Geology topics

Neil K. Ganju

Publications and source records attributed to Neil K. Ganju.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Loss and transformation of coastal wetlands due to global change in the conterminous United States: Past, present, and future

Coastal wetlands are being transformed by global change, impacting the ecological and societal benefits provided by these ecosystems. Synthesizing knowledge of historical and expected future transformations in coastal wetlands can help inform forward-looking planning and stewardship efforts. Here, we review anticipated future ecological transformations in coastal wetlands of the conterminous United States and contrast them with past transformations. We examine trends at the national scale but focus in detail on the following six wetland-rich regions: (1) Everglades, (2) Mississippi River delta, (3) Chesapeake Bay, (4) San Francisco Estuary, (5) Puget Sound, and (6) Great Lakes. This review is among the first to integrate and compare coastal wetland transformations in the Great Lakes with their oceanic counterparts. Between 1850 and 1970, wetland losses across the nation were high because coastal wetlands were viewed as flooded wastelands needing to be drained, filled, or excavated to make room for other land uses. Over the last 50 years, growing public and scientific appreciation of the ecological and societal benefits provided by coastal wetlands has fostered tremendous gains in wetland restoration and legal protection. Looking to the future, climate change and accelerated sea-level rise have become critical threats to coastal wetlands and are emerging as major drivers of ecological loss and transformation. This review synthesizes regional knowledge regarding past, present, and future changes to help coastal scientists, environmental managers, and the public better anticipate and prepare for future coastal wetland transformations due to climate change, accelerated sea-level rise, land-use change, and other aspects of global change.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2026

Salt marsh establishment controlled by sediment availability, landscape position, and anthropogenic history

Anthropogenic actions have directly and indirectly modulated salt marsh extent globally. For example, direct actions such as draining and filling of marshes for agriculture were common before the early 20th century, while development on barrier islands has indirectly reduced the capacity of back-barrier marshes to evolve in response to coastal processes. Similarly, restoration efforts span a spectrum between direct actions such as hydrologic reconnection and sediment placement to indirect actions such as shoreline protection and facilitation of upland migration. With a combination of remote sensing and synoptic in-situ observations, we demonstrate that the vegetative establishment of two disparate salt marsh complexes are strongly linked to their access to external sediment supply, position in the coastal landscape, and anthropogenic history. A marsh complex fringing Delaware Bay, in a former agricultural reclamation area, was directly modified through re-introduction of tidal forcing; vegetative establishment occurred rapidly (3% y −1 increase in vegetative cover) due to a high flood-ebb suspended sediment differential (+32 mg l −1 ), indicating sediment import. The other marsh complex, behind a sand spit fronting the Atlantic Ocean, vegetated indirectly in response to updrift beach nourishment which provided a sheltered environment for expansion. The lower suspended sediment differential (+1.3 mg l −1 ) led to a slower vegetation establishment rate (1.7% y −1 ). The directly modified and restored complex responded more rapidly than the indirectly modified and restored complex due to sediment availability. Direct restoration may be more rapid than indirect methods, and reversing anthropogenic impacts is possible on relatively short timescales, if sufficient external sediment supply exists. Siting of restoration projects can therefore leverage external forcing to accelerate recovery and enhance resilience. In light of ongoing coastal transgression, these examples also demonstrate a potential difference in return-on-restoration-investment between back-barrier marshes undergoing coastal squeeze and estuarine fringing marshes that are naturally transgressing across the coastal landscape.

New Jersey↗

USGS2026

Spatial heterogeneity of salt marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise: Dual controls of hydrological setting and salinity regime

Salt marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise (SLR) is typically assessed using point measurements of vertical accretion, neglecting three-dimensionality of geomorphic evolution and spatial variability. Recent studies suggest links between vertical and horizontal vulnerability, with differences between oligohaline and polyhaline marshes, yet these relationships remain untested in estuary-marsh systems. Here we combine geospatial analysis with hydrodynamic modeling to evaluate how unvegetated/vegetated marsh ratio (UVVR), a metric of marsh degradation, relates to elevation across hydrological regions and salinity regimes in the Albemarle-Pamlico Estuarine System, the largest lagoonal estuary in U.S. We show that at given normalized elevation, UVVR decreases across hydrological regions and salinity regimes from offshore to inland. UVVR-elevation relationship varies systematically with both hydrological setting and salinity regime, with hydrology exerting stronger influence. These findings challenge the assumption of a universal marsh deterioration trajectory and underscore the need to account for spatial heterogeneity when predicting responses to SLR.

