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Kristianto

Publications and source records attributed to Kristianto.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Local magnitude, coda magnitude, and radiated energy of volcanic tectonic earthquakes from October 2010 to December 2011 at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia

In August 2010, Sinabung volcano began erupting after more than a thousand years of dormancy. Following several weeks of phreatic eruptions, the eruptions ceased and Sinabung entered what became an inter-eruptive period of dominantly seismic unrest. While standard equations for understanding the size of an earthquake (local magnitude (M L ), coda magnitude (M C ), and seismic energy release (E R )) have long been developed, it is best practice to fine tune these relations for a given region and period of study to more accurately describe seismicity and to directly compare it with other volcanic systems. More accurate descriptions of magnitudes and energy release are vital to accurate volcanic eruption forecasting and evaluation of seismic and volcanic risk. In this study, we use high-frequency volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquakes recorded on a temporary three-component network installed between October 2010 and December 2011 in the region around Sinabung volcano to better constrain the seismic parameters of and better understand this previously unstudied volcano. We determine region-specific formulas for M L , M C , and E R as follows: M L = log 10 A + 1.1252 log 10 r + 0.0280 r − 2.5427 , M C = 0.7764 log 10 t c o d a + 0.0676 r − 0.7185 , a n d log 10 ( E R ) = 1.5720 M L + 11.5258 , where A , r , and t coda are maximum amplitude on a Wood-Anderson seismogram, hypocentral distance (km), and the coda duration (s), respectively. Constants in the M L equation have physically interpretable meanings. The constant for the geometrical spreading term (log 10 r term) equals one for perfect spherical spreading of the waveform. Our value is greater than one and thus suggests that wavefronts spread at a slightly different rate than for simple spherical spreading. The constant for the attenuation term ( r term) is consistent with locally mapped attenuative deposits (limestones and tuffs) and previous 3D tomographic results. Our M C equation differs from a previous study, likely because different data in a different time period were used. Earthquake hypocenters are consistent with those located in previous tomographic studies, and we interpret the earthquakes in this study as distal VT earthquakes induced by continued magmatic intrusion at Sinabung over the period of October 2010–December 2011.

Sinabung volcano

Overview of the eruptions of Sinabung Volcano, 2010 and 2013-present, and details of the 2013 phreatomagmatic phase

A small phreatic eruption of Sinabung Volcano, North Sumatra on August 28, 2010, at 18:30 local time marked the first eruption in the past ~1200 years. The eruption took place from two small vents in the south crater area. Explosions and ash emissions from these vents generated multiple ash plumes that reached altitudes of up to 5 km during early- to mid-September. By the end of September, only low level steam plumes were visible and the alert level was reduced from Level 4 (highest) to Level 3. The 2010 eruption effectively ended at this time. Beginning two days after the initial 2010 eruption, activity of the eruption has been monitoring continuously by a telemetered seismic network surrounding the volcano and by remotely sensed observations. This monitoring system was supplemented with a near-field continuous GPS network, beginning in February 2011. Persistent fumarolic emissions continued for almost 3 years following the 2010 eruption, before a new eruption began on 15 September 2013. This eruption continues to the present. The ongoing eruption is divided into 5 major phases: 1) phreatomagmatic phase (July 2013 - 18 December 2013); 2) first dome and collapse phase with pyroclastic density currents (PDCs; block-and-ash flows and related surges) to south (18 December 2013 - 10 January 2014); 3) lava-flow and collapse phase (10 January 2014 - mid-September 2014); 4) second lava dome and collapse phase with PDCs to south (mid-September 2014 - July 2015); 5) lava dome collapse and ash explosion phase with PDCs to southeast and east (August 2015 - present). The volcano erupted intermittently during the early phreatomagmatic phase with small vertical ash explosions. Then the eruption became increasingly vigorous with more repetitive and intense vertical ash explosions during late October through November. The first small pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) began on November 1. These pyroclastic flows descended the southeastern flank to a distance of 2 km.

