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Lawrence J. Niles

Publications and source records attributed to Lawrence J. Niles.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

An evaluation of the reliability of plumage characters for sexing adult Ruddy Turnstones Arenaria interpres morinella during northward passage in eastern North America

We used two datasets to investigate the reliability of plumage for sexing adult Ruddy Turnstones Arenaria interpres of the morinella subspecies during May and early June in Delaware Bay, on the Mid-Atlantic Coast of the United States (39.1202°N, 75.2479°W). We first examined 23 years of data on the capture and recapture of 1,818 individual Ruddy Turnstones to assess the consistency of observers with varying levels of expertise in assigning sex using plumage criteria. Among birds recaptured once, the sex recorded for about 10% differed between captures. This increased to about 16% among birds recaptured more than once. Significantly more birds sexed as females early in the season (during 1–12 May) were later sexed as males than vice versa . This suggests that early-season captures may include birds still in non- (or partial) breeding plumage, which can be confused with female breeding plumage. Second, we compared plumage-based and genetic assessments of sex for 66 Ruddy Turnstones captured in Delaware Bay on 29 May 2016 and 19 May 2017; these individuals were sexed in the hand by an expert on shorebird plumages. Plumage-based and molecular assessments differed in only one case. This suggests that fewer birds will be wrongly sexed on plumage if more care is taken and better instruction is given to observers (including how to distinguish non- breeding plumage from female breeding plumage). We suggest simple procedures to reduce field-sexing errors for Ruddy Turnstones based on plumage.

Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania

Demographic consequences of migratory stopover: Linking red knot survival to horseshoe crab spawning abundance

Understanding how events during one period of the annual cycle carry over to affect survival and other fitness components in other periods is essential to understanding migratory bird demography and conservation needs. Previous research has suggested that western Atlantic red knot ( Calidris canutus rufa ) populations are greatly affected by horseshoe crab ( Limulus polyphemus ) egg availability at Delaware Bay stopover sites during their spring northward migration. We present a mass‐based multistate, capture‐recapture/resighting model linking (1) red knot stopover mass gain to horseshoe crab spawning abundance and (2) subsequent apparent annual survival to mass state at the time of departure from the Delaware Bay stopover area. The model and analysis use capture‐recapture/resighting data with over 16,000 individual captures and 13,000 resightings collected in Delaware Bay over a 12 year period from 1997–2008, and the results are used to evaluate the central management hypothesis that red knot populations can be influenced by horseshoe crab harvest regulations as part of a larger adaptive management effort. Model selection statistics showed support for a positive relationship between horseshoe crab spawning abundance during the stopover and the probability of red knots gaining mass (parameter coefficient from the top model b̂ = 1.71, = 0.46). Our analyses also supported the link between red knot mass and apparent annual survival, although average estimates for the two mass classes differed only slightly. The addition of arctic snow depth as a covariate influencing apparent survival improved the fit of the data to the models (parameter coefficient from the top model b̂ = 0.50, = 0.08). Our results indicate that managing horseshoe crab resources in the Delaware Bay has the potential to improve red knot population status.

Delaware, New Jersey