North Carolina↗

USGS2026

Pre-restoration sediment budget of a tidally restricted estuary reveals potential for landward transport

Unnatural tidal restrictions are common features in estuaries, often arising from agricultural practices, road construction, or drainage activities. Restrictions tend to attenuate tides landward of the structure but can induce more complex effects in the seaward direction, including modification of natural geomorphic processes. The Herring River Estuary is the site of the largest salt marsh restoration effort in the northeast United States. We deployed a suite of instruments over one year to identify the role of tidal and atmospheric processes on sediment dynamics. We find 6.2·10 6 kg yr -1 of sediment is exported from the system through its only channel; this seaward-directed flux indicates that the seaward Wellfleet Harbor is not a sediment source for the Herring River Estuary. The sediment floodebb differential is landward above the tidal restriction, producing a divergent, transgressive embayment. The mudflats are the primary source of this sediment, eroding at rates of 0.1 and 5.3 cm yr -1 at the shallow and deep stations, respectively. Sediment is resuspended on the mudflats during wind events and exported from the system when landward-directed winds produced a seaward return flow. Ebb-dominated tides also yield net sediment export during calm periods. Once the tidal restriction is removed, the areas landward of the restriction may become a large sediment sink. It is possible that sediment from the embayment between the mouth and the restriction begins to move landward rather than seaward, but it is unlikely that Wellfleet Harbor would supply additional sediment. Therefore, as the subsided salt marshes landward of the tidal restriction begin to accrete sediment, it would most likely come at the expense of the seaward channel bottoms, mudflats, and salt marsh shorelines described in this study. In partitioning the sediment budget to geomorphic processes, this work presents a significant advance in the understanding of the linkage between a tidally restricted estuary and its seaward embayment. As tidal restriction removal becomes a more common restoration practice, the understanding of pre-removal baseline conditions becomes important for developing conceptual models of post-removal geomorphic evolution.

Massachusetts↗

USGS2026

Challenges and opportunities for national-scale projections of future coastal landscape change

Local to global scale projections of future coastal landscape change are essential to improve land and resource management decisions that aim to prepare for and reduce risk exposure to impending coastal hazards. However, the availability of actionable knowledge is often limited due to the complexity of drivers of change, their consequences, and uncertainties that span disciplines. Varying spatial and temporal scales of physical processes that occur on landscapes with differing levels of coastal development and modification complicate decision-making. This paper reviews advances in observational approaches, modeling, and quantification of uncertainty to support the next generation of coastal change projections. We also highlight transdisciplinary opportunities for making this information more accessible and useful to support decision-making in the coastal zone. This includes consideration of different levels of user engagement to address specific needs, as well as resources and mechanisms that can support knowledge transfer broadly. A central recommendation is the development of a coordinated framework to support research integration including three components: accounting for relevant drivers, processes, and feedbacks; working with users to identify their information needs; and generating meaningful projections and uncertainty. Actions that would support such frameworks include the evaluation of models through coordinated research approaches and multi-model comparisons; ongoing investments in observations and data-driven approaches necessary to understand this complex environment; expansion of modeling capabilities using novel techniques; prioritization of co-development efforts between researchers and users; and continued training and support for transdisciplinary research.

Alaska, California, Florida, New York↗

USGS2026

A multidecadal metric of coastal wetland stability: Development of the Landsat-based UnVegetated-to-Vegetated Ratio (UVVR) version 2 spanning 1985-2022

The UnVegetated-to-Vegetated Ratio (UVVR) is a well-established metric of wetland condition, identifying stable wetlands with high vegetation cover and low vegetation cover wetlands prone to loss, informing research and management efforts in the coastal zone. In this study, we document the development and release of version 2 of UVVR (UVVR v2 ) for the coastal conterminous United States. UVVR v2 was derived from Landsat Collection-2 satellite imagery providing increased image consistency and geolocation accuracy. We describe several UVVR v2 updates including expanding the product record from 2014–2018 to 1985–2022 and improved calibration of spectral indices used to estimate fractional cover. We validated UVVR v2 and UVVR v1 against the MODIS Vegetation Continuous Field (VCF) products and demonstrate that UVVR v2 agrees well with VCF vegetation cover across the Atlantic, Gulf, and Pacific Coasts, with R 2 > 0.82 and root mean square errors (RMSEs) < 0.18 over five years. Relative to the UVVR v1 , UVVR v2 showed increases in R 2 > 0.29 and reductions in RMSEs > 0.12. Moving beyond metric development, we present several examples of UVVR v2 applications including multidecadal vegetation cover trend maps for various coastal wetland systems. Our findings demonstrate an increased ability to characterize wetland condition with Landsat Collection-2 imagery, and indicate that upcoming missions (e.g., Landsat Next) could result in further characterization improvements. Overall, UVVR v2 helps advance coastal wetlands monitoring and management efforts due to increased accuracy and longer period-of-record.

