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Drew L. Siler

Publications and source records attributed to Drew L. Siler.

27 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Integrating magnetotellurics, soil gas geochemistry and structural analysis to identify hidden, high enthalpy, extensional geothermal systems

We applied magnetotellurics (MT), diagnostic structural affiliations, soil gas flux, and fluid geochemistry to assist in identifying hidden, high-enthalpy geothermal systems in extensional regimes of the U.S. Great Basin. We are specifically looking for high-angle, low-resistivity zones and dilatant geologic structures that can carry fluids from magmatic or high-grade metamorphic conditions in the deep crust upward to exploitable depths, and to verify the nature of the deep sources through soil gas and fluid compositions. The project was motivated by prior MT transect coverage of western and central Nevada centered upon the Dixie Valley producing geothermal system where such favorable indicators were first recognized. The high-angle MT structures are taken to be fluidized fault zones connecting deep magmatic/metamorphic activity with the geothermal system, but the concept required verification by testing at other systems. The project was set up with a two-phased organization. Phase I was carried out at the McGinness Hills system, central Nevada, where Ormat Inc flagship power facility is located and a considerable amount of pre-existing data were available. Resistivity models along MT transects also showed a strong low-resistivity upwelling originating from interpreted deep crustal magmatic underplating. Controlling structures on production as indicated by Ormat data and our new mapping were favorable to dilatancy, comprising an accommodation zone between major normal faults of opposing dip. A 3D MT survey and inversion confirmed the existence of the steep low-resistivity zone dipping ESE toward the deep crust and placed N-S bounds upon the feature. In cooperation with Ormat personnel, we sampled well fluids from production intervals for He isotope composition. Elevated 3He was verified through mass spectrometry analysis confirming a magmatic connection with the producing system. High CO2 soil gas flux including possibly metamorphic 13C and 14C component was measured over the area of dilatant structures. Hence, the triad of indicators posed above was confirmed in Phase I. Subsequently, Phase II of the project proceeded in the greenfield Kumiva-Blackrock Desert district of northwestern Nevada to see if a new system could be identified. Transect MT data also showed a low-resistivity upwelling originating from interpreted deep crustal magmatic underplating. An MT survey of 131 sites was imaged through 3D inversion using an in-house, DOE-supported finite element algorithm. Low resistivity upwellings that warranted follow up study occur under the flanks of the Seven Troughs Range, under Kumiva Playa immediately west of the Blue Wing Mountains, and under northern Granite Springs Valley. Structural assessment of the project area by Co-I J. Faulds at UNR provided numerous favorable Quaternary fault settings, which were correlated to the MT upwelling structures. Soil CO2 gas flux anomalies generally were not large but did show correlation with resistivity upwelling structure and favorable geological structures. Isotope analyses showed presence of possible inorganic/metamorphic 13C but 14C concentrations did not exceed background values. We view the initial concept of a confluence of low-resistivity upwelling, favorably dilatant 3D geological structure, and elevated soil gas flux including 13C component to be supported by the further evidence of this project although the indicators in the Phase II study were more diffuse. Mass balance calculations based upon 3He R/Ra values indicates that the proportion of magmatic fluids in a producing system is fairly low, 10-15% by volume. We suggest that the diagnostic MT geophysical structures denote zones of concentrated extensional deformation that increases permeability, potentially enabling a circulating upper crustal geothermal system, while at the same time connecting telltale deep component signatures to the upper crust. The northern Granite Springs Valley structure is receiving followup stu

Nevada

Can geologic factors be predictive for distinguishing between productive and non-productive geothermal wells?

