Geology topics

Jonathan P. Rose

Publications and source records attributed to Jonathan P. Rose.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2026

Effects of rice idling on occupancy dynamics and survival of giant gartersnakes ( Thamnophis gigas ) in the Sacramento Valley, California, 2016–24

The giant gartersnake ( Thamnophis gigas ) is a semi-aquatic species of snake endemic to marshes and sloughs in the Central Valley of California. Because the Central Valley has lost a substantial amount of wetland habitat, giant gartersnake populations are typically found in aquatic habitats associated with rice ( Oryza sativa ) agriculture. Therefore, changes to the amount and location of rice agriculture on the landscape could affect giant gartersnake populations. We present analyses of 9 years of data examining how the occurrence of giant gartersnakes is affected by rice idling. We sampled agricultural canals associated with active rice fields and fallowed fields at 119 sites from 2016 through 2024. We captured giant gartersnakes at 95 of 119 sites sampled during our study, totaling 5,269 captures of 2,687 individuals. We used these capture data, as well as data on the trapping effort, habitat, vegetation, prey availability, and amount of active rice growing at each site, to estimate occupancy and detection probabilities of giant gartersnakes. Mean daily detection probability at a site was 0.38 (95-percent credible interval 0.22–0.56). Given the mean daily detection probability, the probability of detecting giant gartersnakes at an occupied site at least once during a 21-day sampling period within a given year was greater than (>) 0.99 (>0.99 to much greater than [>>] 0.99). The spatial extent of active rice growing within a 2-kilometer buffer of a site was positively correlated with initial site occupancy and the probability of site colonization. Giant gartersnake population density (hereinafter, density) estimated using spatially explicit capture-recapture models, varied among traplines and years, with densities consistently highest in the Butte basin. The annual population growth rate also varied among site-clusters and years, with no temporal trend of growth or decline among sites. Annual apparent survival of giant gartersnakes varied slightly between years and among site clusters, with overall mean annual apparent survival of 0.51 (95-percent credible interval 0.34–0.71) for female snakes and 0.45 (0.30–0.63) for male snakes. The amount of rice in the surrounding landscape was positively correlated to giant gartersnake survival. Rice contributes positively to giant gartersnake occurrence, colonization, and survival, and maximizing the amount of rice agriculture within 4 kilometers of canals with giant gartersnake populations would likely minimize the effects of rice idling on these populations.

California↗

USGS2026

Natomas basin giant gartersnake annual monitoring report 2024

The giant gartersnake ( Thamnophis gigas ) is a semi aquatic snake endemic to the Central Valley of California. After losing 95 percent of its historic wetland habitat (Frayer and others, 1989), giant gartersnakes became state and federally listed as a threatened species (California Fish and Game Commission, 1971; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1993, 1999). Continued monitoring of current populations and implementation of suggested management actions is necessary to recover the species. The Natomas basin in Sacramento, California, supports a population of giant gartersnakes persisting in restored marshes and rice agriculture. This annual report summarizes the giant gartersnake monitoring project for 2024, focusing on the apparent survival, abundance, density, and distribution of the giant gartersnakes and the connectivity of habitat throughout the Natomas basin. In 2024, 131 giant gartersnakes were captured 216 times at 44 sites by hand or trap. The catch-per-unit effort decreased from 2023 to 2024 but was similar to other years of the study. Estimates of occupancy increased between 2023 and 2024, although the trend of occupancy from 2011 through 2024 is still decreasing overall at a mean annual rate of 3 percent per year. Apparent survival was much higher at Betts-Kismat-Silva from 2018 to 2019 and from 2021 to 2022 than in other years, but this may be partly attributed to different sampling efforts over the years. Trapping effort was more consistent in the Sills tract, and apparent survival was slightly higher in later years (2022–23 and 2023–24). Giant gartersnake populations appeared to remain stable in 2024, but abundance, density, survival, and distribution is highly variable across different sites and years of the study. Continued monitoring of the populations would allow for better trend estimates over time and assessment of the effects of management activities. Giant gartersnake populations throughout the basin and on reserve lands would likely benefit from the following: (1) creating more managed marsh; (2) increasing the amount of emergent tule vegetation in existing marshes (for example, Cummings, Natomas Farms, and Lucich South); (3) continuing to flood existing marshes in early spring; (4) maintaining rice agriculture; and (5) continuing research into conservation actions that target the giant gartersnake, such as habitat and water management and translocation.