conterminous United States↗

USGS2025

Marine-sourced sediment supply supports salt marsh resilience to sea level rise in the Northeastern US

Salt marshes rely on sediment to maintain elevation and resist sea level rise (SLR). While riverine sediment is well studied, marine-sourced sediment remains understudied, particularly in regions with limited river input. We examined the influence of marine-sourced sediment on salt marsh stability across 103 sites in the Northeastern US, using a new satellite-derived suspended sediment concentration (SSC) product. Marsh vulnerability was assessed using the Unvegetated-to-Vegetated Ratio (UVVR) and relative marsh elevation (Z*). We identified two thresholds: SSC >20 mg/L and RSLR <5.2 mm/year. Marshes meeting either threshold tended to remain intact, while those with both low SSC and high RSLR were more vulnerable to degradation. A north–south gradient was observed, with most unstable marshes in the southern region, where SSC declined by 0.9% per decade on average, compared to 0.072% in the north. These findings highlight the need to include coastal sediment dynamics in restoration and adaptation planning.

Northeastern United States↗

USGS2025

Using multiple lines of evidence to evaluate spatio‐temporal trends in nitrogen loading to a eutrophic estuary

Nitrogen (N) pollution in groundwater in coastal watersheds can have negative impacts on the health of estuaries. West Falmouth Harbor, a shallow lagoon on Cape Cod, MA, USA, has experienced a marked increase in N load since the 1990s due to input from a groundwater aquifer contaminated by a municipal wastewater treatment facility. As part of a broader, long-term research effort to understand the changes to the ecosystem associated with this N input, this study takes an integrative approach at quantifying groundwater N load to the estuary from 1985 through 2024 by combining traditional groundwater well sampling with a wintertime open water mixing model. The latter gives a robust spatially averaged nitrate concentration in discharged groundwater, supplementing the spatial and temporal patterns from the well data. We calculate a conservative estimate for the mean N load to West Falmouth Harbor during peak loading years (2008–2013) of 3.1 mmol m−2 d−1. This then decreased by approximately 25% by 2024 as a result of wastewater treatment improvements and should continue to decline over the next decade. The long-term trends observed in the groundwater well network complement the open water sampling, providing confidence in the accuracy of the latter approach and allowing us to interpolate an estimate of N loading to West Falmouth Harbor back to 1985. This integrative approach to evaluating groundwater inputs to this ecosystem dramatically improves our ability to quantify total N load and can be a powerful tool for studies in groundwater-fed lagoonal estuaries with a short residence time.

Massachusetts↗

USGS2025

Wind pumping dominates landward salt transport in a weakly tidal estuary

In tidally energetic estuaries, salinity dynamics vary with tidal forcing as well as factors such as river discharge and bathymetry. However, in weakly tidal estuaries, mechanisms governing salt transport remain poorly understood. Here, we investigate salt transport processes in a weakly tidal estuary, Albemarle Sound on the U.S. East Coast, using a deterministic numerical model. In 2022, the volume averaged salinity of Albemarle Sound ranged from ∼2 to 10 psu. Although seasonal river discharge typically induces gradual salinity changes of less than 1 psu per month, four wind events caused sharp salinity increases of 1–2 psu within just a few days. We find that wind pumping, defined as the net salt transport due to temporal correlations between velocity and salinity associated with wind events, is the dominant mechanism contributing to these episodic increases in volume averaged salinity. In Albemarle Sound, wind pumping operates on timescales of several days, which is longer than the tidal timescale, and occurs intermittently throughout the year rather than following a regular repetitive pattern. Our analysis suggests that salt transport by wind pumping is typically an order of magnitude larger than by gravitational circulation and serves as the primary mechanism balancing salt loss from river flow. Isolating wind pumping requires averaging over variability of multiple days, longer than typical tidal averaging. Wind pumping likely also controls material exchange with coastal ocean, influencing biogeochemical processes in the estuary. This mechanism may be important in other systems with similar characteristics, particularly in coastal lagoons with multiple subembayments.

