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Stephan Kolzenburg

Publications and source records attributed to Stephan Kolzenburg.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Comprehensive characterization of Mauna Loa basalt rheology based on the 2022 eruption

Rheological data are crucial for the understanding of storage, transport, eruption, and emplacement of magma and lava. While viscosity estimates for lavas from Mauna Loa, the largest active volcano on Earth, exist, no direct rheological measurements have been done to date. This is especially surprising given the role Mauna Loa lavas and resulting landforms play in the interpretation of volcanic processes across our solar system and beyond. We present the first complete rheological characterization of Mauna Loa lava, based on the 2022 eruption. We constrain the melt viscosity and map the lava's rheology during crystallization at isothermal subliquidus conditions and at cooling at rates between 0.25 and 3.00 °C/minute. These experiments were performed at oxygen fugacities relevant to storage and eruption conditions at Mauna Loa (log fO 2 = -8.7). We integrate textural and thermal characteristics obtained from the experiments with those from water quenched natural samples (i.e. sampled from actively flowing lava and quenched within seconds to preserve the textural state of the lava while flowing) to reconstruct the evolution of lava rheology during emplacement. This integration suggests that the Mauna Loa lavas were emplaced at viscosities between 10 1.5 to 10 4.5 Pa s over the temperature range of 1150 – 1090 °C before entering a region of rapid viscosity increase and effective solidification caused by groundmass crystallization. We provide a detailed comparison of our data to rheological reconstructions of the 1984 eruption. The resulting rheological map can help guide physical property-based magma ascent and lava emplacement models, as well as the interpretation of flow morphologies and the conditions of formation of basaltic landforms on other planets.

Hawaii

Structured elicitation of expert judgement in real-time eruption scenarios: An exercise for Piton de la Fournaise volcano, La Réunion island

Formalised elicitation of expert judgements has been used to help tackle several problematic societal issues, including volcanic crises and pandemic threats. We present an expert elicitation exercise for Piton de la Fournaise volcano, La Réunion island, held remotely in April 2021. This involved 28 experts from nine countries who considered a hypothetical effusive eruption crisis involving a new vent opening in a high-risk area. The tele-elicitation presented several challenges, but is a promising and workable option for application to future volcanic crises. Our exercise considered an “uncommon” eruptive scenario with a vent outside the present caldera and within inhabited areas, and provided uncertainty ranges for several hazard-related questions for such a scenario (e.g. probability of eruption within a defined timeframe; elapsed time until lava flow reaches a critical location, and other hazard management issues). Our exercise indicated that such a scenario would probably present very different characteristics compared to recent eruptions, and that it is fundamental to include well-prepared expert elicitations in updated civil protection evacuation plans to improve disaster response procedures.

Volcanica

Hydrothermal alteration can result in pore pressurization and volcano instability

The collapse of a volcanic flank can be destructive and deadly. Hydrothermal alteration is common to volcanoes worldwide and is thought to promote volcano instability by decreasing rock strength. However, some laboratory studies have shown that not all alteration reduces rock strength. Our new laboratory data for altered rhyodacites from Chaos Crags (Lassen volcanic center, California, USA) show that pore- and crack-filling mineral precipitation can reduce porosity and permeability and increase strength, Young's modulus, and cohesion. A significant reduction in permeability, by as much as four orders of magnitude, will inhibit fluid circulation and create zones of high pore fluid pressure. We explored the consequences of pore fluid pressurization on volcano stability using large-scale numerical modeling. Upscaled physical and mechanical properties for hydrothermally altered rocks were used as input parameters in our modeling. Results show that a high-pore-pressure zone within a volcano increases volcano deformation and that increasing the size of this zone increases the observed deformation. Hydrothermal alteration associated with mineral precipitation, and increases to rock strength, can therefore promote pore pressurization and volcano deformation, increasing the likelihood of volcano spreading, flank collapses, and phreatic/phreatomagmatic explosions. We conclude that porosity-decreasing alteration, explored here, and porosity-increasing alteration can both promote volcano instability and collapse, but by different mechanisms. Hydrothermal alteration should therefore be monitored at volcanoes worldwide and incorporated into hazard assessments.

Geology