Geology topics

Mary Anne Evans

Publications and source records attributed to Mary Anne Evans.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2025

River-to-lake transitional areas contribute disproportionately to in-lake nutrient loading

River-to-lake transitional areas are biogeochemically active sections of the aquatic continuum that are often understudied compared to their adjoining environments. Internal nutrient loading from river-to-lake transitional areas may be a considerable source of nutrients to lakes and if overlooked disconnect upstream management initiatives from in-lake improvements. To contextualize internal nutrient loading by river-to-lake sediments, we conducted sediment core incubations and nutrient assays at 3 time points over a field season from a major contributing tributary of Lake Erie. Using statistical and spatial interpolation models, we upscaled internal nitrogen and phosphorus loading rates across the highly impaired mouth of the Maumee River, which drains into the western basin of Lake Erie. We found that internal nutrient dynamics in this river-to-lake transitional area were regulated by spatial differences in the physical composition and nutrient and organic matter contents of sediments. The Maumee river-to-lake transitional area was largely a source of phosphorus and ammonium nitrogen and a sink of nitrate nitrogen through high denitrification rates. Yet, we observed substantial temporal variation whereby internal nutrient loading was greatest in late summer coinciding with near-zero denitrification. Sediments at this time could contribute an additional ~17% more soluble reactive phosphorus and ~3% more total kjeldahl nitrogen in the bioavailable ammonium nitrogen fraction relative to the daily external nutrient load. High internal nutrient loading rates compared to more offshore areas in western Lake Erie suggest that this degraded river-to-lake transitional area has a disproportional biogeochemical significance and a high potential to contribute to nearshore water quality issues.

Ohio↗

USGS2025

Synthetic microfibers are ubiquitous in benthic algae from the Laurentian Great Lakes

Synthetic microfibers are a class of microplastics routinely released into environmental media from domestic laundry and wastewater treatment plant effluent. Areas of high human population density discharge immense amounts of synthetic microfibers that pollute and accumulate in sediments, surface waters, algae, and other parts of the ecosystem. Synthetic microfibers are abundant in the Laurentian Great Lakes of North America, but their movement and fate are not well understood. Macroalgae effectively sequester microfibers; however, it is unknown if quantities of synthetic microfibers differ in benthic algae of the Great Lakes based on human population density or algal type (such as Cladophora or charophytes). Presented here is a 4-year study that investigated benthic algae samples from four of the Laurentian Great Lakes: Lakes Michigan, Huron, Ontario, and Erie. Synthetic microfibers were isolated and quantified in the algal samples, and values were analyzed with respect to algal type, lake, and population density. The average estimated number of synthetic microfibers per kg (dry weight) of benthic algae in each lake ranged from 1.6 × 10 4 to 2.0 × 10 4 . Microscopic analysis suggested a possible interaction between epiphytic diatoms and benthic macroalgae ( Cladophora ), which may help to explain the ability of the algae to sequester microfibers regardless of algal type. The results also suggest a lack of correlation between human population density and number of synthetic microfibers in benthic algae, which could imply facile movement and distribution of microfibers in large bodies of water, that includes the aquatic food web of macroinvertebrates and fish communities.

Lake Erie, Lake Huron, Lake Michigan, lake Ontario↗

USGS2024

An assessment of N, P, Fe, Zn, Ni and Mo limitation on suspended nutrient diffusing substrates in nearshore areas of Lake Michigan and Lake Erie

In large lakes, metal availability sometimes limits the acquisition of nutrients (nitrogen, N and phosphorus, P) in offshore waters that are relatively isolated from tributaries and sediments. We hypothesize that metals may also be important within harmful algal blooms (HABs). HABs occur where nutrient loads are elevated, but bioassays often indicate that phytoplankton in HABs are N or P limited. Nutrient limitation may be exacerbated by corresponding limitations in several metals (i.e. nickel - Ni, molybdenum - Mo, zinc - Zn, and iron - Fe) that facilitate uptake and transformation of oxidized and organic forms of nutrients, such as urea, nitrate and organic phosphorus. The cyanotoxin microcystin has been hypothesized to have a role in metal management, so metal demand may also influence the toxicity of HABs. Here, we used nutrient diffusing substrates to measure how N, P, Ni, Mo, Zn and Fe amendments influenced the growth and toxicity of periphyton. Periphyton was grown suspended in 10 nearshore sites in Lake Michigan and Lake Erie (5 with and 5 without perennial HABs). Outside of blooms, we found no evidence for metal limitation or co-limitation. However, evidence for metal co-limitation was observed in two HABs sites (Zn in Green Bay and Zn, Mo, Ni and Fe in Sandusky Bay). N, P and Zn amendments all stimulated microcystin content in Maumee Bay. These data indicate that nutrient limitation occurs even within blooms, and the availability of metals may have an influence on growth, community composition and toxicity.

