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James C. Savage

Publications and source records attributed to James C. Savage.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Geodolite measurements of deformation near Hollister, California, 1971-1978

A 24‐station trilateration network spanning the San Andreas and Calaveras faults near Hollister, California, has been surveyed each year between 1971 and 1978, inclusive. Two moderate ( M L = 5) earthquakes have occurred within the network during the interval. No convincing preseismic or coseismic anomalies associated with those earthquakes have been identified. The deformation of the network can be described roughly by rigid body motion of the three blocks bounded by the two faults with accommodation occurring by right‐lateral strike slip on the San Andreas (13±2 mm/a) and Calaveras (17±2 mm/a) faults. The required slip rates are within the range of the observed fault creep on those faults. A more detailed analysis of the deformation indicates appreciable strain accumulation (0.4 μstrain/a tensor shear) within the block lying between the San Andreas and Calaveras faults. Many of the features of the observed deformation can be produced by an elementary dislocation model, indicating that most of the deformation is associated directly with slip on the major faults. The network is not extensive enough to define uniquely the relative motion across the San Andreas fault system, but the data are consistent with a value of about 38 mm/a. The rate of deformation in 1971–1978 was not uniform but rather appears to have been higher than normal in 1973–1974 and lower than normal in 1975–1976.

California

Using cluster analysis to organize and explore regional GPS velocities

Cluster analysis offers a simple visual exploratory tool for the initial investigation of regional Global Positioning System (GPS) velocity observations, which are providing increasingly precise mappings of actively deforming continental lithosphere. The deformation fields from dense regional GPS networks can often be concisely described in terms of relatively coherent blocks bounded by active faults, although the choice of blocks, their number and size, can be subjective and is often guided by the distribution of known faults. To illustrate our method, we apply cluster analysis to GPS velocities from the San Francisco Bay Region, California, to search for spatially coherent patterns of deformation, including evidence of block-like behavior. The clustering process identifies four robust groupings of velocities that we identify with four crustal blocks. Although the analysis uses no prior geologic information other than the GPS velocities, the cluster/block boundaries track three major faults, both locked and creeping.

Geophysical Research Letters

Tide gage measurements of uplift along the south coast of Alaska

Annual mean sea levels along the south coast of Alaska are used to measure uplift along the Alaska‐Aleutian subduction zone. Oceanographic effects are removed from the observed annual mean sea levels by subtracting a correction that is proportional to the sea level fluctuations observed in southeast Alaska. That correction is effective in reducing fluctuations in the observed, annual mean sea level as far west as the tip of Alaska peninsula. Additional corrections to remove the eustatic rise in sea level and the apparent fall in sea level due to postglacial isostatic rebound of the land are introduced. This corrected sea level record should provide a measure of tectonic subsidence. In the area affected by the 1964 Alaska earthquake, postseismic uplift occurs where coseismic subsidence was observed, and postseismic subsidence occurs where coseismic uplift was observed. The immediate postseismic response is damped out within the first decade, and the subsequent uplift rates appear to be steady over the 1974–1989 interval. However, some of those rates seem to be too high to be sustained over the ∼1000 year earthquake recurrence interval appropriate to this area if the interseismic deformation is only to recover the coseismic displacement. Thus a long‐term ( ∼100 years) relaxation in uplift rates is postulated. The immediate (time constant ∼5 years) postseismic relaxation is attributed to postseismic slip on the plate interface directly downdip from the coseismic rupture. The long‐term (time constant ∼100 years) relaxation is attributed to flow in the asthenosphere.

