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Lourdes Mena

Publications and source records attributed to Lourdes Mena.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Strengths and opportunities in gopher tortoise population modeling: Reply to Loope et al.

We read the letter written by Loope et al. (2024) that evaluated the predictive population model for gopher tortoises from our previous paper ( Folt et al., 2022 ), and, despite criticism raised, we contend that our effort remains a valuable contribution. In our previous paper, we performed an unprecedented and exhaustive review of gopher tortoise population demography, which synthesized a large volume of literature about the current state of knowledge on gopher tortoise population dynamics and factors that influence demographic rates, including anthropogenic threats ( Folt et al., 2022 ). We then built a predictive population model that examined the relative influence of multiple anthropogenic stressors on tortoise populations into the future, while accounting for important geographic variation ( Folt et al., 2022 ).

Global Ecology and Conservation

Using predictions from multiple anthropogenic threats to estimate future population persistence of an imperiled species

Imperiled species face numerous and diverse anthropogenic threats to their persistence, and wildlife managers charged with making conservation decisions benefit from a sound understanding of how populations, species, and ecosystems will respond to future changes in threats to biodiversity. In southeastern North America, the gopher tortoise ( Gopherus polyphemus ) is a keystone species in upland ecosystems; however, tortoise populations have declined strongly over the last century, and the species is a candidate for increased protection by the United States federal government under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). Here, we sought to support conservation decision making for G. polyphemus by developing a spatially-explicit predictive population model that linked four anthropogenic threats (climate warming, sea-level rise, urbanization, habitat degradation) to demographic vital rates and used the model to estimate future changes in the number of individuals, populations, and metapopulations across the species’ range. Using recent survey data, we projected 457 populations for 80 years into the future under scenarios varying in threat magnitude, management magnitude, and demographic uncertainty. Population projections predicted that the number of individuals, populations, and metapopulations would decline among all simulated scenarios in the next 80 years. Model predictions were more sensitive to variation in adult survival and immigration rates than to variation in threat magnitude. A scenario with decreased habitat management and threat effects from climate warming, sea-level rise, and urbanization predicted geographic variation in persistence probabilities for populations that might result in decreased genetic representation across the species' range. Our results can be used to support conservation listing decisions for the gopher tortoise as part of its federal Species Status Assessment and provide an analytical framework for how to link diverse threats to geographically-varying demographic rates during population viability analyses for wide-ranging imperiled species around the world.

Global Ecology and Conservation

Pallid sturgeon basin-wide contaminants assessment

Pallid sturgeon (Scaphirhynchus albus), listed as endangered in 1990 under the federal Endangered Species Act (United States Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), 1990), have declined due to habitat loss, commercial fishing, and hybridization. Pollution in the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers has to-date only received minor attention as a factor in the on-going decline of wild pallid sturgeon populations (Jacobson et al. 2016a; Bergman 2008). Pallid sturgeon experts and contaminant specialists conceived of the Pallid Sturgeon Basin-Wide Contaminants Assessment (Assessment) to identify potentially harmful contaminants (contaminants of concern), their distribution within pallid sturgeon habitat, and their effects on pallid sturgeon at the landscape level. Extant water quality and analytical chemistry data from samples of river water, sediment, and sturgeon tissues from past studies, assessments, or monitoring activities throughout the species’ range were used to establish a list of contaminants. The list includes: metal and non-metal elements, pesticides, organic industrial chemicals, hormones, nutrients, and other potential water quality contaminants. Environmental samples collected from January 1, 2001 through December 31, 2014, when available, were used for all evaluations. This report is effectively a screening level hazard assessment whereby contituents of concern that may pose a potential harm to pallid sturgeon have been identified. These constituents of concern warrant further examination to determine the level of risk they pose to pallid sturgeon. The Assessment process was one of comparing the existing environmental data for individual constituents to reference values for adverse effects on fish specifically or aquatic life generally. The product of the Assessment is a simplified summary that is geographically organized by pallid sturgeon management unit that generally categorizes each individual contaminant or water quality constituent according to operationally defined levels of concern. This hazard assessment identifies potential constituents of concern to pallid sturgeon and may support prioritization for future data collection and research to enable a quantitative risk assessment. Regional data density at spatial and temporal scales notwithstanding, the Assessment points to some generalities in contaminant concerns within and across management units. Metals but not pesticides are the predominant contaminant of concern in the Great Plains Management Unit (GPMU). In the Central Lowlands Management Unit (CLMU), selenium exceeds benchmark levels. Triazine herbicides are potentially of concern in all but the GPMU. Concentrations of legacy contaminants such as PCBs and DDT and its metabolites exceeded benchmarks in samples from the CLMU, Interior Highlands Mangement Unit (IHMU), and Coastal Plains Management Unit (CPMU), but local and national trends indicate environmental levels of these contaminants continue to decline. Observed concentrations of nutrients and indicators of nutrient pollution were above benchmark levels throughout the pallid sturgeon’s range; however, the significance for pallid sturgeon health specifically is unknown. Almost no information exists on contemporary contaminants of concern such as the natural and synthetic estrogens (estradiol, ethinyl estradiol, and estrone) or polybrominated diphenyls (PBDEs). There are considerable informational data gaps for contaminants throughout the species’ range. Water quality measurements were the most frequent data encountered whereas, sediment and tissue data were orders of magnitude less frequent. The paucity of sediment and tissue concentrations, particularly the latter, prevents any meaningful conclusions regarding adverse effects of these contaminants on the growth and reproduction of pallid sturgeon. However, the Assessment could form the basis for regional workshops with subject matter specialists to develop plans to evaluate the contaminants most likely to affect pallid sturgeon health.

Missouri River basin, Mississippi River basin

Gonadal abnormalities in frogs (Lithobates spp.) collected from managed wetlands in an agricultural region of Nebraska, USA

Nebraska's Rainwater Basin (RWB) provides important wetland habitat for North American migratory birds. Concern exists that pesticide and nutrient runoff from surrounding row-crops enters wetlands degrading water quality and adversely affecting birds and wildlife. Frogs may be especially vulnerable. Plains leopard (Lithobates blairi) metamorphs from RWB wetlands with varying concentrations of pesticides were evaluated for a suite of biomarkers of exposure to endocrine active chemicals. Froglets had ovarian dysgenesis, high rates of testicular oocytes, and female-biased sex ratios however, there was no clear statistical association between pesticide concentrations and biomarkers. Data interpretation was hindered because timing and duration of exposures were unknown and due to an incomplete understanding of L. blairi sexual development. Emphasis is on describing the complex developmental biology of closely-related leopard frogs, how this understanding can explain RWB L. blairi anomalies, and the need for sampling at the appropriate life stage.

Nebraska