Lake Michigan, Lake Erie↗

USGS2024

Comparison of sediment and water column nutrient processing rates in agricultural streams of contrasting buffer land use

Watershed nutrient management often focuses on actions that reduce the movement of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) from agricultural lands into streams. One area of management focus is the buffer of land adjacent to streams. Wetlands and forests in this buffer can intercept and retain N and P from the landscape. In addition to directly intercepting agricultural nutrients, natural habitats in the buffer can alter stream geomorphology and influence the in-stream processing and transformation of N and P to less labile and mobile forms. Here, we assess the influence of buffer land cover on in-stream processing of N and P. We measured nutrient dynamics in the water column and sediments of agricultural streams in the Fox River and Duck Creek watersheds (WI, USA) during the growing season. In these streams, water column processing was low, possibly due to a lack of primary producers in the water column. Water column P processing was weakly associated with wetland land cover in the buffer, but buffer land cover had no clear effect on inorganic N processing. On the other hand, sediments were almost always a source of inorganic P and a sink for inorganic N. Sediment P release was higher in streams with more agricultural land cover in the buffer. Sediments in streams with agricultural land cover in the buffer also removed more nitrate, even after accounting for the greater availability of nitrate in those streams. The buffer land cover conditions we quantified occupy a very small portion of the overall watershed (100 m wide, for 1 km upstream of the study site) but nevertheless appear to influence in-stream cycling of N and P. For P management, reducing agricultural land cover in buffers is already a priority due to the ability of wetlands and forests to intercept nutrients, but this study suggests there may be some additional benefit due to changes in in-stream P processing.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2023

Role of trace metal co-limitation in cyanobacterial blooms of Maumee Bay (Lake Erie) and Green Bay (Lake Michigan)

The open waters of large lakes can sometimes become so depleted in important metals that phytoplankton communities become either growth limited or limited in some metabolic function. Metals such as Fe, Ni, Mo, and Zn are used as co-factors for enzymes by phytoplankton in core metabolic functions, as well as metabolic pathways that allow phytoplankton to use less preferred forms of N and P (e.g. nitrates, urea, and organic phosphorus). In the Laurentian Great Lakes, metal limitation has been observed primarily in waters that are isolated from tributary inputs and sediment exchange. These are situations where the supply of metals is very low relative to demand. We hypothesized that another situation where metal limitation could occur is within algal blooms, where the demand for metals is high because preferred forms of N and P are often low or absent and the phytoplankton biomass is extremely high. As a preliminary test of this hypothesis, we performed seven laboratory incubation experiments on naturally occurring phytoplankton communities from two nearshore habitats that frequently experience blooms (Green Bay in Lake Michigan and Maumee Bay in Lake Erie). Metals and labile nutrients (inorganic N and P) were often present at low concentrations or below the method detection limit. Amendments of inorganic N (5 experiments) and P (1 one experiment) resulted in increased chlorophyll in laboratory incubations, but metal amendments alone never appeared to stimulate growth. Although we attempted to sample during conditions when we hypothesized metal limitation would be most likely, we cannot rule out the possibility that metal limitation is occurring at other times in these eutrophic nearshore areas. Further, metal availability could affect other aspects of the phytoplankton community, such as the production of cyanotoxins or the interactions between different phytoplankton taxa.

Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin↗

USGS2023

Dissolved organic matter transformations in a freshwater rivermouth

River-to-lake transitional areas are biogeochemically active ecosystems that can alter the amount and composition of dissolved organic matter (DOM) as it moves through the aquatic continuum. However, few studies have directly measured carbon processing and assessed the carbon budget of freshwater rivermouths. We compiled measurements of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and DOM in several water column (light and dark) and sediment incubation experiments conducted in the mouth of the Fox river (Fox rivermouth) upstream from Green Bay, Lake Michigan. Despite variation in the direction of DOC fluxes from sediments, we found that the Fox rivermouth was a net sink of DOC where water column DOC mineralization outweighed the release of DOC from sediments at the rivermouth scale. Although we found DOM composition also changed during our experiments, alterations in DOM optical properties were largely independent of the direction of sediment DOC fluxes. We found a consistent decrease in humic-like and fulvic-like terrestrial DOM and a consistent increase in the overall microbial composition of rivermouth DOM during our incubations. Moreover, greater ambient total dissolved phosphorus concentrations were positively associated with the consumption of terrestrial humic-like, microbial protein-like, and more recently derived DOM but had no effect on bulk DOC in the water column. Unexplained variation indicates that other environmental controls and water column processes affect the processing of DOM in this rivermouth. Nonetheless, the Fox rivermouth appears capable of substantial DOM transformation with implications for the composition of DOM entering Lake Michigan.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2022

Biofouling of a unionid mussel by dreissenid mussels in nearshore zones of the Great Lakes

In North America, native unionid mussels are imperiled due to factors such as habitat degradation, pollution, and invasive species. One of the most substantial threats is that posed by dreissenid mussels, which are invasive mussels that attach to hard substrates including unionid shells and can restrict movement and feeding of unionids. This dreissenid mussel biofouling of unionids varies spatially in large ecosystems, such as the Great Lakes, with some areas having low enough biofouling to form effective refugia where unionid mussels might persist. Here, we measured biofouling on mussels suspended in cages over the growing season (generally first week in June to last week of August) over 3 years in nearshore areas in Lake Erie (2014–2016), Lake Michigan (Grand Traverse Bay, 2015 and Green Bay, 2016), and Lake Huron (2015). Biofouling varied substantially by years within Lake Erie, with increasingly higher biofouling rates each year. Although dreissenid mussels are present throughout these lakes, we observed very low biofouling in Grand Traverse Bay (Lake Michigan) and Saginaw Bay (Lake Huron), with no dreissenid mussels in 8 of 9 sites across these two bays. Sampling in the rivermouth of the Fox River (Wisconsin) and the Maumee River (Ohio) both showed very high biofouling in areas adjacent to the outlet of these tributaries into Green Bay and Maumee Bay (Lake Erie), respectively. These watersheds are dominated by agriculture, and we would expect high growth of primary producers (i.e., mussel food) and primary consumers (unionids and zebra mussels) in these areas compared to the other sampled bays or the open waters of the Great Lakes.

Michigan, Wisconsin↗

USGS2022

Corrigendum: Associations between cyanobacteria and indices of secondary production in the western basin of Lake Erie

In the last year, we became aware that data used in our above-referenced manuscript from 2018 published in Limnology and Oceanography contained significant errors. In the 2018 manuscript, we found that indices of secondary production were negatively correlated to indices of cyanobacterial abundance and toxicity. Unfortunately, one of our indices of cyanobacterial abundance (biovolume) and our measurement of toxicity (microcystin concentration) were inaccurate in the data we used in the 2018 manuscript. Upon discovering these errors, we immediately began correcting the repositories where these data were available. Having corrected those data repositories, we are now reporting on the re-analysis of the data using the methods previously described in the 2018 manuscript. Although the relationships are slightly different, our interpretation is that the conclusions of the 2018 manuscript are still valid using the corrected data. The data errors we experienced were traced to a spreadsheet that was used to share data among the research team, which had errors caused by mistakes in copy-pasting formulas instead of data and ‘inadvertent’ edits that were saved by the spreadsheet's auto-save function. We apologize to the scientific community for these errors.

Lake Erie↗

USGS2022

Sub-indicator: Cladophora

Every three years the Great Lakes Executive Committee reports on the status of the Great Lakes' ecosystem based on 9 indicators and several sub-indicators. This sub-indicator technical report supports assessment of the Nutrients and Algae Indicator by evaluating the status of Cladophora and other benthic algae that can grow to nuisance levels. Based on established criteria, the overall status for Cladophora was poor, indicating overabundance. The status was also poor for Lakes Michigan, Erie, and Ontario; but fair for Lake Huron and good for Lake Superior.