North Carolina↗

USGS2025

A simple predictive model for salt marsh internal deterioration under sea-level rise and sediment deficits: Application to Chesapeake Bay

Salt marshes are dynamic biogeomorphic systems reliant on autochthonous and allochthonous input to maintain their three-dimensional configuration. Sea-level rise, subsidence, and sediment deficits can lead to submergence, open-water expansion, and ultimately loss of the vegetated marsh plain and associated ecosystem services. Widely used management-focused models focus on vegetation zonation in response to sea level but neglect sediment transport processes and geomorphic change. Process-based research models attempt to represent complex physical and biogeomorphic interactions but operate on spatiotemporal scales that are not directly transferable to restoration or management. Here we bridge these two paradigms and present a novel geomorphic model (UBMorph) based on the sediment-based lifespan concept that accounts for sea-level rise and open-water expansion to predict changes in salt marsh area in Chesapeake Bay. Model parameters such as surface accretion rate and elevation-to-areal loss fraction are selected using a separate, fully coupled biogeomorphic model (MarshMorpho2D) and the predicted lifespan is then compared with high marsh coverage from a zonation model (SLAMM). Across all of Chesapeake Bay, UBMorph estimates an overall loss of 404 km 2 (37%) of vegetated marsh area under a dynamic 3–12 mm/y sea-level rise scenario (between 2010 and 2110). We then demonstrate a management-focused application of UBMorph and SLAMM used in tandem, for developing both a marsh condition and restoration model of the Chesapeake Bay portion of Maryland. The restoration model, which includes hydrologic intervention and sediment placement actions, indicates that ~ 400 km 2 of marsh require either no intervention or low effort hydrologic intervention presently, whereas if no action is taken, over 700 km 2 will require high effort intervention by 2070. This synthesis of research models with management-focused decision models demonstrates a tangible advance in bridging the gap between process-based research and restoration needs.

Maryland, Virginia↗

USGS2025

Multi-model comparison of salt marsh longevity under relative sea-level rise

Understanding salt marsh resilience under increasing sea levels can inform for management decisions. We compared temporal projections from various wetland process-based models and a geospatially derived metric (i.e., marsh lifespan) to understand key considerations and uncertainties about salt marsh resilience when using these products for decision-making. The influences of lidar topographic correction and marsh surface sediment accretion were explored across a suite of relative sea level rise (RSLR) projections to assess differences in the timing and amount of habitat change for each modeling approach. All models were run for a small coastal wetland site located in the Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, USA, to assess potential change in marsh habitat, and timing of marsh loss due to RSLR. All modeling results agreed that marsh longevity was threatened by RSLR but they varied in the time of predicted marsh submergence between the years 2070 and 2100 depending on the initial marsh surface elevation and accretion rates. Models with similar accretion rates predicted similar years until marsh submergence. Removing a positive elevation bias from lidar surveys in densely vegetated marsh areas for these models resulted in onset of submergence ~ 7 years earlier. Because there are many tradeoffs to each model type, end users need to evaluate management questions, overall goals, the amount of effort involved in model parameterization, and the amount of uncertainty in the model that they are willing to accept.

Maryland↗

USGS2025

Ecological thresholds and transformations due to climate change: The role of abiotic stress