Geologic data are examined to evaluate whether certain geologic characteristics occur in higher abundance or higher magnitude along production geothermal wells relative to non-productive wells. We perform 3D geologic mapping, 3D stress modeling, and fault-slip modeling to estimate fourteen different geologic factors that are hypothesized to control or correlate with well productivity. The geologic factors are; heat, fault-damage zone thickness, distance from active faults, fault intersection/termination density, fault curvature, slip tendency of faults, dilation tendency of faults, dilation resulting from modeled fault slip, normal stress reduction resulting from modeled fault slip, Coulomb shear stress increase resulting from modeled fault slip, the summed thickness of ‘favorable’ lithologies within a borehole, the summed thickness of fault damage zones in favorable lithologies within a borehole, the distance along the borehole to the nearest geologic contact, and the thickness of individual stratigraphic units. These geologic factors are quantified along fifty wells at Brady geothermal system, including twelve production wells and thirty-one non-productive wells. Results indicate that geologic factors such as stress changes associated with faulting, nearness to and thickness of fault zones, distance from geologic contacts, and heat occur in higher magnitude or higher abundance along production wells relative to non-productive wells. These geologic factors may play an important role in controlling the locations and distribution of fluid circulation in geothermal fields.

Geothermal Resources Council Transactions

Stress concentrations at structural discontinuities in active fault zones in the western United States: Implications for permeability and fluid flow in geothermal fields

Slip can induce concentration of stresses at discontinuities along fault systems. These structural discontinuities, i.e., fault terminations, fault step-overs, intersections, bends, and other fault interaction areas, are known to host fluid flow in ore deposition systems, oil and gas reservoirs, and geothermal systems. We modeled stress transfer associated with slip on faults with Holocene-to-historic slip histories at the Salt Wells and Bradys geothermal systems in western Nevada, United States. Results show discrete locations of stress perturbation within discontinuities along these fault systems. Well field data, surface geothermal manifestations, and subsurface temperature data, each a proxy for modern fluid circulation in the fields, indicate that geothermal fluid flow is focused in these same areas where stresses are most highly perturbed. These results suggest that submeter- to meter-scale slip on these fault systems generates stress perturbations that are sufficiently large to promote slip on an array of secondary structures spanning the footprint of the modern geothermal activity. Slip on these secondary faults and fractures generates permeability through kinematic deformation and allows for transmission of fluids. Still, mineralization is expected to seal permeability along faults and fractures over time scales that are generally shorter than either earthquake recurrence intervals or the estimated life span of geothermal fields. This suggests that though stress perturbations resulting from fault slip are broadly important for defining the location and spatial extent of enhanced permeability at structural discontinuities, continual generation and maintenance of flow conduits throughout these areas are probably dependent on the deformation mechanism(s) affecting individual structures.

GSA Bulletin

Which geologic factors control permeability development in geothermal systems? The geologic structure of Dixie Valley

Geothermal systems occur where subsurface permeability and temperature are sufficiently high to drive fluid circulation. In the Great Basin region of the United States, which hosts ~20% of domestic geothermal electricity generation capacity and much of the projected undeveloped and undiscovered resource, crustal heat flow is relatively high, so permeability is the dominant factor controlling the occurrence or absence of a geothermal system. In the most general sense, fracture permeability along faults and/or networks of interconnected faults and fractures serves as a pathway for fluids upwelling from depth. Within the Great Basin, Dixie Valley hosts an anomalously high number of geothermal systems. It is unclear whether this relatively dense collection of systems is associated with regional strain or structural patterns, local structural or geological characteristics, basin hydrogeology, or some other factors. The relatively rich data-set available for Dixie Valley, and the well-studied nature of the area affords the opportunity to characterize the geologic and lithologic factors that control permeability development at the local scale. There are at least eleven distinct geothermal systems in Dixie Valley, NV. We utilize a wealth of existing data, which have been collected over several decades, to assess the geologic controls on geothermal fluid upwelling in these systems.

