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Stuart P. Nishenko

Publications and source records attributed to Stuart P. Nishenko.

5 recordsLinked to original sources
USGS2023

High-resolution geophysical and geochronological analysis of a relict shoreface deposit offshore central California: Implications for slip rate along the Hosgri fault

The Cross-Hosgri slope is a bathymetric lineament that crosses the main strand of the Hosgri fault offshore Point Estero, central California. Recently collected chirp seismic reflection profiles and sediment cores provide the basis for a reassessment of Cross-Hosgri slope origin and the lateral slip rate of the Hosgri fault based on offset of the lower slope break of the Cross-Hosgri slope. The Cross-Hosgri slope is comprised of two distinct stratigraphic units. The lower unit (unit 1) overlies the post–Last Glacial Maximum transgressive erosion surface and is interpreted as a Younger Dryas (ca. 12.85–11.65 ka) shoreface deposit based on radiocarbon and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) ages, Bayesian age modeling, seismic facies, sediment texture, sediment infauna, and heavy mineral component. The shoreface was abandoned and partly eroded during rapid sea-level rise from ca. 11.5 to 7 ka. Unit 2 consists of fine sand and silt deposited in a midshelf environment when the rate of sea-level rise slowed between ca. 7 ka and the present. Although unit 2 provides a thin, relatively uniform cover over the lower slope break of the older shoreface, this feature still represents a valuable piercing point, providing a Hosgri fault slip rate of 2.6 ± 0.8 mm/yr. Full-waveform processing of chirp data resulted in significantly higher resolution in coarser-grained strata, which are typically difficult to interpret with more traditional envelope processing. Our novel combination of offshore radiocarbon and OSL dating is the first application to offshore paleoseismic studies, and our results indicate the utility of this approach for future marine neotectonic investigations.

California↗
USGS2023

Subaqueous clinoforms created by sandy wave-supported gravity flows: Lessons from the central California shelf

Subaqueous clinoforms are an important yet underappreciated shelf feature. Their origins are typically associated with subaerial deltas but recent work has identified similar features in settings without a significant fluvial source. These other studies have shown that such subaqueous clinoforms, also known as infralittoral prograding wedges (IPWs), are created largely by wave-induced processes. This study uses geophysical, sedimentological, and radiocarbon data to determine the sedimentary characteristics and genesis of a shore-parallel subaqueous clinoform developed far from any significant river on the central California continental shelf; a feature known locally as the Cross Hosgri Slope. Sediment cores through the feature reveal that it is composed of beds with an erosive base, followed by a thin coarsening upward sequence of shelly fine sands transitioning to a fining upward sequence marked by alternating parallel and ripple cross laminated very fine sands. The deposit is often capped by fine silts that are commonly interbedded with thin very fine sand beds. Radiocarbon dating of shells within the cores paired with seismic profiles indicate the subaqueous clinoform initiated progradation ~7 ka, nucleating on an older Younger Dryas relict shoreface. We suggest the CHS was created by winter-storm waves mobilizing sands in water depths up to ~ 70 m that transitioned into wave-supported gravity flows. The wave-supported gravity flows traveled downslope to water depths of up to ~85 m, corresponding to the foot of the subaqueous clinoform. They did not travel beyond this depth as wave influence at these depths is negligible and the shelf slope is insufficient to maintain movement of the load alone. Our work suggests that wave-supported gravity flows can entrain very fine sands and silts and build subaqueous clinoforms, even in the absence of a significant river source. Furthermore, we provide a facies model for sandy wave-supported gravity flow deposits.

California↗
USGS1999

A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities

A physically-motivated model for earthquake recurrence based on the Brownian relaxation oscillator is introduced. The renewal process defining this point process model can be described by the steady rise of a state variable from the ground state to failure threshold as modulated by Brownian motion. Failure times in this model follow the Brownian passage time (BPT) distribution, which is specified by the mean time to failure, μ, and the aperiodicity of the mean, α (equivalent to the familiar coefficient of variation). Analysis of 37 series of recurrent earthquakes, M -0.7 to 9.2, suggests a provisional generic value of α = 0.5. For this value of α, the hazard function (instantaneous failure rate of survivors) exceeds the mean rate for times > μ⁄2, and is ~ ~ 2 ⁄ μ for all times > μ. Application of this model to the next M 6 earthquake on the San Andreas fault at Parkfield, California suggests that the annual probability of the earthquake is between 1:10 and 1:13.

Open-File Report↗
USGS1997

Natural disasters: forecasting economic and life losses

Events such as hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, and tornadoes are natural disasters because they negatively impact society, and so they must be measured and understood in human-related terms. At the U.S. Geological Survey, we have developed a new method to examine fatality and dollar-loss data, and to make probabilistic estimates of the frequency and magnitude of future events. This information is vital to large sectors of society including disaster relief agencies and insurance companies.

Fact Sheet↗