Great Lakes↗

USGS2021

Episodic nutrient addition affects water column nutrient processing rates in river-to-lake transitional zones

Storm-driven nutrient loading from tributaries can fuel eutrophication in nearshore and open water areas of lentic ecosystems. However, nutrient processing in river-to-lake transitional zones can substantially alter the amount and composition of nutrients transported to lakes from upstream surface waters. We measured the removal of nutrients and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from the water column in the Fox rivermouth (Green Bay, Lake Michigan) to evaluate the response of rivermouth plankton to episodic nutrient enrichment. Light and dark water column incubations (8–12 hr) were conducted on four occasions from April through September to measure changes in dissolved nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and DOC concentrations in three locations along the Fox rivermouth. Two incubation experiments were conducted on consecutive days, (a) under ambient nutrient concentrations, and (b) under experimentally enriched N and P concentrations. Spatial and temporal variation was observed in nutrient uptake rates, but light incubations consistently had higher nutrient uptake rates than dark incubations. Nutrient enrichment increased total dissolved P and total dissolved N uptake and DOC release in light incubations, but only increased total dissolved P uptake in dark incubations. Moreover, nutrient uptake ratios (N:P) decreased from ambient to nutrient enriched conditions and indicated preferential P uptake by phytoplankton communities in light conditions. Our study substantiates that rivermouths can process nutrients bound for downstream ecosystems and demonstrates the potential of plankton communities to dynamically increase net uptake rates in response to episodic nutrient enrichment.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2021

Benthic and planktonic inorganic nutrient processing rates at the interface between a river and lake

The interface between lotic and lentic ecosystems is often a zone of intense metabolic activity, as primary production in streams and rivers can be light limited whereas nutrients often limit primary production in lake ecosystems. Our objective was to model the influence that rivermouths (the lotic-lentic interface) could have on the loads of soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) and dissolved inorganic nitrogen (N) passing from the tributary to the nearshore zone of a lake. To achieve this objective, we modeled the combined role of water column nutrient transformation rates with sediment nutrient flux rates. For sensitivity analysis, we picked plausible parameter ranges based on values previously measured in the Fox rivermouth (a tributary to Lake Michigan). Sensitivity analysis of the model demonstrated that overall the importance of water column processing rates increases with increasing nutrient concentration and discharge. We then applied the model to the Fox rivermouth, simulating the change in nutrients on four dates where all of the necessary parameters had been estimated. This modeling suggests that the Fox rivermouth is often a net sink for SRP and source for ammonia (NH 4 ), with water column processing driving SRP removal and both water column and sediment flux driving NH 4 dynamics. Removal of SRP in the water column means conversion to particulate and/or organic P, and those P pools are generally considered to be less bioavailable than SRP, so it may be that rivermouths disconnect upstream sources of nutrients from nearshore food webs. These results demonstrate that the interface zone between lotic and lentic systems has the potential to substantially alter the load and character of nutrients as river waters pass through rivermouths to adjacent nearshore areas.

Biogeochemistry↗

USGS2021

Sequestration of microfibers and other microplastics by green algae, Cladophora, in the US Great Lakes

Daunting amounts of microplastics are present in surface waters worldwide. A main category of microplastics is synthetic microfibers, which originate from textiles. These microplastics are generated and released in laundering and are discharged by wastewater treatment plants or enter surface waters from other sources. The polymers that constitute many common synthetic microfibers are mostly denser than water, and eventually settle out in aquatic environments. The interaction of these microfibers with submerged aquatic vegetation has not been thoroughly investigated but is potentially an important aquatic sink in surface waters. In the Laurentian Great Lakes, prolific growth of macrophytic Cladophora creates submerged biomass with a large amount of surface area and the potential to collect and concentrate microplastics. To determine the number of synthetic microfibers in Great Lakes Cladophora , samples were collected from Lakes Erie and Michigan at multiple depths in the spring and summer of 2018. After rinsing and processing the algae, associated synthetic microfibers were quantified. The average loads of synthetic microfibers determined from the Lake Erie and Lake Michigan samples were 32,000 per kg (dry weight (dw)) and 34,000 per kg (dw), respectively, 2–4 orders of magnitude greater than loads previously reported in water and sediment. To further explore this sequestration of microplastics, fresh and aged Cladophora were mixed with aqueous mixtures of microfibers or microplastic in the laboratory to simulate pollution events. Microscopic analyses indicated that fresh Cladophora algae readily interacted with microplastics via adsorptive forces and physical entanglement. These interactions mostly cease upon algal senescence, with an expected release of microplastics in benthic sediments. Collectively, these findings suggest that synthetic microfibers are widespread in Cladophora algae and the affinity between microplastics and Cladophora may offer insights for removing microplastic pollution. Macroalgae in the Laurentian Great Lakes contain high loads of synthetic microfibers, both entangled and adsorbed, which likely account for an important fraction of microplastics in these surface waters.