Geothermal Resources Council Transactions

New data yield new geologic insights at the Fallon FORGE site, Carson Sink Region, Nevada

The geologic structure beneath the Fallon Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE) site represents a record of the Mesozoic through Cenozoic tectonism, volcanism, and sedimentation that has affected the Carson Sink local to Fallon, NV. A robust dataset confirms that the lithologic sequence consists of Quaternary through Miocene sedimentary and volcanic rocks resting non-conformably on Mesozoic crystalline basement. The basement consists of four lithologic units; 1) Triassic-Jurassic low-to-medium grade meta-rhyolites, 2) Jurassic low-to-medium grade quartzites and other metamorphosed marine sedimentary rocks, and 3) Jurassic low-to-medium grade meta-basalt and -basaltic-andesite lavas, all intruded by 4) Jurassic-Cretaceous quartz monzonite. The geologic section dips ~20-25° west, tilting that was accommodated by a predominant system of north-to-north-northeast striking, east and west moderately-to-steeply dipping normal faults. The above, relatively broad-scale characteristics of the geologic framework of the Fallon site have been developed throughout the ~3 year duration of the project. With the collection of new data and re-analysis of existing data in Phase 2B of the Fallon FORGE project, our detailed understanding of the relatively finer-scale aspects of the geologic framework, including aspects of the stratigraphic sequence and the locations and attitudes of individual faults have evolved and an updated 3D geologic map has been developed. Here, we compare the Phase 1 3D geologic map to the Phase 2B 3D geologic map and demonstrate the evolution of our understanding of the geologic framework of the Fallon site and the value of the new data that was collected in Phase 2B in developing this updated framework.

Geothermal Resources Council Transactions

2D and 3D potential field mapping and modelling at the Fallon FORGE site, Nevada, USA

Accurate geological characterization of Fallon FORGE is important for preparing the site as an EGS laboratory. As part of this effort, a 3D geologic map was constructed previously from well logs, surface geologic mapping, 2D seismic profiles, interpreted gravity & magnetic maps, and a gravity-inferred basement surface. In this study, we have conducted both 2D and 3D modelling of high-resolution gravity and magnetic data (pre-existing and new) in an effort to further refine and test this 3D geologic map at Fallon. This effort enabled a direct comparison of the 2D and 3D model results. Potential field modelling was guided by rock-property measurements of samples from drill-core and outcrop from the Fallon area. In total, five 2D potential field model profiles, up to 30 km in length, were constructed that extend across the Fallon area. The 3D gravity model volume was 8 km (N-S) x 8 km (E-W) x 4 km (thick). The majority of the 3D gravity model volume had 100 m cubic cells; but cells near the land surface were 1 m thick to adequately capture topography. Overall, the 2D & 3D geophysical modelling largely confirmed the previously constructed 3D geologic map at Fallon for three reasons: 1) lithologic boundaries in the 2D & 3D density models mostly agree with those in the 3D geologic map, 2) the rock properties used in the models lie within the range of independent measurements made on representative rock samples from the region, and 3) the match between the observed and calculated anomalies are largely within the measurement error of the observed fields. In places where the geophysical and geologic models differ, geophysical model results have revealed subsurface structural features that have helped refine geologic interpretations which, in turn, lead to adjustments to the 3D geologic map. In this paper, we present the 2D & 3D geophysical model results and discuss how they were utilized to confirm and refine our 3D geologic understanding of the Fallon FORGE site.

Geothermal Resources Council Transactions

Discovery of a blind geothermal system in Southern Gabbs Valley, western Nevada, through application of the play fairway analysis at multiple scales

The Great Basin region is capable of generating much greater amounts of geothermal energy than currently produced. Most geothermal resources in this region are blind, and thus favorable characteristics for geothermal activity must be synthesized and methodologies developed to discover new commercial-grade systems. The geothermal play fairway concept involves integration of multiple parameters indicative of geothermal activity to identify promising areas for new development. In the Nevada play fairway project, geologic, geochemical, and geophysical parameters were initially synthesized to produce a new geothermal potential map of 96,000 km2. Southern Gabbs Valley in western Nevada is a particularly promising site selected for detailed study. It contains favorable structural settings, including Quaternary fault intersections and a displacement transfer zone. Geologic, geophysical, and geochemical techniques were employed to define the most likely sites for high permeability and select targets for temperature-gradient holes. Permeability models were revised to reflect results of detailed analyses and generate new detailed play fairway maps. The most promising site lies in an area of multiple fault intersections in a broader displacement transfer zone directly north of the Petrified Springs dextral fault, as revealed by gravity, magnetic, and MT data. A 2-m temperature anomaly and warm temperature gradient wells (~120oC at ~150 m depth) confirm the presence of a geothermal system and provide initial validation of the play fairway methodology. The system is blind, with no surface hot springs, fumaroles, or paleo-geothermal deposits. Lessons learned in the detailed studies include: 1) initially identified sites commonly include multiple favorable settings at a finer scale; 2) promising sites in Cenozoic basins cannot be recognized without detailed geophysical surveys; and 3) play fairway analysis is critical at multiple scales.

