Geology topics

Jay B. Hestbeck

Publications and source records attributed to Jay B. Hestbeck.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

USGS2013

Challenge theme 5: Current and future needs of energy and mineral resources in the Borderlands and the effects of their development: Chapter 7 in United States-Mexican Borderlands: Facing tomorrow's challenges through USGS science

Exploration and extraction activities related to energy and mineral resources in the Borderlands—such as coal-fired power plants, offshore drilling, and mining—can create issues that have potentially major economic and environmental implications. Resource assessments and development projects, environmental studies, and other related evaluations help to understand some of these issues, such as power plant emissions and the erosion/denudation of abandoned mine lands. Information from predictive modeling, monitoring, and environmental assessments are necessary to understand the full effects of energy and mineral exploration, development, and utilization. The exploitation of these resources can negatively affect human health and the environment, its natural resources, and its ecological services (air, water, soil, recreation, wildlife, etc.). This chapter describes the major energy and mineral issues of the Borderlands and how geologic frameworks, integrated interdisciplinary (geobiologic) investigations, and other related studies can address the anticipated increases in demands on natural resources in the region.

United States-Mexico Borderlands↗

USGS1995

Banding reference areas and survival rates of green-winged teal, 1950-1989

The green-winged teal ( Anas crecca carolinensis ) is an important harvest species, yet we know relatively little about its population ecology. We investigated aspects of green-winged teal population ecology of potential importance to waterfowl managers. We used recoveries of green-winged teal banded during winter (1950-89) to establish banding reference areas and estimate survival and band recovery rates. We used cluster analysis based on similarities in recovery patterns to group banding degree blocks into 8 minor and 5 major reference areas describing the principal wintering range of green-winged teal in North America. We then estimated survival and recovery rates of green-winged teal banded in these areas. Mean annual survival rate estimates across years and reference areas were similar (P > 0.05) for males (0.55, SE = 0.022) and females (0.51, SE = 0.057). Mean annual recovery rate estimates were larger for males (0.033, SE = 0.0017) than for females (0.024, SE = 0.0024) ( P < 0.01). There was little evidence of temporal variation in survival or recovery rates for most datasets. There was evidence of geographic variation in survival rates among major reference areas for males ( P = 0.04) but not for females ( P = 0.30). We recommend that analyses be conducted on greenwinged teal banded during preseason to further investigate possible sex specificity of survival rates and to address questions about the relationship between harvest rates and survival.

California, Georgia, Kansas, Nevada, Ohio, Virgini↗

USGS1995

Response of northern pintail breeding populations to drought, 1961-1992

According to data from the 1960s, northern pintails ( Anas acuta ) fly north of the Alberta and Saskatchewan prairies during drought resulting in decreasing pintail annual production. Reanalysis of overflight and reduced-production hypotheses using data from 1961-92 indicated that, although the same basic relationships were present, these relationships changed over time. The number of pintails counted in northern survey areas from Alaska through northern Alberta divided by the number in southern areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan was used as an index of overflight (North-South ratio). Variation in total May ponds in southern Alberta and southern Saskatchewan accounted for variation in the North-South ratio during the 1960s ( r 2 = 0.779, P = 0.004) and 1980s ( r 2 = 0.251, P = 0.08), but not during the 1970s ( r 2 = 0.001, P = 0.94), generally a period of high total May ponds. Variation in the North-South ratio accounted for variation in pintail production, measured as the age ratio from hunter harvest (harvest-age ratios), during the 1960s ( r 2 = 0.688, P = 0.01) but not during the 1970s ( r 2 = 0.226, P = 0.14) and 1980s ( r 2 = 0.103, P = 0.29). The lack of a relationship between harvest-age and North-South ratios during the 1980s resulted from lower average age ratios during years when large numbers of pintails were in the southern region. Pintail production in prairie-parkland areas may have declined and, in the 1990s, may be equal to production in the northern regions.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗

USGS1995

Canada geese in the Atlantic Flyway

Large changes have occurred in the geographic wintering distribution and subspecies composition of the Atlantic Flyway population of Canada geese ( Branta canadensis ) over the last 40 years. The Atlantic Flyway can be thought of as being partitioned into four regions: South, Chesapeake, mid-Atlantic, and New England. Wintering numbers have declined in the southern states (North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida), increased then decreased in the Chesapeake region (Delaware, Maryland, Virginia), and increased markedly in the mid-Atlantic region (New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia) (Serie 1993; Fig. 1). In the New England region (Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut), wintering numbers increased from around 6,000 during 1948-50 to between 20,000 and 30,000 today (Serie 1993). Overall, the total number of wintering geese reaching a peak of 955,000 in 1981 and has since declined 40% to 569,000 in 1993. Compounding these distributional changes in wintering numbers, the subspecies composition has also changed. The Canada goose population is composed of migrant geese (primarily B.c. canadensis and B.c. interior ) that breed in the subarctic regions of Canada and resident geese (primarily B.c. maxima and B.c. moffitti ) that breed in southern Canada and the United States (Stotts 1983). The number of resident geese in Maine to Virginia has increased considerable from maybe 50,000 to 100,000 in 1981 (Conover and Chasko 1985) to an average of 560,000 in 1992-93 (H. Heusman, Massachusetts Division of Fisheries and Wildlife, personal communication). This rapid increase in resident geese suggests that the migrant population has declined more than the 40% decline observed in total wintering geese from 1981 to 1993.