California↗

USGS2026

Conducting feasibility assessments of potential conservation reintroductions: A case study with the imperiled foothill yellow-legged frog, Rana boylii

Conservation translocations are an increasingly common and often necessary component of recovering species that have become extirpated from portions of their range. Understanding and ameliorating potential threats that reduce the likelihood of successful population establishment at recipient sites is a key component of successful translocation planning. We examined multiple potential threats, including pathogens, contaminants, and invasive species, as well as habitat suitability and food resources, to assess the feasibility of reintroducing threatened, stream-obligate foothill yellow-legged frogs, Rana boylii , to Pinnacles National Park. Foothill yellow-legged frogs were extirpated from this protected area more than half a century ago. Although invasive species, disease, contaminants, food resources, and water temperatures are unlikely to inhibit foothill yellow-legged frog population establishment, potential recipient streams at Pinnacles National Park had shorter hydroperiods and much higher canopy cover than reference streams with extant foothill yellow-legged frog populations. Although the exact cause of extirpation of foothill yellow-legged frogs from Pinnacles National Park is unknown, translocations of foothill yellow-legged frogs to the park are more likely to succeed if riparian canopy cover is reduced and stream hydroperiods increased to better match those at nearby populations. Thoroughly understanding the threats to and characteristics of potential recipient sites could improve the likelihood of success of translocation outcomes in natural areas.

California↗

USGS2025

Rice cultivation supports growth and survival of a threatened semi-aquatic reptile

Integration of agroecosystems and other working landscapes with protected lands and waters is critical to the conservation of Earth's biodiversity. Rice agroecosystems support many species by providing aquatic habitat where natural wetlands have been altered or drained. In regions with long dry seasons, rice fields and associated irrigation canals provide essential habitat for wetland-dependent species. We quantified the spatial scale and magnitude of the effect of rice growing on the growth and survival of the giant gartersnake ( Thamnophis gigas ), a threatened species that persists primarily in areas of rice agriculture in the Central Valley of California, USA. We used structural causal models to identify drought condition as a key confounder to adjust for when estimating the total effect of rice growing on demographic rates. We analyzed capture-mark-recapture data from 19 populations of giant gartersnakes with an integrated growth–survival model and used distance-weighted covariates to account for the decline in influence of rice with increasing distance from our study sites. We found strong support for a positive effect of rice grown within 1.9 km of a canal on giant gartersnake growth. There was also support for a positive effect of rice on giant gartersnake survival, although the spatial scale extended out to 5 km or more. Our results demonstrate how active rice growing benefits giant gartersnakes inhabiting irrigation canals and demonstrate an approach for studying landscape effects on wildlife in agroecosystems.

California↗

USGS2025

Using periodic matrix models to simulate the effectiveness of alternative reintroduction strategies for lizards on a seasonal tropical island

Conservation translocations and reintroductions are widely used to improve conservation outcomes for declining species. Reintroductions are unlikely to be successful if the threats that led to the extirpation of the focal species, such as non-native predators, have not been ameliorated. The non-native brown treesnake ( Boiga irregularis ) was introduced to Guam in the mid-20th century and has devastated the native lizard fauna of this Pacific Island. Native lizard populations persist on small islands near Guam and could act as sources for reintroductions. Recently, trapping methods have been shown to greatly reduce the density of brown treesnakes, raising the possibility that native lizards could be reintroduced where brown treesnake abundance is controlled. Here we developed demographic models for four lizard species present on Guam to assess their validity as a trial for reintroducing species to meet native species recovery goals. These four species vary in their size, activity, and susceptibility to predation by brown treesnakes. We used periodic matrix models to simulate changes in lizard vital rates driven by the wet-dry seasonal cycle found on Guam. We found that the release of 60 individuals of each species was likely to result in successful reintroduction outcomes provided adult survival in the wild is similar to rates estimated based on life history parameters. Demographic models can be used to forecast reintroduction outcomes, including predicting the probability of success and evaluating causes of failure in the event that populations do not establish.