Geothermal Resources Council Transactions

A geophysical characterization of the structural framework of the Camas Prairie Geothermal System, southcentral Idaho

Play Fairway Analysis methods, utilizing existing geologic, thermal, geochemical, and geophysical data were employed in an initial assessment of geothermal resources in the Snake River Plain. These efforts identified the Camas Prairie in southcentral Idaho as a region with elevated resource potential. Subsequent efforts included structural and geophysical data collection to identify the most favorable structural settings for exploiting resources in the valley. The present work involved high-resolution gravity, magnetic, magnetotellurics (MT), field mapping, and seismic surveys to further characterize the system and target sites for exploration drilling around Barron’s Hot Springs (BHS) in the southwest part of the valley. Geophysical mapping and modeling reveal that the BHS coincides with a complex intersection of two major fault systems: a prominent NW-trending system that includes the Pothole fault, and EW-trending basin-bounding faults that control NS-extension. This complex zone includes a dense network of EW-oriented faults and a right stepover in the Pothole fault which, given the dominant dextral-normal to normal slip inferred for this fault, would promote extension in the immediate vicinity of the BHS. Surface faulting in this region indicate Pleistocene or younger slip, and seismic imaging documents offsets of shallow strata that suggest ongoing activity on these structures. MT modeling results show that this zone also coincides with a prominent conductive anomaly, characteristic of the presence of hydrothermal alteration or hydrothermal fluids. These results point to the importance of these structures in maintaining current and long-lived shallow hydrothermal activity around the BHS. The detailed structural mapping and conceptual framework developed from this study provide critical constraints for siting a drill hole aimed at documenting reservoir characteristics and informing potential future development of these geothermal resources.

Idaho

Uncertainty and risk evaluation during the exploration stage of geothermal development

Quantifying and representing uncertainty for geothermal systems is often ignored, in practice, during the exploration phase of a geothermal development project. We propose that this occurs potentially because the task seems so formidable. The primary goal of this paper is to initiate a dialogue within the geothermal community about: which geothermal uncertainties should receive the most attention and which uncertainty analysis methods could provide the greatest benefit for the advancement of the geothermal energy industry. In this paper, we discuss uncertainty quantification techniques that are applicable to geothermal exploration. In general, uncertainty associated with data acquisition/processing (i.e., objective uncertainty) is small compared to the uncertainty in interpretational space (i.e., subjective uncertainty) that lies between data points where extrapolation is required. Therefore, it is important to classify, assess, and quantify uncertainty to help select strategies to reduce uncertainty, and to better gauge the impact that separate uncertainties have on the overall likelihood of project success. In addition, geostatistics provides multiple quantitative methods for producing stochastic models which adhere to measured data and spatial correlation. The petroleum industry has successfully used both geostastistics and decision analysis methods to combine diverse and multiple types of uncertainties. We argue that instead of one single and final interpretation of the geothermal system, numerous interpretations may be more indicative of the possible subsurface scenarios, and these different scenarios can be evaluated using decision analyses and value of information methodologies. Lastly, we recommend that the potential power generation of a geothermal reservoir should be grounded in the geologic data and modeling for a specific field and their estimated uncertainties. In this paper, we provide a brief overview of many of these topics while a more complete review has been recently published in Witter et al. (2019).

Conference Paper