Atlantic Flyway↗

USGS1993

Survival of northern pintails banded during winter in North America, 1950-88

From 1950 through 1988, the continental breeding population of northern pintails ( Anas acuta ) varied from 2.0 million to 9.9 million. Because pintails have high fidelity to certain wintering grounds along coasts and large bodies of water, management on these wintering areas may increase population size if changes in winter survival rate are related to changes in population size. I used band-recovery data to estimate survival rates for winter-banded pintails and to test for sex-specific, temporal, and geographic variation in survival rates. Survival rate estimates varied between 0.632 and 0.806 for males, and 0.421 and 0.769 for females. Males had higher ( P < 0.0001) average annual survival rates than females. Limited geographic variation occurred in estimates of average annual survival rates for males, and no variation occurred for females. Males had lower average annual survival rates in the Imperial Valley than in central California ( P = 0.007) or in the Gulf Coast ( P = 0.092). Little annual variation was found within time periods. However, longer-term variation was found in survival rate estimates for males and females. Males had higher ( P = 0.054) average annual survival rates in the Pacific Flyway during 1959-61, a period of drought, breeding-population decline, and restrictive hunting regulations, than during 1950-58, a period with a higher breeding population and liberal regulations. The increase in wintering population size in the Pacific Flyway during the 1970's was associated with a higher average annual survival rate for females in the Pacific Flyway than during the 1950's. Results from the Pacific Flyway suggested that an interaction may exist between population size and the effect of harvest regulations on survival of males. Changes in harvest regulations appeared to have a greater effect at lower population levels.

North America↗

USGS1992

Estimating transition probabilities for stage-based population projection matrices using capture-recapture data

In stage—based demography, animals are often categorized into size (or mass) classes, and size—based probabilities of surviving and changing mass classes must be estimated before demographic analyses can be conducted. In this paper, we develop two procedures for the estimation of mass transition probabilities from capture—recapture data. The first approach uses a multistate capture—recapture model that is parameterized directly with the transition probabilities of interest. Maximum likelihood estimates are then obtained numerically using program SURVIV. The second approach involvesa modification of Pollock's robust design. Estimation proceeds by conditioning on animals caught in a particualr class at time i, and then using closed models to estimate the number of these that are alive in other classes at i + 1. Both methods are illustrated by application to meadow vole, Microtus pennsylvanicus, capture—recapture data. The two methods produced reasonable estimates that were similar. Advantages of these two approaches include the directness of estimation, the absence of need for restrictive assumptions about the independence of survival and growth, the testability of assumptions, and the testability of related hypotheses of ecological interest (e.g., the hypothesis of temporal variation in transition probabilities).

Ecology↗

USGS1990

North-south gradient in survival rates in midcontinental populations of mallards

I used band recovery data to test for the existence of a north-south gradient in survival and recovery rates for midcontinental populations of mallards ( Anas platyrhynchos ) during 3 time periods (1962-70, 1971-78, 1979-84). Mean annual survival rates for adult males and females were significantly associated with mean banding latitude (P < 0.0001 and P < 0.0004, respectively) and time period (P < 0.0001 and P < 0.001, respectively). Survival rates for both adult males and females were higher in the north and lower in the south. Because individuals from the northern regions migrate farther, the cost of migration in terms of survival was lower than some other factor(s) that may cause the gradient. The relationship between mean banding latitude and mean annual recovery rates was marginally significant for adult males (P = 0.043) but not for adult females (P = 0.183), suggesting that the gradient was not due to differential harvest pressure. At present, the north-south gradient in survival rates cannot be explained but may be caused by similar north-south clines in predation, habitat degradation, land use, and/or agricultural practices.

Journal of Wildlife Management↗

USGS1989

Mallard survival from local to immature stage in southwestern Saskatchewan

We used 3,670 recoveries from 32,647 bandings of mallards ( Anas platyrhynchos ) in southwestern Saskatchewan during 1956-59 to estimate the probability of surviving from the local, flightless (classes II and III) stage to the flighted, immature stage. The probability of surviving from the local to the immature stage was 0.84 ± 0.05 (SE) for males and females. The geographic distribution of direct recoveries was similar for the birds banded as local and immature. Probabilities of survival for banded mallards can only be estimated from late summer to late summer. The estimate of survival from local to immature stage fills a gap in our knowledge of mallard mortality from female-brood breakup to the time of banding in late summer.

southwestern Saskatchewan↗