Geology topics

Paul Schueller

Publications and source records attributed to Paul Schueller.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2020

Use of strong habitat–abundance relationships in assessing population status of cryptic fishes: An example using the Harlequin Darter

Understanding trends in abundance is important to fisheries conservation, but techniques for estimating streamwide abundance of cryptic fishes with strong habitat–abundance relationships are not well established and need further development. We developed techniques for addressing this need using the Harlequin Darter Etheostoma histrio , a small, cryptic freshwater fish associated with submerged wood in streams. Our objectives were to (1) determine how Harlequin Darter abundance and the amount of submerged wood were related at sampled sites and (2) use this relationship to estimate Harlequin Darter abundance at unsampled sites and extrapolate Harlequin Darter abundance estimates and associated uncertainty streamwide. We conducted a mark–recapture study to estimate abundance of Harlequin Darters in 25‐m stream reaches at 24 sites in Big Escambia Creek (BEC) and 18 sites in Pine Barren Creek (PBC) (Escambia River tributaries in northwestern Florida). The number of wood pieces (submerged wood ≥1.5 m long and ≥0.25 m in circumference) in both creeks was counted and mapped using side‐scan sonar and a geographic information system. Harlequin Darter and wood data were used in a Bayesian multinomial mixture model to estimate site abundance of Harlequin Darters, to determine the relationship between wood and Harlequin Darter abundance, and to extrapolate Harlequin Darter abundance streamwide. We found a positive relationship between wood and Harlequin Darter abundance in both creeks, and there were more wood pieces in PBC than in BEC. Streamwide abundance of Harlequin Darters was greater in PBC than in BEC. The extrapolated streamwide abundance estimates were 9,369 Harlequin Darters (95% credible interval = 6,668–13,402) in PBC and 7,439 Harlequin Darters (95% credible interval = 4,493–11,226) in BEC. Our methods effectively estimated abundance of a small, cryptic fish that uses complex wood habitat. In addition, our findings may assist in the conservation of the Harlequin Darter.

Florida↗

USGS2018

Updated statewide abundance estimates for the Florida manatee

Knowing how many manatees live in Florida is critical for conservation and management of this threatened species. Martin et al. (2015) flew aerial surveys in 2011–2012 and estimated abundance in those years using advanced techniques that incorporated multiple data sources. We flew additional aerial surveys in 2015–2016 to count manatees and again applied advanced statistical techniques to estimate their abundance. We also made several methodological advances over the earlier work, including accounting for how sea state (water surface conditions) and synchronous surfacing behavior affect the availability of manatees to be detected and incorporating all parts of Florida in the area of inference. We estimate that the number of manatees in Florida in 2015–2016 was 8,810 (95% Bayesian credible interval 7,520–10,280), of which 4,810 (3,820–6,010) were on the west coast of Florida and 4,000 (3,240–4,910) were on the east coast. These estimates and associated uncertainty, in addition to being of immediate value to wildlife managers, are essential new data for incorporation into integrated population models and population viability analyses.

Florida↗

USGS2014

Robust estimates of environmental effects on population vital rates: an integrated capture–recapture model of seasonal brook trout growth, survival and movement in a stream network

Modelling the effects of environmental change on populations is a key challenge for ecologists, particularly as the pace of change increases. Currently, modelling efforts are limited by difficulties in establishing robust relationships between environmental drivers and population responses. We developed an integrated capture–recapture state-space model to estimate the effects of two key environmental drivers (stream flow and temperature) on demographic rates (body growth, movement and survival) using a long-term (11 years), high-resolution (individually tagged, sampled seasonally) data set of brook trout ( Salvelinus fontinalis ) from four sites in a stream network. Our integrated model provides an effective context within which to estimate environmental driver effects because it takes full advantage of data by estimating (latent) state values for missing observations, because it propagates uncertainty among model components and because it accounts for the major demographic rates and interactions that contribute to annual survival. We found that stream flow and temperature had strong effects on brook trout demography. Some effects, such as reduction in survival associated with low stream flow and high temperature during the summer season, were consistent across sites and age classes, suggesting that they may serve as robust indicators of vulnerability to environmental change. Other survival effects varied across ages, sites and seasons, indicating that flow and temperature may not be the primary drivers of survival in those cases. Flow and temperature also affected body growth rates; these responses were consistent across sites but differed dramatically between age classes and seasons. Finally, we found that tributary and mainstem sites responded differently to variation in flow and temperature. Annual survival (combination of survival and body growth across seasons) was insensitive to body growth and was most sensitive to flow (positive) and temperature (negative) in the summer and fall. These observations, combined with our ability to estimate the occurrence, magnitude and direction of fish movement between these habitat types, indicated that heterogeneity in response may provide a mechanism providing potential resilience to environmental change. Given that the challenges we faced in our study are likely to be common to many intensive data sets, the integrated modelling approach could be generally applicable and useful.

Journal of Animal Ecology↗