Future eruptions in California's Long Valley area - what's likely?
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Geology topics
Publications and source records attributed to David P. Hill.
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No abstract available.
Since 1980, scientists have monitored geologic unrest in Long Valley Caldera and at adjacent Mammoth Mountain, California. After a persistent swarm of earthquakes beneath Mammoth Mountain in 1989, earth scientists discovered that large volumes of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) gas were seeping from beneath this volcano. This gas is killing trees on the mountain and also can be a danger to people. The USGS continues to study the CO 2 emissions to help protect the public from this invisible potential hazard.
The October 17, 1989, Loma Prieta, Calif., Ms=7.1 earthquake provided the first opportunity in the history of fault monitoring in the United States to gather multidisciplinary preearthquake data in the near field of an M=7 earthquake. The data obtained include observations on seismicity, continuous strain, long-term ground displacement, magnetic field, and hydrology. The papers in this chapter describe these data, their implications for fault-failure mechanisms, the scale of prerupture nucleation, and earthquake prediction in general. Of the 10 papers presented here, about half identify preearthquake anomalies in the data, but some of these results are equivocal. Seismicity in the Loma Prieta region during the 20 years leading up to the earthquake was unremarkable. In retrospect, however, it is apparent that the principal southwest-dipping segment of the subsequent Loma Prieta rupture was virtually aseismic during this period. Two M=5 earthquakes did occur near Lake Elsman near the junction of the Sargent and San Andreas faults within 2.5 and 15 months of, and 10 km to the north of, the Loma Prieta epicenter. Although these earthquakes were not on the subsequent rupture plane of the Loma Prieta earthquake and other M=5 earthquakes occurred in the preceding 25 years, it is now generally accepted that these events were, in some way, foreshocks to the main event.
No abstract available.
The August 1, 1975, Oroville, California, earthquake (M b = 5.7) and its aftershocks focused considerable interest on current tectonic processes operating in the western foothills of the Sierra Nevada range. As part of an intensive study of this earthquake sequence, the United States Geological Survey with support from the California Department of Water Resources conducted a seismic refraction experiment during July 1976 in the Oroville region. The objective of the experiment is to resolve more clearly the P- and S-wave velocity structure of the crust in the region as a basis for both more accurate hypocenter locations and evidence on the physical properties at depth within the crust.
Vertical vibrations of the ground surface due to elastic waves from an earthquake will generate acoustic pressure waves in the overlying atmosphere. Sufficiently intense vibrations of the ground at frequencies greater than about 20 HZ can produce pressure waves that are within the audible range of many animals, including humans. People in the epicentral region of moderate to large earthquakes, for instance, commonly relate hearing sounds accompanying individual earthquakes (here we exclude sounds associated with mechanical resonances in structures such as houses). Descriptions of these sounds range from the report of distant guns to the rumble of thunder or the rushing of a wind (Davison, 1938; Lanchow Seismological Brigade, Appendix II). In many instances, the sounds are described as starting several seconds before the earthquake is felt. Experimental and theoretical verification that such earthquake sounds are generated by high-frequency ground motion from local earthquakes is based on simultaneous acoustic and seismic recordings recently obtained during a swarm of earthquakes in the Imperial Valley, California (Hill and others, 1976). These results show that for local earthquakes in the magnitude range 2 to-3, audible sounds are generated by the first arriving compressional (P) wave while perceptible shaking begins with the larger but slower shear (S) wave, explaining the reports that "earthquake sounds" are frequently heard several seconds before the earthquake is felt. A commonly proposed explanation for alleged anomalous animal behavior hours to days prior to large earthquakes suggests that animals with acute, high-frequency hearing respond to weak '''ultrasonic" sounds generated by small earthquakes occurring in the epicentral region of the impending event. Such earthquakes are presumably too small to be either felt or heard by humans in the region and too small to be routinely recognized as earthquakes on seismograms recorded on a local seismograph network. Evidence that such "popping and cracking" may occur in the region of an impending earthquake comes from laboratory experiments in which the rate of microfracturing in a rock sample subjected to large stress differences increases dramatically before catastrophic failure of the sample (Scholz, 1968; Stesky, 1975). In this paper we investigate the following question: What are the constraints on earthquake size (fault dimension and displacement) and hypocentral distance (distance from the earthquake focus to a point on the Earth's surface) such that animals noted for their acute hearing might react to the sound generated by the event while the same event would go undetected by humans (either by feeling, hearing, or routine identification on a local seismograph network)? Factors to be considered include: 1) the nature of the displacement spectral amplitudes of elastic waves radiated from an earthquake, 2) the effects of attenuation on the spectral components of elastic (seismic) waves over propagation paths from the focus to the Earth's surface, 3) the appropriate scaling of spectral amplitudes from moderate to very small earthquakes, 4) the coupling of elastic waves in the Earth to acoustic waves in the atmosphere, and 5) the threshold-of-hearing characteristics for various animals, including man. In considering these factors, we will find that, except for extremely small, shallow "earthquakes" (fracture dimension on the order of 10 cm and focal depths on the order of 10 m), acoustic emissions from premonitory fracturing ought to be equally audible to both people and animals in the immediate area of the fracturing.
