Geology topics

Mark D. Rowe

Publications and source records attributed to Mark D. Rowe.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Describing the seasonal abundance and growth rates of larval fishes across productivity gradients in Lake Huron in 2017

Several of the Laurentian Great Lakes, including Lake Huron, have undergone oligotrophication in the past decades and prey fish biomass has concomitantly declined. One potential mechanism to explain declines in prey fish is slower growth and lower survival at the larval stage. To determine whether reduced productivity affects the growth of larval fish, we sampled larval fishes and their environment approximately monthly from May through August 2017 at nine nearshore to offshore transects across Lake Huron that included North Channel, Georgian Bay, and the main basin. North Channel transects had the highest chlorophyll a concentrations and zooplankton densities. Rainbow smelt ( Osmerus mordax ), burbot ( Lota lota ), bloater ( Coregonus hoyi ), and shiners ( Notropis spp.) were the most abundant larval fish taxa, peaking in June and July. We aged rainbow smelt and bloater using otoliths, and estimates of growth rate revealed rainbow smelt always grew faster. For both species, we explained variation in total length by comparing 16 candidate linear mixed-effects models, with age, chlorophyll a , zooplankton, water temperature, larval fish density, and interactions with age as predictor variables. For rainbow smelt, the full model was best; zooplankton had the greatest effect, but it was negative and opposite from our hypothesis. For bloater, four candidate models were most parsimonious; water temperature had the greatest effect, and it was positive as predicted from our hypothesis. To more effectively evaluate whether zooplankton can limit larval fish growth and survival, we recommend that future designs conduct more frequently sampling within a year even at the expense of fewer transects.

Lake Huron↗

USGS2024

Climate-influenced phenology of larval fish transport in a large lake

Elucidating physical transport phenologies in large lakes can aid understanding of larval recruitment dynamics. Here, we integrate a series of climate, hydrodynamic, biogeochemical, and Lagrangian particle dispersion models to: (1) simulate hatch and transport of fish larvae throughout an illustrative large lake, (2) evaluate patterns of historic and potential future climate-induced larval transport, and (3) consider consequences for overlap with suitable temperatures and prey. Simulations demonstrate that relative offshore transport increases seasonally, with shifts toward offshore transport occurring earlier during relatively warm historic and future simulations. Intra- and inter-annual trends in transport were robust to assumed pelagic larval duration and precise location and timing of hatching. Larvae retained nearshore generally encountered more favorable temperatures and zooplankton densities compared to larvae transported offshore. Larval exploitation of nearshore resources under climate change may depend on a concomitant shift to earlier spawning and hatch times in advance of earlier offshore transport.

Lake Michigan↗

USGS2024

Modeling nearshore total phosphorus in Lake Michigan using linked hydrodynamic and water quality models

Although the offshore water of Lake Michigan has been below the Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement (GLWQA) total phosphorus (TP) spring target concentration of 7 µg L −1 for several decades, higher TP concentrations occur in the nearshore, contributing to the resurgence of Cladophora and other nutrient related issues. The most recent update of the GLWQA specifically calls for the assessment of current nearshore conditions. Such assessment would require an intensive monitoring program supported by water quality models. Here we applied multiple versions of a phosphorus-based model linked to an unstructured-grid hydrodynamic model. We focus on the nearshore regions of Lake Michigan around the Grand and Muskegon rivers – a region with strong riverine TP influence and intensive monitoring. Results from a TP model were compared to observational data and to a previously published Phosphorus-based Nutrient–Phytoplankton–Zooplankton–Detrital–Mussel (NPZDM) model. Model results and observational data show that parts of the nearshore can be well above the target TP concentrations but, due to the dynamic nature of this region, the TP concentrations can change rapidly. The models’ skill statistics in predicting individual observations were variable, but it was able to simulate temporal and spatial trends and captured the distribution of observations in our study area. The similarity between the results of the TP and NPZDM models demonstrated the TP concentrations in this nearshore area are driven by hydrodynamics and river TP loads, which are likely the reasons for the higher observed TP concentrations. Simplicity, transparency, and ease of use of the TP model make it a useful tool for supporting nearshore assessments and estimating existing and future nearshore TP concentrations.

Michigan↗

USGS2024

Predicting Lake Huron Dreissena spp. spatial distribution patterns from environmental characteristics

Invasive dreissenid mussels ( Dreissena polymorpha and Dreissena rostriformis bugensis ) have altered Great Lakes ecosystems through a multitude of effects on benthic habitats, food web structure, and nutrient cycling. This study explores whether spatially continuous geographic data of environmental factors can be utilized to predict Dreissena spp. spatial distributions on a lake-wide scale. Categorical variables were also assessed for significant relationships with Dreissena spp. biomass. Point observations from the 2017 Lake Huron benthic survey under the Cooperative Science and Monitoring Initiative (CSMI) were utilized for in situ measurements of dreissenid presence and biomass at 119 sites across Lake Huron. Basin, bathymetric zone, and tributary influence were found to have statistically significant relationships to dreissenid biomass. A boosted regression tree (BRT) model (ROC score 0.707) was developed to spatially predict dreissenid presence probability across Lake Huron from six environmental explanatory variables: April, May, and October chlorophyll, June dissolved organic carbon, January bottom temperature, and May bottom temperature. The importance of food availability and bottom temperature illuminated relationships between dreissenid mussels and periods of benthic-pelagic mixing in the spring and fall seasons. Future models could be improved through advancements in survey technology for improved geographic characterization of mussel habitat characteristics and environmental constraints.