Alaska

The velocity field along the San Andreas Fault in central and southern California

The velocity field within a 100‐km‐broad zone centered on the San Andreas fault between the Mexican border and San Francisco Bay has been inferred from repeated surveys of trilateration networks in the 1973–1989 interval. The velocity field has the appearance of a shear flow that remains parallel to the local strike of the fault even through such major deflections as the big bend of the San Andreas fault in the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Across‐strike profiles of the fault‐parallel component of velocity exhibit the expected sigmoidal shape, whereas across‐strike profiles of the fault‐normal component of velocity are flat and featureless. No significant convergence upon the fault is observed even along the big bend sector of the fault. Simple dislocation models can explain most of the features of the observed velocity field, but those explanations are not unique. About 35 mm/yr of relative plate motion is accounted for within the span of the trilateration networks. Geologic studies indicate that the secular slip rate on the San Andreas fault is about 35 mm/yr. The agreement between these two estimates implies that most of the strain accumulation is elastic and will be recovered in subsequent earthquakes. The relative motion observed across the San Andreas fault (35 mm/yr) plus that observed across the Eastern California shear zone (8 mm/yr) accounts for most (43 mm/yr) of the observed North America‐Pacific relative plate motion (47 mm/yr).

California

Strain accumulation in western Washington

The Juan de Fuca plate is subducted beneath the North American plate off the coast of Washington at a rate of about 40 mm/yr N68°E. The average principal strain rates (extension reckoned positive) measured in northwestern Washington are as follows: Olympic peninsula 25 km south of Port Angeles from 1982 through 1990, and and near Seattle from 1972 through 1985, and . Both strain measurements are consistent with uniaxial contraction in the direction of plate convergence. Uplift rates inferred from tide gage recordings are about 4 mm/yr on the Pacific coast and near 0 mm/yr farther inland near Seattle. These deformation rates are consistent with a model of the Cascadia subduction zone in which the plate interface beneath the continental slope and outer continental shelf is locked but free to slip farther landward. The limited downdip extent of the locked segment of the plate interface is consistent with a shallow depth (∼20 km) of the isotherm (∼450°C) that defines the brittle‐ductile transition. Small thrust events diagnostic of seismic subduction should then occur only offshore and at shallow depths. The principal strain rates measured from 1972 through 1983 in the back arc region near Richland, Washington, are and .

Washington

Strain accumulation along the Denali Fault at the Nenana River and Delta River Crossings, Alaska

Surveys of trilateration networks across the Denali fault at the Nenana River in 1982, 1984, and 1988 and at the Delta River in 1975, 1979, 1982, and 1984 indicate a minor (0.10±0.04 μstrain/yr) northeastward uniaxial extension. The component of right‐lateral shear‐strain accumulation across the fault is not significant at the two‐standard‐deviation level. At the Delta River network the strain accumulation rate decreases rapidly with distance from the fault, but evidence for a similar decrease with distance from the fault is lacking at the Nenana River network. The strain accumulation rates inferred from trilateration are consistent with the very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) measurement reported by Ma et al. (1990) and support their contention that significant right‐lateral shear is not accumulating along the Denali fault at the present time. Savage et al. (1981) had earlier concluded erroneously that preliminary geodetic measurements at the Delta River network demonstrated right‐lateral shear strain accumulation. The absence of significant right‐lateral deformation across the Denali fault in the 1975–1988 interval is in marked contrast with the abundant geomorphic evidence for Holocene right‐lateral secular slip at the rate of 10–20 mm/yr on the Denali fault in this sector.

Alaska

Strain accumulation across the Wasatch Fault near Ogden, Utah

Deformation of a 70 by 40‐km trilateration network spanning the north trending Wasatch fault near Ogden, Utah, has been monitored from 1972 through 1990. All but nine of the 200 measurements are consistent with deformation that is linear in time. We presume that those nine observations are contaminated by some blunder in making the measurements and that deformation is linear in time. The strain rate over the 1972–1990 interval across a 40‐km‐wide zone west of the Wasatch fault (hanging wall block) is adequately approximated by a 0.04 ± 0.01 μstrain/yr N85°E±5° uniaxial extension. Adequate coverage of the footwall block is available only over the 1981–1990 interval, and the strain rate across a 30‐km‐wide zone there is approximated by a 0.07 ± 0.03 μstrain/yr N20°E±12° uniaxial extension. The observed extension of the hanging wall block in the direction normal to fault strike suggests that the Wasatch fault may be listric; a planar fault would produce a zone of contraction normal to the fault at the surface of the hanging wall block. The component of extension parallel to fault strike observed on the footwall block is unexplained.