Michigan↗

USGS2021

Elucidating controls on cyanobacteria bloom timing and intensity via Bayesian mechanistic modeling

The adverse impacts of harmful algal blooms (HABs) are increasing worldwide. Lake Erie is a North American Great Lake highly affected by cultural eutrophication and summer cyanobacterial HABs. While phosphorus loading is a known driver of bloom size, more nuanced yet crucial questions remain. For example, it is unclear what mechanisms are primarily responsible for initiating cyanobacterial dominance and subsequent biomass accumulation. To address these questions, we develop a mechanistic model describing June–October dynamics of chlorophyll a , nitrogen, and phosphorus near the Maumee River outlet, where blooms typically initiate and are most severe. We calibrate the model to a new, geostatistically-derived dataset of daily water quality spanning 2008–2017. A Bayesian framework enables us to embed prior knowledge on system characteristics and test alternative model formulations. Overall, the best model formulation explains 42% of the variability in chlorophyll a and 83% of nitrogen, and better captures bloom timing than previous models. Our results, supported by cross validation, show that onset of the major midsummer bloom is associated with about a month of water temperatures above 20 °C (occurring 19 July to 6 August), consistent with when cyanobacteria dominance is usually reported. Decreased phytoplankton loss rate is the main factor enabling biomass accumulation, consistent with reduced zooplankton grazing on cyanobacteria. The model also shows that phosphorus limitation is most severe in August, and nitrogen limitation tends to occur in early autumn. Our results highlight the role of temperature in regulating bloom initiation and subsequent loss rates, and suggest that a 2 °C increase could lead to blooms that start about 10 days earlier and grow 23% more intense.

Michigan, Ohio↗

USGS2021

Great Lakes harmful algal blooms: Current knowledge gaps

Freshwater Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs) pose serious risks throughout the world to drinking water, recreation, and ecosystem health. The Great Lakes, which contain nearly 20% of the world’s available surface freshwater, have been experiencing an increase in HABs since the 1990s. Knowledge gaps relating to HABs remain even after extensive and ongoing research efforts. These knowledge gaps are presented below for the benefit of water resource managers, state and federal agencies, legislators, and others involved in the development of policies to address HABs throughout the Great Lakes.

Great Lakes↗

USGS2020

Preliminary analysis to estimate the spatial distribution of benefits of P load reduction: Identifying the spatial influence of phosphorus loading from the Maumee River (USA) in western Lake Erie

Since the early 2000s, Lake Erie has been experiencing annual cyanobacterial blooms that often cover large portions of the western basin and even reach into the central basin. These blooms have affected several ecosystem services provided by Lake Erie to surrounding communities (notably drinking water quality). Several modeling efforts have identified the springtime total bioavailable phosphorus (TBP) load as a major driver of maximum cyanobacterial biomass in western Lake Erie, and on this basis, international water management bodies have set a phosphorus (P) reduction goal. This P reduction goal is intended to reduce maximum cyanobacterial biomass, but there has been very limited effort to identify the specific locations within the western basin of Lake Erie that will likely experience the most benefits. Here, we used pixel‐specific linear regression to identify where annual variation in spring TBP loads is most strongly associated with cyanobacterial abundance, as inferred from satellite imagery. Using this approach, we find that annual TBP loads are most strongly associated with cyanobacterial abundance in the central and southern areas of the western basin. At the location of the Toledo water intake, the association between TBP load and cyanobacterial abundance is moderate, and in Maumee Bay (near Toledo, Ohio), the association between TBP and cyanobacterial abundance is no better than a null model. Both of these locations are important for the delivery of specific ecosystem services, but this analysis indicates that P load reductions would not be expected to substantially improve maximum annual cyanobacterial abundance in these locations. These results are preliminary in the sense that only a limited set of models were tested in this analysis, but these results illustrate the importance of identifying whether the spatial distribution of management benefits (in this case P load reduction) matches the spatial distribution of management goals (reducing the effects of cyanobacteria on important ecosystem services).