Lake Huron↗

USGS2023

Habitat selection of a migratory freshwater fish in response to seasonal hypoxia as revealed by acoustic telemetry

Adaptive efforts to achieve water quality objectives by modifying nutrient loading can have attendant impacts on fish habitats and fisheries. Thus, coordinating fishery and water quality management depends on knowledge of fish behavioral responses to habitat change. This study combined acoustic telemetry of fish with water quality modeling to understand how water quality management might impact fishery management. We examined habitat use of a native demersal fish, lake whitefish Coregonus clupeaformis , in Lake Erie. We focused on the summer stratified period when habitat was expected to be most limiting and used a forecast model to predict temperature and oxygen in the hypolimnion when fish were detected. As hypothesized, lake whitefish occupied a subset of available conditions with occupied habitats characterized by a cool, normoxic, hypolimnion. On some occasions fish were detected when the hypolimnion was predicted to be hypoxic, suggesting that fish were either displaced vertically or horizontally into marginal habitats or uncertainty in model predictions was high. Still, when hypolimnetic conditions were hypoxic, fish tended to move toward normoxia as expected, but when initial conditions were cold with high dissolved oxygen, fish movements were toward lower oxygen (but still normoxic) conditions. We also observed a high affinity for fish to remain near the southern shore in eastern Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York. If current nutrient reduction objectives are achieved and the extent and severity of hypoxia is reduced, an expansion of lake whitefish habitat and distribution may have significance to the spatial regulation of fishing effort in Lake Erie.

Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania↗

USGS2023

Lake Erie hypoxia spatial and temporal dynamics present challenges for assessing progress toward water quality goals

Seasonal hypolimnetic hypoxia has been documented in Lake Erie’s central basin since the 1950s. Ship-based surveys to monitor hypoxia have been conducted since the 1980s, but they occur at a relatively low frequency and focus on the deeper areas of the central basin. To better document the seasonal development of stratification and the consequent occurrence of hypoxia, we deployed eight moorings, in both nearshore-shallow areas and offshore-deep areas of the central basin, equipped with temperature and oxygen sensors at multiple depths, that recorded temperature and oxygen concentrations every 10 minutes. Results from 2017-2019 reveal that hypoxia occurs as early as July in the shallower areas west of, and around the southern perimeter of the central basin, but does not occur until August or September in the deeper central basin. Hypoxia is intermittent in the shallower perimeter areas; whereas in the deeper areas, hypoxia can persist into October, often progressing to anoxia. The intra and interannual differences in the spatial and temporal extent of hypoxia indicate that an extensive monitoring program will be necessary to more accurately assess progress toward reducing the extent of hypoxia pursuant to the lake ecosystem objectives of the 2012 Great Lakes Water Quality Agreement.

Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania↗

USGS2018

Are changes in lower trophic levels limiting prey-fish biomass and production in Lake Michigan?

To improve understanding of how recent changes in lower trophic levels in Lake Michigan could be affecting prey-fish biomass and production, the Lake Michigan Committee (LMC) convened a Lower Trophic Level Task Group and provided several charges that are responded to in this report. First, we compiled a comprehensive summary of lower trophiclevel data in Lake Michigan, separating out nearshore versus offshore trends over time. Declining trends were prevalent in offshore time series for phosphorus, chlorophyll a, biomass of total crustacean zooplankton, biomass of herbivorous cladocerans, and density of Diporeia spp. In the nearshore, declining trends were evident only for biomass of cyclopoid copepods and density of Diporeia spp. Second, we hypothesized specific mechanisms by which changes in lower trophic levels could affect prey-fish biomass and production and described the degree of empirical support for each mechanism. The best-supported hypothesis was that declining invertebrate prey (especially Diporeia spp.) was responsible for declining growth of prey fish, especially over the last decade when competition for prey resources should otherwise have been lessened due to declining prey-fish densities. As a result, declining growth potentially limits the prey-fish biomass that could have been attained had growth been maintained at the levels that were achieved in the 1980s and earlier. Third, we prioritized several lower trophic-level indicators that fishery managers could use to better inform decision making. The top-ranked indicator was annual reporting of Alewife (Alosa pseudoharengus) condition. Fourth, we prioritized the key monitoring and research gaps that limit our current understanding of how lower trophic levels influence fish production. The highest-priority monitoring gap was coordinated sampling of the nearshore, which, if accomplished, would complement annual reporting on offshore sampling. The top-ranked knowledge gap was identifying bottlenecks that regulate fish recruitment, given that recent changes in zooplankton distribution and abundance could be suppressing survival of larval fish and, ultimately, the biomass and production of prey fish. We provided three specific recommendations for the LMC to consider as they seek to better incorporate lower trophiclevel changes into their management decision process: (1) implement a coordinated and standardized nearshore monitoring program, (2) encourage funding agencies to use our prioritized lists in their decision processes, and (3) foster the already improved dialogue between those researching lower trophic levels and those researching fisheries.

Miscellaneous Publication↗