustic Doppler velocimeters (ADVs) do not perform well during low-flow conditions in small streams, truncating the development of rating curves during critical baseflow conditions dominated by groundwater inflow. We revisited an instantaneous solute tracer injection method as an alternative to ADVs based on paired measurements to compare their precision, efficiency, and feasibility within headwater streams across a range of flow conditions. We show that the precision of discharge measurements using salt dilution by slug injection and ADV methods were comparable overall, but salt dilution was more precise during the lowest flows and required less time to implement. Often, headwater streams were at or below the depth threshold where ADV measurements could even be attempted and transects were complicated by coarse bed material and cobbles. We discuss the methodological benefits and limitations of salt dilution by slug injection and conclude that the method could facilitate a proliferation of streamflow observation across headwater stream networks that are highly undersampled compared to larger streams.

Virginia↗

USGS2020

Assessing native fish restoration potential in Catoctin Mountain Park

Biological conservation is a fundamental purpose of the National Park system, and Catoctin Mountain Park (CATO) supports high-quality habitat for native fishes in the headwaters of the Chesapeake Bay watershed in eastern North America. However, native Blue Ridge sculpin ( Cottus caeruleomentum ) have been extirpated in Big Hunting Creek above Cunningham Falls in CATO. Prior research indicates that infection by the fungal-like protist Dermocystidium is a likely cause for the extirpation, but elevated stream temperatures also have been observed in the study area, and it remains unknown whether thermal stress may exacerbate infections or otherwise limit habitat suitability for fishes in CATO. The purpose of this study was to quantify spatial variation in summer stream temperatures and to evaluate the effects of temperature on sculpin growth rates and susceptibility to Dermocystidium infection. We used observational and experimental methods to address these objectives. First, we deployed stream temperature gages at 10 sites throughout the study area to assess hourly and daily temperatures during the summer of 2019. Second, we conducted an in situ fish enclosure experiment at five of the temperature sites to assess fish growth and susceptibility to Dermocystidium infection over a 45-day exposure period. For this experiment we collected sculpin from a stream in CATO that supports a robust population of Blue Ridge sculpin (Owens Creek) and held them in quarantine for 50 days in the Experimental Stream Laboratory at the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Leetown Science Center. Pre-exposure histopathology confirmed the absence of Dermocystidium infection prior to the introduction of fish into experimental enclosures. We found that stream temperatures were warmer where sculpin have been extirpated than elsewhere in CATO where sculpin persist. However, the fish enclosure experiment revealed a positive effect of temperature on fish growth, suggesting that increased food availability and foraging rates compensated for increased metabolic demands in the warmest sites. Moreover, fish held in enclosures did not develop Dermocystidium infection. Our results therefore suggest that current environmental conditions in upper Big Hunting Creek may be suitable for Blue Ridge sculpin reintroduction, and this could ultimately lead to sportfishing opportunities by increasing the forage base for native brook trout ( Salvelinus fontinalis ).

Maryland↗

USGS2020

Spatial and temporal trends in Potomac River fish abundance linked to species traits

Analysis of species abundance trends can inform an understanding of the underlying mechanisms. We evaluated spatial and temporal trends in fish species abundance in the non-tidal Potomac River (USA) from a dataset comprising 2841 seine-hauls with > 250,000 individual fish records across 10 sites and 43 years (1975-2017). The dataset contained 47 species from 7 taxonomic families, with species richness and abundance dominated by leuciscids, centrarchids, and percids (85% and 95% of the total dataset, respectively). We used linear modeling and bootstrapping techniques to estimate spatial and temporal trends in abundance (CPUE) for 38 species, excluding the rarest taxa (< 30 individuals). Spatial trends in abundance were detected for 22 species (58%), of which 15 were more abundant downstream than upstream and 7 were more abundant upstream than downstream. Temporal trends in abundance were detected for 25 species (66%), of which 15 increased over time and 10 decreased over time. Spatial trends were associated with reproductive life history strategies: egg-attachers and viviparous fishes generally increased in a downstream direction, whereas species with other reproductive modes and relatively short spawning durations (< ~2 months) showed the opposite spatial trend. Temporal trends were associated with reproductive guilds and range area (a surrogate for environmental tolerance): egg-attachers and nest-associates generally increased in abundance over time, whereas broadcast spawners, clean-gravel spawners, and nest-guarders with relatively small range areas (< ~ 1.2 million km2) tended to decrease over time. This study provides an analysis of one of the largest systematic collections of freshwater fishes to our knowledge and provides a framework to evaluate mechanisms underlying observed trends.

Potomac River↗