Guam↗

USGS2025

Using structural causal modeling to infer the effects of wildfire on foothill yellow-legged frog occurrence

Sierra Nevada ecosystems have been influenced by fire for millennia; however, increasing wildfire size and frequency may yield unforeseen consequences on wildlife populations and their distribution. Foothill yellow-legged frogs Rana boylii have declined in portions of their range and are considered a species of conservation concern. We surveyed streams for foothill yellow legged frogs in and near the 2021 Dixie Fire footprint using double-observer visual encounter surveys that incorporated time-to-detection methods, and used structural causal modeling to improve post-fire inference while lacking pre-fire data. We found that foothill yellow-legged frog probability of occurrence was 4.93 (95% equal-tailed interval = 0.52 – 160) times higher outside the footprint of the Dixie Fire than within it, though probability of occurrence was generally low within our sampling frame (ψ unburned = 0.21 [0.08 – 0.49]; ψ burned = 0.05 [0.002 – 0.28]). Measured environmental characteristics, however, were similar within and outside the fire footprint, and observed occupancy patterns might reflect the recent historical distribution of the frogs. Our study emphasizes the importance of site-specific pre-disturbance data when attempting to evaluate the causal effects of disturbances on wildlife. Although it remains to be seen how this species will fare in an increasingly frequent and intense fire regime, foothill yellow-legged frogs may tolerate some level of fire disturbance.

California↗

USGS2025

Increased heterozygosity and body condition result from admixed translocation of the threatened Mogollon Narrow-headed Gartersnake (Thamnophis rufipunctatus)

Enhancing gene flow through translocations can be a useful tool in recovering small and isolated populations. However, it is not devoid of genetic risks, such as outbreeding depression in future generations, that can have negative consequences in terms of the establishment and mean fitness of the population. Studies that monitor the long-term effects of genetic rescue on populations in the wild are few, especially for snakes. We used long-term genetic monitoring and body condition indices to investigate the consequences of conservation translocation and genetic admixture in a Mogollon Narrow-headed Gartersnake ( Thamnophis rufipunctatus ) wild population. We compared genetic diversity and fitness metrics among the source and recipient populations to evaluate individual- and population-level fitness responses related to the conservation translocation. Our study found persistent captures with continued monitoring for over a decade post-release, and the recipient population showed lower inbreeding values and an increase in heterozygosity that was 19% higher than the two source populations. Snakes sampled in the recipient population had higher individual heterozygosity and body condition than those in the extant source and reference populations. Further, Bayesian regression models supported a significant positive relationship between heterozygosity and body condition after accounting for among-site differences, suggesting that efforts to increase heterozygosity can improve mean fitness in these populations. Our study highlights the potential benefits of conservation translocation from multiple source populations to restore the distribution and increase heterozygosity and population fitness of this threatened gartersnake. Alongside ecological restoration, translocation programs could be used to ensure both the persistence and resilience of populations throughout the species’ range.