Michigan, Ohio↗

USGS2020

Phosphorus, nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon fluxes from sediments in freshwater rivermouths entering Green Bay (Lake Michigan; USA)

Transitional areas between ecosystem types are often active biogeochemically due to resource limitation changes. Lotic-to-lentic transitions in freshwaters appear active biogeochemically, but few studies have directly measured nutrient processing rates to assess whether processing within the rivermouth is important for load estimates or the local communities. We measured oxic fluxes of inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) from sediments in two rivermouths of Green Bay (Lake Michigan, USA). Soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP) flux was positive in most cases (overall mean 1.74 mg SRP m − 2 day − 1 ), as was ammonium (NH 4 ) flux (40.6 mg NH 4 m − 2 day − 1 ). Partial least square regression (PLSR) indicated a latent variable associated with both sediment [loosely bound phosphorus (P), iron bound P, organic content] and water column properties [temperature, DOC:dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and DOC:SRP ratios (negatively)] that was moderately associated with variation in SRP flux. PLSR analysis also indicated several sediment characteristics were moderately related to NH 4 flux, especially organic content, density (negative), and porosity. Flux of nitrates/nitrites (NO X ) and DOC were positively associated with the water column concentrations of NO X and DOC and qualitative estimates of the labile, non-humic types of DOC. In early summer, water column NO X and DOC concentrations were high and labile DOC may have fueled denitrification, resulting in net flux into sediments of both NO X and DOC. By late summer, water column NO X and DOC were very low and both these constituents were fluxing out of sediments into the water column. Based on our estimates for the entire period from April through September, rivermouth sediments were a net source of SRP and DIN, with a DIN:SRP ratio of ~ 44 and a NH 4 :NO X > 1. We estimated that the sediments in the Fox rivermouth probably contributed a small proportion of the total Fox River load during the growing season 2016 (< 5%), but at times may have contributed as much as 14% of the daily load. Despite the small size of the Fox rivermouth (< 0.5% of the watershed area), these results indicate that at times sediments can contribute substantially to the overall delivery of nitrogen and phosphorus to the nearshore zone.

Wisconsin↗

USGS2020

Quantifying microplastics in Indiana’s Lake Michigan watershed and submerged aquatic vegetation

Environmental breakdown of plastics produces synthetic microfibers, a class of microplastics that are most prevalent in surface waters. A main source of these pollutants is wastewater treatment plants which discharge into surface waters, including those that flow into Lake Michigan. Microplastics can settle into aquatic sediment or exist for lengths of time in the swash zone of the lakes; they can be ingested by organisms or concentrated in algae or other lake plankton, among other possibilities. As part of a larger Great Lakes study of the growth and senescence of submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV), the loads of synthetic microfibers in the SAV have been determined from Lake Michigan samples collected during the summer months of 2018, 2019 and 2020, and from various samples collected in the watershed and along the shoreline in Northwest Indiana. In order to effectively address microplastics pollution, a complete understanding of the distribution and fate of these pollutants is needed; this project is working toward that goal.

Indiana↗

USGS2019

Evidence for interactions among environmental stressors in the Laurentian Great Lakes

Co-occurrence of environmental stressors is ubiquitous in ecosystems, but cumulative effects are difficult to predict for effective indicator development. Individual stressors can amplify (synergies) or lessen (antagonisms) each other's impacts or have fully independent effects (additive). Here we use the Laurentian Great Lakes, where a multitude of stressors have been studied for decades, as a case study for considering insights from both a systematic literature review and an expert elicitation (or structured expert judgment) to identify stressor interactions. In our literature search for pairs of stressors and interaction-related keywords, relatively few studies (9%, or 6/65) supported additive interactions with independent stressor effects. Instead, both antagonisms (42%, or 27/65) and synergies (49%, or 32/65) were common. We found substantial evidence for interactions of invasive dreissenid mussels with nutrient loading and between pairs of invasive species (predominantly dreissenids × round goby), yet both sets of records included mixtures of synergies and antagonisms. Complete quantification of individual and joint effects of stressors was rare, but effect sizes for dreissenid mussels × nutrient loading supported an antagonism. Our expert elicitation included discussion in focus groups and a follow-up survey. This process highlighted the potential for synergies of nutrient loading with dreissenid mussels and climate change as seen from the literature review. The elicitation also identified additional potential interactions less explored in the literature, particularly synergies of nutrient loading with hypoxia and wetland loss. To stimulate future research, we built a conceptual model describing interactions among dreissenid mussels, climate change, and nutrient loading. Our case study illustrates the value of considering results from both elicitations and systematic reviews to overcome data limitations. The simultaneous occurrence of synergies and antagonisms in a single ecosystem underscores the challenge of predicting the cumulative effects of stressors to guide indicator development and other management and restoration decisions.

Ecological Indicators↗