An ecological threshold is the point at which a comparatively small environmental change triggers an abrupt and disproportionately large ecological response. In the face of accelerating climate change, there is concern that abrupt ecosystem transformations will become more widespread as critical ecological thresholds are crossed. There has been ongoing debate, however, regarding the prevalence of ecological thresholds across the natural world. While ecological thresholds are ubiquitous in some ecosystems, thresholds have been difficult to detect in others. Some studies have even concluded that threshold responses are uncommon in the natural world and overly emphasized in the ecological literature. As ecologists who work in ecosystems chronically exposed to high abiotic stress, we consider ecological thresholds and ecosystem transformations to be critical concepts that can greatly advance understanding of ecological responses to climate change and inform ecosystem management. But quantifying ecological thresholds can be challenging, if not impossible, without data that are strategically collected for that purpose. Here, we present a conceptual framework built upon linkages between abiotic stress, climate-driven ecological threshold responses, and the risk of ecosystem transformation. We also present a simple approach for quantifying ecological thresholds across abiotic stress gradients. We hypothesize that climate-driven threshold responses are especially influential in ecosystems chronically exposed to high abiotic stress, where autotroph diversity is low and foundation species play a prominent ecological role. Abiotic conditions in these environments are often near physiological tolerance limits of foundation species, which means that small abiotic changes can trigger landscape-level ecological transformations. Conversely, the alleviation of stress near thresholds can allow foundation species to thrive and spread into previously inhospitable locations. We provide examples of this climate-driven threshold behavior from four high-stress environments: coastal wetlands, coral reefs, drylands, and alpine ecosystems. Our overarching aim in this review is to clarify the strong relationships between abiotic stress, climate-driven ecological thresholds, and the risk of ecosystem transformation under climate change.

Ecosphere↗

USGS2025

Distribution and disturbances of ditches across salt marshes of the Northeast U.S. with implications for management and restoration

Effective management of valuable coastal systems, such as salt marshes requires an understanding of the complex stressors influencing their continued threat of drowning. However, efforts to determine the effects of one potential stressor, ditches, have produced diverging results complicating management efforts. Ditches (linear trenches dug to drain salt marshes for agriculture and mosquito control) alter salt marsh hydrology, but their effects on widescale marsh function and degradation are poorly understood. We created a dataset of visible ditches and summarized ditch densities (length of ditches over area) for salt marshes of the Northeast U.S. to evaluate ditching against vulnerability metrics, including elevation and the unvegetated to vegetated marsh ratio (UVVR). We identified a scale dependency in which the larger/coarser the spatial scale of analysis, the greater the fraction of ditched salt marshes. Scale dependence explains discrepancies between previously determined ditch indices. In terms of effects on marsh vulnerability, relative elevation was not influenced by visible ditch presence. Ditch densities affected UVVR, exhibiting a multiple threshold behavior. When present at low densities, ditches have little effect on ponding; yet as ditch densities increase, UVVR (i.e., ponding) increases. The relationship between ditching and UVVR reverses at the highest ditch densities, with ponding substantially decreasing. The multiple threshold vulnerability response of Northeast salt marshes to the hydrologic influences imposed by ditching suggests restoration strategies should consider the degree of ditching rather than simply ditching presence.

Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachuse↗

USGS2024

Sensitivity analysis of a dynamic vegetation-sediment transport model using equadratures: Exploring inorganic accretion on a marsh platform

Salt marsh systems require a net import of inorganic sediment to maintain their structure in response to sea‐level rise. Marshes are affected by physical processes including tides, waves, sediment transport, and the influence of vegetation, and these processes interact in complex ways leading to sediment accretion or erosion. We implement a 3‐D hydrodynamic sediment transport model in an idealized marsh‐bay complex with a gently sloping edge, and use it as a laboratory to explore the processes leading to bed elevation change through the bay‐marsh continuum. We use the novel equadratures method for efficient sensitivity analysis to test the roles of wave, vegetation, and sediment parameters on wave dissipation, bed shear stress, sediment fluxes, and deposition and erosion across a transect spanning bay shallows to the marsh. Within the explored bounds of parameter uncertainty, significant wave height ( H sig ), settling velocity ( w s ), and critical shear stress (τ crit ) most strongly affect accretion on the marsh platform. Deposition is affected more by parameter‐parameter interactions, that is, both τ crit and w s or both H sig and w s , than by a single parameter varying alone. The sediment that accretes on the marsh platform originates beyond the marsh edge, indicating that the dynamics of the adjacent mudflat are important for predicting the fate of the marsh. Applying efficient sensitivity analysis techniques can empower process‐based models to test more parameters, larger ranges, and longer timeframes, enabling future predictions of marsh response to sea‐level rise based on physical processes

California↗

USGS2024

Hydroacoustic observations reveal drivers of mixing and salinization of a karst subterranean estuary during intense precipitation

Karst subterranean estuaries within globally ubiquitous carbonate aquifers are coastal groundwater ecosystems that provide an essential water resource for human populations. To understand the drivers of salinization within a coastal aquifer in the Yucatan Peninsula (Mexico), we employed hydroacoustics in flooded caves to observe how oceanic and atmospheric events facilitate mixing between the meteoric lens (fresh-brackish groundwater) and the saline groundwater on tidal and episodic timescales. Precipitation during Tropical Storm Carlotta increased the flow and salinity of the meteoric lens without evidence for vertical mixing across the halocline. We postulate that vertical migration of haloclines in the conduit relative to those within the rock matrix during precipitation creates lateral density gradients that drive mixing, and ultimately creates a brackish layer within the meteoric lens. These results provide a mechanistic explanation for vertical and lateral exchange in a coastal carbonate aquifer, which has implications for groundwater response to future climatic change.