Utah

Interseismic deformation at the Nankai Trough, Japan, subduction zone

Uplift along the coast of southwestern Japan following the 1944 Tonankai ( M s = 8.0) and 1946 Nankaido ( M s = 8.2) earthquakes has been inferred from the 1950–1985 tide gage records. Although uplift rates vary with geographic position, the temporal dependence at each site can be described as the superposition of an exponentially decaying (time constant ∼5 years) transient, significant only in the first decade postseismic, and a steady interseismic rate. The steady interseismic uplift rate is defined only over the 1956–1985 interval, but the linearity in time ofthat uplift record is such that uplift over the remainder of the interseismic cycle (∼80 years) might reasonably be expected to occur at the same rate. Moreover, the spatial pattern and magnitude of the steady uplift rate are reasonably close to those predicted by a simple dislocation model of subduction. However, the currently observed steady uplift rate is not consistent with the uplift rate inferred from geodetic leveling for the final half of the previous earthquake cycle. Thus, either the hypothesis of a steady interseismic uplift rate after the first decade postseismic is wrong or the strain accumulation pattern for one earthquake need not be the same as for the preceding earthquake on the same segment.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth

Deformation from 1973 to 1987 in the epicentral area of the 1959 Hebgen Lake, Montana, earthquake (Ms = 7.5)

A 40‐km aperture trilateration network centered on the 1959 Hebgen Lake earthquake epicenter has been surveyed in 1973, 1974, 1976, 1978, 1981, 1984, and 1987. The deformation inferred from those surveys is described roughly by a uniaxial, 0.266 ± 0.014 μstrain/yr, N15°E ± 1°extension that is uniform in both time and space. That extension is orthogonal to the strike (N78°W ± 5°) of the 1959 rupture plane inferred from focal mechanism solutions. The absence of strain accumulation in the N75°W direction suggests that the source of deformation must be greatly elongated in that direction. Looked at in greater detail, the deformation is found to be concentrated in the northern part of the network. The zone of concentrated deformation coincides with a part of a well‐defined trend in seismicity that extends at least 100 km N75°W from the Sour Creek resurgent dome in the Yellowstone caldera. Extension perpendicular to that trend is indicated by focal mechanism solutions. Thus, the zone of rifting identified within the Hebgen Lake network apparently extends east southeast to the Yellowstone caldera. About 8 mm/yr extension is observed across a 20‐km width within the zone.

Montana, Wyoming

Deformation from 1973 through 1991 in the epicentral area of the 1992 Landers, California, Earthquake (Ms = 7.5)

Deformation of a 50 × 60 km trilateration network that spans the epicenter of the 1992 Landers earthquake( M s = 7.5) was measured by seven surveys over the 19 years preceding the earthquake. Three moderate earthquakes (1979 Homestead Valley, M s = 5.6; 1986 North Palm Springs, M s = 6.0; and 1992 Joshua Tree, M s = 6.1) occurred within the network during those 19 years. Here we use geodetic and seismic data to construct a dislocation model for each of the three moderate earthquakes. Coseismic changes due to these three moderate earthquakes as predicted by the dislocation models are then removed from the trilateration data. The residual geodetic changes appear to be uniform in time. We take those changes to represent secular strain accumulation. This strain accumulation clearly shows right‐lateral shear across the San Andreas fault but also suggests a northwest‐southeast extension northeast of the eastern end of the “Big Bend” of the San Andreas fault. The Landers earthquake ruptured along a north‐northwest trend across this region of northwest‐southeast extension.

California

Postseismic deformation following the 1989 (M = 7.1): Loma Prieta, California, earthquake

Postseismic deformation along a 90‐km profile bisecting the projected surface trace of the coseismic rupture of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake has been monitored by frequent GPS surveys for 3.3 years following the earthquake. In addition to the expected deformation associated with secular strain accumulation on the San Andreas and Calaveras faults, deformation associated with postseismic readjustment has been detected. Most of that deformation can be attributed to 1.5 m right‐lateral and 0.9 m reverse postseismic slip on a 5‐km‐wide downdip extension of the Loma Prieta rupture. In addition, there seems to be a 0.1 m postseismic collapse of the Loma Prieta rupture zone in the direction perpendicular to the plane of the rupture. The fault‐normal (N48°E) surface displacements plotted as a function of time exhibit a curvature suggesting a relaxation time of about 1.4 years. Similar plots of the fault‐parallel (N42°W) displacement components do not exhibit significant curvature. Presumably, the deformation shown in those plots is dominated by secular strain accumulation along the San Andreas and Calaveras faults rather than postseismic relaxation.