New Mexico↗

USGS2025

Assessing the Feasibility of Reintroducing San Francisco Gartersnakes ( Thamnophis sirtalis tetrataenia ) to La Honda Creek Open Space Preserve, San Mateo County, California

Reintroductions are used worldwide to increase the viability of species and restore native ecological communities. The success of reintroductions is usually judged by the establishment of self-sustaining populations, restoration of naturally occurring ecological communities, and the species resuming its ecological function. Recovery for the endangered San Francisco gartersnake (SFGS, Thamnophis sirtalis tetrataenia ), a subspecies with a small range in San Mateo and Santa Cruz counties in California, will likely require reintroduction and establishment of new populations within its historical range. La Honda Creek Open Space Preserve (LHC), managed by the Midpeninsula Regional Open Space District (MROSD), is one potential site for the reintroduction of SFGS. The La Honda Creek Open Space Preserve is a preserve managed for wildlife, recreation, grazing, and agriculture located near extant populations of SFGS inhabiting other open space preserves managed by MROSD (Cloverdale Ranch Open Space Preserve [CR]; Russian Ridge Open Space Preserve [RR]). We compared the habitat and prey communities at LHC to nearby open space preserves that support extant SFGS populations. Based on pond surveys done annually since 2008, the occurrence of California red-legged frogs ( Rana draytonii ), Sierran chorus frogs ( Pseudacris sierra ), and Pacific newts ( Taricha spp.) at LHC indicates a similar prey community at this preserve to those at CR and RR. Likewise, the landscape at LHC is a similar mosaic of wetlands, open grassland, shrub-dominated scrub, and coast redwood ( Sequoia sempervirens ) and Douglas fir ( Pseudotsuga menziesii ) forest that meets the habitat requirements for the life history of SFGS at CR and RR. One difference between LHC and preserves with SFGS populations is the lack of vegetative cover immediately adjacent to some wetlands at LHC, which could affect the ability of SFGS to disperse from wetlands and find terrestrial refuges. To evaluate alternative reintroduction strategies, we simulated population viability for a fixed number of SFGS released at LHC into one to six subpopulations (where each wetland represents a subpopulation) over a period from 5 to 20 years. Population simulations indicated that the highest average viability (in other words, the lowest probability of quasi-extinction) occurred when all SFGS were released into a single subpopulation and releases continued annually for 15 to 20 years. Our results indicate that LHC is a good candidate for reintroducing SFGS with suitable habitat, climate, and prey for this snake subspecies. Supporting SFGS populations at LHC could require habitat management to provide sufficient vegetative cover in the terrestrial environment near wetlands. Maintaining genetic diversity in the reintroduced population will also be paramount to ensure negative effects of inbreeding and homozygosity do not affect population viability.

California↗

USGS2025

Climatological effects on survival, recruitment, and possible extirpation of a Sierra Nevada anuran

The drivers of population dynamics are a primary interest of ecologists, and predicting the consequences of climate variability on wildlife populations benefits from an understanding of how weather causes variation in the vital rates of populations. Given recent and projected extremes in annual precipitation in the Sierra Nevada of California, USA, including two severe droughts, we sought to examine the role of snowpack and summer water availability on the population dynamics and potential extirpation of a meadow population of the U.S. Endangered Sierra Nevada yellow-legged frog ( Rana sierrae ) using a long-term capture-mark-recapture dataset. We found that snowpack and summer water availability affected both survival and recruitment probabilities. Although these variables only explained approximately 17 % of the annual variation in adult survival, they explained 81 % of the variation in recruitment into the adult population. Following two severe, extended droughts and a nearby wildfire, the population consisted of 20 or fewer individuals with >95 % certainty, and 10 or fewer individuals with 64 % certainty. If realized, increased precipitation volatility and extended droughts likely present an additional threat to some meadow populations of this endangered frog.

California↗

USGS2025

Occurrence and surface availability of Siskiyou Mountains Salamanders (Plethodon stormi) and Scott Bar Salamanders (P. asupak) in northern California

