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Derek J.N. Young

Publications and source records attributed to Derek J.N. Young.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Estimating basal area change by tree size with Sentinel-2 imagery following four fires in California, USA

Background Failure to account for tree size when estimating burn severity may not accurately capture post-fire tree mortality and post-fire forest structure. Aims We explored whether basal area mortality by tree size class could be determined from remotely-sensed burn severity indices based solely on Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. Methods We used data collected in four large California wildfires to model the relationship between proportional basal area mortality and burn severity indices derived from Sentinel-2 imagery for three tree diameter class thresholds: small (15 to 30 cm), medium (30 to 50 cm) and large (>50 cm). Key results Our models showed that for a given burn severity index value, the proportion of mortality was greater overall in smaller trees, and that the proportion of mortality in large trees changed more slowly than that of smaller trees with changing burn severity index values. Conclusions We found that models that accounted for tree size can more precisely estimate changes in forest size structure than a similar model that did not account for tree size. Implications Explicitly accounting for tree size can improve estimates of post-fire forest structure, including for large trees which make up the bulk of stand biomass and post-fire seed sources.

California

Quantifying post-fire live tree presence and spatial variation using Sentinel-2 time series

Accurate mapping of post-fire surviving trees is important for tracking forest recovery and prioritizing land management decisions. Satellite-based remote sensing is an effective method to assess post-fire forest conditions. Traditionally, differenced satellite-derived burn severity indices are computed by differencing one year pre- and post-fire spectral reflectance values. Differenced burn severity indices are useful for quantifying and mapping the magnitude of ecological change, but their application to detecting and mapping post-fire live trees may not be as appropriate, particularly for delayed tree mortality. Delayed tree mortality (“delayed mortality”) is a phenomenon where trees that initially survive fire then die over an extended period (between one and five years), and it can be challenging to measure and predict. In this study, we demonstrate the potential of mapping delayed mortality using readily available remotely sensed imagery alone. We used random forest models to detect post-fire live trees using 10-m resolution Sentinel-2 data at one-, three-, and five-years post-fire for four fires in the southern Sierra Nevada, California, USA. Using imagery from the National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP; 60-cm resolution), we manually classified live tree presence in 6000 Sentinel-2 pixels (500 pixels for each fire-year combination) to calibrate and validate models. Sentinel-2 based model accuracies ranged from 65 % to 86 % with F-scores ranging from 0.52 to 0.86, and their predictions of live pixel area were on average 44 % lower than inferred from more traditional indices such as relative differenced normalized burn ratio (RdNBR). This work represents a promising first step in using freely available post-fire spectral reflectance imagery to detect live trees over an extended period to support post-fire management.

California

Sentinel imagery detects the presence of live trees following large wildfires in California

Identifying live tree presence following wildfire is important for burn damage assessments and decision making, as these trees serve as seed sources for recovery. Satellite-based remote sensing offers an efficient means to assess burn severity with products representing vegetation greenness and char/ash presence and their change from pre- to post-fire imagery. While effective at assessing burn severity (e.g. ecosystem change), there remain limitations in identifying fire refugia (surviving trees), due to the difficulty of teasing apart different green vegetation types (e.g. trees, shrubs, grasses). In this paper, we use 10 m Sentinel-2 satellite data to predict live tree presence across three sites impacted by the 2021 California fire season. We used vegetation indices (VIs) from post-fire imagery (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI], normalized burn ratio [NBR], normalized difference water index [NDWI], visible atmospherically resistant index [VARI], and burn area index [BAI]), differential VIs from pre- and post-fire imagery (dNDVI, dNBR, RdNBR, dNDWI, dVARI), and direct reflectance bands (all bands model; visible, near-infrared, and shortwave infrared; B1–B12) to predict live tree presence via random forest modeling. To calibrate and validate the random forest models, we photointerpreted ∼2300 pixels per fire region using 2022 National Agriculture Imagery Program imagery. We performed additional field-based validation using tree presence/absence data two years post-fire ( n = 296 observations across two sites). At the site level, the all bands model outperformed the vegetation index-based models (80%–85% vs 65%–79% accuracy). Errors were mainly false positives attributed to pixels with green understory vegetation but no live trees. In cross-site inference, which involved pooling two sites for model calibration to test on the third site, the all bands model retained good performance (76%–81% accuracy). Evaluation against field survey data demonstrated a larger range of performance (50%–87% accuracy) that highlights limitations based on tree isolation and crown percent greenness. Relative to differential-based VIs, our results highlight potential advantages of using post-fire Sentinel-2 imagery and random forest modeling for identifying live tree presence and scaling to full fire extents.

California

Western juniper management: assessing strategies for improving greater sage-grouse habitat and rangeland productivity

Western juniper ( Juniperus occidentalis subsp. occidentalis ) range expansion into sagebrush steppe ecosystems has affected both native wildlife and economic livelihoods across western North America. The potential listing of the greater sage-grouse ( Centrocercus urophasianus ) under the U.S. Endangered Species Act has spurred a decade of juniper removal efforts, yet limited research has evaluated program effectiveness. We used a multi-objective spatially explicit model to identify optimal juniper removal sites in Northeastern California across weighted goals for ecological (sage-grouse habitat) and economic (cattle forage production) benefits. We also extended the analysis through alternative case scenarios that tested the effects of coordination among federal agencies, budgetary constraints, and the use of fire as a juniper treatment method. We found that sage-grouse conservation and forage production goals are somewhat complementary, but the extent of complementary benefits strongly depends on spatial factors and management approaches. Certain management actions substantially increase achievable benefits, including agency coordination and the use of prescribed burns to remove juniper. Critically, our results indicate that juniper management strategies designed to increase cattle forage do not necessarily achieve measurable sage-grouse benefits, underscoring the need for program evaluation and monitoring.

California, Oregon, Nevada