California

Strain accumulation along the Laguna Salada Fault, Baja California, Mexico

Strain accumulation observed over the 1978–1991 interval in a 30×100 km aperture trilateration network spanning the Laguna Salada fault is described by the principal strain rates 0.101±0.012 strain/yr N80°E±2° and −0.021±0.012 strain/yr N10°W±2°, extension reckoned positive. These strain accumulation rates have been corrected to remove coseismic effects of the nearby 1979 Imperial Valley ( = 6.5), 1980 Victoria (Baja California) ( = 6.4), 1987 Superstition Hills ( = 6.5), and 1987 Elmore Ranch ( = 5.9) earthquakes. The observed strain rates indicate extension at a rate of about 0.08 strain/yr perpendicular to the trend (N35°W) of the Salton trough as well as a right‐lateral tensor shear strain rate 0.05 strain/yr across it. The extension perpendicular to the trough is observed neither farther north near the Salton Sea nor farther south across the Gulf of California. However, Holocene slip on the Laguna Salada fault, about equal parts right‐lateral and normal slip, is consistent with the observed strain accumulation. A simple dislocation model intended to explain the observed strain accumulation as a product of slip at depth on the Laguna Salada fault would require that the fault be listric.

California

Interseismic uplift at the Nankai subduction zone, southwest Japan, 1951–1990

Uplift as a function of time from 1951 through 1990 has been deduced from annual mean sea level measured at 15 tide gages along the Nankai subduction zone, southwest Japan. The recurrence interval for rupture of the Nankai subduction zone is about 100 years, and the most recent rupture was in late 1946. Thus the 1951–1990 uplift record covers most of the first half of the earthquake cycle. The precision of the uplift record is better than could be obtained currently by annual Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The pre‐1960 uplift record shows rapid deformation that appears to terminate in 1959. After 1959 the uplift record is remarkably linear in time: Significant curvature in the uplift‐versus‐time plots is detected at only three of the 15 tide gages. The inferred uplift rates are not quantitatively consistent with the predictions of either the viscoelastic coupling or elastic half‐space models of subduction, but the agreement is sufficient to suggest that the causative physical mechanisms have been identified. The immediate postseismic response is controlled by the propagation of slip downward along the downdip extension of the coseismic rupture, and the interseismic response is caused by the accumulation of a slip deficit on the main thrust zone. Asthenosphere relaxation is not required to explain the observations.

Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth

Geodetic monitoring of the southern San Andreas Fault, California, 1980-1991

Five geodetic arrays (10 to 40 km aperture) located along the San Andreas fault have been surveyed frequently (several times in most years) over the 1980–1991 interval to detect possible fluctuations in the deformation rate. In each survey of an array the distances between the same four to seven pairs of geodetic monuments were measured. The distances measured (with corresponding standard deviation) range from 8.4 km (3.4 mm) to 38 km (8.2 mm). The data are displayed as plots of measured distance as a function of time. Linear fits in such plots furnish a satisfactory representation of the data. That is, the scatter of the data about the linear fits is within the range expected for the estimated standard deviations in measurement. However, there are coherent low‐amplitude (within the observational error) fluctuations apparent in some of the measured distances. Those fluctuations need not be tectonic effects but rather may be either random patterns or artifacts introduced by systematic drift in instrument calibration or wander of the geodetic monuments. We conclude that the measurements are consistent with steady deformation of the arrays over the 1980–1991 interval, and we find no convincing evidence in the data for fluctuations in the rate of deformation.