Estimating the distributions of cryptic species is essential for conservation, yet our understanding is hampered by animal behavior and imperfect detection. We developed and implemented a multiscale occupancy survey protocol to estimate the probability of occurrence, probability of being active on the surface, and detection probability of two range-restricted terrestrial salamanders, Scott Bar Salamanders ( Plethodon asupak ) and Siskiyou Mountains Salamanders ( P. stormi ), in interior northern California, USA. We established survey sites near locations of historical occurrence of these salamanders and surveyed each site on one to six visits in late fall 2023 and spring 2024. We compared models with different environmental variables for predicting salamander occurrence and surface activity. Much model selection uncertainty in the effects of covariates existed, but the model with most support indicated that Plethodon salamanders in interior northern California were more likely to occur at sites near recent historical occurrences that had longer growing seasons after controlling for elevation and aspect. Plethodon stormi or P. asupak surface activity was higher at night than during the day and was highest when substrates were cool and moist. Our survey protocol was successful for quantifying the effects of site and visit characteristics on P. stormi or P. asupak occurrence and availability; minor modifications will likely improve its utility for providing unbiased inference about salamander occurrence and surface activity.

California↗

USGS2024

Effect of invasive plant removal on the density of Peromyscus sonoriensis (western deer mice) in Point Reyes National Seashore, California, USA.

Non-native plants can affect communities through direct competition, and by providing refuge to seed predators, creating apparent competition with native plants. Ammophila arenaria (European beachgrass) has been introduced to coastal dune habitats throughout the western United States where it forms dense monocultures, stabilizes dunes, and alters abiotic and biotic conditions. The dominance of European beachgrass has been linked to declines of Lupinus tidestromii (Tidestrom’s lupine), an herb endemic to coastal dune communities in central and northern California. Peromyscus sonoriensis (western deer mice), a native seed predator, use beachgrass as refuge from predators. Tidestrom’s lupine plants near European beachgrass stands experience greater predation pressure from deer mice. At Point Reyes National Seashore, California, USA (PRNS), mechanical removal, manual pulling, and herbicide treatment have been used to reduce the density of European beachgrass near Tidestrom’s lupine populations. We trapped deer mice at five sites in PRNS that experienced different management regimes and used spatially-explicit capture-recapture models to estimate deer mouse density as a function of site and habitat treatment. We found that deer mouse density was lowest in areas where European beachgrass was mechanically removed and in herbicide-treated foredunes, and highest in areas highly invaded by European beachgrass and Carpobrotus spp. (iceplant). The density of deer mice increased from 2021 to 2022 at every site except one that underwent extensive mechanical removal of European beachgrass from 2010-2011. This study shows enduring effects of European beachgrass removal on the density of a native seed predator and highlights the importance of habitat management for conservation of Tidestrom’s lupine.

California↗

USGS2024

Comparison of two methods to detect the northwestern pond turtle (Actinemys marmorata) and the invasive American bullfrog (Lithobates catesbeianus) in interior northern California

Knowledge about the distributions of species and the variables influencing their occurrence is important for their management and conservation, but factors affecting occurrence can vary across the range of a species. Northwestern pond turtles ( Actinemys marmorata ) are widespread generalist turtles, but are nonetheless of conservation concern throughout their range. To better understand the distribution of northwestern pond turtles and introduced American bullfrogs ( Lithobates catesbeianus ), we surveyed streams on private timberlands of the interior foothills of northern California using visual encounter surveys and collecting samples of environmental DNA. We found that northwestern pond turtle occurrence was negatively related to elevation in our sampling frame. Detection probabilities with environmental DNA were approximately twice those of visual encounter surveys, but both methods were effective for detecting turtles in streams. American bullfrogs were detected in a single sample at each of 2 sites (one by environmental DNA, one by visual encounter surveys). Management for northwestern pond turtles in forest streams within our sample area will likely have the largest effect at lower elevation sites where turtles are most likely to occur.

California↗

USGS2023

Comparing reintroduction strategies for the endangered San Francisco gartersnake (Thamnophis sirtalis tetrataenia) using demographic models

