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Eric Leinonen

Publications and source records attributed to Eric Leinonen.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

A hierarchical model for eDNA fate and transport dynamics accommodating low concentration samples

Environmental DNA (eDNA) sampling is an increasingly important tool for answering ecological questions and informing aquatic species management; however, several factors currently limit the reliability of ecological inference from eDNA sampling. Two particular challenges are (1) determining species source location(s) and (2) accurately and precisely measuring low concentration eDNA samples in the presence of multiple sources of ecological and measurement variability. The recently introduced eDNA Integrating Transport and Hydrology (eDITH) model provides a framework for relating eDNA measurements to source locations in riverine networks, but little empirical work has been done to test and refine model assumptions or accommodate low concentration samples, that can be systematically undermeasured. To better understand eDNA fate and transport dynamics and our ability to reliably quantify low concentration samples, we developed a hierarchical model and used it to evaluate a fate and transport experiment. Our model addresses several low concentration challenges by modeling the number of copies in each PCR replicate as a latent variable with a count distribution and conditioning detection and quantification on replicate copy number. We provide evidence that the eDNA removal rate declined through time, estimating that over 80% of eDNA was removed over the first 10 m, traversed in 41 s. After this initial period of rapid decay, eDNA decayed slowly with consistent detection through our farthest site 1 km from the release location, traversed in 67.8 min. Our model further allowed us to detect extra-Poisson variation in the allocation of copies to replicates. We extended our hierarchical model to accommodate a continuous effect of inhibitors and used our model to provide evidence for the inhibitor hypothesis and explore the potential implications. While our model is not a panacea for all challenges faced when quantifying low-concentration eDNA samples, it provides a framework for a more complete accounting of uncertainty.

Environmental and Ecological Statistics

Field trials of an autonomous eDNA sampler in lotic waters

Environmental DNA (eDNA) analysis has become a transformative technology, but sample collection methods lack standardization and sampling at effective frequencies requires considerable field effort. Autonomous eDNA samplers that can sample water at high frequencies offer potential solutions to these problems. We present results from four case studies using a prototype autonomous eDNA sampler as part of the U.S. Geological Survey’s Rapid Environmental eDNA Assessment and Deployment Initiative & Network (READI-Net) project. These case studies involved short-term deployments of an eDNA autosampler (Smith-Root) across a range of riverine habitats with the objectives of (a) identifying what insights could be gained from high-frequency autosampling and (b) benchmarking these autosamples against manually collected samples. The high frequency autosampling revealed high temporal variability of eDNA concentrations and provided valuable insights about eDNA associations with environmental covariates, such as discharge and turbidity. Benchmarking assessments indicated autosamples had similar detection rates to manual samples and obtained similar or greater eDNA quantities. We did find minimal carryover contamination in autosampler field controls. We conclude that eDNA autosamplers have potential to improve freshwater biosurveillance by reducing logistical sampling barriers, standardizing collection methods, and clarifying the influence of environmental covariates on eDNA results.

Idaho, Missouri, Montana, New York

A hierarchical model for eDNA fate and transport dynamics accommodating low concentration samples

Environmental DNA (eDNA) sampling is an increasingly important tool for answering ecological questions and informing aquatic species management; however, several factors currently limit the reliability of ecological inference from eDNA sampling. Two particular challenges are 1) determining species source location(s) and 2) accurately and precisely measuring low concentration eDNA samples in the presence of multiple sources of ecological and measurement variability. The recently introduced eDNA Integrating Transport and Hydrology (eDITH) model provides a framework for relating eDNA measurements to source locations in riverine networks, but little empirical work has been done to test and refine model assumptions or accommodate low concentration samples, that can be systematically undermeasured. To better understand eDNA fate and transport dynamics and our ability to reliably quantify low concentration samples, we developed a hierarchical model and used it to evaluate a fate and transport experiment. Our model addresses several low concentration challenges by modeling the number of copies in each PCR replicate as a latent variable with a count distribution and conditioning detection and quantification on replicate copy number. We provide evidence that the eDNA removal rate declined through time, estimating that over 80% of eDNA was removed over the first 10 meters, traversed in 41 seconds. After this initial period of rapid decay, eDNA decayed slowly with consistent detection through our farthest site 1km from the release location, traversed in 250 seconds. Our model further allowed us to detect extra-Poisson variation in the allocation of copies to replicates. We extended our hierarchical model to accommodate a continuous effect of inhibitors and used our model to provide evidence for the inhibitor hypothesis and explore the potential implications. While our model is not a panacea for all challenges faced when quantifying low-concentration eDNA samples, it provides a framework for a more complete accounting of uncertainty.

BioRxiv