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Construction of probabilistic event trees for eruption forecasting at Sinabung volcano, Indonesia 2013–14

Eruptions of Sinabung volcano , Indonesia have been ongoing since 2013. Since that time, the character of eruptions has changed, from phreatic to phreatomagmatic to magmatic explosive eruptions, and from production of a lava dome that collapsed to a subsequent thick lava flow that slowly ceased to be active, and later, to a new lava dome. As the eruption progressed, event trees were constructed to forecast eruptive behavior six times, with forecast windows that ranged from 2 weeks to 1 year: November 7–10, December 12–14, and December 27, 2013; and January 9–10, May 13, and October 7, 2014. These event trees were successful in helping to frame the forecast scenarios, to collate current monitoring information, and to document outstanding questions and unknowns. The highest probability forecasts closely matched outcomes of eruption size (including extrusion of the first dome), production of pyroclastic density currents, and pyroclastic density current runout distances. Events assigned low probabilities also occurred, including total collapse of the lava dome in January 2014 and production of a small blast pyroclastic density current in February 2014.

Sinabung volcano

3-D seismic tomographic study of Sinabung Volcano, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia, during the inter-eruptive period October 2010-July 2013

We estimated 3D P-wave velocity (Vp), S-wave velocity (Vs), and Vp/Vs tomographic structures in and around the Sinabung Volcano area, Northern Sumatra, Indonesia during the intereruptive period between October 2010 and July 2013 using high-quality P- and S-wave phases from > 600 local volcano tectonic (VT) earthquakes and more than 5000 phase picks. We used the iteritive damped-least-squares method of SIMULPS12 to simultaneously invert for the velocity structure and hypocenter relocations. We find that the majority of the VT earthquakes locate beneath Sinabung volcano to depths of about 8 km, with distal hypocenters dominantly to the north and northwest of the summit. We find six anomalous regions with the most notable including an area of low seismicity, high Vp/Vs and low Vp at depths of around 5 km slightly south of the summit. We believe this anomaly most likely represents hot material with some partial melt that may be the source for the 2010 phreatic eruptions and continued unrest throughout the study period. We also find a region below the summit with high seismicity, high Vp, high Vs and low Vp/Vs that we believe likely represents old intrusive material that has been fractured by the processes of the 2010 phreatic eruptions. Other shallow anomalous values of Vp, Vs and Vp/Vs are consistent with the known geology of Sinabung: anomalies of high Vp and Vs likely represent old, well-consolidated rock, and are observed to the SW and NE of Sinabung; while low Vp, low Vs and high Vp/Vs likely represent increased fracture densities, temperatures, or gas contents in geothermal features to the west of the summit. Finally we compare our results to those of the tomographic study during the October to November 2013 eruptive period in Nugraha et al. (this issue) and find evidence that suggests magma rose from the lower region imaged in our study to within a few kilometers of the surface.

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research

Recent explosive eruptions and volcano hazards at Soputan volcano—a basalt stratovolcano in north Sulawesi, Indonesia

Soputan is a high-alumina basalt stratovolcano located in the active North Sulawesi-Sangihe Islands magmatic arc. Although immediately adjacent to the still geothermally active Quaternary Tondono Caldera, Soputan’s magmas are geochemically distinct from those of the caldera and from other magmas in the arc. Unusual for a basalt volcano, Soputan produces summit lava domes and explosive eruptions with high-altitude ash plumes and pyroclastic flows—eight explosive eruptions during the period 2003–2011. Our field observations, remote sensing, gas emission, seismic, and petrologic analyses indicate that Soputan is an open-vent-type volcano that taps basalt magma derived from the arc-mantle wedge, accumulated and fractionated in a deep-crustal reservoir and transported slowly or staged at shallow levels prior to eruption. A combination of high phenocryst content, extensive microlite crystallization and separation of a gas phase at shallow levels results in a highly viscous basalt magma and explosive eruptive style. The open-vent structure and frequent eruptions indicate that Soputan will likely erupt again in the next decade, perhaps repeatedly. Explosive eruptions in the Volcano Explosivity Index (VEI) 2–3 range and lava dome growth are most probable, with a small chance of larger VEI 4 eruptions. A rapid ramp up in seismicity preceding the recent eruptions suggests that future eruptions may have no more than a few days of seismic warning. Risk to population in the region is currently greatest for villages located on the southern and western flanks of the volcano where flow deposits are directed by topography. In addition, Soputan’s explosive eruptions produce high-altitude ash clouds that pose a risk to air traffic in the region.

Bulletin of Volcanology