For endangered species persisting in a few populations, reintroductions to unoccupied habitat are a popular conservation action to increase viability in the long term. Identifying the reintroduction strategy that is most likely to result in viable founder and donor populations is essential to optimally use resources available for conservation. The San Francisco gartersnake ( Thamnophis sirtalis tetrataenia ) is an endangered sub-species that persists in a small number of populations in a highly urbanized region of California. Most of the extant populations of San Francisco gartersnakes have low adult abundance and effective population size, heightening the need for establishment of more populations for insurance against the risk of extinction. We used simulations from demographic models to project the probability of quasi-extinction for reintroduced populations of San Francisco gartersnakes based on the release of neonate, juvenile, adult, or mixed-age propagules. Our simulation results indicated that the release of head-started juveniles resulted in the greatest viability of reintroduced populations, and that releases would need to continue for at least 15 years to ensure a low probability of quasi-extinction. Releasing captive-bred juvenile snakes would also have less effect on the viability of the donor population, compared to strategies that require more adult snakes to be removed from the donor population for translocation. Our models focus on snake demography, but the genetic makeup of donor, captive, and reintroduced populations will also be a major concern for any proposed reintroduction plan. This study demonstrates how modeling can be used to inform reintroduction strategies for highly imperiled species.

PLoS ONE↗

USGS2023

Identifying drivers of population dynamics for a stream breeding amphibian using time series of egg mass counts

The decline in amphibian populations is one of the starkest examples of the biodiversity crisis. For stream breeding amphibians, alterations to natural flow regimes by dams, water diversions, and climate change have been implicated in declines and extirpations. Identifying drivers of amphibian declines requires long time series of abundance data because amphibian populations can exhibit high natural variability. Multiple population viability analysis (MPVA) models integrate abundance data and share information from different populations to estimate how environmental factors influence population growth. Flow alteration has been linked to declines and extirpations in the Foothill Yellow-legged Frog ( Rana boylii ), a stream breeding amphibian native to California and Oregon. To date, no study has jointly analyzed abundance data from populations throughout the range of R. boylii in an MPVA model. We compiled time series of egg mass counts (an index of adult female abundance) from R. boylii populations in 36 focal streams and fit an MPVA model to quantify how streamflow metrics, stream temperature, and surrounding land cover affect population growth. We found population growth was positively related to stream temperature and was higher in the years following a wet year with high total annual streamflow. Density dependence was weakest (i.e., carrying capacity was highest) for streams with high seasonality of streamflow and intermediate rates of change in streamflow during spring. Our results highlight how altered streamflow can further increase the risk of decline for R. boylii populations. Managing stream conditions to better match natural flow and thermal regimes would benefit the conservation of R. boylii populations.

California, Oregon↗

USGS2023

Sierra Nevada amphibians demonstrate stable occupancy despite precipitation volatility in the early 21st Century

Climate can have a strong influence on species distributions, and amphibians with different life histories might be affected by annual variability in precipitation in different ways. The Sierra Nevada of California, United States, experienced some of the driest and wettest years on record in the early 21st Century, with variability in annual precipitation predicted to increase with climate change. We examined the relationship between adult occupancy dynamics of three high elevation anurans and site and annual variation in measures of winter severity, summer wetness, and cumulative drought. We further evaluated how these weather conditions affected the probability that each species would reproduce, conditional on their occurrence at a site. We found that although different aspects of weather affected the occupancy dynamics of each species differently, adult occupancy probabilities were generally stable throughout our 15-year study period. The probability of reproduction, although slightly more variable than adult occupancy, was similarly stable throughout the study. Although occurrence of the three species was resilient to recent extremes in precipitation, more detailed demographic study would inform the extent to which amphibian populations will remain resilient to increasing severity, duration, and frequency of drought and flood cycles.

California↗

USGS2022

Hot, wet and rare: Modelling the occupancy dynamics of the narrowly distributed Dixie Valley toad