California

Strain accumulation across the central Nevada seismic zone, 1973–1994

Five trilateration networks extending for 280 km along the central Nevada seismic zone (1915 Pleasant Valley, M = 7.3; 1954 Dixie Valley, M = 6.8; 1954 Stillwater, M = 6.8; 1954 Rainbow Mountain, M = 6.6; 1954 Fairview Peak, M = 7.1; and 1932 Cedar Mountain, M = 7.2) have been surveyed 6 times since 1973 to determine deformation along the zone. Within the precision of measurement the deformation appears uniform along the zone and is described by the principal strain rates 0.036±0.008 μstrain/yr N60°W±3° and −0.031±0.008 μstrain/yr N30°E±3°, extension reckoned positive. The observed strain rates are consistent with simple, right‐lateral, tensor shear at the rate of 0.033 μstrain/yr across a shear zone striking N15°W. This central Nevada shear zone appears to be the northward continuation of the eastern California shear zone. The orientation of the strike‐slip and normal‐slip ruptures within the central Nevada seismic zone are consistent with principal stress axes parallel to the measured principal strain rate axes. Space‐based geodetic measurements (very long baseline interferometry) indicate that the relative motion accommodated across the Basin and Range province west of Ely, Nevada, is about 9.1±1.5 mm/yr N16°W±8° (Dixon et al., 1995.) Notice that the right‐lateral shear zone postulated to explain deformation in the central Nevada seismic zone is properly oriented to accommodate that relative motion. However, a 135‐km effective width of the shear zone would be required to accommodate all of the 9.1 mm/yr relative motion at the strain rates observed in the Nevada seismic zone; only about 3 mm/yr of that relative motion is accommodated within the span of the trilateration networks.

California, Nevada

Preseismic and coseismic deformation associated with the Hollister, California, earthquake of November 28, 1974

The epicenter of the Hollister earthquake ( M L = 5.1) of November 28, 1974, is located near the center of an 81‐line trilateration network which has been surveyed annually since 1971. Five lines in the neighborhood of the epicenter were surveyed just 2 days before the earthquake, and two other lines nearby were surveyed 48 days earlier. Although some of these measurements suggest a possible preearthquake anomaly in line length, the anomaly is within the uncertainty in measurement. A comparison of the most recent preearthquake survey (June 1974) and the most immediate postearthquake survey (December 1974 to January 1975) of the entire network indicates a uniform linear contraction of about 0.8 ppm. This is most reasonably attributed to survey error even though a systematic error of that magnitude is unexpected. We conclude that no demonstrable preseismic or coseismic deformation was detected and suggest that an upper limit for these phenomena is less than 1 ppm in line length. A reasonable dislocation model for the Hollister earthquake yields coseismic changes in line length not greater than a few parts in 10 7 , well below the limit of detection in Geodolite surveys.

California

Strain accumulation on the San Andreas Fault near Palmdale, California

Precise distance measurements of a 10×25 km 15‐station trilateration network that spans the San Andreas fault west of Palmdale, California, have been repeated annually in the period 1971–1975. The network appears to be deforming under simple uniform tensor shear of about 0.21±0.03 μstrain/yr with the direction of maximum right‐lateral shear parallel to the local strike of the San Andreas fault. Comparison of trilateration with triangulation surveys of the same network shows that the rate of strain accumulation has been constant over the past 40 yr. The strain accumulation can be explained by conventional dislocation models (i.e., slip at depth beneath a locked section) of the San Andreas fault with 30‐ to 50‐mm/yr slip. Leveling surveys along a 16‐km line that crosses the fault at Palmdale indicate significant changes in tilt but with frequent reversals, so that no net tilt has accumulated in the overall period 1935–1975.

California

Geodimeter measurements of strain during the Southern California Uplift

A review of geodimeter measurements made along the ‘big‐bend’ section of the San Andreas fault in southern California indicates no significant increment in strain during the period of major uplift (late 1959 to mid‐1963). Specifically, no evidence of an increment in compressional strain normal to the San Andreas fault at the time of the uplift was found. Geodolite measurements at four networks along the big bend independently indicate that the strain rate during the 1974–1977 episode of subsidence was essentially a uniaxial north‐south compression at the rate of about ⅓ μstrain/yr. Whether the 1974–1977 rate is significantly different from earlier rates determined by triangulation is not clear owing to a rather large variability in the earlier determinations.

California