Ox Bel Ha cave system, Yucatan peninsula↗

USGS2024

Calculation of a suspended-sediment concentration-turbidity regression model and flood-ebb suspended-sediment concentration differentials from marshes near Stone Harbor and Thompsons Beach, New Jersey, 2018–19 and 2022–23

The U.S. Geological Survey collected water velocity and water quality data from salt marshes in Great Channel, southwest of Stone Harbor, New Jersey, and near Thompsons Beach, New Jersey, to evaluate restoration effectiveness after Hurricane Sandy and monitor postrestoration marsh health. Time series data of turbidity and water velocity were collected from 2018 to 2019 and 2022 to 2023 at both sites. Water samples were collected and analyzed for suspended-sediment concentration (SSC), which was used to derive a regression model to estimate a time series of SSC data from turbidity data. The SSC time series data were then combined with the water velocity data to calculate the flood-ebb SSC differential. This report presents the data collection methods, the repeated median regression model used to estimate SSC from turbidity, and the flood-ebb SSC differential calculations.

New Jersey↗

USGS2023

Biophysical drivers of coastal treeline elevation

Sea level rise is leading to the rapid migration of marshes into coastal forests and other terrestrial ecosystems. Although complex biophysical interactions likely govern these ecosystem transitions, projections of sea level driven land conversion commonly rely on a simplified “threshold elevation” that represents the elevation of the marsh-upland boundary based on tidal datums alone. To determine the influence of biophysical drivers on threshold elevations, and their implication for land conversion, we examined almost 100,000 high-resolution marsh-forest boundary elevation points, determined independently from tidal datums, alongside hydrologic, ecologic, and geomorphic data in the Chesapeake Bay, the largest estuary in the U.S. located along the mid-Atlantic coast. We find five-fold variations in threshold elevation across the entire estuary, driven not only by tidal range, but also salinity and slope. However, more than half of the variability is unexplained by these variables, which we attribute largely to uncaptured local factors including groundwater discharge, microtopography, and anthropogenic impacts. In the Chesapeake Bay, observed threshold elevations deviate from predicted elevations used to determine sea level driven land conversion by as much as the amount of projected regional sea level rise by 2050. These results suggest that local drivers strongly mediate coastal ecosystem transitions, and that predictions based on elevation and tidal datums alone may misrepresent future land conversion.

Delaware, Maryland, Virginia↗

USGS2023

Using geospatial analysis to guide marsh restoration in Chesapeake Bay and beyond

Coastal managers are facing imminent decisions regarding the fate of coastal wetlands, given ongoing threats to their persistence. There is a need for objective methods to identify which wetland parcels are candidates for restoration, monitoring, protection, or acquisition due to limited resources and restoration techniques. Here, we describe a new spatially comprehensive data set for Chesapeake Bay salt marshes, which includes the unvegetated-vegetated marsh ratio, elevation metrics, and sediment-based lifespan. Spatial aggregation across regions of the Bay shows a trend of increasing deterioration with proximity to the seaward boundary, coherent with conceptual models of coastal landscape response to sea-level rise. On a smaller scale, the signature of deterioration is highly variable within subsections of the Bay: fringing, peninsular, and tidal river marsh complexes each exhibit different spatial patterns with regards to proximity to the seaward edge. We then demonstrate objective methods to use these data for mapping potential management options on to the landscape, and then provide methods to estimate lifespan and potential changes in lifespan in response to restoration actions as well as future sea level rise. We account for actions that aim to increase sediment inventories, revegetate barren areas, restore hydrology, and facilitate salt marsh migration into upland areas. The distillation of robust geospatial data into simple decision-making metrics, as well as the use of those metrics to map decisions on the landscape, represents an important step towards science-based coastal management.

Chesapeake Bay area↗