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Explore the source record for details and available documents.
A theoretical analysis of acoustic waves refracted by a spherical boundary across which velocity and density increase abruptly and below which velocity and density may either increase or decrease continuously with depth is formulated in terms of waves generated at a harmonic point source and scattered by a radially heterogeneous spherical body. Through the application of an Earth-flattening transformation on the radial solution and the Watson transform on the sum over eigenfunctions, the solution to the spherical problem for high frequencies is expressed as an integral for the corresponding half-space problem in which the effect of boundary curvature maps into an effective positive velocity gradient with depth. The results of both analytical and numerical evaluation of this integral can be summarized as follows for body waves in the crust and upper mantle: (1) In the special case of a critical velocity gradient (a gradient equal and opposite to the effective curvature gradient), waves interacting with the boundary at the critical angle of incidence have the same form as the classical head wave for flat, homogeneous layers. (2) For gradients more negative than critical, the amplitude of waves incident at the critical angle decay more rapidly with distance than the classical head wave. (3) For gradients that are positive, null, and less negative than critical, the amplitude of waves near the critical angle decays less rapidly with distance than the classical head wave, and at sufficiently large distances, the refracted wave field can be adequately described in terms of ray-theoretical diving waves. At intermediate distances from the critical point, the spectral amplitude of the refracted wave is scalloped due to multiple diving wave interference.
During the early summer of 1959, a total of 1,187 gravity stations were occupied on the western part of the Snake River plain in Idaho. An area of 2,000 square miles extending from Glenns Ferry, Idaho, to Caldwell, Idaho, was covered with a station density of one station per two square miles. An additional 1,200 square miles of surrounding area, mainly from Caldwell, Idaho, to the Oregon-Idaho state line, was covered with a density of one station per seven square miles. The mean reproducibility of the observed gravities of these stations was 0.05 milligal, with a maximum discrepancy of 0.2 milligal. Gravity data were reduced to simple Bouguer values using a combined free-air and Bouguer correction of 0.06 milligal per foot. The only anomalies found with closure in excess of 10 milligals are two elongated highs, orientated northwest-southeast, with the northwestern high offset to the northeast by 10 miles. The smaller of these highs extends from Meridian, Idaho, to Nyssa, Oregon, and the larger extends from Swan Falls, Idaho, to Glenns Ferry, Idaho. The maximum value recorded is a simple Bouguer value of -66.5 milligals with respect to the International Ellipsoid. Gradients on the sides of these highs are largest on the northeast sides, reaching six milligals per mile in places. Graticule interpretations of a profile across the southeastern high using a density contrast of 0.3 gm per cubic centimeter indicate an accumulation of lava reaching a thickness of at least 28,000 feet. The Snake River investigation was made for the purpose of searching out, defining, and interpreting gravity anomalies present on the western part of the Snake River lava plain in Idaho. In particular, it was desired to further define gradients associated with the gravity high shown by the regional work of Bonini and Lavin (1957). It was not planned to cover any specific area, but rather to let the observed anomalies determine the course of the field work. The study was undertaken as part of a project on Volcanism and Crustal Deformation, supervised by L. C. Pakiser of the U.S. Geological Survey. Professor Rodgers of the Geophysics Department of the Colorado School of Mines acted as an advisor.