Context: Small population sizes and no possibility of metapopulation rescue put narrowly distributed endemic species under elevated risk of extinction from anthropogenic change. Desert spring wetlands host many endemic species that require aquatic habitat and are isolated by the surrounding xeric terrestrial habitat. Aims: We sought to model the occupancy dynamics of the Dixie Valley toad ( Anaxyrus williamsi ), a recently described species endemic to a small desert spring wetland complex in Nevada, USA. Methods: We divided the species’ range into 20 m × 20 m cells and surveyed for Dixie Valley toads at 60 cells during six primary periods from 2018 to 2021, following an occupancy study design. We analysed our survey data by using a multi-state dynamic occupancy model to estimate the probability of adult occurrence, colonisation, site survival, and larval occurrence and the relationship of each to environmental covariates. Key results: The detection probabilities of adult and larval toads were affected by survey length and time of day. Adult Dixie Valley toads were widely distributed, with detections in 75% of surveyed cells at some point during the 3-year study, whereas larvae were observed only in 20% of cells during the study. Dixie Valley toad larvae were more likely to occur in cells far from spring heads with a high coverage of surface water, low emergent vegetation cover, and water temperatures between 20°C and 28°C. Adult toads were more likely to occur in cells with a greater coverage of surface water and water depth >10 cm. Cells with more emergent vegetation cover and surface water were more likely to be colonised by adult toads. Conclusions: Our results showed that Dixie Valley toads are highly dependent on surface water in both spring and autumn. Adults and larvae require different environmental conditions, with larvae occurring farther from spring heads and in fewer cells. Implications: Disturbances to the hydrology of the desert spring wetlands in Dixie Valley could threaten the persistence of this narrowly distributed toad.

Wildlife Research↗

USGS2022

Integrating growth and survival models for flexible estimation of size-dependent survival in a cryptic, endangered snake

Estimates of demographic rates for animal populations and individuals have many applications for ecological and conservation research. In many animals, survival is size-dependent, but estimating the form of the size–survival relationship presents challenges. For elusive species with low recapture rates, individuals’ size will be unknown at many points in time. Integrating growth and capture–mark–recapture models in a Bayesian framework empowers researchers to impute missing size data, with uncertainty, and include size as a covariate of survival, capture probability, and presence on-site. If there is no theoretical expectation for the shape of the size–survival relationship, spline functions can allow for fitting flexible, data-driven estimates. We use long-term capture–mark–recapture data from the endangered San Francisco gartersnake ( Thamnophis sirtalis tetrataenia ) to fit an integrated growth–survival model. Growth models showed that females reach longer asymptotic lengths than males and that the magnitude of sexual size dimorphism differed among populations. The capture probability and availability of San Francisco gartersnakes for capture increased with snout–vent length. The survival rate of female snakes exhibits a nonlinear relationship with snout–vent length (SVL), with survival flat between 300 mm and 550 mm SVL before decreasing for females between 550 mm and 700 mm SVL. For male snakes, survival decreased for adult males >550 mm SVL. The survival rates of the smallest and largest San Francisco gartersnakes were highly uncertain because recapture rates were very low for these sizes. By integrating growth and survival models and using penalized splines, we found support for size-dependent survival in San Francisco gartersnakes. Our results have applications for devising management activities for this endangered subspecies, and our methods could be applied broadly to the study of size-dependent demography among animals.

California↗

USGS2022

Multi-scale patterns in occurrence of an ephemeral pool-breeding amphibian

Species distributions are governed by processes occurring at multiple spatial scales. For species with complex life cycles, the needs of all life stages must be met within the dispersal limitations of the species. Multi-scale processes can be particularly important for these species, where small-scale patterns in specific habitat components can affect the distribution of one life stage, whereas large-scale patterns in land cover might better explain the distribution of other life stages. Using a conditional multi-scale model, we evaluated which aspects of the landscape and local environment are most strongly related to occupancy patterns of western spadefoots ( Spea hammondii ). In northern and central California, the proportion of grassland land cover within 2 km of a site was positively related to the occurrence of the northern clade of the western spadefoot. At the pond scale, we found that western spadefoots were more likely to breed in pools with lower pH. Our results indicate that protecting remaining grasslands for adult spadefoots and ensuring multiple pools with diverse characteristics and hydroperiods so at least some pools result in successful breeding will likely be necessary to conserve western spadefoots, especially with a changing climate. Considering the processes that affect species distributions at multiple life stages and spatial scales is an essential component of effective conservation.

California↗